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Major East Coast Storm to Hit Mid-Atlantic and New England Tuesday
- Thread starter Mully
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NYC is already at 5.5 inches. I'd be careful using TWC totals for two reasons.
1. Most of their good meteorologists left after the NBC merger.
2. TWC has underforecasted this storm after the North American models started having convective feedback issues last night.
Maybe I have to revisit some of them. I just wasn't a huge fan of Jim's, Steve's, or Tony Luke's. I've never been to Jimmy G's or Dalessandro's though. It's hard to eat healthy in Philly!
Manhattan here.
Weather.gov still says 10-14 inches tonight and 7-11 inches tomorrow, but I have a feeling that's not going to happen.
Aren't wunderground.com and weather.com owned by the same parent company? Wunderground only says 5-8 inches tonight and 1-3 inches tomorrow.
Accuweather's are closer to NOAA's.
Weather.gov still says 10-14 inches tonight and 7-11 inches tomorrow, but I have a feeling that's not going to happen.
Aren't wunderground.com and weather.com owned by the same parent company? Wunderground only says 5-8 inches tonight and 1-3 inches tomorrow.
Accuweather's are closer to NOAA's.
spindashing
Banned
That weather alert on my phone almost made me lose my soul.
My dad went to work today... Crap, I'll need to call him up.
My dad went to work today... Crap, I'll need to call him up.
In Northern Jersey they said it was going to start at 1 PM.
When it got to 1 PM, they changed it to begin at 5 PM.
At 5 PM nothing happened, and they said expect snow to begin at 8 PM.
As soon as 8 PM struck, they changed the start of the blizzard at 10 PM.
Soon after it was switched to 12 AM.
Now it is stating no snow until 3 AM.
The period of the "blizzard" also shortened significantly from earlier in the day. They are displaying the blizzard to last from 3 AM to 6 AM, to where as it initially had a forecast of an 8 hour storm.
When it got to 1 PM, they changed it to begin at 5 PM.
At 5 PM nothing happened, and they said expect snow to begin at 8 PM.
As soon as 8 PM struck, they changed the start of the blizzard at 10 PM.
Soon after it was switched to 12 AM.
Now it is stating no snow until 3 AM.
The period of the "blizzard" also shortened significantly from earlier in the day. They are displaying the blizzard to last from 3 AM to 6 AM, to where as it initially had a forecast of an 8 hour storm.
triplestation
Member
I think it's gonna start snowing later at night and we'll wake up in the morning to bare witness that true shit
Slayer-33
Liverpool-2
Apparently it hasn't started
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=32154&st=3840
And it's moving w sw
Check one of the posts with the radar.
http://forums.accuweather.com/index.php?showtopic=32154&st=3840
And it's moving w sw
Check one of the posts with the radar.
NAM was east this run. That said there are some indications that NAM initialized the storm too far east from where the storm actually is at this point.
We're too close for global models and too dynamic for short range models, and no one model really agrees with each other. The pros are flying blind.
That said there's two heavy bands coming through the NY metro:
We're too close for global models and too dynamic for short range models, and no one model really agrees with each other. The pros are flying blind.
That said there's two heavy bands coming through the NY metro:
triplestation
Member
I CANT FEEL MY LEGS
Ace Harding
Member
Fuck this. I need to stop fiendishly refreshing these weather sites, go make a fire and some soup, and finally finish Chrono Trigger.
TarpitCarnivore
Member
Not sure where you are but that giant mass off the coast is getting ready to wrap back around.
Steve's is objectively the best. American without. Om nom nom.
spindashing
Banned
Whoa. Cuomo said that there's a $300 fine/misdemeanor charge for non emergency people who drive after 11pm? Anyone else hear of this?
I guess I'm not going to work tomorrow. My father apparently will be staying at work. Damn...
I guess I'm not going to work tomorrow. My father apparently will be staying at work. Damn...
AbortedWalrusFetus
Member
If you like Steve's give Jimmy G's a try. I think they are just as good. I love the sliced > chopped mentality. Still, gotta have them onions.
Delicious Waffles
Member
They closed schools in NYC so, whether it's two inches or two feet, I get to sleep in. I'm happy.
PumpkinSpice
Banned
Good. Anyone out driving in a blizzard has a deathwish and is just going to create more emergencies.
YES. Sliced is so much better than chopped. I like Steve's the best because they melt American cheese so it has the consistency of whiz but... Isn't whiz.
