The fact that some of you believe that it is necessary to argue against it is in line with what I was saying about the seriousness of the discussions in Neogaf....
First. The discussion would not be to test a change in the upward trend, it would be in any case about what should happen for the trend to become extremely downward and without any feasible remedy, which is what he defends...
Second. Ok, we are talking about XSeries only selling 2.5 million worldwide on average per year for the next 4 years... (in this supposedly disastrous year it has sold at least 8+ millions) And he makes that statement without knowing the effects on sales of the next big releases (Gears6, Indiana Jones, FH6, etc etc), the arrival of ABK games on Gamepass, the marketing and COD bundles, and price reductions, new controller....
And he say that an Xbox Next will only have a ceiling of 10-15 million in its entire life with the sole basis of a supposed "XSeries contagion effect" of a tendency to sell that ridiculous number of Xbox consoles annually.... Without any data about the exclusive strategy (I remember that MS can make everything exclusive to its consoles except COD), about the type of hardware, compatibility,...
I'm sorry, but there is no serious argument to discuss there. In any case, it would be to discuss the probabilities of his dreams or desires (as an Xbox hater) of a situation like this occurring.