AstroNut325
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WOW at the Daily Show last night!
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PoliGAF 2012 |OT3| If it's not a legitimate OT the mods have ways to shut it down
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Hirono's up by ten, and will probably also have the biggest boost from Obama's coattails in the history of coats -- not to mention Inouye's support, of course. Poor Lingle has never led. She'd be a pretty moderate R in the national sense, really.
You should really stop posting on NeoGAF forever.
NullPointer
Member
The guy in the middle is getting strong whiff from bullshit mountain. Its just reaching the nose of the lady on the left.I found this image hilarious;
the contrast between Romney, his orangeness, and the hosts faces.
Man, that recent polling of Wisconsin is pretty reassuring because if Ohio/WI are indeed looking safe, where does Romney go? I mean...
even with a super-generous map, he's fucked. I even put NH/VA in his corner just to make it seem closer than it seems. I could see him taking NV, but that'd just pull things into a draw if NH goes to Bams.
even with a super-generous map, he's fucked. I even put NH/VA in his corner just to make it seem closer than it seems. I could see him taking NV, but that'd just pull things into a draw if NH goes to Bams.
Black Republican
Member
AP reports Team Romney pulls 2 key staffers from New Mexico
waste of money there anyways
waste of money there anyways
Suikoguy
I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
Home, which one I don't know.
oh boy. People said it was going to get ugly, and I guess we now know how.
http://gawker.com/5944974/its-a-trend-another-lynching-of-invisible-obama-took-place-in-virginia
Man, that recent polling of Wisconsin is pretty reassuring because if Ohio/WI are indeed looking safe, where does Romney go? I mean...
even with a super-generous map, he's fucked. I even put NH/VA in his corner just to make it seem closer than it seems. I could see him taking NV, but that'd just pull things into a draw if NH goes to Bams.
As Nate put it:
It's up to the moderators, feel free to complain to them.
holy shit the photo gawker posted makes it look even worse than what was posted here yesterday
I found this image hilarious;
the contrast between Romney, his orangeness, and the hosts faces.
I feel like there is a stark contrast just between his hand and his face, although the earlier picture might show it a little better.
This is exactly the kind of thing Romney is talking about when he refers to people not taking responsibility for their own lives. You don't need the government to stop posting. All you have to do is choose to stop posting! Don't be a taker, be a maker.
VanMardigan
has calmed down a bit.
I found this image hilarious;
the contrast between Romney, his orangeness, and the hosts faces.
What are these politicians always pointing at when they hit the stage? Are they pretending to recognize someone in the audience?
Rocket Scientist
Member
Is the secret service going to arrest the chair lynching people? It is disturbing as fuck, those people need some time behind bars.
Please link if you know!
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
Did anyone else see this bizarre poll by AP/Gfk Roper? Obama leads by 15 among all adults, by 10 among registered voters and by 1 among likely voters.
http://ap-gfkpoll.com/main/wp-conte...K-Poll-September-2012-Topline_1st-release.pdf
http://ap-gfkpoll.com/main/wp-conte...K-Poll-September-2012-Topline_1st-release.pdf
Aaron Strife
Banned
I almost feel bad for Romney until I realize that him losing the election means he can just enjoy his immaculate wealth.
Yeah, their LV screen must be tough to produce that kind of result. Most other pollsters don't show much difference between LV and RV lately.MiDNiGHTS said:
In past presidential elections, the RV samples have been more predictive than LV samples, simply because everyone's paying attention.
teruterubozu
Member
It'll be a tight race in Hawaii. Lingle is well liked, despite being a Republican in an overwhelmingly Blue State. The Dems became an "old boys" network in HI due to its long-standing blueness and Lingle has proven to be a tolerable compromise during her governorship (she's not exactly Olympia Snow or Susan Collins, but she is fairly moderate). Hawaii polling is shaky at best due to many factors, including seasonal residents, heavy liberal leaning media outlets and general Aloha-time attitude.
Suikoguy
I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/09/obama-redistribution-audio-clip-truncated-by-gop/
So yeah, that ancient clip of Obama...
So yeah, that ancient clip of Obama...
Fora activity is I dare say a form of entertainment, especially when we are talking about a _video game forum_.
When it stops being entertaining to me then I will stop posting.
VanMardigan
has calmed down a bit.
And without having to worry about public office, he is surely never going to pay taxes for the rest of his life. Dat Bermuda tax shelter!
If things keep trending this way, I think the story is not going to be the total amounts of money spent, but rather when that money was spent.
Obama seemed to be out ahead in spending his money early on, with ads going up in March/Apr in many swing states and continuing through the early summer months. It appears the Romney camp (and PACS) decided to wait until the end and just blow it out.
