Term limits are dumb. It makes no sense really, if the people of the US do not want a President in office anymore after, say, three terms, they will make sure of that.It's still a bit insane to think that if FDR hadn't died in office, we would have had 16 years of one president.
He appointed 8 of the 9 judges on the Supreme Court by the time he died.
Despite PD's insistance, I just dont see Scott Walker as Presidential material. Ted Kasich, maybe. But not Scott Walker. Scott has all the charisma of a wet diaper and looks like a sesame st puppet. He does not seem "driven" or forceful...I think a candidate's presence goes a long way towards overcoming any deficits. In my opinion, if he decides to run, he will be Tim Pawlenty of 2016.
I think term limits are a good check on a politician establishing too large of a power base. Look at some of these House members and Senators who are Elected for Life. Or Governor for Life Terry Branstad. Are they really bringing anything extra from that "experience" to the table? More than the graft and spoils they hand out and leverage they use their positions for?
I think the risks, especially with the modern Imperial Presidency, outweighs any "democratic" value from being able to keep someone in office for life.
Brownback's an also ran. Was a Senator for 15 years, already ran for President once, is Governor in a red-red state which he nearly blew in a pro-GOP year. Scott Walker's the new kid on the block who's beaten back the Left three times in a blue state.
Here's a kooky idea I just saw someone advance hopefully not seriously.
Al Franken challenges Hillary.
Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?
Plus it's not like he'd win. And they'd let him in debates unlike Sanders.
That said, he's never had to run during a presidential election year and all his elections were either during the midterms, with low turnout, or a special election, with low turnout. On top of that his opponents barely had a pulse. I think he's being seriously overestimated right now, much like Rick Perry was, and is going to flame out spectacularly during the primaries.
Walker is well spoken, unlike Perry, and has a record of winning in a blue state/defeating liberals. We can haggle over the relevancy of that (mid terms=lower turnout), but the fact remains that it'll be a good talking point for conservative audiences. And as much as liberals want to hand wring over Wisconsin's "terrible" economy...unemployment is at 5.4% there. Job growth is sluggish but the same has been true for awhile in Wisconsin. Like Michigan it has relied on various manufacturing sectors that aren't coming back anytime soon.
I think his jobs record will hurt in a general election, but not the primaries.
Despite his blunders, Perry has charisma and his state is doing quite well indeed.
He'd bury walker.
Not with his immigration record...
He can patrol the border all he wants, it doesn't change the fact that his relatively sane record on immigration turns off conservatives. Not to mention his comment about anti-immigrant folks not having a heart. Perry is on a short leash after 2012: one fuck up and his money goes elsewhere.
He might have still lost to Romney, but he would have made it a hell of a fight since he would have grabbed donors and supporters Romney otherwise got by default. Gingrich being funded by basically one person and having a campaign so terrible they forgot to register for primaries, and Santorum's campaign not existing until the very last second can hardly compare to what a non-disastrous out of the gate Perry campaign would have done to Romney.
I'm sorry, are we in bizarro land, where Romney was the embodiment of everything people wanted to see from a gop candidate, and was thus selected, or in the real world, where romney was picked because he had the least fuckups?
Same goes for perry. All you gotta do is fuck up less than the others. That includes not going to debates and public events high as a kite.
Immigration aint enough to remove Perry from the game. Wasn't then, isn't now.
Now im wondering which is the greater automaton: campaign trail Romney or day to day Walker.
House members are there for life either because they're in such a conservative/liberal district no one would dare replace them, and coupled with how much money they can raise due to lax laws and the SCOTUS saying money is speech, that's your culprit. Throw the latest gerrymandering into the mix and that pretty much explains everything. Simply put, forcing term limits on House members would be futile because of campaign financing and gerrymandering. Perhaps it would be more effective for Senators, but honestly, I think the Senate does a good enough job of balancing itself out due to it being split into three classes and 1/3 of it always falling victim to the direction of social, economic and political realities. In fact, I think perhaps the House would be better served by this approach -- only 1/3 up for re-election every two years. Split it into classes. It's impossible to have a coherent message when you are literally spending over half the time raising money and kissing ass just so you can do it all over again. Case in point, a lot of Democrats who got stomped in 2010 would have likely survived in 2012. Not all, but a considerable amount. This, I think, would be far more effective than arbitrary term limits due to the nature of how money is raised and gerrymandering.I think term limits are a good check on a politician establishing too large of a power base. Look at some of these House members and Senators who are Elected for Life. Or Governor for Life Terry Branstad. Are they really bringing anything extra from that "experience" to the table? More than the graft and spoils they hand out and leverage they use their positions for?
