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PoliGAF 2016 |OT| Ask us about our performance with Latinos in Nevada

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Makai

Member
9800775_G.jpg


That's an O'Malley silhouette. Cold.
 
Until he gets a ground game going, he may as well be.

He got 2nd in one of his worst states (ie one where the GOP primary could double for religious nutjob of the year) beating Rubio (who everyone here seems to be terrified of) without any ground game. So this viewpoint seems a little whack. If Trump hadn't run you'd see Cruz first and Rubio or Jeb second depending on just how badly Trump hurt Jebs standing by turning him into his whipping boy and people would be freaking out about that. There is no likely reality in which people in this thread wouldn't freak out about a possible Sanders candidacy.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
Bush is sinking lol.

Can't wait for Christie to drop out. Oh lawd I will make it my ringtone.
 

BSsBrolly

Banned
He got 2nd in one of his worst states (ie one where the GOP primary could double for religious nutjob of the year) beating Rubio (who everyone here seems to be terrified of) without any ground game. So this viewpoint seems a little whack.

He got trounced by Cruz and Rubio almost tied him. This, despite leading in the polls. In Rubios case, he was leading by twice as much prior to the actual results. Trump needs to get his shit together or it will be over.
 

Cheebo

Banned
He got 2nd in one of his worst states (ie one where the GOP primary could double for religious nutjob of the year) beating Rubio (who everyone here seems to be terrified of) without any ground game. So this viewpoint seems a little whack.

The media always narrative decides who actually won, that determines public perception. Media narrative is Rubio did fantastic and Trump failed. That's just how it is.
 

Cheebo

Banned
Iowa was one of his worst states. He'll look good again after winning New Hampshire and South Carolina.

Except for the fact the entire media narrative will be about Rubio on the rise with all the momentum if he gets second to Trump. We all know that will be the case if it ends up Trump then Rubio then Cruz as the top 3.
 
5 more days, if Christie dont make the top 5......yeah he's done. i dont think his cash on hand is much either.

Despite his attacks i dont think him and Bush can stop his movement.
 

Diablos

Member
Rubio is rising fast. If Trump really is that far ahead though I think he can still win.

Of course if Rubio beats Cruz for 2nd that's probably all the news will want to talk about.
 

Cheebo

Banned
Of course if Tubio beats Cruz for 2nd that's probably all the news will want to talk about.
Yep. It's bizarre seeing how many people here are still in denial. The Republican primary is OVER. The writing is on the wall. It's Rubio.
 

Makai

Member
Except for the fact the entire media narrative will be about Rubio on the rise with all the momentum if he gets second to Trump. We all know that will be the case if it ends up Trump then Rubio then Cruz as the top 3.
Trump will be clogging the airwaves with stuff like this:


Trump will say something dramatic about Rubio and the media will spend more time talking about that than Rubio's rise.
 

Cheebo

Banned
Trump will be clogging the airwaves with stuff like this:
Except the media isn't covering that stuff anymore. All you see now is glowing coverage of Rubio. Rubio is getting far more attention now than Trump. Trump seems to already be treated as an after thought.

Not to mention Trump going at Cruz and not Rubio just helps Rubios continued rise. Rubio is the main threat for second to Trump in NH, not Cruz.
 

Cheebo

Banned
Trump will win NH handily. He's looking ahead to South Carolina.
I am willing to avatar bet Rubio will finish second and within single digits of Trump. And that the media narrative will be Rubio the big winner just like Iowa. Rubio is going to continue to rise every day through Tuesday.
 

noshten

Member
I cannot understand how anyone can waste their time getting worked up about the Dem primary and being mad about Hillary anymore. We are likely going against Rubio. The idea of sending Sanders against Rubio is political suicide.

You sound very distressed, Rubio has a better chance against Hillary since moderate centrists will have a difficult time picking between the two.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
Trump is still getting a lot of attention. I think he will be okay if he finishes ahead. No one expects Cruz to do well in New Hampshire. Rubio beating him won't be meaningful. The important thing is how the other candidates do. Jeb needs to do really well.
 

Cheebo

Banned
You sound very distressed, Rubio has a better chance against Hillary since moderate centrists will have a difficult time picking between the two.
How in the world would a moderate centrist find Sanders more appealing than an actual moderate Democrat?
 

Makai

Member
I am willing to avatar bet Rubio will finish second and within single digits of Trump. And that the media narrative will be Rubio the big winner just like Iowa. Rubio is going to continue to rise every day through Tuesday.
There's no way to clearly measure media narrative. Sounds like you're saying he will win South Carolina, which is better.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
I am willing to avatar bet Rubio will finish second and within single digits of Trump. And that the media narrative will be Rubio the big winner just like Iowa. Rubio is going to continue to rise every day through Tuesday.
This is freaking out. 9% is single digits and would be a very decisive win.
 

