• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

PoliGAF 2013 |OT2| Worth 77% of OT1

Status
Not open for further replies.

Tamanon

Banned
In an op-ed this morning, Cruz told House Republicans that if his defund crusade doesn't jam the Senate, he wants the House to pass piecemiel legislation funding the government one part at a time.

This dude is something else :lol

House GOP should tell him to stuff it. He did all this on the promise that he could "find a way" to get it through. They shouldn't be seen as his lapdogs.
 

Snake

Member
95%
Democrats
on immigration, economic, healthcare, social, science, and environmental issues

91%
Green Party
on immigration, healthcare, economic, science, social, and environmental issues

85%
Socialist
on immigration, healthcare, economic, environmental, and social issues

12%
Libertarians
no major issues

1%
Republicans

---

Results look pretty solid. It's not perfect but with the "Choose another stance" button it's a thousand times more useful than something like the Political Compass.
 

Sibylus

Banned
Green Party (74% on healthcare, economic, environmental, and science issues)
Democrats (74% on healthcare, economic, environmental, science, and social issues)
Socialist (63% on healthcare and science issues)
Libertarians (23% on no major issues)
Republicans (2% on no major issues)
 
So I am trying to have somebody explain to me leftist old Keynesian theory and I just don't understand. This is their post trying to explain. Can somebody please help me out?:

You're still seeing it like an Anglospheric observer. For you, stagflation is caused only by supply-side problems. Nominal rigidity is out of the picture because there is high inflation. The left-wing solution to supply side problems is real investment; not to increase the demand side (so raising taxes to fund these is fine), but to reduce unemployment by lowering production costs. You don't need to distinguish very hard between kinds of production costs, the market will sort it out, just decrease something. Maybe you buy national broadband grids, or national rail infrastructure, or whatever. Inflation is, as we know, everywhere a monetary phenomenon, so what you spend on doesn't increase inflation either, provided that you aren't printing money to fund it. So it is an issue for your central bank to worry about later, when unemployment is lower.

But the Latin American sphere is still dominated by old Keynesians. For them, they distinguished between voluntary and involuntary unemployment (your own Anglospheric model only has something quite similar to voluntary unemployment). Involuntary unemployment is set by the level of effective demand. But inflation is very high, and you can see shortages in the shops, so by definition this cannot be an effective demand shortfall. So the problem must be voluntary unemployment. Old Keynesian theory sets the level of voluntary unemployment in the way the neoclassicals of the 1920s (not the 1970s New Classicals - I didn't choose this terminology) did - it is determined by the rate of profit.

And if you contribute to the capital stock, then you reduce the rate of profit. If you fix a house, then the owners of existing houses find their rent going down. So investment only makes the unemployment worse. The price of capital must rise relative to the price of consumption goods, and you are doing exactly the opposite.

The Marx-flavoured old Keynesians would fold their hands and say: this is the crisis of capitalism, let the crisis continue until capital stock depreciates enough that the rate of profit is restored. The right-wing old Keynesians would say: this is due to an excessively high real wage, let it diminish until full employment is restored*. The left-wing old Keynesians would say: we must lower the price of consumption goods, by shifting the use of the existing capital stock from the production of capital to the production of consumption goods. Maybe you commandeer factories or something. In none of these do you simply invest more as a solution.

* the Anglospheric "new classicals" don't worry about general equilibration between markets, so in their own voluntary unemployment, there's no crisis of capitalism and there's no imbalance between capital and consumption good production. It's always excessively high costs. But this flexibility also means that left-wing new classicals can lower wage costs by lowering capital costs, letting the market do the wage/capital substitution for them; it's excessively high production costs, not just real wages in particular.
 
Here's further proof why you won't see any compromises being made to ACA.
A recent bill, H.R. 2668, passed by the House of Representatives in July, would, among other changes,
delay the implementation of the individual requirement to have health insurance or pay a penalty (the individual mandate) under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA) for one year. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analysis of this bill estimates that the delay would decrease insurance coverage by 11 million people in 2014 by decreasing coverage in Medicaid and the Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP), employer-
sponsored insurance, and nongroup insurance relative to ACA implementation with the individual mandate.

...

