Meanwhile, filed under Completely Foreseeable Consequence of Citizen's United ruling: Romney campaign efforts receiving foreign money.
Panetta believes Israel could strike Iran this spring
By Barbara Starr
#############
Sabre rattling or for real this time? And how would this change our election this year?
Media Matters: Fox's Gutfeld On Trump Endorsement: "It's Almost Like Donald Trump Is Uniting America, Which Makes Him The True Hero"
Is it just me, or is everything related to politics getting dumber the past few weeks? I mean you have Romney's historic "I don't care about poor people gaf. They have a safety net." which pissed off conservatives just as much as it pissed off everyone else, you have people hyping Trump, a pretend billionaire, giving his endorsement, to the point of Fox News people calling him "The True Hero who is uniting America". I mean we have had some stupid shit that has happened during the Republican primaries, but this week seems particularly stupid.
Was that before or after he "declined to take a position" on it?
I'm sorry, dude, but you're essentially putting yourself in the same category as those who believe Stephen Colbert is an actual Republican. I'd say around 80% of whatever Gutfeld says is sarcasm, though he does lean to right (as Colbert leans to the left).
Why does Ohio have such a large population, I thought the state sucked? Could it be true that once you enter... you're stuck forever? But seriously, I couldn't name one city from the state and only after looking up did I recognize Columbus. Non-USA here of course, but still, this is supposedly THE state to watch every single election. You guys and your weird elections, I mean, I can have the most votes and lose! Fancy that. *sips tea*
Meanwhile, filed under Completely Foreseeable Consequence of Citizen's United ruling: Romney campaign efforts receiving foreign money.
Not even close.After it's all said and done Citizen's United will probably go down as one of the worst Supreme Court decisions of all time.
It is obviously going way over your head, then. Gutfeld is one of the true bright spots on fox news.Shocking if true. Gutfeld honestly strikes me as that much of an idiot.
It is obviously going way over your head, then. Gutfeld is one of the true bright spots on fox news.
Not true, the census is in the department of commerce, where it has always been.Obama moved the census into the white house making it partisan
I seriously doubt we could've destroyed it.Obama was a coward by not destroying that drone over Iran, we could have done it without detection (kinda agree with this)
He did nothing on this front, that is trueObama failed to go after lobbyist.
So my father and I clash on a lot of political views, I'm going to post some things he has said and see what you guys think. Don't bring anyone else into this, Romney, Newt, just about Obama.
My father has claimed:
Obama moved the census into the white house making it partisan
Obama was a coward by not destroying that drone over Iran, we could have done it without detection (kinda agree with this)
Obama failed to go after lobbyist.
That's it for now, unleash the hounds, PoliGAF.
So my father and I clash on a lot of political views, I'm going to post some things he has said and see what you guys think. Don't bring anyone else into this, Romney, Newt, just about Obama.
My father has claimed:
Obama moved the census into the white house making it partisan
Obama was a coward by not destroying that drone over Iran, we could have done it without detection (kinda agree with this)
Obama failed to go after lobbyist.
That's it for now, unleash the hounds, PoliGAF.
The Census has a liberal bias.
It's typical alarmist drivel. Prognosticators have been prophesying an Israeli strike for years. Yet it never occurs.Sabre rattling or for real this time? And how would this change our election this year?
I suppose the premise is intuitively cogent. But it contradicts our understanding of presidential elections. Presidential elections function as a retrospective judgement on the incumbent's performance. Whether success or failure, the electorate ascribes responsibility to the incumbent; typically, economic growth exerts a significant influence on the electorate's evaluation, although other events such as war are occasionally salient. Thus, the prospects of a depressed economy benefiting Obama are negligible. It has not occurred before. And I would not expect a reversal if it were to transpire this cycle.I also don't see why disgruntled unemployed people would flock to "I like to be able to fire people" Romney. If the economy tanks and there's a wave of economic populist resentment it could just as easily turn on him rather than Obama as the incumbent.
I mean just today while still reeling from another rich asshole gaffe, he's making an appearance with Donald "You're Fired" Trump. He's clueless.