Cheebo

Banned
If you are counting on the moderate centrist vote - you gonna have a bad time against Rubio.
Sanders would have that exact same problem. You can't win elections without moderate support. Only a small minority of the country considers themselves liberal, you need centrists to win general elections. In places like Ohio and Virginia. How would Sanders appeal to moderate centrists over Rubio by your estimation?

There's no way to clearly measure media narrative. Sounds like you're saying he will win South Carolina, which is better.

SC and Nevada are same day, yes? I am willing to bet Rubio wins at least 1 of the 2.
 
I like you Retro, but... [periods added for emphasis - Ed]
Now that you've buttered me up lets see what the dispute is
but you know damn well that curbing the NSA is not an issue that's going to be on this election's ballot.
Only because Rand Paul will not be the nominee. The man cares so deeply about this that he spoke for 12 hours straight against it, or however many hours it was. Dont try to tell me that if he was the nominee he wouldn't have introduced legislation.
Hillary wants to preserve the status quo on an issue i feel is of grave import to us all and that's a damn bitter pill to swallow, despite all the good that may or may not come of it. Bernie is the final firewall.
 

Makai

Member
SC and Nevada are same day, yes? I am willing to bet Rubio wins at least 1 of the 2.
Rubio's stated strategy is pinning his hopes to a first place finish in South Carolina. You don't think it matters if he gets third place?
 

Cheebo

Banned
Rubio's stated strategy is pinning his hopes to a first place finish in South Carolina. You don't think it matters if he gets third place?
He isn't finishing third anywhere any time soon.

I'm willing to bet this: Rubio will finish in second in NH, within single digits. And on the Nevada/SC primary day he will finish at least 1st in one of the states and second within single digits in the other.
 

Makai

Member
He isn't finishing third anywhere any time soon.

I'm willing to bet this: Rubio will finish in second in NH, within single digits. And on the Nevada/SC primary day he will finish at least 1st in one of the states and second within single digits in the other.
There's almost no polling in Nevada. I will bet against Rubio getting first in either NH or SC. Keeping my avatar, but will donate $50 to a Republican presidential campaign of your choosing if I lose.
 

noshten

Member
Sanders would have that exact same problem. You can't win elections without moderate support.

If Rubio is the nominee against Sanders, there is a certain demographic in the Republican field who'd vote for a socialist ahead of establishment or simply choose to stay at home. You fail to see that there is a deep hatred in the base for Mitt Romneys and their ilk.
I'm not afraid of a Rubio nomination in fact I welcome it, I find the whole notion that he is more dangerous than Trump absolutely hilarious. Hillary needs to hope Rubio is the nominee as well, he'd be easier to beat than Trump.
 
Ben Carson slashes staff as funds dry up


CONCORD, N.H. — Ben Carson, the famed neurosurgeon whose bid for the Republican presidential nomination has struggled to keep pace with rivals, will cut more than 50 staff positions on Thursday as part of an overhaul and downsizing of his entire campaign.

Salaries are being significantly reduced. Carson’s traveling entourage will shrink to only a handful of advisers. And instead of flying on private jets, Carson may soon return to flying on commercial flights.

The employees being released – about half of Carson’s campaign — mostly work in field operations and at his headquarters in Northern Virginia.

Campaign officials, who confirmed the moves after The Washington Post obtained an internal memo about the layoffs, stressed that key aides in upcoming GOP primary contests will remain in place and that Carson is determined to stay in the 2016 race.

Longtime Carson confidant Armstrong Williams said the drastic shake-up has been under consideration for weeks but was postponed until after Monday’s Iowa caucuses, where Carson finished in fourth place with 9.3 percent of the vote.

“Dr. Carson is going to get his campaign lean – really lean,” Williams said in an interview. “One issue for a while has been too much infrastructure and he has decided to fully address it so that he can sustain his campaign until the convention.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...-dry-up/?postshare=6301454594858753&tid=ss_tw


for the love of god....stop,just stop. You're finished.
 
If Rubio is the nominee against Sanders, there is a certain demographic in the Republican field who'd vote for a socialist ahead of establishment or simply choose to stay at home. You fail to see that there is a deep hatred in the base for Mitt Romneys and their ilk.
I'm not afraid of a Rubio nomination in fact I welcome it, I find the whole notion that he is more dangerous than Trump absolutely hilarious. Hillary needs to hope Rubio is the nominee as well, he'd be easier to beat than Trump.

Republicans will fall in line like they always do. The "deep hatred" for the establishment you see now is just the primary process. Come election time they'll plug their noses because any R is better than a D.
 

