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PolliGaf 2012 |OT5| Big Bird, Binders, Bayonets, Bad News and Benghazi
- Thread starter RustyNails
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MasterShotgun
brazen editing lynx
Looks like Mittens has Michigan locked up then :/
ClovingWestbrook
Banned
Yep
Hobbestetrician
Member
Hey look, another poll that RCP can ignore.
Angry Grimace
Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
Well, after the United Auto Worker's Union switched to endorsing Mitt it was all but a foregone conclusion. Then again, Obama naming his new domestic program "FUCK DETROIT" probably didn't help.
ClassyPenguin
Banned
From the SF Giants victory parade earlier today, pitcher Sergio Romo got attention for his shirt:
That's a badass shirt.
PhoenixDark
Banned
I wouldn't be surprised if Romney wins Iowa too, but I'll give it to Obama based on early voting reports.
I told everyone yesterday that the pollster who did that one poll of Michigan MAKES UP HIS NUMBERS!
What about Ohio early voting reports, LOL.
Angry Grimace
Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
twinturbo2
butthurt Heat fan
If Mitt wins Michigan after penning an op ed called "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt", I'll eat my hat.
My hat should be safe, then.
Our new Michigan poll for @HCAN finds Mitt Romney leading Barack Obama 53-45: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-by-8-in-michigan.html
Mgoblue201
Won't stop picking the right nation
Everybody knows that if you've won Detroit, then you've won America.
ryutaro's mama
Member
PD's schtick will only last 5 more days.
Again PD, when have you EVER seen the the campaign that is winning:
1) go uber negative in the final days of the election
2) start talking about states that were NEVER a swing state as "in play".
Obama's campaign didn't do that shit in 2008 and they certainly aren't doing it in 2012.
There is one campaign that is flailing right now.
One campaign hiding its VP.
Do I think it's impossible for RomCom to win? No, but man is it ever looking like a mega cliff to climb...just look at the actions of the campaigns, man.
Again PD, when have you EVER seen the the campaign that is winning:
1) go uber negative in the final days of the election
2) start talking about states that were NEVER a swing state as "in play".
Obama's campaign didn't do that shit in 2008 and they certainly aren't doing it in 2012.
There is one campaign that is flailing right now.
One campaign hiding its VP.
Do I think it's impossible for RomCom to win? No, but man is it ever looking like a mega cliff to climb...just look at the actions of the campaigns, man.
Nothing but ice-water in my veins, at least until I shoot up that sweet hopium tonight after looking at the poll numbers.
What about the sex scandal incoming?
ClovingWestbrook
Banned
Why you folks even respond to PD when he is being his joke character self is beyond me.
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/digital-campaign/
This Frontline film highlights just how spectacular the Obama campaign's organization is and it reinforces why I think he's got this in the bag.
This Frontline film highlights just how spectacular the Obama campaign's organization is and it reinforces why I think he's got this in the bag.
The Librarian
Banned
You can do better.
Angry Grimace
Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
Poe's Law
LOL! Nice try. 53O-45R = not remotely a swing state indeed.
I just like pointing out his trolls are degrading over time.
For what it's worth, the "closest" state for Romney to win atm is Virginia, with 61.9% chance of Obama winning it, atm. Colorado at 63.3%, according to 538 at least. Ohio is now at a solid 81.8% for Obama, even more safe than Iowa and NH at 78%.
On the other hand, Florida sunk to 60.3% for Romney, so he's even more likely to lose Florida than to win Virginia.
Hopium, Hopium everywhere.
On the other hand, Florida sunk to 60.3% for Romney, so he's even more likely to lose Florida than to win Virginia.
Hopium, Hopium everywhere.
This has any relevance to Ohio, how?
PhoenixDark
Banned
I wouldn't be surprised if the scandal involves John Kerry
ClovingWestbrook
Banned
Degrading assumes they were ever worth his effort to begin with.
95 R - 5 O
Black Mamba
Member
So now Gallup and pew are the opposite of Reuters, PPP and others for early voting.
Early voting should be the easiest thing to poll. Wtf.
Early voting should be the easiest thing to poll. Wtf.
Unfortunately I don't remember sources for these numbers and they might be bunk, so any backup from the regulars would be nice before using these.
But, business acumen. Romney's business was investing in businesses. Luckily, the stimulus did that too- even if it was partly under Bush as well- so we have something close to an apples-to-apples comparison. And here, the stimulus comes out ahead- 9% of the companies the government invested in went bankrupt, while 22% of companies Bain Capital invested in under Romney went bankrupt. Again, lots of fine print there, but the gist is that Romney isn't as good a businessman as he may seem. He's no Trump, but he's not that great either.
Like Mr.Awesome said, your best bet is going to be selling him on Obama, but the easiest way to do that is to point out cases where Romney has oversold himself to look competent and Obama has been undersold by an antagonistic media.
Sirpopopop
Member
Pew pretty much downplayed this part of the poll.
Said there wasn't a large enough of a sample for it to be accurate.
Pew didn't do a specific early voting poll, so their sample size was like 200 people on that number.
Mgoblue201
Won't stop picking the right nation
I can't think of too many Presidents whose main qualification was running a business (and certainly not a private equity firm). In my experience, understanding business theory and understanding macroeconomics isn't necessarily the same thing. In fact, sometimes those two things are opposed. What's good for the economy is not necessarily what's good for a business.
MasterShotgun
brazen editing lynx
Pretty much confirms Ohio winner = President.
Pretty much confirms Ohio winner = President.
Obama's odds of winning Ohio are 81%.
EDIT: I'm actually surprised Obama's odds are so low... I thought they'd be bigger, even without Ohio, given that he has Virginia and Iowa locked up, and even has a (admittedly small) shot at Florida..
PhoenixDark
Banned
Pretty much confirms Ohio winner = President.
Hence why I'm not worried
Hobbestetrician
Member
Pretty much confirms Ohio winner = President.
And PD isn't buying the Ohio hype so I think we all know what is going to happen.
Edit: ^ damn, beaten
About Romney losing?
Obama losing in early voting? Oh no
.......
Only five more days, my man.
Obama was up in 2008 and now he is down. Why?
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