We're already looking at the third Bush and second Clinton running for the White House; term limits have done NOTHING in regards to preventing that. If anything it has forced political powerhouses like the Bushes and Clintons to look for other avenues to keep their stranglehold over US politics (branching out into the family).Not to mention the cult of personality that has become the hallmark of the modern presidency--for both Republicans and Democrats.
Because they're different individuals?We're already looking at the third Bush and second Clinton running for the White House; term limits have done NOTHING in regards to preventing that.
Then limit to one term. Bam, problem solved.It's impossible to have a coherent message when you are literally spending over half the time raising money and kissing ass just so you can do it all over agai
You have to be kidding me.Because they're different individuals?
This is even dumber than unlimited terms. You need experienced people in the leadership and throughout the legislative body. Purging the entire body of its members every two years is incredibly stupid.Then limit to one term. Bam, problem solved.
Good point, btw. There's so many families with relations in politics, it's impossible to name everyone. Limiting a President's terms to two is kind of like a knee-jerk reaction, denial if you will, to the simple reality that politicians will ALWAYS figure out ways to retain their influence over the legislative, judicial and executive body.We really are a dynasty lol. Everyone and their dad was a Congressman, Senator or Governor. I guess like someone mentioned earlier it was bound to make its way to the Presidency. Obama really was an out of nowhere unconventional candidate.
Who they are related to or married to is irrelevant. It's absurd in a modern society to consider sins to pass through blood or bonding relations.You have to be kidding me.
Yes, George H.W. Bush's two sons are different individuals... from the same family who have dominated Republican Presidential politics since the early 80's...
Hillary Clinton is Bill's wife... they're probably still together for the mere sake of political ambitions.
It's not that they aren't allowed to be their own individuals, because they are, but to imply that you can throw all that aside and seriously look at them as someone without realizing who they are related to is asinine.
Yeah, all that experience sure has done a bang up job.This is even dumber than unlimited terms. You need experienced people in the leadership and throughout the legislative body. Purging the entire body of its members every two years is incredibly stupid.
Well duh, because that's who staffs those bodies. But any individual politicians influence, corruption and favors to interests can be limited by the simple one term fix.Limiting a President's terms to two is kind of like a knee-jerk reaction, denial if you will, to the simple reality that politicians will ALWAYS figure out ways to retain their influence over the legislative, judicial and executive body.
I can't take you seriously anymore, sorry.Who they are related to or married to is irrelevant. It's absurd in a modern society to consider sins to pass through blood or bonding relations.
Good luck finding new politicans literally every two years who have what it takes to be a member of the House. They're pathetic enough as is because of how often previous members were held accountable at the voting booth; we don't need to force them out, the electorate and special interests are doing a good enough job of regulating that on their own (and for the sake of dysfunction, how sad).Yeah, all that experience sure has done a bang up job.
So it's ideal that the American people can elect anyone they want as many times as they want no matter how pathetic/corrupt/damaging and this should apply to every office.I can't take you seriously anymore, sorry.
Good luck finding new politicans literally every two years who have what it takes to be a member of the House. They're pathetic enough as is because of how often previous members were held accountable at the voting booth; we don't need to force them out, the electorate is doing a good enough job of regulating that on its own (and for the sake of dysfunction, how sad).
You act as though these two things would yield different results, when in fact they depend on each other quite strongly (if we are to look at the Bushes in particular and how they were able to enact a lot of conservative legislation and policy during all those years).So it's ideal that the American people can elect anyone they want as many times as they want no matter how pathetic/corrupt/damaging and this should apply to every office.
