And nv seems like it's in the bag. What timezone are they in?
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PoliGAF 2012 |OT4|: Your job is not to worry about 47% of these posts.
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I actually did not see this before I made my map believe it or not O_O
Nevada is PST.And nv seems like it's in the bag. What timezone are they in?
Dems have the youth vote on lockdown for 2016/2020: http://magazines.scholastic.com/Election-2012/Vote
ErasureAcer
Banned
NH really only plays in if he's going for 269(Ohio/Wisconsin). Nevada or Iowa give Obama the win. NH just ties it at 269 assuming VA, CO, FL fall.
Because he thought Romney already WAS put away, kinda like AlteredBeast over here.
Crap, I was hoping mountain. Oh we'll. hopefully Colorado goes blue then
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
Yeah, OH and IA means a win, end of story.
AlteredBeast
Fork 'em, Sparky!
Ohio is out of play for Romney. Iowa is mostly out of play, too, but who knows.
Who knows, over-confident, over-worked, mind elsewhere (it was on his anniversary). What matters now is that he rectified it and he's not lying down now.
Anyway, I'm glad the 271 idea is taking hold now. We already got some polling confirming slight leads for Bams in IA/WI/OH, and I hope it only strengthens post-debate. Also excited to see him on the stump today in IA/OH, hope he's fired up!
No problem! Yeah, most sites covering US politics will offer up 'balanced' coverage, but they're mostly just opinion pieces offered from the right or left perspective. Like just look through the list of what's offered on http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ everyday and you'll see how evident it is.
A few weeks ago Chris Hayes was on Bill Maher and basically said that "sometimes the economy is good, sometimes it's bad. People should stop whining about the president."
It's a point that Chauncy Gardner could have made and it left me worried about what it means to be on the left in this country.
Moar polls
Ohio I don't feel is out of reach. I feel nothing is out of reach. Still three weeks to go. Think of all the early voting fraud!!!
I'm perfectly glad to consider Ohio and Iowa Obama's by Friday if the polls don't improve for Romney. I don't see that last debate shaking them that much.
The Librarian
Banned
Ah. Thank you.
Vermont is laughingly awesome. The students in that state gave Obama's biggest margin: 67% to 30%.
AlteredBeast
Fork 'em, Sparky!
I want a 269 - 269 tie, dammit!
You should send Obama your resume.
Posting this again
New Romney ad with debate footage
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=j7mCKnLqVZs
I first I thought it was going to be footage of Obama saying something, I was wrong haha.
New Romney ad with debate footage
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=j7mCKnLqVZs
I first I thought it was going to be footage of Obama saying something, I was wrong haha.
HamPster PamPster
Member
The more I read about the electoral college projections and early voting news in this thread the more I wonder why anyone considers this a close race at all. Didn't TA call it the most predictable election in recent times? I'm thinking he is right
I wonder what I'm missing (if anything)
I wonder what I'm missing (if anything)
gutter_trash
Banned
AlteredBeast
Fork 'em, Sparky!
LOL. It both is and it isn't. Welcome to American Partisan Politics. Obama will win decisively, but right now it "looks" close.
Ha, 354-184 would be amazing. But it's scary how much of a lost-cause the south is, even in the long-term. Although the likes of Texas being that close (49-48) along with Georgia/SC is comforting. Put that shit into play in 8-12 years and that electoral map is fucked for the foreseeable future.
Housing starts surge in positive sign for economy
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/17/us-housing-idUSBRE89G0RG20121017
AlteredBeast
Fork 'em, Sparky!
So!!! The only negative is that the House would choose Romney. The Senate picking Obama would be the most awesome ticket ever.
I think the switcharoo Romney pulled from turning from his primary hardcore Mitt to the compassionate Mitt threw Obama off. He clearly had planned to come in cool & collected, and couldn't switch to passionate Bams we saw last night anymore. Now I think the cool & collected is dead & buried: he will kill Romney in the foreign policy debate.
Also because no one has really gone with the ABM, luckily. For good reason too: Obama was very presidential even when he was raining hellfire on Romney.
Issa to investigate Commerce Department.
To add a data point: the context of the high water mark since 2008 is useful. But I found the year over year increase indicative of trajectory: starts are up 35% from last year.
Woah I am dizzy!
Technosteve
Banned
i miss tim russert wished was still around to moderate these debates.
Not even time nice try.
That's a decent ad...maybe. You attack a guy already for "hope and change" and you close your ad saying you'll bring hope? I presume people are tired of that message and it would have been better to choose a clip of Romney at least pretending to detail a plan.
Lurking in the shadows, you wait to strike.
holy grail
That is ugly. At least the approval numbers are okay
It was said before that Gallup's sampling of southern voters is really causing this uptick for Romney right? Or was that for that late US Today poll that came out? Or both? There was a break down before showing Obama in the positive (in single digits) with different groups but with a negative 22 on Southern voters.
I found Obama's debate prep http://youtu.be/CEhk5N32Tec
Nate Silver has a timely article on how the tracking polls show a tie on average and polls that revisit the same sample repeatedly (YouGov, RAND) are showing quite different results from polls that take new samples constantly, suggesting that the change is due to respondent enthusiasm (to the poll) rather than an actual move in vote share.
Yes, that's Gallup. And remember that Obama is ALREADY guaranteed to lose the South -- so it's the perfect example of an area where poll enthusiasm is more more likely to be important than poll changes.
Yes, that's Gallup. And remember that Obama is ALREADY guaranteed to lose the South -- so it's the perfect example of an area where poll enthusiasm is more more likely to be important than poll changes.
CaptainSchwann
Member
Again though, those are just national polls. He's still not pulling in numbers where it matters.
Yeesh.
Joe Shlabotnik
Banned
There are zero debate numbers in that poll right now.
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