Until he gets a ground game going, he may as well be.
7News/UMass Lowell New Hampshire tracking poll day 4
Dem
- Sanders 58%
- Clinton 36% (3+)
Gop
http://www.whdh.com/story/31137507/...hire-tracking-poll-day-4#.VrNRyaSfiDY.twitter
- Trump 36%
- Rubio 15% (+3)
- Cruz 14%.
- Bush, 8%
- Kasich 7%
- Christie 5 %
- Carson, 4%;
- Fiorina 3%
undecided 8%.
He got 2nd in one of his worst states (ie one where the GOP primary could double for religious nutjob of the year) beating Rubio (who everyone here seems to be terrified of) without any ground game. So this viewpoint seems a little whack.
He got 2nd in one of his worst states (ie one where the GOP primary could double for religious nutjob of the year) beating Rubio (who everyone here seems to be terrified of) without any ground game. So this viewpoint seems a little whack.
Iowa was one of his worst states. He'll look good again after winning New Hampshire and South Carolina.After Iowa his chances of being the nominee are over.
Iowa was one of his worst states. He'll look good again after winning New Hampshire and South Carolina.
That's an O'Malley silhouette. Cold.
Yep. It's bizarre seeing how many people here are still in denial. The Republican primary is OVER. The writing is on the wall. It's Rubio.Of course if Tubio beats Cruz for 2nd that's probably all the news will want to talk about.
Trump will be clogging the airwaves with stuff like this:Except for the fact the entire media narrative will be about Rubio on the rise with all the momentum if he gets second to Trump. We all know that will be the case if it ends up Trump then Rubio then Cruz as the top 3.
Except the media isn't covering that stuff anymore. All you see now is glowing coverage of Rubio. Rubio is getting far more attention now than Trump. Trump seems to already be treated as an after thought.Trump will be clogging the airwaves with stuff like this:
I'm on the Fox News politics pages and it's mostly Trump articles (scroll down).Except the media isn't covering that stuff anymore. All you see now is glowing coverage of Rubio. Rubio is getting far more attention now than Trump. Trump seems to already be treated as an after thought.
Trump will win NH handily. He's looking ahead to South Carolina.Not to mention Trump going at Cruz and not Rubio just helps Rubios continued rise. Rubio is the main threat for second to Trump in NH, not Cruz.
I am willing to avatar bet Rubio will finish second and within single digits of Trump. And that the media narrative will be Rubio the big winner just like Iowa. Rubio is going to continue to rise every day through Tuesday.Trump will win NH handily. He's looking ahead to South Carolina.
I cannot understand how anyone can waste their time getting worked up about the Dem primary and being mad about Hillary anymore. We are likely going against Rubio. The idea of sending Sanders against Rubio is political suicide.
How in the world would a moderate centrist find Sanders more appealing than an actual moderate Democrat?You sound very distressed, Rubio has a better chance against Hillary since moderate centrists will have a difficult time picking between the two.
There's no way to clearly measure media narrative. Sounds like you're saying he will win South Carolina, which is better.I am willing to avatar bet Rubio will finish second and within single digits of Trump. And that the media narrative will be Rubio the big winner just like Iowa. Rubio is going to continue to rise every day through Tuesday.
This is freaking out. 9% is single digits and would be a very decisive win.I am willing to avatar bet Rubio will finish second and within single digits of Trump. And that the media narrative will be Rubio the big winner just like Iowa. Rubio is going to continue to rise every day through Tuesday.
How in the world would a moderate centrist find Sanders more appealing than an actual moderate Democrat?
Sanders would have that exact same problem. You can't win elections without moderate support. Only a small minority of the country considers themselves liberal, you need centrists to win general elections. In places like Ohio and Virginia. How would Sanders appeal to moderate centrists over Rubio by your estimation?If you are counting on the moderate centrist vote - you gonna have a bad time against Rubio.
There's no way to clearly measure media narrative. Sounds like you're saying he will win South Carolina, which is better.
Now that you've buttered me up lets see what the dispute isI like you Retro, but... [periods added for emphasis - Ed]
Only because Rand Paul will not be the nominee. The man cares so deeply about this that he spoke for 12 hours straight against it, or however many hours it was. Dont try to tell me that if he was the nominee he wouldn't have introduced legislation.but you know damn well that curbing the NSA is not an issue that's going to be on this election's ballot.
Rubio's stated strategy is pinning his hopes to a first place finish in South Carolina. You don't think it matters if he gets third place?SC and Nevada are same day, yes? I am willing to bet Rubio wins at least 1 of the 2.
He isn't finishing third anywhere any time soon.Rubio's stated strategy is pinning his hopes to a first place finish in South Carolina. You don't think it matters if he gets third place?
There's almost no polling in Nevada. I will bet against Rubio getting first in either NH or SC. Keeping my avatar, but will donate $50 to a Republican presidential campaign of your choosing if I lose.He isn't finishing third anywhere any time soon.
