Why the 360 has already won North America

Kleegamefan said:
So X360 is going to sell an additional 2M units in 4 months in NA alone?


I DONT THINK SO!!!!

It's actually entirely within the realm of possibility. Heck, PS2 sold 2M in ONE month. 360 will sell another 2M by the end of 2006 easy.
 
Reilly said:
Not when they barely sell 200K a month :lol
I could be mistaken, but it seems that all three manufacturers were selling multiple millions of each console in the last quarter almost every year of this last generation in NA alone. Perhaps not quite two million by December 31st, but certainly by end of January.
 
USA population: 299,102,661 + Canada population:32,547,200 = North America: 331,655,861

so 2 million 360s out of 331 million people in North America is considered a success?
:lol :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol
 
I'm willing to buy in to his thinking, as long as he produces valid points. Sadly, those are currently missing from the entire thing. So...wtf?
 
I don't think the article should have been titled the 360 has already won. It should have been titled the 360 has the highest chance of winning in NA. Having Halo 3+ GTAIV + Madden, the three biggest game franchises in NA for $100-$200 less than the competition is a big, big, bonus.

This article, however, doesn't take into account that 5-6 years down the line, ps3 will still be on the market, at a $200 pricepoint, while the xbox 720 is at $400-$500.
 
Ash Sparrow said:
I think the 360 wil do 1.5 mil in december. too many good games.
The original Xbox couldn't sell 1.5 million in December when it had a $200 price tag and Halo 2 had just launched.
 
gutter_trash said:
USA population: 299,102,661 + Canada population:32,547,200 = North America: 331,655,861

so 2 million 360s out of 331 million people in North America is considered a success?
:lol :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol
Yeah 100 million PS2s was considered a success even though there's about 6 billion people on earth, so why not.
 
gutter_trash said:
USA population: 299,102,661 + Canada population:32,547,200 = North America: 331,655,861

so 2 million 360s out of 331 million people in North America is considered a success?
:lol :lol :lol :lol :lol :lol

That's a bad argument.
 
in the light darkness said:
2m in 4 month? i can see that happening

continue to sell ~300k for 3 months then 1m in december

quite possible actually

edit: it's doing ~200k/month

still possible though
It will easily happen. The 360 is doing better month-over month than the original XBox, even at 200k last month; the XBox in its first July sold 154,204. Here's what it did for the rest of 2002:

August 137,277
September 172,748
October 239,085
November 468,000
December 1,033,000
Total 2,050,110

The 360 is trending ahead of that.
 
360 will easily, easily, get 2 million before the end of the year.
275k aug
250k sept
300k oct
750k november
1.5million december
 
Ash Sparrow said:
Yeah 100 millions PS2s was considered a success even though there's about 6 billion people on earth, so why not.

the World isn't the same as North America. environmentalists have complained that Canadians have been over-consumming and have increased waste compared to other countries in the world.
Canadians are consummer fanatactics, they have produced more waste per capita then Americans.

As far as the World for video games, it consist mainly of North America, Europe, Japan, Asia and Australia. (i know Japan is in Asia, but as far as video games they are in a world of their own)

yeah, people is South America do play video games, but their weight is probably less significant then Australia
 
gutter_trash said:
the World isn't the same as North America. environmentalists have complained that Canadians have been over-consumming and have increased waste compared to other countries in the world.
Canadians are consummer fanatactics, they have produced more waste per capita then Americans.

As far as the World for video games, it consist mainly of North America, Europe, Japan, Asia and Australia. (i know Japan is in Asia, but as far as video games they are in a world of their own)

yeah, people is South America do play video games, but their weight is probably less significant then Australia
I can't believe you ignored the African gaming market.
 
I think you have to actually own a 360, like I do, to see where he comes from. His whole eco-system idea probably refers to the fact that I play with the console itself, the dashboard, the demos, the trailers, and the media capabilities just as much as I play with the 360 games. It's the console that I have owned that constantly gives me stuff to do, even if I don't have any games. The guy who wrote the articles is only speaking to the 360 demographic, but he isn't speaking bullshit.
 
really, i think some of you guys take this console war shiet way too seriously. all three consoles will do fine this next gen, they all have major major exclusive games that will ensure it.
 