But uh I'll stay on topic now. Not snowing right now where I am in philly. Hope it does.
Heh yeah, this storm has been rather underwhelming so far here in northern NJ. I was expecting the cars out front to be completely covered in snow and to be without power and shit. I realize it's not over yet but so far it has been a complete bust.
AbortedWalrusFetus
Member
It's flurrying. Jimmy G's uses some mixture that tastes like american but has the consistency of wiz. I think they opened about a year or so ago. Maybe a little longer.
Delicious Waffles
Member
I heard it this afternoon. Thing is, how would they enforce this? The plow drivers reporting license plates or something? I doubt cops would be out driving around.
Ace Harding
Member
ALERT Weather Savior John Bolaris has reduced his snow totals for the Philadelphia area!
As much of a joke this guy usually is I actually like his updates.
http://weathersavior.com
He's saying 2"-4" in th city. PSHHHHH
As much of a joke this guy usually is I actually like his updates.
http://weathersavior.com
He's saying 2"-4" in th city. PSHHHHH
His website is literally weathersavior.com? Wow.
I don't know who to believe!
John Bolaris has been almost consistently wrong every time I've read his column on the inquirer website. Taking this with a massive grain of salt.
thecouncil
Banned
Far, far northeast Philadelphia. The snow is coming down now. Streets are covered. People are driving with their blinkers on. (This is my snow report from looking out the window.)
Remember when, years and years ago, this guy incorrectly predicted a huge snowstorm, we got nothing and then he got death threats until he left town? Ha. Oh, Philly. We are something, alright.
D'alessandro's wins.
Remember when, years and years ago, this guy incorrectly predicted a huge snowstorm, we got nothing and then he got death threats until he left town? Ha. Oh, Philly. We are something, alright.
D'alessandro's wins.
dreamgiver032
Neo Member
SShhhhiiit, I live by Lake Erie, and we got 2-4 today.
Just another winter day along the Lake Effect region, lol...
John Snowlaris. Never forget.
thecouncil
Banned
Yeah, but his job isn't to look out his kitchen window.
dreamgiver032
Neo Member
yeah, let me know if any of you guys end up getting more than a foot... I feel better when knowing other people are just as miserable as I.
I'm sorry but this made me laugh because I think this is what he does.
Ace Harding
Member
haha I love that people on GAF remember those Bolaris stories. He is kind of a clown. But I think he might be right this time. Other people are slowly backing off those higher snow totals and giving huge ranges like 2-10".
terrisus
Member
Christopher
Member
Honestly though on a local level I heard nothing about enforcing it. Perhaps they have highway units out to make sure everyones off the road
Ace Harding
Member
Bolaris redeemed!
Radar has steadily been filling in for the past hour. I'd hold off on the bust posts until tomorrow morning. It's only 9:30PM. Blizzard conditions have been expected to begin after 10PM or later in NY metro.
The 500MB low is really close to closing off, which would rapidly intensify the storm and bring it slightly west. There is some indication given how the banding has filled in over the past hour that this is extremely close to happening a few hours before it was expected. Along with that the storm is moving slightly slower than expected.
With that said, I always thought Philly was going to be on the fringe. It may get 8-12 out of this, but Philly is in a weird place for Nor'easters always. It's too far away from the coast, and not far south enough to grab a storm as it transitions to a coastal storm. I've never been a fan of Philly for Nor'easters. I shake my head every time Philly forecasters scream Blizzard when they are so far away from the the storm and it's deformation band. It never makes any sense to me.
The 500MB low is really close to closing off, which would rapidly intensify the storm and bring it slightly west. There is some indication given how the banding has filled in over the past hour that this is extremely close to happening a few hours before it was expected. Along with that the storm is moving slightly slower than expected.
With that said, I always thought Philly was going to be on the fringe. It may get 8-12 out of this, but Philly is in a weird place for Nor'easters always. It's too far away from the coast, and not far south enough to grab a storm as it transitions to a coastal storm. I've never been a fan of Philly for Nor'easters. I shake my head every time Philly forecasters scream Blizzard when they are so far away from the the storm and it's deformation band. It never makes any sense to me.
Ravijn
Member
I just checked my Accuweather app and it's saying just about the same thing.
Edit - Mully, thanks for the info you are giving out. I'm really enjoying the maps and such.
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