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Wkd Box Office 01•01-03•16 - Hate flows through BO as TFA eyes all-time DOM record

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B

BronsonLee

Member
Bobby Roberts said:
Stop smelling and looking like your lower half is made up of used toilet paper shoved into a strained pair of sweatpants and I won't judge.

And sit at least 4 rows away from me. Don't care which direction.
Click to expand...

I'ma sit right next to you, dammit

And enjoy this bucket of fried chicken I cunningly snuck into the theater!
 
R

rjinaz

Member
So how much does it need to beat Avatar now domestic? 10 Mil or so? Seems like it's possible it could beat it by the end of today then no?
 
S

Surfinn

Member
I'm really interested to see how much China will add to TFA's oversee numbers.

Can we assume it will make 200-300M minimum?
 
3

3N16MA

Banned
I will be seeing The Hateful Eight tonight. Can't pass on a discount on top of a discount for $2 tickets.

Don't judge me.
 
W

wachie

Member
3N16MA said:
I will be seeing The Hateful Eight tonight. Can't pass on a discount on top of a discount for $2 tickets.

Don't judge me.
Click to expand...
Dont be a ... Discount Debby!

rjinaz said:
So how much does it need to beat Avatar now domestic? 10 Mil or so? Seems like it's possible it could beat it by the end of today then no?
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Looking at the past 5 years, I dont see any big release (>5M weekdays) having an increase greater than 10% on the first Tuesday. TFA can always surprise us.

kswiston said:
Realistic best case scenario this week (week ending Jan 7th) will be a 53.5% drop due to the loss of Holiday weekdays. What does your chart look like if you assume that for a week 3 drop and then project from Week 4 forward?
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Those are averaged out drops. If it has drops by a greater percentage in week 3, then it sustains better in 4.
 
B

Bobby Roberts

Banned
BronsonLee said:
And enjoy this bucket of fried chicken I cunningly snuck into the theater!
Click to expand...

I remember being at a sneak screening and a dude posted up about a row back on the aisle (at least he was on the aisle) and busted open a Safeway rotisserie chicken.

A whole fucking supermarket deli rotisserie chicken.

Greasy as hell. I could HEAR IT.
 
K

kswiston

Member
wachie said:
Those are averaged out drops. If it has drops by a greater percentage in week 3, then it sustains better in 4.
Click to expand...

Large early drops hurt the gross a lot more than better late drops help though.

A film with a $100M first week and consistent 40% drops will gross around $250M.

A film with a $100M first week, two 50% drops, and then consistent 30% drops will gross less than $235M, despite a much better average drop (33% through the first 12 weeks).
 
B

Branduil

Member
TFA made $8,021,882 so it fell behind Avatar for the first time on Monday. Probably will be ahead again today though.
 
E

Eidan

Member
kswiston said:
Avatar's average ticket price was around $10, so figure 75M admissions give or take. The Dark Knight admission estimate on BOM is 74.2M. IMAX was about 4% of the domestic gross, so that brings in slightly down to 73.5M. Both are probably within the same margin of error, considering these are rough estimates.
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Cool, thanks. I tried do some guess work on my own, and it looked to me like Avatar, TDK, and Avenger were all fairly comparable in terms of attendance, with the order being Avatar>TDK>Avengers. I feel like it could be toss-up between TDK and Avengers though.
 
B

Bobby Roberts

Banned
TDLink said:
No, they won't compete with Captain America. It'll probably be in April.
Click to expand...

The rumor that's already come out regarding a potential re-release (or re-expansion, as it will more likely be) was around Easter, actually.

But yeah, if this thing crosses 950, they'll limp this motherfucker as long as they have to in order to get that billion.
 
B

BronsonLee

Member
Bobby Roberts said:
I remember being at a sneak screening and a dude posted up about a row back on the aisle (at least he was on the aisle) and busted open a Safeway rotisserie chicken.

A whole fucking supermarket deli rotisserie chicken.

Greasy as hell. I could HEAR IT.
Click to expand...

See, I wouldn't believe such a wack ass story, if that fried chicken story I told didn't actually freaking happen. Of course it's at the super ghetto theater near Temple University too. Of course.

