So Nevada's unemployment drops from a shitty 12.1% to a still shitty 11.8%
Posted?
Mitt and Bams had dinner.
Gotta admit this was kind of funny
and starting to appear that RAND is coming in line with gallup. i eagerly await results of IBD, reuters and PPP to confirm trend.
Its disgusting, you can tell Obama was saying optimal is not the word to use when 4 Americans die, and fox twists and turns.Republicans and conservative press are attacking the President over Libya again. This time over his use of the phrase "not optimal" on the Daily Show, even though he was just using Jon's words to answer his question.
They're just throwing shit at the wall at this point.
But Newport was cautious in interpreting his numbers. Gallups poll cheered Romney supporters because it showed Romney gaining ground even after the second debate. But Newport didnt see it like that. Remember, he warned, its a seven-day poll. I think were still seeing leftover positive support for Romney and I dont think were seeing impact yet from the second debate, he says.
What you think is going on in the race depends on whether you think the electorate will ultimately look more like Gallups likely voter model, where the race is a blowout, or all registered voters, where its a dead heat. So I asked Newport to explain the likely voter model to me.
The likely voters model takes into account changes in the response to questions about how closely theyre following and how enthusiastic they are, he said. Its not just capturing underlying movement its representing changes in enthusiasm.
That sounds, I replied, like a model that would tend to overstate the effects of major events that favored one candidate or the other, as their supporters would grow temporarily more enthusiastic and attentive, while the other side would grow temporarily disillusioned. Newport agreed. I wouldnt use the word overstate, he said. But it would be very sensitive to changes in enthusiasm. The Denver debate clearly had an impact on Romneys people. I think your insight is correct there. Whether we see a dulling of that over the next several days is what I want to see.
RAND coming back to reality is good news. They no longer look like an outlier like Gallup.
48.8-45.6 O. Nate has the popular vote as +2 Obama. So that's far more aligned with the other national polls.At school right now, what is RAND at today?
48.8-45.6 O. Nate has the popular vote as +2 Obama. So that's far more aligned with the other national polls.
Trolling on TV . . . two trolls in one video.
First Whoopie trolls Ann Romney then Lawrence O'Donnell trolls Tagg.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/45755883/ns/msnbc-the_last_word/#49472310
And I thought I've been getting a little testy at times.
Republicans and conservative press are attacking the President over Libya again. This time over his use of the phrase "not optimal" on the Daily Show, even though he was just using Jon's words to answer his question.
They're just throwing shit at the wall at this point.
I worried come election day. can some grimey shit actually happen? "TAGG ROMNEY INVESTED IN OHIO ELECTRONIC VOTING MACHINES" http://t.co/jVKfx6ix
Ed Rendell seriously just said (on Morning Joe) "When's the last time Iowa was decided by 8? You have to go back to '84 with Reagan."
No Ed. Obama won Iowa by 10 in 2008, 54 to 44.
He really is.Rendell is such a turd.
He really is.
I worried come election day. can some grimey shit actually happen? "TAGG ROMNEY INVESTED IN OHIO ELECTRONIC VOTING MACHINES" http://t.co/jVKfx6ix
GOD DAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAMN
Motherfucking space ether.
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton told Marie Claire magazine in a wide-ranging interview that she will not run for president in 2016.
Said Clinton: "I have been on this high wire of national and international politics and leadership for 20 years. It has been an absolutely extraordinary personal honor and experience. But I really want to just have my own time back. I want to just be my own person."
I do hope she changes her mind, as I think she's the best shot that the democrats have at keeping the White House. What other viable candidates do they have that are ready to run in 2016 other than Cuomo and O'Malley?
Schweitzer, governor of Montana. Extremely impressive during the DNC. personally I thought he could take out Hillary even if she did run
I do hope she changes her mind, as I think she's the best shot that the democrats have at keeping the White House. What other viable candidates do they have that are ready to run in 2016 other than Cuomo and O'Malley?
I do hope she changes her mind, as I think she's the best shot that the democrats have at keeping the White House. What other viable candidates do they have that are ready to run in 2016 other than Cuomo and O'Malley?
Cuomo vs Christie
Christie loses by insane margin because of a huge gaf.
I do hope she changes her mind, as I think she's the best shot that the democrats have at keeping the White House. What other viable candidates do they have that are ready to run in 2016 other than Cuomo and O'Malley?
I do hope she changes her mind, as I think she's the best shot that the democrats have at keeping the White House. What other viable candidates do they have that are ready to run in 2016 other than Cuomo and O'Malley?
So what exactly is Ed's a deal here? What is he trying to say? is he trying to keep trying to keep the race closer? And if so why? Because obviously he wants Obama to win, so what's the point?Ed Rendell seriously just said (on Morning Joe) "When's the last time Iowa was decided by 8? You have to go back to '84 with Reagan."
No Ed. Obama won Iowa by 10 in 2008, 54 to 44.
I do like him a lot. I think he would be able to appeal to a lot more regions than someone like Cuomo, as New England democrats haven't done well over the last few decades on a national scale. Has there been any talk of him considering a run?
I do hope she changes her mind, as I think she's the best shot that the democrats have at keeping the White House. What other viable candidates do they have that are ready to run in 2016 other than Cuomo and O'Malley?
.PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls
Barack Obama moved into a slight lead in our national tracker when Thursday interviews replaced Monday's. Numbers will be up soon
@PollTracker
US President '12: Obama (D) 48.0% Romney (R) 48.0% (Oct. 18 - Rasmussen) http://tpm.ly/Vcsbql
I do like him a lot. I think he would be able to appeal to a lot more regions than someone like Cuomo, as New England democrats haven't done well over the last few decades on a national scale. Has there been any talk of him considering a run?
A few days ago, Schweitzer said that ""If Hillary runs, she walks away with the nomination and then beats whichever Republican....It's lights out."
I still hope he runs, though...I think he'd win in a landslide, since he'd bring in a couple of Western states, and I could see him being competitive in some parts of the South, depending on who the GOP nominee is.
5.2% is crazy. What are they doing in Iowa?