Proelite said:
I think you have to actually own a 360, like I do, to see where he comes from. His whole eco-system idea probably refers to the fact that I play with the console itself, the dashboard, the demos, the trailers, and the media capabilities just as much as I play with the 360 games. It's the console that I have owned that constantly gives me stuff to do, even if I don't have any games. The guy who wrote the articles is only speaking to the 360 demographic, but he isn't speaking bullshit.

Really. There is ALWAYS something to do. Xbox Live is beautiful. People without a 360 to not realize how great it is.
 
gutter_trash said:
I can't believe you forgot Polland!
Polland alone probably has more console owners per capita then the entire continent of Africa

youforgotpoland-4571.jpg
 
So, is it still possible to get an extended warranty for rastex, or is GAF pretty much screwed into having to pay Microsoft to get him repaired? :(
 
so xbox 360 is slightly ahead of the xbox curve, which did *shitty* last gen, and you have this all sewn up for MS in the USA? WTF?

I think MS are doing pretty badly, and stand a very real possibility of heading into Christma 07 already overtaken by Sony.

Whether you love LIVE or love the current X360 games you're playing doesn't suddenly make MS the winnar. I think they are getting a lot of the benefit of being the first out the door, so we can taste a bit of next-gen before PS3 turns up.
 
I think Xbots have bought into their spin way too much. Two new consoles releasing this holiday WILL NOT help the 360 in sales. When PS3 sells out and if Wii sells out (depending on how many they actually ship) will not magically make the consumer buy a 360 they never planned on buying because they couldn't get their hands on one of the two. And to reiterate, TWO NEW CONSOLES LAUNCHING! That's twice the normal competition. No doubt GoW will sell well, but its going to sell well to current 360 owners. 360 will sell some this holiday, but don't get your hopes up in front of this onslaught.
 
Ponn01 said:
I think Xbots have bought into their spin way too much. Two new consoles releasing this holiday WILL NOT help the 360 in sales. When PS3 sells out and if Wii sells out (depending on how many they actually ship) will not magically make the consumer buy a 360 they never planned on buying because they couldn't get their hands on one of the two. And to reiterate, TWO NEW CONSOLES LAUNCHING! That's twice the normal competition. No doubt GoW will sell well, but its going to sell well to current 360 owners. 360 will sell some this holiday, but don't get your hopes up in front of this onslaught.

Many gamers I know (yeah, I know, anecdotal evidence) aren't hell bent as to what they want next gen. They are in a 'wait and see' mode, and can definitely be swayed at this point. I don't know what percent of gamers are flexible, but it's far from the Sonybot scenario where nobody ever switches.
 
beermonkey@tehbias said:
Many gamers I know (yeah, I know, anecdotal evidence) aren't hell bent as to what they want next gen. They are in a 'wait and see' mode, and can definitely be swayed at this point. I don't know what percent of gamers are flexible, but it's far from the Sonybot scenario where nobody ever switches.

Didn't say people sitting on the fence, i'm saying people going to get the PS3 and Wii and not being able to. You know, the line a lot of Xbots and MS themselves have been using to fool themselves into thinking the Wii and PS3 launches will actually help them.

And the hype will reach fervor levels here sometime in September when the ads start and marketing. Christmas shoppers don't "johnny on the spot" drop 400 plus on an alternate choice and one they may not have even been considering.

Speevy said:
Oh, just some. Well that's nice to know.

Sorry my choice of words hurt you. Can I ever make it up to you:)
 
360 will not sell 1.5-2 million unit in December 2006 alone. Not at $399.99 and without Halo 3.

The 2 million unit December won't be until December 2007, when it sells around 2-2.5 million units that month with a $299.99 premium + Halo 3 + GTA4 + Crackdown still selling 500K per month.
 
Mrbob said:
360 will not sell 1.5-2 million unit in December 2006 alone. Not at $399.99 and without Halo 3.

The 2 million unit December won't be until December 2007, when it sells around 2-2.5 million units that month with a $299.99 premium + Halo 3 + GTA4 + Crackdown still selling 500K per month.

