Anybody else here dabble in currencies? It's definitely one of the most interesting times, as major historical economic developments happen only every 20-30 years.
I've been doing the EURUSD for years now, and you develop a certain intuition about the market. Forex is a casino, and the major players institutions and central governments. Trend lines rule, if you trade on fundamentals you will get killed by the market, and the market is NOTORIOUS for chasing stops.
If you think it is lingering at 1.32 and due for a drop, it will probably pop to 1.33 to then drop like a rock. If you think the obvious move is for it to go up, look for an opportunity to sell. The big players are out for suckers. Wide stops and longer time frames are key to long-term success.
With that said, we'll see how it goes with Greece. March will be key, but it's the end of the line. They will drop out of the EUR, and based on experience, this will probably and ironically cause a rise in the EUR for a little bit. I say this because by now the Fed, the Chinese, and the ECB are well prepared for this event. It will probably pop to 1.35 before free-falling down to the 1.20 level (closer to the intrinsic value).
It's a fun time to be trading.