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Wkd BO 05•26-28•17 - Rock in bay can't stop Pirates or Guardians, Alien sinks tho

Slayven

Member
That I don't know, but I know I saw a few movies advertising their RT score.

I think with social media it's more so a thing.

They are more visible than ever before; 10-15 years ago most people had no clue how well a movie was reviewing. Now it's highly visible on the internet, often listed right where they might be buying their tickets (Fandango.com.)

To say the general public doesn't care about reviews, IMO, is an out dated adage. People in general are affected by how something is scored; highly rated stuff gets a confirmation bias, low rated stuff gets ignored. The reasons audiences "didn't care" in the past was probably more to do with the fact they never saw a review, because they didn't open that section of their newspaper.

Word of mouth is also more visible; but IMO, word of mouth is affected by reviews as well. Everything on the internet is like a slippery slope these days; "what's the popular opinion of thing? I want to make sure my opinion matches"

That is a good way of putting it.
 

Ahasverus

Member
I like how the takeaway from those movies being hurt by bad reception isn't making less bad movies but blame the only tool the users have to know they are so before spending their money.

L-O-L
 

Exodust

Banned
Why are people still bringing up Tron Legacy AKA the most boring and wasteful blockbuster I've ever paid to see.

And I say this as a guy who enjoys the clunky original. At least it had charm.
 
RT has Alien Covenant at 71 percent, but apparently wom did it in. Baywatch certainly was partly done in by the reviews but also bad wom. I also point people to content review sites like Kids-in-mind.com and Baywatch isn't something any of us wanted to see. Many factors and information sources for Hollywood to consider (blame?).
 

pestul

Member
Why are people still bringing up Tron Legacy AKA the most boring and wasteful blockbuster I've ever paid to see.

And I say this as a guy who enjoys the clunky original. At least it had charm.
Tron Legacy would have been a better movie if it were just a 2hr light cycle battle with the Daft Punk soundtrack.
 

gamz

Member
They are more visible than ever before; 10-15 years ago most people had no clue how well a movie was reviewing. Now it's highly visible on the internet, often listed right where they might be buying their tickets (Fandango.com.)

To say the general public doesn't care about reviews, IMO, is an out dated adage. People in general are affected by how something is scored; highly rated stuff gets a confirmation bias, low rated stuff gets ignored. The reasons audiences "didn't care" in the past was probably more to do with the fact they never saw a review, because they didn't open that section of their newspaper.

Word of mouth is also more visible; but IMO, word of mouth is affected by reviews as well. Everything on the internet is like a slippery slope these days; "what's the popular opinion of thing? I want to make sure my opinion matches"

People cared in the past. Ebert and Siskel two thumbs up was huge and movies would advertise the hell out of that. I just think that after these two passed on no other critics have come close to their respect and legacy in the public eye. Esp Ebert.

Getting a good review from Ebert carried a ton of weight.
 
I'm still trying to remember what even happens in Tron Legacy before Quorra shows up, and between that and Flynn merging with the singularity or whatever the fuck happened. Something about discs? There were discs.
 

Exodust

Banned
RT has Alien Covenant at 71 percent, but apparently wom did it in. Baywatch certainly was partly done in by the reviews but also bad wom. I also point people to content review sites like Kids-in-mind.com and Baywatch isn't something any of us wanted to see. Many factors and information sources for Hollywood to consider (blame?).

Also the fact that nobody ever watched Baywatch for anything other than slomo tits. Even then, it was during reruns.

21 Jump Street worked because it was a decent meta comedy that did it's own thing first, everything after such as CHIPS, Baywatch, etc. has no real reason to exist.
 

Slayven

Member
Also the fact that nobody ever watched Baywatch for anything other than slomo tits. Even then, it was during reruns.

21 Jump Street worked because it was a decent meta comedy that did it's own thing first, everything after such as CHIPS, Baywatch, etc. has no real reason to exist.

When dax shepard is your co-lead, you fucked up along the way
 

riotous

Banned
People cared in the past. Ebert and Siskel two thumbs up was huge and movies would advertise the hell out of that. I just think that after these two passed on no other critics have come close to their respect and legacy in the public eye. Esp Ebert.

Getting a good review from Ebert carried a ton of weight.

But if they didn't give the movie 2 thumbs up you simply didn't mention them in your advertising.

I do agree they cared; I just mean negative critiques were far less visible.
 

kswiston

Member
I think that $800-900M for Pirates is being optimistic. China is having a holiday weekend and is majorly skewing the overseas gross currently.

RT is one of the most viewed websites in the world with 25m+ unique users monthly. Audiences care a lot more than they used to.

Websites like Rotten Tomatoes really blew up as facrbook took off and sharing that stuff because trivial.
 
I think that $800-900M for Pirates is being optimistic. China is having a holiday weekend and is majorly skewing the overseas gross currently.
Agreed. Let's give it $175M domestically (which is probably optimistic), then even the low end of that range requires a 3.0 multiplier off this overseas opening. That's really high for a film that's opened in every major market except Japan.
 

kswiston

Member
Agreed. Let's give it $175M domestically (which is probably optimistic), then even the low end of that range requires a 3.0 multiplier off this overseas opening. That's really high for a film that's opened in every major market except Japan.

