Ignatz Mouse
Banned
I am sure some pollsters use methodology that skews one way or another-- but are you really suggesting that they cook their results differently over the course of a week for the sake of story?
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PoliGAF 2012 |OT3| If it's not a legitimate OT the mods have ways to shut it down
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I am sure some pollsters use methodology that skews one way or another-- but are you really suggesting that they cook their results differently over the course of a week for the sake of story?
Dunno, I feel good about Warren vs Brown for some reason. Plus Akin just said non-pregnant ladies were given abortions, so yea.
probably opened one of the plane windows to let some air in.
Arrowgigantic
Member
True.
Romney is going to try a zinger and laugh at his own joke with his psycho robot laugh and people are just going to be creeped out.
TPM, I know, but I had to share this tidbit about the most recent NBC/WSJ poll:
SOCIALISM
Well, she does keep leading in all the polls.
Horrifyingly, this is ANOTHER pro-life talking point from the same websites that gave us legitimate rape.
backpat central command said:
SOCIALISM
Well, she does keep leading in all the polls.
Horrifyingly, this is ANOTHER pro-life talking point from the same websites that gave us legitimate rape.
I thought he said that in 2008
wat
Probably, I just caught the end of it on the news the other day. Still can't help him though, man needs a biology lesson.
EDIT: Here is the article. It was back in 08 during a speech in the house.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-wires/20121003/us-missouri-senate/
RustyNails
Member
Michelle doesn't love Barack anyways, and is smitten by Mittens.
Not sure if serious but regarding Ras the answer is overwhelmingly yes
ClassyPenguin
Banned
Climate change denialism is very popular with conservatives.
Even his daughters are drawn to Romney, they look at him as more of a father figure than Barack.
It's Rasmussen so yes. They are infamous for this sort of stuff. It's why always always avoid getting worked up when they show Obama up right before events like this, because they will be using their numbers to try to push a storyline of a Romney comeback. Just watch. They'll have Romney up a few points by the end of the week and it will be a big drudge headline.
speculawyer
Member
He actually said it a while back ago (2008) but it was dug up recently due to his rape comment. The travesty is that the GOP decided he was the guy to put on the House Committee of Science, Space and Technology. Really GOP? Really?
RustyNails
Member
Yeah. Barack never had a real father growing up like Mitt did with George Romney, who I think was a terrific, ideal father. I won't be surprised if Obama's daughters hate him.
Actually I was wrong in that calculus he doesn't need New Hampshire in the map I posted (273 R - 265 D). Just Wisconsin, Nevada, Colorado, Virginia, Florida.... easy peasy.
Basically Romney will hit an Ace on the river = game over.
They put him on WHAT? I linked the article further up, but I'm pretty sure it doesn't mention this particular information.
An observation: In 2008 we were treated to a Republican candidate who was daring to the point of recklessness and took a lot of risks, most of which ended up backfiring spectacularly. In 2012 we now have a Republican candidate who is cautious to the point of being wooden. Overcompensation?
And in four years we will have one that is extremely overweight, and four years after that an anorexic candidate.
By the Republican party at large maybe, or more like nominee by default.
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
I know Obama has the election on lockdown, but I'm getting more and more nervous. Logical me knows that Romney has no shot at the electoral college, but the rest of me panics at least once a day.
neoism
Member
fucking disgusting I really don't understand this world anymore if someone like Mitt can be President... I would have lost my job...
ClassyPenguin
Banned
Don't forget the rise of the Tea Party. Bending over backwards to placate them.
Hobbestetrician
Member
I second this so hard.
RustyNails
Member
Take a deep breath.
It's Mitt Romney. I'll be surprised if Mitt didn't set his hair on fire today.
It'd be okay if he did. He can open up the windows in his house. You know, to let oxygen in.
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
Fivethirtyeight is my internet equivalent of breathing into a paper bag to calm down.
If I said this, there'd be like 10 posts of "lol Diablos is just freaking out, nothing to see here!"
It is true, Romney had a bad month, but if he can get that out of the way and have a strong debate or two, who knows, it could start breaking in his favor.
Listen crapped in pants, when Ohio goes to Bams you can take that paper bag and pop it loudly then stating "BOOM!" ;p
He's gonna need a montage.
He's gonna need a montage.
cartoon_soldier
Member
Same here.
Also to note, this is exactly how Romney's 2002 governor race was poised. 5 weeks out, Romney trailing by 5-6 points. And then he won it by doing various shenanigans.
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
I feel like any breaks in Romney's favor are likely to be things that are outside of his control. I don't think his campaign can turn it around right now. I'm more worried about unforeseeable things that could happen than I am any deliberate attempt by Romney's campaign to come up with a gamechanger.
Lol! Indeed. I think I'll be way relaxed when Ohio and Virginia go blue.
Omg consensus on panic between cartoon and diablos, shocking news!
I was just about to post the same thing LOL
HeheheheOmg consensus on panic between cartoon and diablos, shocking news!
RustyNails
Member
I guess we'll have to attach a 4th head to the 3 headed pessimistic King Ghidorah.
BobTheFork
Member
Everyone here in Denver is getting really excited.
I have to work until 8pm tonight and getting home is going to be a shit storm with the debate going on. A huge chunk of the highway is closed. I likely won't even get to see the debate since I won't get home until well after it's started.
How long is it supposed to take?
Part of me really hopes downtown is just crammed full of people tonight.
I have to work until 8pm tonight and getting home is going to be a shit storm with the debate going on. A huge chunk of the highway is closed. I likely won't even get to see the debate since I won't get home until well after it's started.
How long is it supposed to take?
Part of me really hopes downtown is just crammed full of people tonight.
Ignatz Mouse
Banned
Yes, serious. I understand favoring a methodology that matches your underlying politics, but that can at least be justified. Cooking your numbers on a weekly basis seems like shaky ground for an organization that needs credibility.
The tea party is just the Limbaugh/Beck/Hannity audience, the 30% of America that still approved of Bush at the end of his 2nd term.
The republican base.
Omg consensus on panic between cartoon and diablos, shocking news!
Debate beer prep concluded,
+
=(hopefully)
a nice black and tan.
Honorary Oregonian, I see.
Captain Pants
Killed by a goddamned Dredgeling
My White House Honey Ale clone is in a keg and carbonating right now. I may get to drink it tonight which will certainly help with the nerves.
Tried to get Rogue Irish Larger, all sold out, I'm on the other side of NA but most places do a good job of carrying Rogue, I was lucky enough to visit the brewery recently, good times.
That's awesome.
AlteredBeast
Fork 'em, Sparky!
I will be drinking my Virgil's Root Beer. Oh yeah!
eBay Huckster
Member
Even Rocky had a montage!
e: predicting that all of the debates are going to wind up being irrelevant to polling, as they have functionally been in every election since '88
Yup if you google rasmussen polling there should come up a few articles that investigate how much of a shame it is. If I remember right Nate Silver at 538 did an entire write up on them
Once people were clued it to the way they work its humorous to watch, they don't even try to hide it now and will wildly go in 7-10 point swings when other polls disagree with them
Particle Physicist
between a quark and a baryon
I feel the same way.
Been thinking about this debate, Romney and co. have been really hyping the fact that he has been preparing very hard, has a whole line of zingers ready, and that Obama has barely been practicing. I feel like expectations are quite high for him and if he flails tonight, it's going to damage him pretty bad, on the other hand, if he wins the debate, but Obama is not completely destroyed, I don't think it will hurt Obama that badly. I think they miscalculated by trying to create that hype. I dunno, guess we'll find out shortly. :/
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