• Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.

PoliGAF 2013 |OT3| 1,000 Years of Darkness and Nuclear Fallout

Status
Not open for further replies.
Uh, because it can't be? Software engineers aren't cheap, and unless you outsource all your shit to China or the 3rd world, you have to compete with the MS's and Google's of the world when recruiting talent. This is a problem that can only be solved with money, and the GOP has made it impossible to pass a budget that increases funding for those things during the past 5 years.

Is your solution to everything just "throw money at it until it works?" How much should the ACA website have cost?

It has nothing to do with the GOP not passing a budget and not having enough money for the website and everything to do with the fact that the companies that get government contracts are good at getting contracts and not actually doing their job.
 
It has nothing to do with the GOP not passing a budget and not having enough money for the website and everything to do with the fact that the companies that get government contracts are good at getting contracts and not actually doing their job.

You'd think we would've learned this at some point from the defense sector.
 

bonercop

Member
Is your solution to everything just "throw money at it until it works?" How much should the ACA website have cost?

It has nothing to do with the GOP not passing a budget and not having enough money for the website and everything to do with the fact that the companies that get government contracts are good at getting contracts and not actually doing their job.

the website even ended costing something like several hundred million dollars didn't it?

that's an utterly absurd price-tag for what the website is... it really, really isn't some incredible engineering feet that required the best and brightest, lol.

the website's troubles is probably the result of sheer incompetence from pretty much every party involved.
 
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/20-house-republicans-seek-to-impeach-eric-holder

As part of an effort led by Rep. Pete Olson (R-TX), twenty Republican congressmen on Thursday signed onto articles of impeachment against Attorney General Eric Holder.

The other 19 co-sponsors include Reps. Larry Buschon (R-IN), Blake Farenthold (R-TX), David Roe (R-TN), Randy Weber (R-TX), Lynn Westmoreland (R-GA), Roger Williams (R-TX), Ted Yoho (R-FL), Louie Gohmert (R-TX), Michele Bachmann (R-MN), Bill Flores (R-TX), Mark Amodei (R-NV), Jim Bridenstine (R-OK), Scott DesJarlais (R-TN), Jeff Duncan (R-SC), Duncan Hunter (R-CA), Sam Johnson (R-TX), Steve Stockman (R-TX), Mike Conaway (R-TX) and Thomas Massie (R-KY).
 
In comparison to a country where the population is 300 million+?

lol, no.

The individual market isn't 300 million people. not even close.

I don't think people realize how small the individual insurance market is right and still will be under Obamacare.

85% of the current market is employer based. Once you remove employer based insurance, medicare, and medicaid from the 310 million people, you don't have a large number. 5 million is a HUGE number for the individual market.

Only 6% of people are in the individual market right now.

There are 267 million non-elderly (78 million children, btw). That means roughly 16 million have private insurance. Everyone else gets it another way or is uninsured.

Now, among the 50 million people uninsured, a large chunk are illegals and another chunk are people who will be added to medicaid. So we're looking at 16 million insured + 25-40 million people eligible for private insurance but not medicaid.

So yeah, 5 million out of a range of 40-55 million people is a huge fucking deal. Remember, a lot of those people won't get insurance. So now we're talking about 16 million currently with insurance + roughly another 7 million this year. 5 million out of 22-25 million people is a BIG FUCKING DEAL when it comes to premiums.

Can't look at our total population. You have to look at the projected size of the individual insurance market alone and 5-10 million people is such a huge portion of that group it would be devastating to the market.
 

Jooney

Member
the website even ended costing something like several hundred million dollars didn't it?

that's an utterly absurd price-tag for what the website is... it really, really isn't some incredible engineering feet that required the best and brightest, lol.

the website's troubles is probably the result of sheer incompetence from pretty much every party involved.

The website cost was around ~$90m. The $600+m figure that was thrown about was the total cost of contracts that CGI had won from HHS over time.

I'm going to presume the largest driver of the cost was not building the website front-end, but with aggregating the data and integrating the back-end systems from insurance companies and other existing systems, and for building the infrastructure to handle the scale and capacity of 000's of transactions per minute. Building that capability is not cheap, and is a frequent failure point for most IT implementations. I work in management consulting so I have seen my fair share of IT system development failures. This is not a private vs. public sector competency issue.
 

remist

Member

I'm not a fan of Holder, but do they really think that being "uncooperative and deceptive" is going to pass as a high crime or misdemeanor? I don't see the optics looking good for them on this. It makes them look less than serious. If they were really smart they would just keep pounding on the ACA problems. I guess these guys are true believers?

