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Wkd Box Office 1218-2015 - Force Awakens does good... gOOOood, opens w/ $248m
- Thread starter xaosslug
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Dunedain_Ranger
Member
I think it's possible a lot of Christmas gift cards about to be spent !!
BronsonLee
Member
Disney Currently:
That is a bet no one will be willing to make. The high end of the super hero genre is much much lower than the high-end for Star Wars. If BvS breaks through and is a full on Avengers level film on the scale of the first Avengers that is still nowhere near being at a Star Wars or Avatar level.
And honestly I just do not sense a ton of crazy hype for BvS lately. Each showing of SW I see the Cap trailer always plays better it seems.
My gut feeling is Civil War will be the bigger film of the two.
Even as a Marvel fanboy I'm expecting Batman v Superman to outgross Civil War. The first DC on-screen team-up just feels like more of an event than Civil War does right now. (Then again, Marvel might knock it out of the park with the marketing)
BvS is going to do pretty well. But yeah, I don't think it touches Avengers on the all time list. I bet the Justice League movie does though. Possibly...
Diprosalic
Banned
i'm going to eat a hat if BvS makes more money than Civil War.
Mix Master
Member
Civil war is going to do 900M-1B, somewhere Less than Iron man 3 IMO.
RonnocTheRed
Neo Member
I want to see BvS more than I do Civil War (still excited about that one, though), however I'll be rather surprised if it outdraws it even domestically. If BvS works, I think Justice League might have a chance of being serious box office competition to Marvel, but not just yet.
igordennis
Member
Im not feeling the BvS hype. I think it will underperform on the box office. That last trailer was bad.
That's the gut feeling I had. That last trailer just fell flat it feels like. Civil War just feels like it has the hype far more. And I say that as someone who is more a DC guy than a Marvel guy.
Interfectum
Member
It looks really dumb, almost transformers level dumb.
The Doomsday stuff just looked awful and just so amateur hour cgi baddie stuff. Reminded me of the marketing for Incredible Hulk, which is not a good thing.
I am curious to see if Rogue One can pull the #1 domestic title next year. Having Darth Vader in the trailers played by James Earl Jones is going to get asses in the seats.
I am curious to see if Rogue One can pull the #1 domestic title next year. Having Darth Vader in the trailers played by James Earl Jones is going to get asses in the seats.
Not so sure, if the film is good
It will hit 700M overseas (big markets like UK'll reach 60M ; France 25M ; Germany 15-20M ; Italy 10M ; Spain 10M)
For comparison:
Country - Man of Steel - Avengers 2
UK -----------46M ------------76.6M
France -------21M ------------34.2M
Germany -----10M -----------31.2M
Italy ----------6.1M -----------18.1M
Spain --------10M ------------8M
Interfectum
Member
I'm really looking forward to Rogue One now. I hope they don't fuck it up and deflate hype for episode 8.
FullMetalx117
Member
Yeah I don't see BvS doing too well either. At this point having a bunch of superheros together on screen is kind of getting old. Avengers did well because it was the first time multiple heroes together on screen was perfectly executed. If anything BvS looks kind of silly and painfully obvious they're chasing the MCU money (that Wonder Woman showing up killed me hahahaha)
Hopefully we go back to the singular superhero movie glory days of Spider-Man 2, The Dark Knight, etc.
Hopefully we go back to the singular superhero movie glory days of Spider-Man 2, The Dark Knight, etc.
Ninja Scooter
Member
I think superhero fatigue might start to set in too. Not to say the DC/Marvel movies still won't make bank (and the same thing will happen to Star Wars once Disney stars pumping out a movie every year) but I think we may have reached the ceiling on super hero movies.
Charles Foster Kane
Rosebud
Pretty good number.
Insane. That's like 2X the all time record, correct?
That's right. I however wonder if it will still manage to beat Avatar's New Year's record of 25 million.
Yup. And killing avatars pace.
PhoncipleBone
Banned
It will, but probably not by 2x.
Absolutely, and it's not just the movies that will cause superhero fatigue.
Part of the blame also goes to comic book TV shows like Supergirl, The Flash, Daredevil, Jessica Jones.
We didn't have all of these comic book TV shows when movies like The Dark Knight and Iron Man came out.
Awesome. Really want it to hit 50 or over though.
So we thinking about $150 for the weekend then I guess?
$140-160
Chance to go higher than 160... But needs massive Saturday and Sunday viewings
Scorpion Soldier
Member
Marketing-wise Marvel is showcasing it as an event film like The Avengers, so Iron Man 3 numbers aren't out of the question for Civil War. Along with the massive critical reception following Winter Soldier.
As you said, if the film is good. I guess it all depends on the marketing, so far the trailers have been bad, and at least in Spain outside of a couple of forums no one knows about the movie at this point, Europe is Marvel-country.
The next Batman movie looks horrible. If that underperforms it will because it was a turd.
The Avengers and most of the Marvel movies cast such a wide net that they will continue to do find as long as the movies remains decent to good. At least until the kids latch onto something else to replace them. I think they have a ways to go before they run out of stories.
ProudCanuck
Banned
This is likely the biggest box office thread ever here . And will be till episode 11 or BvS
that explains why GAF has been slow lately and getting 40404 errors.
We've probably reached the ceiling on Star Wars movies as well. No future film will have the pent-up demand of a 10+ year wait, plus the return of Han Solo, Leia, & Luke.
Disney is never going to put Star Wars on hiatus like Lucasfilm essentially did for 20-30 years, so future releases will not be as big of a deal.
You're really looking ahead huh.
Must be the episode where everything is revealed to be the dream of Padme.
The OT cast has nothing to do with the success, the movie would have worked without them.
Also, we finally have a competent director.
Don't sequels most of the time perform much better?
CrichtonKicks
Member
Not necessarily. With Star Wars Eps 1 and 4 were the highest grossing of their respective trilogies. Same with Indiana Jones and BTTF.
metalslimer
Member
I really hope after 9 is finished they don't come out with 10 like 3 years later. There's something magical about the series only being on number 7 after almost 40 years
PhoncipleBone
Banned
The movie would not have worked without Han.
But, seeing the old characters again was a big deal. The film would have been a hit either way.
Got to disagree. I'd rather Star Wars not be as magical than having to wait until I'm like 60 to see the next one (32 now). Could be dead by then who knows!
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