As CBO and the Urban Institute have found, eliminating or delaying the individual mandate significantly increases the number of uninsured, as some individuals, especially disproportionately healthy individuals, will choose not to enroll in coverage. While decreased coverage leads to government savings through increased tax revenues and lower spending on the Medicaid program and subsidized private insurance coverage, it also increases the cost per newly insured and increases uncompensated care provided through hospitals, much of which is state and federal government financed. According to the January 2012 Urban Institute analysis that estimated the effects of the ACA with and without the individual mandate, the average subsidy amount for individuals receiving a subsidy is $700 to $1100 higher (up to 24 percent higher) without the mandate, depending on enrollment behavior. This occurs because the average nongroup insurance enrollee is significantly more costly without the mandate than with it.​
 
Parties you side with...

87%
Democrats
on economic, domestic policy, environmental, social, and immigration issues

72%
Green Party
on economic, immigration, and science issues

63%
Socialist
on economic and immigration issues

39%
Libertarians
on healthcare and immigration issues

7%
Republicans
on science issues

Parties you side with by issue...

the Environment
I side with Democrats on most environmental issues.

Domestic Policy
I side with Democrats on most domestic policy issues.

Healthcare
I side with Libertarians on most healthcare issues.

Science
I side with Republicans on most science issues. (I don't understand this one; it seems to be because I support space exploration?)

Social
I side with Democrats on most social issues.

Foreign Policy
I side with Democrats on most foreign policy issues.

Immigration
I side with Socialist on most immigration issues.

the Economy
I side with Democrats on most economic issues.
.
 

Piecake

Member
Parties you side with...
96%Democrats
Democrats
on economic, environmental, domestic policy, healthcare, science, and immigration issues

95%Green Party
Green Party
on environmental, economic, healthcare, domestic policy, science, and immigration issues

79%Socialist
Socialist
on healthcare, environmental, domestic policy, and immigration issues

15%Libertarians
Libertarians
on immigration issues

0%Republicans
Republicans
no major issues
 
Parties you side with...
95%Democrats
on economic, social, immigration, environmental, healthcare, science, and domestic policy issues

91%Green Party
on economic, social, immigration, environmental, healthcare, science, and domestic policy issues

75%Socialist
on social, immigration, and healthcare issues

12%Libertarians
no major issues

1%Republicans
Republicans
no major issues
 

bonercop

Member
lol, PhoenixPause

When asked for her prescription for partisan gridlock, Clinton sees an opportunity not unlike what Obama saw in 2008. ­“People are stereotypes, they are caricaturized,” says Clinton. “It comes from both sides of the political aisle, it comes from the press. It’s all about conflict, it’s all about personality, and there are huge stakes in the policies that are being debated, and I think there’s a hunger amongst a very significant, maybe even a critical mass of Americans, clustered on the left, right, and center, to have an adult conversation about how we’re going to solve these problems … but it’s not for the fainthearted.” For now, Hillary’s strategy is to sail above these conflicts, mostly by saying nothing to inflame them. “I have a lot of reason to believe, as we saw in the 2012 election, most Americans don’t agree with the extremists on any side of an issue,” says Clinton, “but there needs to continue to be an effort to find common ground, or even take it to higher ground on behalf of the future.”

get ready for~*post-partisanship*~
 
83%
Democrats
on economic, social, healthcare, and science issues

79%
Green Party
on foreign policy, social, healthcare, environmental, and science issues

77%
Socialist
on economic, environmental, social, healthcare, and immigration issues

27%
Libertarians
on foreign policy and immigration issues

2%
Republicans
no major issues

This quiz is very flawed. It assumes that many of the smaller parties only agree with one answer.
 

Karakand

Member
So I am trying to have somebody explain to me leftist old Keynesian theory and I just don't understand. This is their post trying to explain. Can somebody please help me out?:

The response is broad, so I'm not quite sure what you were originally looking for.

Just superficially, it's contrasting the economic policies of say Keynesianism in the PRC (keeping input costs low instead of keeping the supply of capital as unfettered as possible) vs. its descendant in use in the US (neoclassical synthesis).
 

Tamanon

Banned
Bill gets to move forward, McConnell opponent gets ammo. Excellent news all around.

I dunno, he'll still get to vote for the bill itself. I don't think people ever care about cloture when it comes to voting. He'll still be able to say he voted for the House resolution.
 

GhaleonEB

Member
I dunno, he'll still get to vote for the bill itself. I don't think people ever care about cloture when it comes to voting. He'll still be able to say he voted for the House resolution.

I think when it comes to the kind of mud that will (and is) getting slung, that kind of reality-based distinction will matter little. (It's literally a "was for it before I was against it" situation.) I can see the ads about how McConnell let the bill that funded Obama care go forward, when he could have stopped it, for example. McConnell can then (very reasonably) explain that he voted against the bill once the defunding provision was stripped. But that kind of stuff is what the Ted Cruz's of the world love confusing people about. McConnell will be busy explaining the process, his opponent will be shrieking about how he could have stopped it. At least, that's how I see it playing out. We're getting a preview of that now with Cruz's antics, so we'll get to see if it's actually effective or not.
 

