CoffeeJanitor
Member
multiply state win probabilities by electoral votes of states and sum to get the expected vote totalThis electoral vote dial on the NY Times election tracker is so stupid. Like it keeps rapidly going up or down by one or two electoral votes... but that's not how the electoral college works. If Trump wins Tennessee, it's not a few points towards him, it's exactly 11. Having something that purports to be about the electoral college but instead is based on percentage algorithms tied to something else entirely is disingenuous.