Although, maybe it wouldn't mattered or have been enough considering Romney is still Romney.
Obama seemed to be out ahead in spending his money early on, with ads going up in March/Apr in many swing states and continuing through the early summer months. It appears the Romney camp (and PACS) decided to wait until the end and just blow it out.
Although, maybe it wouldn't mattered or have been enough considering Romney is still Romney.
Strikes me as a messy likely voter screen, especially with 73% of people saying their odds of voting are 10 on a 1-10 scale. Without methodology, we can't tell how they went on to break that percentage down -- or even whether they did, or should have.
I just don't believe it. I mean, I haven't been home in a while, and certainly Lingle was relatively popular, but I really doubt that a Democrat will have significant difficulties given the current state of the polling and the fact that Obama's on the ticket.
StopMakingSense
Member
" ... redistribution ... "
It's funny, but what's the political point?
wtf, people should be rallying behind Obama now that they see how inept Romney is.
wtf, Kaine is dumber than I thought. Could this hinder Obama's chances in VA, I wonder.
Rocket Scientist
Member
Thanks!
Some clips are low quality, but he looks pretty orange sometimes in there. Towards the end for example. I think Mitt Romenez-gate might not be that exciting.
hydrophilic attack
Member
Self-deportation?
It's easy to take someone out of context if you look for it.
Did you guys see Priebus' opinion piece on Obama's redistribution remark?
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81443.html?hp=l4
The man is seriously vile.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0912/81443.html?hp=l4
The man is seriously vile.
oh wow, haha straight of out conan.
Not a fan. They shouldn't be wasting time and money on jokey bullshit like this.
Arrowgigantic
Member
You're assuming that he's focused on spending money that produces actual campaigning and not doing the kickback buy-my-own-book-and-give-it-away type stuff.
Gallup is the outlier on this one, even Ras has movement toward Obama. But Gallup also uses a 10-day rolling average. Let's see where things are in a week.
I've long said, I Gallup will show Romney leading at several points before election day. Even with a 10-day average, random noise and new cycles will make for some odd snapshots.
Manos: The Hans of Fate
Banned
Humorous when you consider where he was the Governor of.
Aaron Strife
Banned
No
47% affects Romney way more than it does Obama
Obama already supports SSM, no one cares
Kaine will still probably win
NullPointer
Member
Something like self-deportation?
Dammit, beaten like a serf. ;P
Also, for all this talk of Obama's relations or contact with radicals it sure as hell doesn't show in his actions as president over his first term, which you'd think would count for something. The guy is a moderate, but that undigestible truth just seems to blow the gaskets of the far right.
@fivethirtyeight said:
Do you see what he did there?
There are a few different commentators, both named Nate (Silver and Cohn), talking about Gallup and Rasmussen being dramatic outliers compared to every other poll. Gallup is usually very reliable. But on the other hand, so is Marquette, and yet nobody believes that Obama is +14 in Wisconsin. Gallup has a GOP lean, but not that much; it has a cell phone gap, but usually not that much; and it has a tendency towards more volatility due to resetting its likely voter filter every day, but still not that much.
It's worth noting that Gallup, at least, and possibly some others, assume a "turnout ratio" and weight their likely voter filter so that it produces exactly that percentage of likely voters in the registered voter population -- for example, in '04 it was 55%. If there's an especially large enthusiasm increase, and a large number of people answer the filtering questions more positively than usual, the likely voter bar goes up as a result to the people who are EVEN MORE enthusiastic. So one possible hypothesis for this, and perhaps some other likely voter differentials, is that we're seeing what looks like a lift in enthusiasm, but the likely voter models for some pollsters are dampening it out.
http://www.mysterypollster.com/main/2004/10/likely_voters_i_1.html
You actually think this cost something?
At the very least time. And this isn't the first jokey bullshit video from them when they should have a laser focus on things that matter.
Switching my registration to the county I currently live in is ridiculous. It's not enough to have the physical address I get mail at on several different forms (it's not a PO Box), but I need to go to the 911 office (which is only open three days a week) and show them where I live on a map so they can make super sure I live in the district I say I do. Then I have to take some confirmation from that back to the County Clerk's office and THEN I can get a new voter's registration card.
Manos: The Hans of Fate
Banned
They fucking should at the very listen get an interview or trip to their states federal building. I'd say the same for Bush too, you don't threaten the President of the United States.
To quote the Simpsons.
If you want I'll give you some link to some gun/hunting boards...you will feast like you never have before. Just promise that you won't look at it as representative of all who own guns hunt.
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