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Stock-Age: Stocks, Options and Dividends oh my!

Irobot82

Member
That's the exact reason it might work. People holding indefinitely are the people willing to lose it all and Thu/Fri held strong. I'm not here to make a quick small return, I'm here to either visit Jupiter or the Mariana trench.
That's fine. Jupiter or the Trench. As long as you're cool to hold a lighter to your investment. Just don't go into this thinking it's a sure bet you're going to get rich.
 

AV

We ain't outta here in ten minutes, we won't need no rocket to fly through space
That's fine. Jupiter or the Trench. As long as you're cool to hold a lighter to your investment. Just don't go into this thinking it's a sure bet you're going to get rich.

Not whatsoever, and I strongly concur that ANYONE reading this does not jump in just because it's hot right now and they think they can make a quick surefire buck. That ship has long sailed. This stage is the ride-or-die stage only for those like me with single digit IQs and enormous testicles.
 
Some on WSB are trying to get BCRX rolling, which I already own for an average of 7.25.

Already up 30% in pre market trading but it’s only 500k shares. Not sure that will hold.
 

Relativ9

Member
Fuck it, buying some Silver, at least unlike GME the fall can't be as high cause it's something with an actual future regardless of market manipulations.
 

ManofOne

Plus Member
Rkw06SF.jpg


Limits on Stocks buying.
 

ManofOne

Plus Member
Seems volume is fine for the other stocks. Especially those that are cheaper. AMC has good volume, NOK etc.

Silver stocks are flying high so hopefully that carries copper too.
 

ManofOne

Plus Member
New Study On Returns - Buy and Hold Outperforms Day Trading

“A new study finds that active trading also significantly increases the volatility of a portfolio. That is, market timers actually assume much more risk to get those lower returns, compared with investors who simply buy and hold investments.

Although active investors tend to “chase stability”—they are trying to minimize volatility by market timing—they end up doing the exact opposite, according to the research, as they invest in stocks after past volatility is low and before future volatility is high. The end result is high capital exposure when volatility is increasing. In particular, Drs. Dichev and Zheng find that “the volatility of the actual investor experience is nearly 50% higher than the corresponding volatility of stock returns.”

“Their findings reveal the full cost of active trading. Such investors are chasing safe winners, but they’re actually getting risky losers. This means that active investors, on average, assume much more risk to get lower returns.

So why do so many individual investors continue to engage in active trading and market timing despite evidence showing it is often counterproductive? Researchers who have explored this question suggest that some investors—particularly men—are convinced the results don’t apply to them. Others simply enjoy playing the market; trying to pick winners is more fun than sticking with long-term investments, probably for the same reason that many people enjoy blackjack and slot machines.”
 
New Study On Returns - Buy and Hold Outperforms Day Trading

“A new study finds that active trading also significantly increases the volatility of a portfolio. That is, market timers actually assume much more risk to get those lower returns, compared with investors who simply buy and hold investments.

Although active investors tend to “chase stability”—they are trying to minimize volatility by market timing—they end up doing the exact opposite, according to the research, as they invest in stocks after past volatility is low and before future volatility is high. The end result is high capital exposure when volatility is increasing. In particular, Drs. Dichev and Zheng find that “the volatility of the actual investor experience is nearly 50% higher than the corresponding volatility of stock returns.”

“Their findings reveal the full cost of active trading. Such investors are chasing safe winners, but they’re actually getting risky losers. This means that active investors, on average, assume much more risk to get lower returns.

So why do so many individual investors continue to engage in active trading and market timing despite evidence showing it is often counterproductive? Researchers who have explored this question suggest that some investors—particularly men—are convinced the results don’t apply to them. Others simply enjoy playing the market; trying to pick winners is more fun than sticking with long-term investments, probably for the same reason that many people enjoy blackjack and slot machines.”
I do enjoy trading/swinging SPAC plays and rolling the profits into my long term equities that I plan on holding "forever". I'm not sure if that's wise.
 

ManofOne

Plus Member
I do enjoy trading/swinging SPAC plays and rolling the profits into my long term equities that I plan on holding "forever". I'm not sure if that's wise.

When the VIX is over 22 those short term plays kill your portfolio. No matter how much I read about technical day trading I still don’t see how the average stock trader could benefit.

Market timing is hard. We just got lucky in March Bc the average consensus for the bottom was around 2,300 -2,200 on the S&P
 

BigBooper

Member
When the VIX is over 22 those short term plays kill your portfolio. No matter how much I read about technical day trading I still don’t see how the average stock trader could benefit.

Market timing is hard. We just got lucky in March Bc the average consensus for the bottom was around 2,300 -2,200 on the S&P
Thing is, you don't have to time the very top and bottom. Just look for a good jump in point and exit point. If the market's down 30%, it don't matter much if it drops another 10%, it will still make you money.
 

ManofOne

Plus Member
Thing is, you don't have to time the very top and bottom. Just look for a good jump in point and exit point. If the market's down 30%, it don't matter much if it drops another 10%, it will still make you money.

True but people aren't homogeneous and that timing always to me seems dangerous, like you would have to be seriously engaged in that type of behavioral trading to earn a consistent profit . Like for example when were are plotting the log returns for a specific stock, in our equation we would focus on things like value, fundamentals and even momentum and technical but the weight for the technical are much lower.


