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Wkd Box Office 04•24-26•15 - Adeline ages fast & furious, Ultron RULES THE WORLD

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kswiston

Member
I expect Mad Max to play better overseas. The R-Rating will hurt here, but it must be a softer R, since it is getting 14-16 classifications elsewhere.
 
Why is everyone so certain that it will have a lower opening weekend when it had a bigger opening day? The first avengers movie made 80 million opening day. Shouldn't it end up virtually the same?
 

kswiston

Member
You see it clearing 400 mil ww?

I honestly have no clue how well known the franchise is outside of North America. Robocop came close to $250M and had a mediocre reception, so I think that would be the low end. The Kingsman just made $400M, so it is possible of the reception is there. Explosions and car races are known to be pretty popular worldwide :p
 

pestul

Member
I honestly have no clue how well known the franchise is outside of North America. Robocop came close to $250M and had a mediocre reception, so I think that would be the low end. The Kingsman just made $400M, so it is possible of the reception is there. Explosions and car races are known to be pretty popular worldwide :p
That's a really good point about Kingsman. That film was very popular and successful, but still only made $400M. It could be a struggle for MM.. but I guess the summer start time really helps out.
 

shintoki

sparkle this bitch
Pitch Perfect 2 will do bank. First one came out and did well. Since then, it has only built on its following. Expect 250mil when its all said and done.
 
It won't play out that way, the full estimates right now are 202 mil for the weekend. The Thursday preview was 10 mil more front loaded than Avengers 1 don't forget.

Its still possible Saturday could overperform though.

I don't think it will break the record but its still possible
 

BlazinAm

Junior Member
Pitch Perfect 2 will do bank. First one came out and did well. Since then, it has only built on its following. Expect 250mil when its all said and done.

Yeah it's availability on Netflix helped a lot but I wonder if that brings out the day on customers. I don't think so. But it's first weekend should do double what the second weekend of Pitch Perfect did.
 

AHA-Lambda

Member
Its already tracking over 50 mil for opening weekend two weeks out. Movie is going to be big. Young girls are obsessed with Pitch Perfect.

As someone who hasn't seen the first and is not a young girl :)P), why was the movie such a big deal?
 

Ridley327

Member
As someone who hasn't seen the first and is not a young girl :)P), why is this movie a big deal?

It had a really big hit song come out of it, and for reasons that remain very mysterious to me, there are people out there that don't think Rebel Wilson is insufferable.
 

BlazinAm

Junior Member
It would need to open to $75M (or likely more) to hit $250M domestic.

Pitch perfect wide release was 14 million for the weekend now that was in October 2012 so looking at a summer bump and a following; a 40 million opening is more likely. Anyway that weekend is going to be crowded with Max Max opening as well.

Edit: I didn't know the tracking was 50 million. I dunno Mad Max is such an unknown that weekend is going to be very interesting.
 

Caode

Member
Not sure if posted already:

Worldwide:

40xlZLi.jpg
 

Matt_

World's #1 One Direction Fan: Everyone else in the room can see it, everyone else but you~~~
250m for Pitch perfect 2? What am I reading
the movie will open high and will certainly do better than the first but the young girl age group is incredibly front loaded and awareness for this film is through the roof
 

Caode

Member
Is that going to be enough to beat Furious 7's "fastest to $1B" record? It will probably fall short by a few days...

$425 million after 9 days, granted it's only really hit most of it's markets this past week and this weekend but that gives it 8 days (including today) to hit the billion to equal the record of Furious 7 as the fastest to that milestone. (At least I think that's right, haven't checked back on most of the stats from Furious 7)

Furious 7 had it's China debut 9 days after it was initially released though, piling up the cash for it, which this doesn't. It's another 10 days before Age of Ultron opens in China, so it'll be it's 20th day worldwide when it hits China. It's gonna have to put up some serious numbers through out the rest of this coming week.

Someone can correct me on all of that if I'm wrong. I haven't checked if all of that information is solid, just going from memory from reading about it all this past week.
 

AHA-Lambda

Member
It had a really big hit song come out of it, and for reasons that remain very mysterious to me, there are people out there that don't think Rebel Wilson is insufferable.

I feel so out of the loop, I hadn't even heard of Pitch Perfect until people were freaking out about it's sequel =/

And I just listened to the song (I'm guessing it's cups?) it's really mediocre.
 

ViciousDS

Banned
Is that going to be enough to beat Furious 7's "fastest to $1B" record? It will probably fall short by a few days...

shouldn't be hard when age of ultron is pushing 3D premiums....Furious 7 pulled that record with almost no 3D showings at all.....think about how big Furious 7 was at box office, thats fucking insane.
 