Tamanon

Banned
I think when it comes to the kind of mud that will (and is) getting slung, that kind of reality-based distinction will matter little. (It's literally a "was for it before I was against it" situation.) I can see the ads about how McConnell let the bill that funded Obama care go forward, when he could have stopped it, for example. McConnell can then (very reasonably) explain that he voted against the bill once the defunding provision was stripped. But that kind of stuff is what the Ted Cruz's of the world love confusing people about. McConnell will be busy explaining the process, his opponent will be shrieking about how he could have stopped it. At least, that's how I see it playing out. We're getting a preview of that now with Cruz's antics, so we'll get to see if it's actually effective or not.

It's possible, but I'm trying to rack my brain around someone who was punished by the electorate for voting for cloture. It's just an obtuse Senate thing that I don't think most people will get. McConnell's opponent can try, but all he needs to do is frame it wrong and McConnell wallops him with some heavy "liar" talk.

Voted for and voted against. Those seem to be your attack ad fodder, not "did not vote against allowing a bill to be voted on".

We'll see though.
 

ivysaur12

Banned
Is this the best Onion article in a while?:

http://www.theonion.com/articles/dad-explains-obamacare,33961/?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=SocialMarketing&utm_campaign=LinkPreview:1:Default

PITTSBURGH—After noticing a newspaper article about the implementation of the upcoming Affordable Care Act, local father Andrew Panetta, 53, made an effort Monday to explain the intricacies of Obamacare to his son, sources confirmed. “It’s bullshit,” Panetta reportedly said, clarifying how insurance companies will comply with federal law in order to properly set up state-sponsored health care exchanges. “All of it. Complete and total bullshit.” Panetta went on to conclude his seven-second explanation of the expansive new health care law by saying, “I’m telling you, it’s bullshit.”
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
My dad, too. Actually, I may email this to him. That'll go well.

:lol

Is he one of those "I'm never wrong because I'm older than you," types as well? I pointed the fact that he's like this out to him once, to nods from the rest of my family, and he told me I was dead wrong, it took everything I had not to laugh.


As far as the NYTimes piece on deBlasio goes, I am liking him more than ever now. He may not talk about that time in his life much, but it's obvious that he learned the right lessons as far as his experiences go. I am going to be so happy when he wins with a 40% margin.
 
Yup, when I think effective, I think of the person who hired Mark Penn.

this is always what comes to mind when I hear things like "Hillary would have never compromised" or "Hillary would have thought of a way to make that work".

Hillary got owned to an embarrassing degree by Obama's team in 08. Outflanked, Blindsided, you name it, it happened. She may have her strong points, but "master political strategist" really isn't it.
 

GhaleonEB

Member
It's possible, but I'm trying to rack my brain around someone who was punished by the electorate for voting for cloture. It's just an obtuse Senate thing that I don't think most people will get. McConnell's opponent can try, but all he needs to do is frame it wrong and McConnell wallops him with some heavy "liar" talk.

Voted for and voted against. Those seem to be your attack ad fodder, not "did not vote against allowing a bill to be voted on".

We'll see though.

I didn't say it would be effective, just that it would create fodder for his tea party opponent, which it will. The fact that McConnell will vote for cloture probably indicates he agrees it won't be a big deal. My original point was just looking at the current FUBAR Cruz is creating and imagining how it's going to loom over the primary elections, given that all his posturing is just that - jockeying for primary elections. (I've seen cloture votes used in politcal ads before, but to your point, can't think of any offhand where they really mattered.)
 

ivysaur12

Banned
:lol

Is he one of those "I'm never wrong because I'm older than you," types as well? I pointed the fact that he's like this out to him once, to nods from the rest of my family, and he told me I was dead wrong, it took everything I had not to laugh.


As far as the NYTimes piece on deBlasio goes, I am liking him more than ever now. He may not talk about that time in his life much, but it's obvious that he learned the right lessons as far as his experiences go. I am going to be so happy when he wins with a 40% margin.

Generally, yes. He also has this weird thing where he doesn't take any facts or studies seriously because "there's always studies that show anything!". So, basically, he's left with his own beliefs, isn't willing to be challenged, is frustrated when he is, I get get ganged up at family gatherings and can hold my own, and my mom hates it all.