Some things never change. :lol

:)
 
Ponn01 said:
Didn't say people sitting on the fence, i'm saying people going to get the PS3 and Wii and not being able to. You know, the line a lot of Xbots and MS themselves have been using to fool themselves into thinking the Wii and PS3 launches will actually help them.

And the hype will reach fervor levels here sometime in September when the ads start and marketing. Christmas shoppers don't "johnny on the spot" drop 400 plus on an alternate choice and one they may not have even been considering.



Sorry my choice of words hurt you. Can I ever make it up to you:)

You couldn't be more wrong. I worked in Electronics Boutique myself years ago, and if a system wasn't available that a consumer wanted, they immediately looked elsewhere for something to buy. No PS3s or Wiis DOES indeed benefit Microsoft if they have 360s available. We can argue about how much of a benefit it is, but I don't feel there are grounds for argument as to whether or not it is a benefit.
 
It all depends on how good Gears of War is, and I personally believe it will be a Halo caliber title to market the system with. Therefore 1.5 million will be a lock in December :), and yes PS3 shortages will help the 360.
 
Ponn01 said:
Didn't say people sitting on the fence, i'm saying people going to get the PS3 and Wii and not being able to. You know, the line a lot of Xbots and MS themselves have been using to fool themselves into thinking the Wii and PS3 launches will actually help them.

And the hype will reach fervor levels here sometime in September when the ads start and marketing. Christmas shoppers don't "johnny on the spot" drop 400 plus on an alternate choice and one they may not have even been considering.

...and then there is also the faction of consumers who still don't know about the price of the PS3. They're going to walk into the store, see the PS3, say "Holy ****", and then they'll want to see what the 360 or Wii has to offer. MS has a great advantage here because they have the most games... and by the time Christmas rolls around, a lot of those games will also be in the $30 range.
 
Forget about giant enemy crabs, if 360 can sell 1.5 million units in december at $399.99 and without Halo 3 that is massive damage to Sony right there.

I just don't see it happening though.
 
Mrbob said:
360 will not sell 1.5-2 million unit in December 2006 alone. Not at $399.99 and without Halo 3.

The 2 million unit December won't be until December 2007, when it sells around 2-2.5 million units that month with a $299.99 premium + Halo 3 + GTA4 + Crackdown still selling 500K per month.

Look at Ghaleon's scenario... the 360 doesn't need to sell >1.5M in December.


Xbox numbers...
August 137,277
September 172,748
October 239,085
November 468,000
December 1,033,000
Total 2,050,110

The 360 is trending ahead of that right now.
 
Selling slightly better than Xbox1 is exactly where Microsoft wants to be. Especially when it had an entire year without a single next-gen competitor @_o
 
TheKingsCrown said:
You couldn't be more wrong. I worked in Electronics Boutique myself years ago, and if a system wasn't available that a consumer wanted, they immediately looked elsewhere for something to buy. No PS3s or Wiis DOES indeed benefit Microsoft if they have 360s available. We can argue about how much of a benefit it is, but I don't feel there are grounds for argument as to whether or not it is a benefit.

Yes, and I worked at Gamestop for a long time, as well as three of my friends and we all concur on what I wrote. Not saying no one ever changed their minds on buying a console, but were talking "Oh GBA isn't in stock, oh that Gameboy Color looks fine and cheap, I will take it" When it comes to holidays AND console launches though, much different. Those launch system hunters combined with christmas shopper mentality of "don't take no for an answer" equals customers going all over the mall and town looking for what they want and not giving up till they do.

I'm not more wrong and I dare anyone to stand in a Gamestop/EB in the holidays at launch and see what happens.
 
people who really want a PS3 and cant get a hold of it because of a shortage, they are not going the 2nd choice it and get a 360. If they really want a PS3, they will wait for the next shipment.

As for the Wii, I can place bets that it won't have any major shortage and people who are willing to buy one this Q4 will end up having one no problem.
Even hypothetically if the Wii had a shortage (unlikely), Wii anthusiasts wouldn't 2nd choice it with a 360 anyway
 
Ponn01 said:
Yes, and I worked at Gamestop for a long time, as well as three of my friends and we all concur on what I wrote. Not saying no one ever changed their minds on buying a console, but were talking "Oh GBA isn't in stock, oh that Gameboy Color looks fine and cheap, I will take it" When it comes to holidays AND console launches though, much different. Those launch system hunters combined with christmas shopper mentality of "don't take no for an answer" equals customers going all over the mall and town looking for what they want and not giving up till they do.