Caode

Member
shouldn't be hard when age of ultron is pushing 3D premiums....Furious 7 pulled that record with almost no 3D showings at all.....think about how big Furious 7 was at box office, thats fucking insane.

Furious 7 had a Chinese release earlier in it's run than Avengers has, and it did insane numbers in China, so that could be the difference.
 

Anth0ny

Member
I wonder how much damage the fight will do to AOU's number for today. The hype is unreal right now.

Also, early prediction: If AOU doesn't beat Avengers 1 at the worldwide box office, Civil War surely will. AOU has no hook that comes anywhere close to SPIDER-MAN in MCU. The marketing and build up is going to be insane next year.
 
I wonder how much damage the fight will do to AOU's number for today. The hype is unreal right now.

Also, early prediction: If AOU doesn't beat Avengers 1 at the worldwide box office, Civil War surely will. AOU has no hook that comes anywhere close to SPIDER-MAN in MCU. The marketing and build up is going to be insane next year.

Isn't it all but confirmed that Spider-Man will only have a cameo? TheWrap reported that the actor won't be needed on set until over a month into filming.
 

Penguin

Member
Isn't it all but confirmed that Spider-Man will only have a cameo? TheWrap reported that the actor won't be needed on set until over a month into filming.

As they say, things change.

I could see it being expanded or them really pushing his appearance.

It is a big attention getter.
 

Oersted

Member
Still have to watch Pitch Perfect. Too many I know love the shit out of the film.

I wonder how much damage the fight will do to AOU's number for today. The hype is unreal right now.

Also, early prediction: If AOU doesn't beat Avengers 1 at the worldwide box office, Civil War surely will. AOU has no hook that comes anywhere close to SPIDER-MAN in MCU. The marketing and build up is going to be insane next year.

-puts Offtopic on Ignore-
 
Using Age of Ultron as a basis of comparison:

Betting Spidey gets a War Machine sized role. Black Panther will probably get a Thor sized role.
 

Corpsepyre

Banned
Record Shrecord. The only film that'll beat ABUDAAH at the box office is going to be Terminator: Genisys. Please, be excited for that masterpiece.
 

Anth0ny

Member
Isn't it all but confirmed that Spider-Man will only have a cameo? TheWrap reported that the actor won't be needed on set until over a month into filming.

I haven't been following the production of the film too closely, but I still wouldn't be surprised if he was all over the marketing and build up of the film.

Nonetheless, a cameo of Spider-Man is a cameo of Spider-Man. The hook for Avengers 1 was having all of these awesome superheroes together for the first time on the big screen. It worked wonders. The hook for Avengers 2 was... it's Avengers! Again! I guess this time there's Quicksilver and Scarlet Witch, too? And Ultron is a cool villain?

The idea of Iron Man vs. Captain America in Civil War already seems more interesting than Age of Ultron, honestly. Throw Spidey in the mix, too? I think you're looking at the biggest Marvel film since Avengers 1.
 

Toothless

Member
I wonder how much damage the fight will do to AOU's number for today. The hype is unreal right now.

Also, early prediction: If AOU doesn't beat Avengers 1 at the worldwide box office, Civil War surely will. AOU has no hook that comes anywhere close to SPIDER-MAN in MCU. The marketing and build up is going to be insane next year.

This is going to sound really stupid, but the one thing I think might hold back Civil War right now is the branding. It's just another Captain America movie there. At this point, with all the people in it (Captain America, Black Panther, Spider-Man, Falcon, Scarlet Witch, Vision, Iron Man, Hawkeye, Black Widow with probably
War Machine and Ant-Man
), calling it "Captain America" seems stupid even if Cap is the main character.

Just retitle it "Marvel's Civil War" and boom, tons more money.
 
I want Mad Max to do $150-200m in the US and >$600m worldwide, but that'll be very tricky. The movie looks fucking great though.

Pitch Perfect 2 will do >$500m worldwide with about half of that in the US. Pitch Perfect 3 will be so huge that tentpole blockbusters will reschedule around it.

I'm revising my Avengers 2 totals down to $205m weekend, $530m US and $1.6b worldwide.
 
Deadline saying a 30% decline for Saturday due to the boxing match (which supposedly pulled in $400m in ppv revenue). That means a $59m Saturday. Weekend looking like $190m or so tops. So 2nd best overall, and still a shitload of money.
 
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