Technical and day trading to me seems to be a strange concept but so is long term holding now as well. Like 10 years ago you won't have imagined MSFT being a trillion dollar company.
I doubt most ppl have that level of foresight and patience.
 
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True but people aren't homogeneous and that timing always to me seems dangerous, like you would have to be seriously engaged in that type of behavioral trading to earn a consistent profit . Like for example when were are plotting the log returns for a specific stock, in our equation we would focus on things like value, fundamentals and even momentum and technical but the weight for the technical are much lower.


Technical and day trading to me seems to be a strange concept but so is long term holding now as well. Like 10 years ago you won't have imagined MSFT being a trillion dollar company.
I doubt most ppl have that level of foresight and patience.
I don't see how long term holding can work for everyone unless they have some free cash or are depositing new funds into their account on a steady basis, otherwise your funds are just tied up, and I think that's what traders and swingers are accounting for: opportunity cost.
 
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ManofOne

Plus Member
I'm holding off buying for another week. I just want to see how the market responds. I wanted to buy more NUAN but i'm not sure right now. Ill see if the VIX stabilizes close to 20.
 

Mr Nash

square pies = communism
Who is actually pushing for this silver play? If anyone took 2 seconds to look at WSB, they'd see that they aren't trying to do a silver squeeze and have been telling users there not to take the bait, just hold / buy more GME. Is someone trying to push inflation? If silver got expensive enough, that would be a problem, and it would be an even bigger problem if these purchases bled into other commodities. If over time it caused inflation to run hot enough, it would push central banks to increase interest rates which is something they really don't want to do right now.
 

ManofOne

Plus Member
Silver companies are rallying like crazy but the commodity play has been on the rise for sometime now. Copper, Steel, Oil have seen general rises. The supply chain disruptions will definitely be felt this year.

Whether its enough to cause inflation to rise is something we'll have to wait and see.
 
Was just reading about this over the weekend and thought to myself "Yeah I'm already too late aren't I?"
Scared money makes no money

But to be honest I was in on this before WSB latched on, the FDA just approved their drug for hereditary angioedema, and it's the first drug that is pill based for this indication (the other is injection). So revenues should be pouring in for that next quarter and there's other really promising drugs in their pipeline.
 

BigBooper

Member
If you don't like Robinhood shenanigans, there was a good thread with information about who blocked trades. These reportedly didn't.
  • Most Canadian Brokers (Questrade, Qtrade, Disnat, BMO, HSBC, RBC, TD, etc.)
  • Most European Brokers (Swissquote, TradeStation, Degiro, Revolut)
  • Fidelity
  • Vanguard
  • WealthSimple (CAN, US)
  • Schwab (Margin requirements increased)
  • You Invest (JP Morgan/Chase)
  • Capital.com
  • Wells Fargo - allowed trades but banned its advisors from talking about GameStop
  • Nordnet
  • Citibank

 
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Scared money makes no money

But to be honest I was in on this before WSB latched on, the FDA just approved their drug for hereditary angioedema, and it's the first drug that is pill based for this indication (the other is injection). So revenues should be pouring in for that next quarter and there's other really promising drugs in their pipeline.
Still a worthwhile buy under $11 or do you think things will cool off a bit before more news?
 
Still a worthwhile buy under $11 or do you think things will cool off a bit before more news?
My plan is to hold this long term so I think it’s okay to buy in, but I wouldn’t necessarily chase on such a huge day.

Right now their market cap is nearing 2B so they’re going to need to start showing some revenues to justify it. Their drug, Orladeyo is like $400k a year. They can gain patients who don’t like injections or those who don’t respond to the shot.

Someone on WSB has compiled their DD and shared it:
 
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My plan is to hold this long term so I think it’s okay to buy in, but I wouldn’t necessarily chase on such a huge day.

Right now their market cap is nearing 2B so they’re going to need to start showing some revenues to justify it. Their drug, Orladeyo is like $400k a year. They can gain patients who don’t like injections or those who don’t respond to the shot.

Someone on WSB has compiled their DD and shared it:

Good stuff, I did read a lot of that over at r/stocks but I'm just waffling over my entry price. I'd definitely be looking at a long hold but I wasn't sure if I should wait for it to come back to earth a bit or if the action today will be the new "normal" now that everybody is looking to hop into shorted stocks. All I now is that whatever I decide will probably be wrong.
 

Tesseract

Banned
chrys·a·lis

The divergence will continue between Wall Street and Mainstreet, as will the so-called K-Shaped Economic Recovery, post Covid. The Have's get more ( real estate, stocks, collectibles, etc) and the rest get zippo ( .01% interest rates on their meager savings, for example). Resentment grows and so the transformation of America into a full-fledged Socialist Democracy continues with abandon.
 
Good stuff, I did read a lot of that over at r/stocks but I'm just waffling over my entry price. I'd definitely be looking at a long hold but I wasn't sure if I should wait for it to come back to earth a bit or if the action today will be the new "normal" now that everybody is looking to hop into shorted stocks. All I now is that whatever I decide...
So buy here a half or quarter sized position of what you intended. If it goes down then buy more. If it goes up buy more.

It’s hard to time these things.
 

Nikana

Go Go Neo Rangers!
Can someone explain what you are actually doing when buying a call like im 5? I have watched this video:



and I feel like I get it but then when I got to buy I get totally confused.
 
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