Basically, the boogey man of the Welfare Queen is too much for my Dad. It's sort of sad, actually, because he's a very smart man with an incredibly naive sense of what America is like outside of his own little bubble. He is well off. My mom is well off. And harping on the success of his second-generation parents who didn't attend college as a model for "bootstraps" in 2013 doesn't really hold any water. But he doesn't see that.

I think a lot of it is a Cold War-era mindset where Leftists = Communism = Russia = Bad while Conservatism = Capitalism = America = Good. Those are the heuristics he's developed.
 

Tamanon

Banned
I might be misinterpreting some of these articles.

So, the Senate can pass an amendment to strip the silly defunding language out of the bill and then pass the bill. Would this kick it back to the House or go through reconciliation between the two bodies of Congress? Or would this kick it up to the President to sign?
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
Generally, yes. He also has this weird thing where he doesn't take any facts or studies seriously because "there's always studies that show anything!". So, basically, he's left with his own beliefs, isn't willing to be challenged, is frustrated when he is, I get get ganged up at family gatherings and can hold my own, and my mom hates it all.

Basically, the boogey man of the Welfare Queen is too much for my Dad. It's sort of sad, actually, because he's a very smart man with an incredibly naive sense of what America is like outside of his own little bubble. He is well off. My mom is well off. And harping on the success of his second-generation parents who didn't attend college as a model for "bootstraps" in 2013 doesn't really hold any water. But he doesn't see that.

I think a lot of it is a Cold War-era mindset where Leftists = Communism = Russia = Bad while Conservatism = Capitalism = America = Good. Those are the heuristics he's developed.

Yup, that's my dad too. You see it a lot in people around that age that weren't big protesters at the time.

I might be misinterpreting some of these articles.

So, the Senate can pass an amendment to strip the silly defunding language out of the bill and then pass the bill. Would this kick it back to the House or go through reconciliation between the two bodies of Congress? Or would this kick it up to the President to sign?

It should kick it back to the House where they will be forced to vote on it. This is because the Senate is forcing a change to the language of the bill, which means the House has to pass it again. At least that's how I remember this sort of thing going anyway, there might be some small unknown clause that changes things though.
 

Videoneon

Member
NYT profile on Bill de Blasio.

I really liked this.


Ah! I enjoy these, even if they always feel a little lacking.

Green: 78
Democrat: 72
Socialist: 70
Libertarian: 16
Republican: o

I'm not sure I understand this exactly. I absolutely do think it's privileged to suggest that we should have abandoned gay marriage and Obamacare in preference for voting for a third-party candidate out of concern for civil liberties. I will happily argue that if you think that, it's because you don't understand the importance of what has actually been accomplished under Obama's tenure, and that privilege is probably the charitable assumption for why you might not.

This is late, but in all likelihood you and Bo have similar policy ideas i.e. stances on health care. The point of my skepticism with the claim of privilege is that I would think it strange to call her that when you might advocate for more or less the same set of ideas. With that in mind, I think you were quick to fill in blanks that characterized her. But seeing as that was a discussion about pragmatism and not positions by themselves. I'll just admit I improperly guessed your intentions.

I think it's clear that everyone acknowledges it's good we move forward with Obamacare and more equal treatment of gay people. The part where with regards to those two achievements, it was his first election's appointment of justices that accomplished them and not the second term's existence, notwithstanding (so they wouldn't likely be "abandoned.") It is preferable to no progress happening at all. In the near term, which I want to emphasize is continuously existing, the most obvious solution for improving the country with regards to voting is to vote Democrat. However, I support the mobilization of movements to agitate voting bases and convince congresspeople to shift/elect new congresspeople. I support more education on how our political system could be improved. It's more likely to work from elections at local levels and then to the national levels. But with 2012 turnout as high as 2004 turnout, and the interest of many on the would-be voting left to have their ideas be made reality (and personally, not for the sake of ego but for those that will benefit), the rise of the Green party would not be bad. The right times, to be sure.

As for your last sentence, you don't know if I'm gay, uninsured, against my own interests or otherwise disinterested/insensitive to the plight of those addressed.


Obamacare "compromise"? It already is a compromise. Screw Rand Paul.
 

Tamanon

Banned
I was blessed I guess. My dad was a pretty socially liberal guy. Grew up in a farm town in North Carolina but was a big believer in social justice, the role of government and the protection of the weakest among us. Fiscally pretty conservative, but that just made him more annoyed at Reagan and Bush41.
 

ivysaur12

Banned
Sounds like PoliGAF has DADDY ISSUES

9PIGPvN.png
 

B-Dubs

No Scrubs
Don't worry, I have daddy issues too. My parents are getting divorced and my dad's being a huge dick to my mom and sister. Last week he cut off the utilities at the house where they live, and when my mom texted him asking if he paid the utility bill, he responded, "Sell the house, asshole."