I doubt this moves on to the senate.
 
Really? What did he do this time? Is this still Bullshitgazi?

Olson's articles claim that Holder did not cooperate with the Fast and Furious congressional investigation and lied about the investigation of James Rosen, a Fox News journalist who reported information from leaked documents about North Korea's nuclear program.

Olson also said that Holder did not enforce certain laws like the Defense of Marriage Act, and that the attorney general didn't prosecute Internal Revenue Service officials who targeted political donors during the 2012 election.

So four different things? Sounds like they are just throwing spaghetti against the wall to see if any of them stick.
 

Wilsongt

Member
So four different things? Sounds like they are just throwing spaghetti against the wall to see if any of them stick.

So the first one... Eh. The second one, what? The third one... LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL and the last one... Yeah. Faux Scandal.

Republicans are such bozos.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
So Obama's proposal doesn't require congress? Most of the liberal blogs seem okay with it, so good news?
 
Does anybody have any information on homicide rates pre-20th century?

http://articles.washingtonpost.com/...227_1_homicide-rate-randolph-roth-gun-control

The national rate of homicides has greatly decreased over the past 150 years or so, historians say. This bears some hedging, because there were no nationally compiled data in the 19th century, but the case studies are frightening.

“The highest murder rate in national history was between 1846 and 1887,” not including Civil War deaths, Roth says. “During Reconstruction, there were counties in Louisiana where you had 200 people per 100,000 residents killed. You’d have counties in Texas with 10,000 people and 500 people killed. In Los Angeles in the 1840s, one in every 46 people were murdered. It’s amazing how many people got killed.”
 

GhaleonEB

Member
I was listening to a local NPR show on the way into work today. The federal exchange site has been a disaster, but here in Oregon we managed to top that with a site that can't process applications at all yet; it's the most broken in the nation. You can look at coverage options, and get a high-level estimate of subsidies. But to enroll, they are shifting people to paper applications. The application that includes income verification for subsidy eligibility is 19 pages long.

The administration is staffing up with people to process paper applications (sent over mail, fax or via a PDF) to process things manually. They have 200+ hired and will hire up to 400 to get things through. So far they've gotten applications for ~35,000 people.

People need to send in the application, the application needs to be processed, and then confirmation of eligibility sent back (by mail). People then need to mail their enrollment form back, and that needs to be processed by December 15th (not mailed). Pretty FUBAR. And that was before the kicker.

The site they built is only compatible with Internet Explorer.
 
Yeah crime rates have dropped but they still haven't dropped to below pre-1968 levels.

Though it's kinda amazing how it hasn't increased dramatically with the onset of the depression. It's actually lower now than it was in 1996.
 

Chichikov

Member
The Seattle PI calls the race for Sawant.
Begrudgingly doesn't being to cover it, look at all dem scare quotes (and a bonus Mao reference!) -

Seattle City Council candidate Kshama Sawant, a “Socialist Alternative” insurgent, has unseated four-term incumbent Richard Conlin, with the latest batch of mail-in ballots nearly tripling Sawant’s lead to 1,148 votes.

A year ago, Sawant was running against the Legislature’s most powerful Democrat, House Speaker Frank Chopp, charging that the “Democratic Party-majority government” had slashed billions from education programs while bestowing tax exemptions on “rich corporations.”

On Thursday evening, however, the victorious “working class activist” Sawant was headed for a 36th District Democratic fundraiser sponsored by State Sen. Jeanne Kohn-Welles. Sawant’s tireless journalist booster, Stranger news editor Dominic Holden, is appearing on a post-election panel at the event.

The Sawant victory comes exactly 97 years after Seattle voters put their first outspoken radical into office, Seattle School Board member Anna Louise Strong. Strong would write about the Wobblies, oppose U.S. entry into World War I and eventually end her days in China, where she was on friendly terms with Mao Zedong.

While the Occupy Seattle organizer is about to occupy an office in the council chambers, ballots are still being counted in several close races. One big ballot measure is still hanging, while other contests appear narrowly decided.

