Im back from playing super today, only makoto again, but not as much as time as expected. Couldnt get videos, but this weekend im playing like 48 hours nonstop again with friends so expect more info and videos for sure.
Some new info:
Abare has 2 distances, the close one is holding KKK
You can combo level 2 FA into abare, FA 1 didnt connect at any distance. You can also combo abare after an anti-air fukiage, its not full animation ultra, however ALL hits will connect and it does good damage (you can still jc the last hit and tsurugi). Dont think you can combo it after karakusa even cornered, tried it many times.
I couldnt get Hp hayate cancel c.mp, dont think its possible. Obviously, not HP hayate cancel HP. I dont think we are going to combo anything except c.lp there.
Makoto can also combo an anti air fukiage (no need to EX) with anoother fukiage. Tried against ryu and you cant land fukiage against a grounded opponent, even if they are stunned (forgot to try it crumpled, but will tell you soon) Her focus is fairly good and quick ill say.
Neutral throw does 200 stun(the headbutt one), hp xx hp hayate does 400 stun if i remember well. Didnt had lots of time to try all the moves, but you make an idea more or less.
Her super is invincible on startup, like in 3s.
Jump mk can cross up, but the hitbox is trash and not reliable, so ill say makoto lacks a decent crossup.
Im failry dissapointed with her right now, and thats because im feeling the weakness of her mixup game. Basically, 90% of makotos shit can be nullified by backdashing or jumping back (thats how it looks at least). I dont see her being more than mid tier with sf 4 reversals and the fact that risk/reward seems to be always in your enemy´s favor.
Jump straight punishes karakusa for those who wondered, also ive got thrown out of karakusa many times (maybe my timing is a bit off) . Also, i think she will have a hard time if you fall back any moment or 100% rushdowns characters because she lacks a decent reversal herself, ill say she is pretty free on wakeup and when cornered.
On a sidenote, cody is going to be a monster, he is VERY scary.
More this weekend, keep questions coming if you have any because ill have plenty of hours to test her much much more this time.