This gauntlet may actually end up being close. Elise under performed and Priscilla over performed with the bonus, which actually cost the team a bonus (and me a lot of multiplier points) but the "predicted" Elise victory keeps shrinking because her team has under performed extrapolation every hour since the bonus as well.
It looks like the creator is honing in and predicted less per hour now, but as it stands he is predicting an Elise victory of 385,000,000, but that is down from a prediction of 578,000,000 just a couple hours ago.