They be scared, but it is... wait for it...
EGFrKrE.gif
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
I was listening to a local NPR show on the way into work today. The federal exchange site has been a disaster, but here in Oregon we managed to top that with a site that can't process applications at all yet; it's the most broken in the nation. You can look at coverage options, and get a high-level estimate of subsidies. But to enroll, they are shifting people to paper applications. The application that includes income verification for subsidy eligibility is 19 pages long.

The administration is staffing up with people to process paper applications (sent over mail, fax or via a PDF) to process things manually. They have 200+ hired and will hire up to 400 to get things through. So far they've gotten applications for ~35,000 people.

People need to send in the application, the application needs to be processed, and then confirmation of eligibility sent back (by mail). People then need to mail their enrollment form back, and that needs to be processed by December 15th (not mailed). Pretty FUBAR. And that was before the kicker.

The site they built it only compatible with Internet Explorer.

Good god, man. What is wrong with you Oregonians? Even Kentucky(!!!) has a better functioning site.


To shift gears real quickly, I was reading this article by some economist named John Cochrane, where he says that academia views Keynesian economics the way climatologists view global warming deniers:


How many Nobel prizes have they given for demolishing the old-Keynesian model? At least Friedman, Lucas, Prescott, Kydland, Sargent and Sims. Since about 1980, if you send a paper with this model to any half respectable journal, they will reject it instantly.

But people love the story. Policy makers love the story. Most of Washington loves the story. Most of Washington policy analysis uses Keynesian models or Keynesian thinking. This is really curious. Our whole policy establishment uses a model that cannot be published in a peer-reviewed journal. Imagine if the climate scientists were telling us to spend a trillion dollars on carbon dioxide mitigation–but they had not been able to publish any of their models in peer-reviewed journals for 35 years.

http://equitablegrowth.org/2013/11/...ies-on-john-cochrane-and-so-goes-badly-astray

Are there any studies that back up this claim? I thought that most economists agreed with keynesianism even if it might not be to the same degree as climatologists do when it comes to AGW.
 
Check out this visual representation of the Senate literally pulling apart over the past couple decades.
A line connecting two senators means that they have voted the same way on at least 100 instances. Republicans are highly connected to one another, and the same is true for Democrats. But as time progresses, it becomes increasingly rare that senators from different parties are voting together. Look how densely connected the Senate was in 1989 and 1990.
Make sure to stop before you get to the comments.
 
http://equitablegrowth.org/2013/11/...ies-on-john-cochrane-and-so-goes-badly-astray

Are there any studies that back up this claim? I thought that most economists agreed with keynesianism even if it might not be to the same degree as climatologists do when it comes to AGW.

That is hogwash. Economics is the 'dismal science'. They don't know shit. They can't agree upon shit. Sure . . . a lot of people that disagree with Keynesian economics have won Nobel prizes . . . but a lot of Keynesians have ALSO won.

So . . . no, they have NOT debunked Keynesian economics. People with ideas that conflict with other Nobel prize winning ideas win all the time.

Case in point . . . this year. They gave the prize to two guys who completely disagree with each other!

Eugene Fama revolutionized economics by proving that markets are efficient. Robert Shiller revolutionized economics by proving the markets are inefficient. Today, both share the Nobel Award for economics with Lars Peter Hansen for their contribution to the predictability (or, more often, unpredictability) of stock prices.

http://www.theatlantic.com/business...a-big-fat-critique-of-financial-media/280548/
 

GhaleonEB

Member
Well, if it creates jobs... :p

Also, buried in my post is the fact that they've already gotten applications for 35,000 people, despite only triggering their fallback plan to go to paper applications two weeks ago. There's a lot of demand; I suspect the numbers by end of March will be sizable.
 

Chichikov

Member
http://equitablegrowth.org/2013/11/...ies-on-john-cochrane-and-so-goes-badly-astray

Are there any studies that back up this claim? I thought that most economists agreed with keynesianism even if it might not be to the same degree as climatologists do when it comes to AGW.
K-thug had a pretty nice rebuttal to that bullshit.


That is hogwash. Economics is the 'dismal science'. They don't know shit. They can't agree upon shit. Sure . . . a lot of people that disagree with Keynesian economics have won Nobel prizes . . . but a lot of Keynesians have ALSO won.