Perhaps. Although, as I've noted before, the importance of a candidate's idiosyncratic qualities are conventionally inflated. That is, a dynamic personality is not necessary to win a presidential election.There is no Clinton in the Republican party. No one even close.
This is a nice graphic, not much to glean from it, but I like the info.
It's typical alarmist drivel. Prognosticators have been prophesying an Israeli strike for years. Yet it never occurs. I suppose the premise is intuitively cogent. But it contradicts our understanding of presidential elections. Presidential elections function as a retrospective judgement on the incumbent's performance. Whether success or failure, the electorate ascribes responsibility to the incumbent; typically, economic growth exerts a significant influence on the electorate's evaluation, although other events such as war are occasionally salient. Thus, the prospects of a depressed economy benefiting Obama are negligible. It has not occurred before. And I would not expect a reversal if it were to transpire this cycle.Perhaps. Although, as I've noted before, the importance of a candidate's idiosyncratic qualities are conventionally inflated. That is, a dynamic personality is not necessary to win a presidential election.
- We should just except anyone who "falls through the cracks" and not waste time trying to help them
.
I don't know what it was like wherever you live, but in 2011, gas prices in Minnesota were over 4 dollars in the summer and came down below 3 in the fall.Gas prices didn't do much at all last fall or this winter. Record highs that are going to come down for no other reason? Yeal, politico is the odd one here.
Nice thesaurus
You can't be serious.
It's off to the right...Would be nice if that graph had a legend. Not that you need one to understand what it says but it would be easier.
Not everyone has to have the exact same writing style.Nice thesaurus
It's off to the right...
I think the article make some leaps of logic toward the end, but honestly, I'm not really an expert on the subject, and I can't be bothered to really go and fact check it (that's how those fuckers get away with it, by making it fucking boring).I'm in a graph mood tonight, sorry.
Global QE bubble.
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2012/01/living-in-a-qe-world/
He was National Vice President of the Market Technicans Association in 1996. His work is devoted primarily to the fixed income markets, emphasizing the money flow characteristics of primary dealers, mutual funds, hedge funds, futures traders, banks, and institutional investors. Prior to joining Arbor and Bianco Research, Jim spent five years in New York, as a market strategist in equity and fixed income research at UBS Securities and as an equity technical analyst with First Boston and Shearson Lehman Brothers.
I dunno, seems like a solid resume to me.
Rep. Heath Shuler (D-NC) will not run for re-election, the Asheville Citizen-Times reports.
I'm interested to see how the BEA's state GDP data corresponds to individual employment growth. They typically release the preceding year's data in June. I'll have to wait. The most recent data from 2010 may not yield an especially precise assessment. But I can discern a rough congruence.This is a nice graphic, not much to glean from it, but I like the info.
Please.Nice thesaurus
I would've never guessed you're an MMT guy.Most economists, including, incidentally, Paul Krugman, don't understand how the system functions operationally (although Krugman may be in the process of evolving). They rely on long-established tropes about the system passed down to them by their goldbug economics professors, e.g., that tax revenues fund the government, that banks lend based on their reserves, etc. (And understandably so; after all, the US was on a gold standard when their professors learned all these things.) But we have virtually a whole profession that has yet to come to grips with the implications of what happened in 1971.
I'm not attacking Bianco alone. I'm attacking virtually the entire economics profession.
Not everyone has to have the exact same writing style.
Democrats tend to suck a messaging. Not that I blame them as much as others, as the American electorate is completely absent-minded most of the time. But yeah, you can count on a lot of Democrats missing their opportunity to underscore why the GOP doesn't deserve the White House.Come on guys, Obama has this in the bag, economy or no economy. People are disappointed, but not disappointed enough to vote for the party of no. The negative ads against republicans and their shenanigans are going to be gold. You're all underestimating how much ammo there is against them after these 4 years.
It might not be losing steam but I don't see it going anywhere. Which will be a grand opportunity for the GOP to distort the crap out of reality.I think Obama loses if the economy is losing steam around the election period. If we're seeing improvement, at even moderate pace, I think he wins.