I remember watching Gravity one time there, and when something notable happened, a row of people just burst out laughing and would not shut up. PHILLY!
 
W

wachie

Member
kswiston said:
Large early drops hurt the gross a lot more than better late drops help though.

A film with a $100M first week and consistent 40% drops will gross around $250M.

A film with a $100M first week, two 50% drops, and then consistent 30% drops will gross less than $235M, despite a much better average drop (33% through the first 12 weeks).
Click to expand...
It does but then the projection models would become way more crazy for my napkin. I dont think TFA will have two 50% weekly drops in succession.
 
S

Surfinn

Member
Bobby Roberts said:
The rumor that's already come out regarding a potential re-release (or re-expansion, as it will more likely be) was around Easter, actually.

But yeah, if this thing crosses 950, they'll limp this motherfucker as long as they have to in order to get that billion.
Click to expand...

I'm assuming a rerelease would mean no new footage? I thought I remember seeing a J.J. quote where he was pretty firm on the film remaining the way it is while including some deleted scenes for the video release.
 
C

CloudyTuba

Member
Surfinn said:
I'm assuming a rerelease would mean no new footage? I thought I remember seeing a J.J. quote where he was pretty firm on the film remaining the way it is while including some deleted scenes for the video release.
Click to expand...

JJ has made it pretty clear that there will only be one definitive cut. I think it's a good choice.

I just hope that the deleted stuff will be included in mostly finished states on the bluray so that some fanedit can throw an extended version together, just for fun.
 
M

Mimosa97

Member
I feel like DIsney is going to re-release TFA in late July/august with 15 or 20 mns of extra-footage just to get all that money from SW fans who won't resist watching the movie one more time for the few extra scenes.
 
D

duckroll

Member
Last month I pointed out that I felt Star Wars fever was really huge here locally despite the lower than expected boxoffice results throughout Asia. Turns out I was pretty wrong, and it was just anecdotal bias. Ip Man 3 has been trashing TFA in the last two weeks, and there's even an editorial about it now from a local film critic.

Last week: http://www.straitstimes.com/lifesty...force-awakens-off-no-1-spot-at-the-box-office

This week: http://www.straitstimes.com/lifesty...3-beats-the-force-awakens-to-the-no-1-spot-at

John Lui on "Universe fatigue": http://www.straitstimes.com/lifesty...es-audiences-here-are-suffering-from-universe
 
C

Come to Butt-Head

Banned
duckroll said:
Last month I pointed out that I felt Star Wars fever was really huge here locally despite the lower than expected boxoffice results throughout Asia. Turns out I was pretty wrong, and it was just anecdotal bias. Ip Man 3 has been trashing TFA in the last two weeks, and there's even an editorial about it now from a local film critic.

Last week: http://www.straitstimes.com/lifesty...force-awakens-off-no-1-spot-at-the-box-office

This week: http://www.straitstimes.com/lifesty...3-beats-the-force-awakens-to-the-no-1-spot-at

John Lui on "Universe fatigue": http://www.straitstimes.com/lifesty...es-audiences-here-are-suffering-from-universe
Click to expand...

So... could Rogue One do better there because of Donnie Yen? >_>
 
C

Come to Butt-Head

Banned
kswiston said:
Worked for X-Men.

Last Stand made $2.6M in China (probably the equivalent of $40-50M there now). First Class didn't even release. The Wolverine made $40M. Days of Future Past made $116M.
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I'm going to have to live up to my Junior status for this next comment.

Donnie was in the X-Men movies? If he was, I don't recall ever seeing him. I'm assuming you must mean another famous Asian actor that I'm not aware of.

The only American movie I remember Donnie in was Blade 2, which I greatly enjoyed, by the way. He should have had a much larger role.
 
M

mcfrank

Member
Come to Butt-Head said:
I'm going to have to live up to my Junior status for this next comment.

Donnie was in the X-Men movies? If he was, I don't recall ever seeing him. I'm assuming you must mean another famous Asian actor that I'm not aware of.

The only American movie I remember Donnie in was Blade 2, which I greatly enjoyed, by the way. He should have had a much larger role.
Click to expand...

He means
x-men-days-of-future-past-blink-character-bio.jpg
 
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