So . . . no, they have NOT debunked Keynesian economics. People with ideas that conflict with other Nobel prize winning ideas win all the time.

Case in point . . . this year. They gave the prize to two guys who completely disagree with each other!
The Noble Prize for economics is a joke, and it's not even a real Nobel prize, it's just some bullshit the central bank of Sweden started giving up in the 60s to make economics looks like a real science.
I really hope this is the start of something. Between this, Warren, and De Blasio, am I being a bit too optimistic in assuming that this is the beginning of the rise of the new left in America.
Note that all of those people have occupy connections. You can't always foresee how popular movement influence politics, but if they're big and strong enough, they tend to be impactful.
I hope we see a similar push in the near future, work ain't done.
 
Note that all of those people have occupy connections. You can't always foresee how popular movement influence politics, but if they're big and strong enough, they tend to be impactful.
I hope we see a similar push in the near future, work ain't done.

I really hope the left in America gets more red than green. I enjoy green politics and all but at the end of the day you have to change functions of the system.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
LOL.

Bachshit said she lost her health insurance cause of Obamacare (how the hell does that work?) and that she'll grudgingly sign up on the exchanges, but will intentionally wait until the last minute.
 

Chichikov

Member
I really hope the left in America gets more red than green. I enjoy green politics and all but at the end of the day you have to change functions of the system.
I don't think occupy was a green movement, but then again, I don't really think green politics is a thing.
 
I don't think occupy was a green movement, but then again, I don't really think green politics is a thing.

I always view green as more as modern liberalism. In which while there is a focus on government it is mostly on offering welfare programs and reducing inequality. Red is more so changing the workplace and ownership.

Green leftism would focus on expanding welfare programs as a priority.
Red would focus on strengthening unions and having more cooperatives as well as nationalizing industries.

In other words: Switzerland is green. Venezuela is red.

Messy comparison but that's how I see it. I hope it makes sense. I will agree that the Occupy movement, especially its roots weren't very green.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
That is hogwash. Economics is the 'dismal science'. They don't know shit. They can't agree upon shit. Sure . . . a lot of people that disagree with Keynesian economics have won Nobel prizes . . . but a lot of Keynesians have ALSO won.

So . . . no, they have NOT debunked Keynesian economics. People with ideas that conflict with other Nobel prize winning ideas win all the time.

Case in point . . . this year. They gave the prize to two guys who completely disagree with each other!



http://www.theatlantic.com/business...a-big-fat-critique-of-financial-media/280548/

K-thug had a pretty nice rebuttal to that bullshit.


The Noble Prize for economics is a joke, and it's not even a real Nobel prize, it's just some bullshit the central bank of Sweden started giving up in the 60s to make economics looks like a real science.
Note that all of those people have occupy connections. You can't always foresee how popular movement influence politics, but if they're big and strong enough, they tend to be impactful.
I hope we see a similar push in the near future, work ain't done.

Yeah, don't give a shit about the Nobel Prize thing. I'm more interested to see how much of academia truly believes what Cochrane is saying.
 

Chichikov

Member
I always view green as more as modern liberalism. In which while there is a focus on government it is mostly on offering welfare programs and reducing inequality. Red is more so changing the workplace and ownership.

In other words: Switzerland is green. Venezuela is red.
Gotcha, and going by that definition I'll also take red over green, I think by and large welfare is a bandage, a pretty awesome one, but it's not addressing the underlining issues, in a way, it enables them (which is I think the ultra-rich are extremely short sighted if they support dismantling it).
But I think people like Sawant shows the occupy can definitely push straight up red-shift in US politics, but we'll see to what extent.
Yeah, don't give a shit about the Nobel Prize thing. I'm more interested to see how much of academia truly believes what Cochrane is saying.
Economics is a fucking humanity, it's like asking how much academia believes in literary deconstruction (slight hyperbole).
 
Gotcha, and going by that definition I'll also take red over green, I think by and large welfare is a bandage, a pretty awesome one, but it's not addressing the underlining issues, in a way, it enables them (which is I think the ultra-rich are extremely short sighted if they support dismantling it).
But I think people like Sawant shows the occupy can definitely push straight up red-shift in US politics, but we'll see to what extent.

I thought someone described Sawant as a typical green party liberal politician.
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
Economics is a fucking humanity, it's like asking how much academia believes in literary deconstruction (slight hyperbole).