You really think so? He might not be as tough as I'm currently thinking he is in the GE, but a poor candidate? No way. McCain was a rather poor candidate. Dole was an embarrassingly poor candidate. Romney has his shit together. I think he will prove to be a formidable candidate if he gets the messaging right, and given the campaign finance overhaul and the wet dream GOPers will finally be able to make reality as a result, they will be making extremely tactful moves. Romney = "economy guy" to Joe Voter. He's a moderate, derp. He has business experience that Obama lacks, derp. He knows stuff about fixing companies (even though he doesn't), derp. I'm gonna vote for him!Romney will be a poor candidate,
His campaign is definitely legit, no disagreement there. The electoral map could go either way. I really do think Romney will be very competetive here in PA, and will come closer than any Republican since the Reagan days of actually having a chance of winning the state. Name recognition in Michigan can help him there, too.and Obama's organization is for1midable; his electoral map is still a favorable one to boot.
Did it backfire on them the most, or Washington as a whole? Ever since the dust settled after that debacle, Obama's approval rating took a considerable hit and he has yet to fully recover from it. It hurt the GOP, too, but I don't know if it's fair to say they were the ones who suffered the most. It made regard for Capitol Hill sink to historic lows, and a lot of people started to lose faith in the President's ability to lead. Basically, the public said "Democrats and Republicans in Congress suck more than we ever thought, and the President still doesn't know what the fuck he's doing."If the economy takes a hit the way it did last summer during the debt showdown, then his odds worsen considerably. But looking at the calendar, I don't see opportunity for the GOP to inflict such wounds so readily. The only real shot is with the extension of tax cuts and UI benefits shortly, and considering how badly it backfired on them last time, I'm not worried on that one.
Oh, isn't this the dipshit that tried to take Pelosi's job?ToxicAdam said:Blue Dog, former NFL player.
Diablos we agree on many things, but I'm gonna slap you the next time you say Obama is in trouble in PA.
No idea, but:Anybody know where I can find the statistics on household discretionary income in the United States?
I can appreciate your optimism, but really? I doubt this.White House - Obama
Senate - Democrats keep a majority with 51-53 seats
House - Democrats take a narrow majority
The filibuster will still be an issue, but we'll be better off.
Sup buddy. I said Romney would be more competitive than any GOPer since H.W. Bush in PA. I did not say Obama is doomed.
What do you think about Michigan?
The GOP will always distort. The question is whether people perceive things getting better. Signs point to yes. More than GOP spin, data feeds that.It might not be losing steam but I don't see it going anywhere. Which will be a grand opportunity for the GOP to distort the crap out of reality.
I think he got through most of the primary by keeping his mouth shut and letting the not-Romney's duke it out. But once he had to open his mouth, look at what happened:You really think so? He might not be as tough as I'm currently thinking he is in the GE, but a poor candidate? No way. McCain was a rather poor candidate. Dole was an embarrassingly poor candidate. Romney has his shit together. I think he will prove to be a formidable candidate if he gets the messaging right, and given the campaign finance overhaul and the wet dream GOPers will finally be able to make reality as a result, they will be making extremely tactful moves. Romney = "economy guy" to Joe Voter. He's a moderate, derp. He has business experience that Obama lacks, derp. He knows stuff about fixing companies (even though he doesn't), derp. I'm gonna vote for him!
He's not going to win PA. Or, thanks to his primary positions, New Mexico, Colorado or Nevada. Which makes getting elected difficult (but not impossible).His campaign is definitely legit, no disagreement there. The electoral map could go either way. I really do think Romney will be very competetive here in PA, and will come closer than any Republican since the Reagan days of actually having a chance of winning the state. Name recognition in Michigan can help him there, too.
It backfired on Republicans. It was during that showdown that polls such as the generic ballot measures began moving back toward the Democrats:Did it backfire on them the most, or Washington as a whole? Ever since the dust settled after that debacle, Obama's approval rating took a considerable hit and he has yet to fully recover from it. It hurt the GOP, too, but I don't know if it's fair to say they were the ones who suffered the most. It made regard for Capitol Hill sink to historic lows, and a lot of people started to lose faith in the President's ability to lead. Basically, the public said "Democrats and Republicans in Congress suck more than we ever thought, and the President still doesn't know what the fuck he's doing."