That´s fantastic. Like the previous article, great stuff. This is how analytics should come into to play, not just that BS Hollinger used to write.
It´s amazing because like five minutes ago i was talking with a colleague from work who is a die hard Lakers fan and we were bashing Dwight Howard for being a stupid shot blocker whose blocked shots often turn into layups or new possessions for the other team.
I hate his spikes to the ball and now i´m glad there statistical evidence to show that he is, indeed, making the wrong basketball play by not keeping the ball inbounds.
I have an issue with people who make up their own statistic on the spot and then some formula they arbitrarily made, as this guys does with MBV. Hollinger used to do that nonsense all the time.
I also disagree that spiking the ball out of bounds is always a bad play. For example, in a really low shot clock situation, it's probably better to spike the ball out of bounds than to keep it in play, because keeping it in play doesn't guarantee the ball will go to your team, and may result in a guy 5 feet from the basket getting the ball and getting a clean look vs. spiking it out and forcing a team to (usually) hoist up a contested jumper when there's < 2 seconds left on the clock.
Also, despite popular opinion, I still believe in momentum and confidence. I think spiking a ball out of bounds with authority may actually give your team more momentum. Obviously this is just an eye test kind of thing, and there's no hard data to support or deny what I just said.