Cheebo

Banned
There's almost no polling in Nevada. I will bet against Rubio getting first in either NH or SC. Keeping my avatar, but will donate $50 to a Republican presidential campaign of your choosing if I lose.
I do not think he will win NH so I will take the SC bet. Even though I think it's more likely he will win Nevada of the two I am willing to take the bet. If you win I would be willing to make the same donation, of your choosing.

The candidate I would choose if I win? Ben Carson! No chance of winning and incredibly wasteful with campaign cash. Perfect fit
 

Makai

Member
I do not think he will win NH so I will take the SC bet. Even though I think it's more likely he will win Nevada of the two I am willing to take the bet. If you win I would be willing to make the same donation, of your choosing.

The candidate I would choose if I win? Ben Carson!
I just want your avatar for a month :)
 

Makai

Member
OK, boom. I think I'm on the right side of this bet, because Trump's main competition in SC is Cruz. If Trump implodes in NH, a lot of his former support might push Cruz over the top in SC.
 

noshten

Member
Republicans will fall in line like they always do. The "deep hatred" for the establishment you see now is just the primary process. Come election time they'll plug their noses because any R is better than a D.

Right Rubio will get all the Cruz/Trump/Carson crazies to vote for him in a GE. Especially if you consider the process of him getting the nomination and the type of contention between him and Trump/Cruz in such a situation. It be hilarious. Trump might even run Independent in such a situation.
 

HylianTom

Banned
Romney got a bounce in the upper single digits after winning New Hampshire (I want to say 7 or 8%); if Trump wins with coming Rubio in second, I think it becomes a two-man race.

At that point, Trump begins to unload on Rubio. And I'm not sure how that will or will not work.
 
You sound very distressed, Rubio has a better chance against Hillary since moderate centrists will have a difficult time picking between the two.

Clinton is an actual moderate. Rubio meanwhile is racing in pace with Cruz as the most conservative nominee in the race and he does it with impunity because he's the media's darling and no one calls him out for his desire to start WW3, ban abortion in ALL cases(including to save a woman's life), and rescind gay marriages.
 
If Rubio is the nominee against Sanders, there is a certain demographic in the Republican field who'd vote for a socialist ahead of establishment or simply choose to stay at home. You fail to see that there is a deep hatred in the base for Mitt Romneys and their ilk.
I'm not afraid of a Rubio nomination in fact I welcome it, I find the whole notion that he is more dangerous than Trump absolutely hilarious. Hillary needs to hope Rubio is the nominee as well, he'd be easier to beat than Trump.

Are you serious? There may be a few people like that (who is the GAF poster who went from Carson to Sanders?) but it's not a demographic. It's a handful of confused people. Sanders would lose to Rubio. Sanders would lose to just about any republican simply due to being outspent 3-1.
 
Right Rubio will get all the Cruz/Trump/Carson crazies to vote for him in a GE. Especially if you consider the process of him getting the nomination and the type of contention between him and Trump/Cruz in such a situation. It be hilarious. Trump might even run Independent in such a situation.

Yes? Why would they vote for some third party loser over a candidate with a chance to win it? Any conservative is better than Hillary Clinton or, god forbid, a real life communist. When presented with those options the choice is easy for the anti-establishment types.
 

Cheebo

Banned
Are you serious? There may be a few people like that (who is the GAF poster who went from Carson to Sanders?) but it's not a demographic. It's a handful of confused people. Sanders would lose to Rubio. Sanders would lose to just about any republican simply due to being outspent 3-1.
All the big Democrat doners would sit out a Sanders Rubio election and save their money and wait for 2024. I would say a 5 to 1 spending ratio wouldn't be out of the question.
 
Team Cruz - $10M from 182,000 contributions averaging $55 has been raised since January 1 thru last night. $3M since 10 pm on February 1! Thank you!

yeah no matter what happens this month, Cruz aint going anywhere for a while


Clinton is an actual moderate. Rubio meanwhile is racing in pace with Cruz as the most conservative nominee in the race and he does it with impunity because he's the media's darling and no one calls him out for his desire to start WW3, ban abortion in ALL cases(including to save a woman's life), and rescind gay marriages.

Christie just started calling him out on this, i think this could work on women moderates
 

User 406

Banned
Now that you've buttered me up lets see what the dispute is

Only because Rand Paul will not be the nominee. The man cares so deeply about this that he spoke for 12 hours straight against it, or however many hours it was. Dont try to tell me that if he was the nominee he wouldn't have introduced legislation.
Hillary wants to preserve the status quo on an issue i feel is of grave import to us all and that's a damn bitter pill to swallow, despite all the good that may or may not come of it. Bernie is the final firewall.

Right. The primaries, the marching, all that is where we try to get the issues we want on the ballot. But at the end of the process, what's left is a single simple choice. One of two platforms will be enacted. And if your issue isn't on either, then it's not part of the choice, and you're walking away from the choices that are actually there for nothing.
 
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