Eh, I don't think that's too fair. Sure, economics isn't a hard science, but there's still many things in it that you can measure empirically that can apply to the real world.
 

Chichikov

Member
I thought someone described Sawant as a typical green party liberal politician.
She is a socialist, I mean she support collectives, that's textbook socialism. Now it's true, her immediate goals are pretty much liberal/progressive, but I think it's more to do with having an understanding on what you can achieve as a single city council member.
Eh, I don't think that's too fair. Sure, economics isn't a hard science, but there's still many things in it that you can measure empirically that can apply to the real world.
You can, the point that in economics you don't.
Or more accurately (and less diskishly), you don't have to. Not only can you maintain a theory in academia in the face of hard contradicting evidence, you can even be a successful economist while completely rejecting empiricism (aka the Austrian school). You can't do that shit in science.
 
That is hogwash. Economics is the 'dismal science'. They don't know shit. They can't agree upon shit. Sure . . . a lot of people that disagree with Keynesian economics have won Nobel prizes . . . but a lot of Keynesians have ALSO won.

So . . . no, they have NOT debunked Keynesian economics. People with ideas that conflict with other Nobel prize winning ideas win all the time.

Case in point . . . this year. They gave the prize to two guys who completely disagree with each other!



http://www.theatlantic.com/business...a-big-fat-critique-of-financial-media/280548/

First of all there is great consensus in microeconomics, you are talking about macroeconomics which is a much more interprative field. There is a lot of agreement within economics about what to do in a crisis, with monetary and fiscal expansion.
 
You can, the point that in economics you don't.
Or more accurately (and less diskishly), you don't have to. Not only can you maintain a theory in academia in the face of hard contradicting evidence, you can even be a successful economist while completely rejecting empiricism (aka the Austrian school). You can't do that shit in science.

The Austrian school wasn't even taken seriously when it was invented in the 19th century because of its ideas about inflation and the business cycle. The consensus has moved from classical, Keynesian, neoclassical and now to the neoclassical synthesis in that order. The next evolution in economics will almost certainly come from behavioural economics.

If you think the absence of empirical evidence is a problem then take a look at the string theorists that have flooded physics in the last decade.
 

Videoneon

Member
I always view green as more as modern liberalism. In which while there is a focus on government it is mostly on offering welfare programs and reducing inequality. Red is more so changing the workplace and ownership.

Green leftism would focus on expanding welfare programs as a priority.
Red would focus on strengthening unions and having more cooperatives as well as nationalizing industries.

In other words: Switzerland is green. Venezuela is red.

Messy comparison but that's how I see it. I hope it makes sense. I will agree that the Occupy movement, especially its roots weren't very green.

First, I don't identify as green, but I find your discussion interesting. I agree that currently the left in America consists of socialist messages, green messages, and liberal messages. and I agree with the idea that occupy was not Green.

With regards to green...I suppose. I think that there's a not insignificant amount of liberals who don't give a shit about issues associated with greens, but I can basically agree with what you're saying. With exception to that mayor I mentioned from a long time ago, I don't see much radicalism from green politics. Besides the Voluntary Human Extinction Movement.

I see the primary face of the green as what you're saying - modern liberalism, and someone like Al Gore, who places most of his faith in "market" solutions for environmental problems. I think there's an assumption with some liberals and greens that capitalism and liberal democracy will suffice to address future environmental issues, though I think this often manifests through "greenwashing." It kills me to not remember the name, but there's this rating agency that evaluates a business's compliance with fossil fuel consumption standards or something, and I remember thinking it was bogus.

At the level of the establishment it's just often the case that the message gets diluted, so on some level the green and red do have some things in common (watering down solutions for problems either side presents.) At least with the Green Party in the US, they are harsh with corporate influence over government, and have very negative opinions of big banks. But yes, greens are linked to peace movements, most of them struggle to reject gun control, are socially progressive. I don't know if they've put forth solutions for problems regarding labor, I'm not sure if green movements are interested in changes in the political (American liberal democracy, neocolonialism) or economic (somewhat mixed yet still unregulated capitalism, corporate welfare) fundamentals of society.

Red I'm a lot less familiar with.

There's also the abandoned stepchid, Black. But who knows what the hell Black is up to. They're fundamentally radical, and I suppose they throw a good party.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top Bottom