China is most likely heading for something in $150-170M range, depending on legs. Domestic will be similar.

Overseas was around $140M without China. Given the exhange rate, Japan will take a big dip from OST, but let's say it holds up fairly well in Yen and makes $60M there.

Domestic + China + Japan = maybe $400M.

As you said, $800M would require a 2.85x multiplier or better from the rest. $500M would require a 3.6x or better multiplier. And that is assuming China doesnt just collapse after the 5 day holiday period, or that Wonder Woman doesnt kill domestic holdovers next week. Not a given.
 

mreddie

Member
John Cena and Batista bigger stars than Rock now?

tumblr_mzra74DsxW1sbzhteo1_400.gif

giphy.gif


Vol 2 having better legs than Civil War-AOU likely is because of shit rivals.
 

Chamber

love on your sleeve
All of these bombs sure are setting the stage nicely for Wonder Woman. I thought moving that to June would end up being a disaster but it looks like smooth sailing.

Man, The Rock is sure coming off obnoxious with this Baywatch stuff. Just take the L and move on, dude. It wasn't that expensive to make anyway. It's just not some mega hit

Honestly, why are we even pretending he's a box office draw? He's a charming guy but what hits has he carried? San Andreas? Uh....cause I'm thinking that movies like Central Intelligence are making their money more off Kevin Hart's name, honestly. And the Fast movies would be making bank regardless, he just came in at a good time.

I know a lot of people sure like pretending he's the real star of the Fast movies and they should drop Vin Diesel from his own franchise. I have strong doubts about how successful that Rock/Statham spin-off is going to be.
 

kswiston

Member
So it looks like we got $500M domestic for Beauty and the Beast and $1B overseas for Fate of the Furious this weekend.

March through Easter is really showing up the summer box office season so far.
 
All of these bombs sure are setting the stage nicely for Wonder Woman. I thought moving that to June would end up being a disaster but it looks like smooth sailing.



I know a lot of people sure like pretending he's the real star of the Fast movies and they should drop Vin Diesel from his own franchise. I have strong doubts about how successful that Rock/Statham spin-off is going to be.

If they keep up the strong chemistry between Rock and Statham it'll be fine.
 

Bronx-Man

Banned
If we're being real, BR2049 is gonna probably gonna underperform but that's still a big damn boost to his resume. It's a Villeneuve movie too.
 

Mrbob

Member
RT has Alien Covenant at 71 percent, but apparently wom did it in. Baywatch certainly was partly done in by the reviews but also bad wom. I also point people to content review sites like Kids-in-mind.com and Baywatch isn't something any of us wanted to see. Many factors and information sources for Hollywood to consider (blame?).

Now we are stuck in Ridley Scott's garbage Alien universe since Blomkamp is now busy. Enjoy this Fox. With a 70 percent second weekend drop you aren't even making money on his movies.

Edit: I misread this you were talking about Alien Covenants awful, undeserved RT score. I thought you were talking about it's second weekend drop of 71% which means even the fans think its a trash movie.
 

Chamber

love on your sleeve
GOTG and Bond already seems like a big 1-2 over Rock.

I wouldn't say that's any better than Fast & Furious and Moana. Moana is better than any movie Dave has done. Mind you, I do like Batista. I'm just saying his roles haven't been any hotter than Rock's.
 
A pretty amusing statistic

Current projected 4-day opening of Pirates 5: $76.6M
Inflation adjusted opening day of Pirates 2: $75.4M

And Dead Man's Chest didn't have 3D or IMAX. So it certainly sold more tickets in a day than this new one will in four.
 

mreddie

Member
Looks like he plays some generic enforcer.

Like Spectre but who knows, they could give him some lines and somehow be good.

I wouldn't say that's any better than Fast & Furious and Moana. Moana is better than any movie Dave has done. Mind you, I do like Batista. I'm just saying his roles haven't been any hotter than Rock's.

True, both have those roles but Dave is picking his roles a bit better, hell Ferdinand could be the same for Cena.
 

Theecliff

Banned
even though the new pirates is out i couldn't be less interested in paying to go see it in the cinema, especially after 3 and 4. instead i'll probably go watch gotg 2 again in the next few days.

sadly i don't think i'll be able to see wonder woman until a week after it's release even though i'm slowly getting more and more optimistic. i hope it's good, and if it is i hope it does well. i'm willing to bet that a lot of people who were extremely low balling it in the box office prediction thread are gonna look pretty silly this next week.

OH then that's ok

What's the worst movie everyone's seen as a date? I had to sit through Sucker Punch AND The Great Wall because of dates and goddamnit
suicide squad. my girlfriend was extremely hyped and had been looking forward to the idea of a suicide squad film before it had even been announced, citing it as her dream comic book property to be adapted into film. any excitement i had for the film had been dampened slightly by the reviews but i hadn't seen batman v superman yet so was unsure whether my views would line up with the critical consensus and i was at least kinda confident that at the very least it could provide 2 hours of mindless action, seeing as it came from a director known for decent action flicks.

i was wrong. so, so wrong. we both hated it. the drive back home was a mixture of silence due to complete disbelief followed by endless ranting due to pure anger. i'm still pissed off that we both actually paid money to watch that fucking thing.
 
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