And that's only the most recent thing he's done.

Wow...sorry for the joke. :(
 
this is always what comes to mind when I hear things like "Hillary would have never compromised" or "Hillary would have thought of a way to make that work".

Hillary got owned to an embarrassing degree by Obama's team in 08. Outflanked, Blindsided, you name it, it happened. She may have her strong points, but "master political strategist" really isn't it.
Yeah seriously. Ultimately if she was a better politician than Obama she wouldn't have lost to Obama. In fact I see no reason to believe that Clinton 08 would have been much different than Clinton 92, who had similar majorities as Obama in his first two years and had little to show for it. Clinton's big first-term initiative, healthcare reform, was very publicly defeated and after the Democrats lost Congress, all major legislation focused on right-wing pet issues while being softened enough to be acceptable for Democrats. While Obama did lose the House, he DID get healthcare reform, a big stimulus package, and worked to undo some of the problems Clinton caused (DADT repeal, toughening financial regulations), while dealing with monstrous deficits, a severe recession, and two wars left behind by his predecessor.

Would Hillary have taken it in stride the way Obama has? Probably not.
 

Particle Physicist

between a quark and a baryon
Can everybody who believes Hillary would have a better first term than Obama please explain to me how Ben Nelson would behave differently, Ted Kennedy would'lve lived longer, Al Franken would've been confirmed as the winner of his election, and Max Baucus not decide to waste months in a Gang of 6 with Chuck Grassley and Friends?

People have seriously forgotten what happened during Obama's first term. He never had a super majority. Ever.
 

pigeon

Banned
This is late, but in all likelihood you and Bo have similar policy ideas i.e. stances on health care. The point of my skepticism with the claim of privilege is that I would think it strange to call her that when you might advocate for more or less the same set of ideas.

Why? It's not a swear word! Lots of privileged people would prefer liberal causes and policies. Generally, what characterizes them as privileged is that they think other topics are at least or more important because those topics affect them personally, even if they're significantly less meaningful in practice.

I think it's clear that everyone acknowledges it's good we move forward with Obamacare and more equal treatment of gay people.

Sure, but that's not the question. The topic under discussion was whether we would've been better off forgoing those benefits in order to potentially win gains on civil liberties after a hypothetical liberal backlash, or whether those benefits are relatively meaningless (which is the immediate implication of any suggestion that Democrats and Republicans are the same, because we wouldn't have gotten them if the Republicans had won). On those topics I definitely have concerns that not everybody on my side of the fence agrees with me!

However, I support the mobilization of movements to agitate voting bases and convince congresspeople to shift/elect new congresspeople. I support more education on how our political system could be improved. It's more likely to work from elections at local levels and then to the national levels. But with 2012 turnout as high as 2004 turnout, and the interest of many on the would-be voting left to have their ideas be made reality (and personally, not for the sake of ego but for those that will benefit), the rise of the Green party would not be bad. The right times, to be sure.

I agree with much of this, but fundamentally, I think we're much more likely to see a leftward shift within the Democratic Party than a meaningful rise of the Greens, for the same reasons as before. (Although empty vessel's point about the movement nature of politics is well taken.) And note that I've voted for Greens multiple times -- for state positions in California. I just think that none of them have built the resume and record necessary for national office, even leaving aside the party backing.

As for your last sentence, you don't know if I'm gay, uninsured, against my own interests or otherwise disinterested/insensitive to the plight of those addressed.

Right, that's why I said it was the CHARITABLE assumption. Obviously I could also assume you were dumb, self-hating or just don't give a shit about people, but those would all be pretty shitty assumptions. I prefer the assumption that people who act like Obamacare isn't important just aren't in a position to see how important it is.
 
examples, please.

Far as I can tell, she hasn't done anything notable in her time as senator.

Not talking about her senate career (that was marred by Iraq), I'm saying that when the campaign begins we'll see the same partisan effective debater/campaigner we saw in 2008, and it'll turn some people off as it did then. Right now she's "above the fray" to a point where I don't really think she's worth discussing. Safe positions, nudging/winking about the various groups of the party (black people, gay people, etc). And I'd assume her book will feature a lot of "Barack and I agree..." type language.

Basically I'm not paying attention to her until 2015
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom