RustyNails
Member
I mean, they already called him an ISIS supporter so there is no bottom here.
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Georgia special election heads to runoff as Ossoff earns 48% of vote
- Thread starter RPGCrazied
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TheCochese
Banned
I'll let the Upshot explain why we shouldn't read anything into the early numbers as well.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/18/...ct-the-early-vote-count-to-be-misleading.html
It's a complicated district right now. But I'll repeat: today is Ossoff's best chance by a large margin.
No real reason. Laziness?
djplaeskool
Member
lol
Just drove by a bunch of people dancing outside with "Vote Your Ossoff" signs
Just drove by a bunch of people dancing outside with "Vote Your Ossoff" signs
RPGCrazied
Member
Vote your Ossoff is a pretty cool slogan. I like.
whyamihere
Banned
People are being way too bullish on Ossoff's chances today but way too bearish on his chances in a runoff. #hottake
We're trusting polling now?
polling was accurate in the 2016 GE
AntraxSuicide
Banned
I don't think this matters here. In Georgia they count by recent votes not party registration (I think), so if you voted in the Dem primary or something like that, you're counted as a Dem regardless of registration.
Edit: but your point above still stands, today is the better shot.
TheCochese
Banned
You might be right. It either changed, or just counted my prior votes. Would explain why I didn't get any flyers while my wife did (anti-Trump primary vote).
When I went to vote in 1996, I distinctly remember registering. But I can't recall why.
whyamihere
Banned
It's the last primary you voted in. Party affiliation numbers in Georgia are fairly useless. Not entirely, but more so than states with hard reg.
RPGCrazied
Member
Any Georgians have any updates?
djplaeskool
Member
Yeah, I'm not really confident in a 50+1% today, but he'll be no slouch in a runoff.
whyamihere
Banned
He's polling at parity in a runoff with a diminishing number of undecideds. It's going to be close in a runoff.
I bet he gets about 46-48% tonight and then we'll just have to see in June. Could go either way.
TheCochese
Banned
Remembering back twenty-plus years ago is hard. I may have genuinely misremembered.
Spotty showers in the area. That's all I got. None of the people I used to work with in politics will take my calls anymore. I'm a traitor now. lol
negreenfield
Member
I'm in Forsyth so I can't vote for this otherwise I'd be voting Ossoff. I know of 5 coworkers that live in this district. 2 definitely voted for Ossoff, I'm going to guess that 1 of the others did as well, the 4th is a wild card, he's more libertarian I know he voted 3rd party for president. I'm betting the 5th didn't vote. There's your anecdotal useless info you can extrapolate if you like though!
Edit: And yes it is pouring outside of my office window very loudly right now.
Edit: And yes it is pouring outside of my office window very loudly right now.
RPGCrazied
Member
I see this on AJC website.
BREAKING NEWS 6th District vote: Fulton seeks to extend polling hours
whyamihere
Banned
Wow Ossoff's got this.
This is promising
Nov 8th should have drove the message home strong about never counting your chickens till they hatch... should mentally prepare ourselves.
Unless you are able to vote in this election, then you should be voting and encouraging your friends, family and neighbors to vote above all else
whyamihere
Banned
it was a joke.
Tinfoilhatsron
Banned
Just voted Ossoff.
whyamihere
Banned
So, turnout in GA-06 could be anywhere from 130,00 to 157,000. As of now, we have 54,000 votes from the EV.
Total turnout in GA-06 at the prez level was 331,000. Let's say that it'll be 157,000, which is 47% of the total vote in 2016.
73,901 people voted in DeKalb in 2016, which is the most Dem part of GA-06. Right now, about 16,000 people have voted in DeKalb, which is about ~50% of where the turnout should be. Given that post people vote in the afternoon/night, this is generally a good thing and is mostly matching turnout of a midterm.
It's going to be close, even though I think that Ossoff will end up around 47%.
Total turnout in GA-06 at the prez level was 331,000. Let's say that it'll be 157,000, which is 47% of the total vote in 2016.
73,901 people voted in DeKalb in 2016, which is the most Dem part of GA-06. Right now, about 16,000 people have voted in DeKalb, which is about ~50% of where the turnout should be. Given that post people vote in the afternoon/night, this is generally a good thing and is mostly matching turnout of a midterm.
It's going to be close, even though I think that Ossoff will end up around 47%.
RPGCrazied
Member
I really don't want a runoff. Then the Republicans can unite behind one person. I think his best chance is winning it tonight.
LegendofJoe
Member
Fixed
whyamihere
Banned
I think everyone is generally overestimating his chances tonight and generally underestimating his chances in a runoff.
RPGCrazied
Member
Just nervous. I mean Newt fucking Gingrich held this seat before.
Hypemaster
Member
peachtree street
peachtree street
peachtree road
peachtree street
peachtree road
Eh. It's the same # seat. But the geographic area covered is 100% different.
whyamihere
Banned
I ~believe~ it has some of the same parts, but it was further north. It had no DeKalb in it.
Yeah I saw an article that kept talking about all the other articles saying it was the same district when it is different. Looked like a different area completely by the picture of the old district.
Chocolate & Vanilla
Fuck Strawberry
Is there a live results tracker like there was for the Kansas vote last week?
RPGCrazied
Member
I don't see one, you'd think this one, that has a national audience would have one.
Dubbedinenglish
Banned
Still balmy, lots of pollen.
whyamihere
Banned
It's hard to find old district lines, but the ones I could see from when Isakson was congressman was that it had north Fulton where it sort of turns into the tip on the east side, Cobb, and then some more north of Cobb and Fulton. But no DeKalb.
Veritigo_X
Member
I'm sure both the NYT and Decision Desk HQ will have one go live once we get closer to polls closing.
Edit: DDHQ link is already live, no results yet obviously: https://decisiondeskhq.com/results/georgia-6th-congressional-district-ga06-special-election-primary/
Chocolate & Vanilla
Fuck Strawberry
RoninChaos
Member
Is that the Kroger right there at the edge of Canton, across from the dollar store?
RPGCrazied
Member
Another attack I see is Ossoff doesn't even live in this district. But its not in the rules saying you have to be. Plus he said he would move if he wins.
TheCochese
Banned
Canton Rd/New Chastain Rd
RoninChaos
Member
Where did they say the van was parked? Every single store in that place looks out into the parking lot. lol
Oh what!? I shop there semi-frequently (more often a few years back when I lived around the corner). Huh.
TheCochese
Banned
Dunno. The Kroger isn't 24h anymore, and most of the shops aren't open after about 6.
RPGCrazied
Member
There it is!!! What a loser. Just now.
Dead Prince
Banned
BREAKING: Trump just read that Ossoff doesn't live in the district, rage post on twitter.
RPGCrazied
Member
Just like your family that is registered to vote in multiple states?
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