I'm willing to bet this: Rubio will finish in second in NH, within single digits. And on the Nevada/SC primary day he will finish at least 1st in one of the states and second within single digits in the other.
Sanders would have that exact same problem. You can't win elections without moderate support.
CONCORD, N.H. — Ben Carson, the famed neurosurgeon whose bid for the Republican presidential nomination has struggled to keep pace with rivals, will cut more than 50 staff positions on Thursday as part of an overhaul and downsizing of his entire campaign.
Salaries are being significantly reduced. Carson’s traveling entourage will shrink to only a handful of advisers. And instead of flying on private jets, Carson may soon return to flying on commercial flights.
The employees being released – about half of Carson’s campaign — mostly work in field operations and at his headquarters in Northern Virginia.
Campaign officials, who confirmed the moves after The Washington Post obtained an internal memo about the layoffs, stressed that key aides in upcoming GOP primary contests will remain in place and that Carson is determined to stay in the 2016 race.
Longtime Carson confidant Armstrong Williams said the drastic shake-up has been under consideration for weeks but was postponed until after Monday’s Iowa caucuses, where Carson finished in fourth place with 9.3 percent of the vote.
“Dr. Carson is going to get his campaign lean – really lean,” Williams said in an interview. “One issue for a while has been too much infrastructure and he has decided to fully address it so that he can sustain his campaign until the convention.”
Yep. It's bizarre seeing how many people here are still in denial. The Republican primary is OVER. The writing is on the wall. It's Rubio.
If Rubio is the nominee against Sanders, there is a certain demographic in the Republican field who'd vote for a socialist ahead of establishment or simply choose to stay at home. You fail to see that there is a deep hatred in the base for Mitt Romneys and their ilk.
I'm not afraid of a Rubio nomination in fact I welcome it, I find the whole notion that he is more dangerous than Trump absolutely hilarious. Hillary needs to hope Rubio is the nominee as well, he'd be easier to beat than Trump.
I do not think he will win NH so I will take the SC bet. Even though I think it's more likely he will win Nevada of the two I am willing to take the bet. If you win I would be willing to make the same donation, of your choosing.There's almost no polling in Nevada. I will bet against Rubio getting first in either NH or SC. Keeping my avatar, but will donate $50 to a Republican presidential campaign of your choosing if I lose.
I just want your avatar for a monthI do not think he will win NH so I will take the SC bet. Even though I think it's more likely he will win Nevada of the two I am willing to take the bet. If you win I would be willing to make the same donation, of your choosing.
The candidate I would choose if I win? Ben Carson!
Works for me!I just want your avatar for a month
Is Trump out of the race?
Karl Rove of all people is on Trump's side.Trump is finished. Yes primaries will work for him more than caucuses but he has been exposed. He's been sounding like a bitter loser for days.
Republicans will fall in line like they always do. The "deep hatred" for the establishment you see now is just the primary process. Come election time they'll plug their noses because any R is better than a D.
You sound very distressed, Rubio has a better chance against Hillary since moderate centrists will have a difficult time picking between the two.
If Rubio is the nominee against Sanders, there is a certain demographic in the Republican field who'd vote for a socialist ahead of establishment or simply choose to stay at home. You fail to see that there is a deep hatred in the base for Mitt Romneys and their ilk.
I'm not afraid of a Rubio nomination in fact I welcome it, I find the whole notion that he is more dangerous than Trump absolutely hilarious. Hillary needs to hope Rubio is the nominee as well, he'd be easier to beat than Trump.
Right Rubio will get all the Cruz/Trump/Carson crazies to vote for him in a GE. Especially if you consider the process of him getting the nomination and the type of contention between him and Trump/Cruz in such a situation. It be hilarious. Trump might even run Independent in such a situation.
All the big Democrat doners would sit out a Sanders Rubio election and save their money and wait for 2024. I would say a 5 to 1 spending ratio wouldn't be out of the question.Are you serious? There may be a few people like that (who is the GAF poster who went from Carson to Sanders?) but it's not a demographic. It's a handful of confused people. Sanders would lose to Rubio. Sanders would lose to just about any republican simply due to being outspent 3-1.
Team Cruz - $10M from 182,000 contributions averaging $55 has been raised since January 1 thru last night. $3M since 10 pm on February 1! Thank you!
Clinton is an actual moderate. Rubio meanwhile is racing in pace with Cruz as the most conservative nominee in the race and he does it with impunity because he's the media's darling and no one calls him out for his desire to start WW3, ban abortion in ALL cases(including to save a woman's life), and rescind gay marriages.
Now that you've buttered me up lets see what the dispute is
Only because Rand Paul will not be the nominee. The man cares so deeply about this that he spoke for 12 hours straight against it, or however many hours it was. Dont try to tell me that if he was the nominee he wouldn't have introduced legislation.
Hillary wants to preserve the status quo on an issue i feel is of grave import to us all and that's a damn bitter pill to swallow, despite all the good that may or may not come of it. Bernie is the final firewall.