I'm not more wrong and I dare anyone to stand in a Gamestop/EB in the holidays at launch and see what happens.

But game boy color is not a substitute for game boy advance. Unfortunately for Sony, 360 is definitely a substitute for PS3. The differences between them at this point are "incremental", and 360 has some increments over PS3: working live games, working arcade, install base, some AAA games, and SYSTEMS. PS3 has SOME advantages, but its price is also incremental, so does that wash them out? Consumers will tell. But I'm fairly certain you are wrong, although not 100%.
 
the only ones willing to 2nd choice it are parents.
Parents who don't know jack beans and will end up 2nd choicing it. or some casual uniformed shmo.

but everyone else, they wont' 2nd choice it
 
gutter_trash said:
people who really want a PS3 and cant get a hold of it because of a shortage, they are not going the 2nd choice it and get a 360. If they really want a PS3, they will wait for the next shipment.

Of course. Now, tell us what percentage of gamers really, really will specifically want a PS3 at the end of this year (even after seeing that stuff like Gears and Lost Planet looks more next-gen than the PS3 launch titles), and then we can start to make some meaningful sales predictions.

gutter_trash said:
the only ones willing to 2nd choice it are parents.
Parents who don't know jack beans and will end up 2nd choicing it. or some casual uniformed shmo.

but everyone else, they wont' 2nd choice it

I see an increasing number of gamers in their thirties and even forties that use rational thought instead of fanboy allegiances and really have no choice at all yet. Of course, most of these guys have little patience for internet discussion boards. The gamer demographic is aging and getting more thoughtful.
 
rastex said:
It's actually entirely within the realm of possibility. Heck, PS2 sold 2M in ONE month. 360 will sell another 2M by the end of 2006 easy.

PS2 was PS2. And as it has been prooven the last few months by 360 sales, 360 isn't PS2.

this deserves a "duh" but you get my point

Having said that 360 could sell 2 million units by year's end but it'll probably just make it there.
 
TheKingsCrown said:
But game boy color is not a substitute for game boy advance. Unfortunately for Sony, 360 is definitely a substitute for PS3. The differences between them at this point are "incremental", and 360 has some increments over PS3: working live games, working arcade, install base, some AAA games, and SYSTEMS. PS3 has SOME advantages, but its price is also incremental, so does that wash them out? Consumers will tell. But I'm fairly certain you are wrong, although not 100%.

You are not listening. It does not matter how comparable the two are. The PS3 is launching, it will be hyped as being the thing to get for the holidays. The launch system buyers already know the differences and don't care, they made their decisons on brand loyality and games (which is the main thing that makes consoles not comparable, I can't play Heavenly Sword or FFXIII on 360 and I don't care about GoW or Halo 3 for example). Christmas Shoppers trying to get a PS3 for little Jimmy are not looking for a 360, they are looking for a PS3, period. End of debate. They don't care if its comparable, its not a PS3 and they aren't going to drop $400 on something little Jimmy didn't ask for. They are going to hunt down Wal-mart, K-mart, Dillards, Sears and even ****ing walgreens to try and find one. And if they don't find it there? Well, theres a reason PS3's will be selling over a grand on eBay and wanting delivery before Christmas. All else fails they try to put a preorder down for one and set aside the money promising little jimmy one right after the holidays.

Seriously, those who have not worked retail or even game retail during the holidays need to just to see these crazy ass people in action.
 
beermonkey@tehbias said:
Of course. Now, tell us what percentage of gamers really, really will specifically want a PS3 at the end of this year (even after seeing that stuff like Gears and Lost Planet looks more next-gen than the PS3 launch titles), and then we can start to make some meaningful sales predictions.

.


sorry, you're confusing rabid consumer monkeys with considered, thoughtful gamers?

As much as you might not like it, lots of people will want a PS3 because its a playstation. They don't have, or need, a reason. Perhaps they have a PS2 already, perhaps they just know the name.

Suffice to say they'll consider that the PS3 is the machine to own.
 
Top Bottom