Rocket Scientist
Member
Shouldn't pollsters start checking if the people they are polling have id's?
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PoliGAF 2012 |OT3| If it's not a legitimate OT the mods have ways to shut it down
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Castro would be an ideal VP pick for Clinton. Young, Popular, Liberal, and Latino.
Then he'd be set the fuck up for 2024.
Rocket Scientist
Member
I feel bad for thinking about the possibilities of a porn adaptation of this.
If the party really wanted to use Castro, I could see a trajectory of: Obama appointing him to his cabinet (Secretary of Labor, maybe?) > then as Clinton's VP pick > then running for president. Getting him elected statewide in Texas would be a lot harder.
These predictions always end up so spectacularly wrong. lol
Castro is more of the next-next generation of Democrat leaders, not the next generation for 2016. Soon as he wins a state wide race in Texas he'll instantly be a contender for whenever the next open primary is. And I have no doubt he will win a statewide race. He is a fantastic politician in a state with rapidly changing demographics. And he is very young, he has time to wait it out.
I think it is smarter for him to wait it out and risk the statewide race in Texas. Because if he proves he can take texas he'll get a large chunk of the party to rally around him for 2020/2024. Having texas in your pocket as a Dem means you basically can't lose.
Black Republican
Member
Romney Ohio blitz coming atcha
http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2012/09/mitt_romney_to_launch_ohio_bus.html
http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2012/09/mitt_romney_to_launch_ohio_bus.html
Gotta say, seeing Schweitzer at the Convention really emphasized how awesome Obama is, in terms of his charisma and political intelligence.
Schweitzer has a shot, of course - he's better than someone like Romney, obviously, and more likeable than a Gore or Kerry. It's just sort of disappointing that after Obama gets his four more years, we'll probably have another 2000 or 2004 on our hands in terms of not really having an exceptional candidate in the race (to be fair, Gore I think is a great intellect and would've made a fine president, as would Kerry to a lesser extent... but they were never going to be truly inspirational). Castro could grow into one of those in time, but for the moment the bench seems a little thin.
Schweitzer has a shot, of course - he's better than someone like Romney, obviously, and more likeable than a Gore or Kerry. It's just sort of disappointing that after Obama gets his four more years, we'll probably have another 2000 or 2004 on our hands in terms of not really having an exceptional candidate in the race (to be fair, Gore I think is a great intellect and would've made a fine president, as would Kerry to a lesser extent... but they were never going to be truly inspirational). Castro could grow into one of those in time, but for the moment the bench seems a little thin.
Salvor.Hardin
Banned
Hill Dawg?
Yep, and I'm pretty sure the Obama campaign is glad to push the narrative that they're behind in fundraising.
All that mega-donor money is still useful at the DNC/RNC, but less so than actual cash in the campaign coffers.
Half and half
Member
ahaha!
RoninChaos
Member
One of the guys has "natural gas, natures solar power" in his sig. LoL
Manos: The Hans of Fate
Banned
It will make all the Obama end 2013 bumper stickers even more lulzy...but then they'll just switch dates like the Bush ones did.
I'm also convinced now that Obama as President will keep gun groups on their toes and well funded which will be needed for fights at the non Federal level unless the Republicans lose the house....then the risk is very real.
I also want Obama back because he hasn't wavered in the drone campiagn, but it is problematic with a democratic house...but Romney is worse on guns than Obama since while Obama has an awful voting record and public statements, Romney signed a fucking assault weapon ban.
Manos: The Hans of Fate
Banned
Well if it was property vs income tax he'd have a point as those are ludicrously high.
adamsappel
Member
Reminds me of the "Carlson for President" episode of WKRP in Cincinnati, when Mr. Carlson has on too much makeup for the television debate. I thought I would piss my pants when I first watched it.
Now I'm angry again that they screwed up the DVDs and can't play the original series in syndication.
The Technomancer
card-carrying scientician
Wow, John was absolutely on fire. He seems genuinely angry at moments.
PantherLotus
Professional Schmuck
Hey, I'll take what I can get. But it's not like I could've predicted he would be this bad. Mine was based simply on the map and that the economy wasn't getting worse. Combine that with an obviously splintered party that Romney would have to continually bow down to and the coming disaster was obvious.
On another note, but same subject: the past week of revealed gaffes/revelations about Romney's leadership style (libya response + 47%) should've been enough to lose him the election in any economy. Completely un-statesmanlike.
More, it reveals explicitly the problem with nominating a businessman with little actual political experience. It's like how it takes some amount of years to learn all the unspoken rules of any sport so you don't go bush league when you make it to the biggs. Romney never learned certain things, like not alienating half your constituency, even in private. Or say, slightly more nuanced stuff like tread lightly in Foreign Policy, especially if Americans have died.
LOL!
I would full-on support Hillary in 2016 if she ran. No other candidate would come close to her in experience. She'd expand the potential map democrats could have on top of the already expanding trends from demographic changes. Plus, if Obama wins this time democrats will likely get credit for the recovery, which will make her even more likely to win in 2016.
Wafflecakes
Member
Anyone else follow electoral-vote.com?
Love this blog. I couldn't live without it.
Was reading the post today. It seems everything about the republican machine is falling apart right now. So many bad polls for them.
Love this blog. I couldn't live without it.
Was reading the post today. It seems everything about the republican machine is falling apart right now. So many bad polls for them.
Manos: The Hans of Fate
Banned
No thanks she might continue one of Bills pet projects.
E-V is one of the best daily snapshots. The map is very simple as compared with 538 or PEC, but the news section is thorough, straightforward, and tends to skim worthwhile stories. If I had to pick one single source for following the election, I'd probably go with it.
I'll take it!
Black Republican
Member
T-Paw has left the Romney campaign guys :-(
http://www.politico.com//blogs/burns-haberman/2012/09/pawlenty-goes-to-washington-136088.html
Gonna be a lobby boy
http://www.politico.com//blogs/burns-haberman/2012/09/pawlenty-goes-to-washington-136088.html
Gonna be a lobby boy
The Teabaggers are freaking out now lol
http://gawker.com/5944869/texas-homeowner-lynches-empty-chair-meant-to-represent-president-obama
http://gawker.com/5944869/texas-homeowner-lynches-empty-chair-meant-to-represent-president-obama
The fact that they have a Ras-free map make this the best site ever.
PantherLotus
Professional Schmuck
The Teabaggers are freaking out now lol
http://gawker.com/5944869/texas-homeowner-lynches-empty-chair-meant-to-represent-president-obama
dear god
Hi Gaf, my name is Cod Hand....and uh I've been Ras-free for 6 months...
Manos: The Hans of Fate
Banned
You wont get it though. It will however waste a lot of time and energy for something that will go nowhere and potentially hurt the party overall (Bill pretty much has said it was greatly responsible for losses in Congress.
Black Republican
Member
i know lol rasmussen, but they have obama ( with leaners) @ 50% Romney 47%.......um
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
All that can really mean is that Ras thinks its time to light a fire under Romney's ass. Who knows what their unadjusted numbers are.
Officerrob
Banned
Wasn't Romney up in that poll two or three points yesterday? Rasmussen is such crap
Hillary seems like the Giuliani of 2008. She would not run as bad of a primary, but if you asked who people thought would be the GOP nominee in '08 during '04, Giuliani would probably have gotten 90% of the vote.
Sam Wang just said it.
Democrats positioned to retake the House
http://election.princeton.edu/2012/09/20/house-outlook-for-2013-take-2/
Democrats positioned to retake the House
http://election.princeton.edu/2012/09/20/house-outlook-for-2013-take-2/
Not getting my hopes up yet, but this + an Elizabeth Warren Senate win would be amazing.
I'd be more inclined to bet against it, just as a hedge. Don't want to get hopes up too much that the second Obama term will involve actual productive legislation.
RustyNails
Member
A wave election? A wave election.
Still in the aftermath of the convention bounce. But in the context of the polls lately and Romney's immolation....yeah.Democratic Enthusiasm Swells in the Swing States, Nationally
Voter enthusiasm in these states has grown among members of both political parties; however, Democrats' level has increased more. Thus, whereas equal percentages of Democrats and Republicans were enthusiastic in June, Democrats are now significantly more enthusiastic than Republicans, 73% vs. 64%.
donaldduckboner.jpg
RustyNails
Member
1st day of session 2013, Harry Reid passes legislature changing filibuster rules
2nd day, Jobs act passes with 1trillion in spending
3rd day, public option passes
4th day, marijuana legalized
5th day, gitmo closed
6th day, comprehensive immi reform passes, instant asylum to 20 million illegal immigrants, instant resident status for those stuck in legal visa wait limbo.
7th day, taxes for 250k+ raised 10%
...
Bush tax cuts expired
...
Afghan withdrawal achieved
...
Obama grabs Bibi by his ear and makes him sit on the adult table with Mahmoud Abbas and sign the peace treaty, recognizing palestinian statehood for pre-67 borders
...
Unicorns, rainbows and carebears
...
Hilldawg runs in 2016, every democratic primary challenger bows out of respect and gives her the crown
Officerrob
Banned
PPP twitter: "We don't have Obama up 14 in Wisconsin but we have him up a lot more than we did last week. Results between 11 and Noon"
Wisconsin is slipping away
Wisconsin is slipping away
Damn, RustyNails, that list looks amazing.
Add a 50% tax bracket on incomes over $1 million per year that applies only to people in the financial sector, a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United, public campaign financing, and add dinosaurs to those unicorns and carebears, and we'll have one hell of a four year ride. Maybe we can use some tax revenue to fund dinosaur cloning and then balance the budget on tourism.
But seriously, I would love to see an FDR-level tax rate applied only to the financial sector. Not sure if it would be constitutional, but I can dream.
Add a 50% tax bracket on incomes over $1 million per year that applies only to people in the financial sector, a constitutional amendment to overturn Citizens United, public campaign financing, and add dinosaurs to those unicorns and carebears, and we'll have one hell of a four year ride. Maybe we can use some tax revenue to fund dinosaur cloning and then balance the budget on tourism.
But seriously, I would love to see an FDR-level tax rate applied only to the financial sector. Not sure if it would be constitutional, but I can dream.
Blergmeister
Member
Fixed!
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