But it's terrible and darkness gathering if anyone related to anyone in politics also gets involved in politics.
whatYou act as though these two things would yield different results, when in fact they depend on each other quite strongly (if we are to look at the Bushes in particular and how they were able to enact a lot of conservative legislation and policy during all those years).
This. I think a well-studied, done-his-homework Rick Perry can be lethal. I was almost certain he was gonna win the nom in 2012, but it seems like he was trying to wing it. But yeah, he is a charismatic rattlesnake.Despite his blunders, Perry has charisma and his state is doing quite well indeed.
He'd bury walker.
Funner Fact: His 1-800 number from 1992 still works.Fun fact: When Jerry Brown announces his candidacy for president, he will have run twice as much as Romney
Last month, automakers sold almost 31,500 hybrids, electric vehicles, plug-in hybrids and diesels in the US, marking an 8.6 percent drop from a year earlier. Things were so bad that even the Nissan Leaf, so long a reliable touchstone for record monthly sales, had lower numbers in January. Things were so upside-down that Toyota, which for much of last year had been dragging down numbers, actually fared relatively well. Not so for US automakers, though.
For starters, General Motors' green-car sales plunged 43 percent from a year earlier to just 1,255 units, as the Chevrolet Volt extended-range plug-in sales of 542 units were the lowest in more than three years. Mild-hybrid vehicle sales all but disappeared, while Chevrolet Cruze Diesel sales dropped 48 percent.
Ford didn't do much better, as green-car sales were down 27 percent from a year earlier. The company was consistent, though, as all six of its all-fuel vehicle lines had sales there were down between 15 percent and 36 percent from a year earlier, with the Fusion Hybrid as the company's sales bellwether.
The aforementioned Nissan Leaf electric vehicle sales fell 15 percent to 1,070 units after boosting sales 34 percent in 2014 compared to 2013.
Those denials fol- lowed this Court’s decision in October not to review seven petitions seeking further review of lower court judgments invalidating state marriage laws. Although I disagreed with the decisions to deny those applications, Armstrong v. Brenner, ante, p. ___; Wilson v. Condon, ante, p. ___; Moser v. Marie, ante, p. ___, I acknowledge that there was at least an argument that the October decision justified an inference that the Court would be less likely to grant a writ of certiorari to consider subsequent petitions. That argument is no longer credible. The Court has now granted a writ of certiorari to review these important issues and will do so by the end of the Term.
Yet rather than treat like applicants alike, the Court looks the other way as yet another Federal District Judge casts aside state laws without making any effort to pre- serve the status quo pending the Court’s resolution of a constitutional question it left open in United States v. Windsor, 570 U. S. ___ (2013) (slip op., at 25–26). This acquiescence may well be seen as a signal of the Court’s intended resolution of that question. This is not the proper way to discharge our Article III responsibilities. And, it is indecorous for this Court to pretend that it is.
I set out to track down the plaintiffs to hear in their own words why they had decided to take part in the case, and it soon became evident that CEI had struggled to find suitable candidates. Three of the four plaintiffs are nearly eligible for Medicare, meaning their objections to Obamacare will soon be moot. Two of them appear to qualify for hardship exemptions—that is, they are not forced to acquire insurance or pay fines because even with a subsidy insurance would eat up too much of their incomes—so it's unclear how Obamacare had burdened them. These two plaintiffs seemed driven by their political opposition to President Obama; one has called him the "anti-Christ" and said he won election by getting "his Muslim people to vote for him." Yet most curious of all, one of the plaintiffs did not recall exactly how she'd been recruited for the case and seemed unaware of the possible consequences if she wins. Told that millions could lose their health coverage if the Supreme Court rules in her favor, she said that she didn't want this to happen.
But she is politically active. A prolific writer of letters to the editor denouncing gay rights activists, Levy was also a donor to California's anti-gay-marriage ballot amendment Proposition 8. In 2013, she helped to organize a rally outside the headquarters of the local Boy Scouts council in Richmond to protest the organization's plan to consider allowing gay kids to join (which eventually was adopted). You can see her here:
When I asked her if she realized that her lawsuit could potentially wipe out health coverage for millions, she looked befuddled. "I don't want things to be more difficult for people," she said. "I don't like the idea of throwing people off their health insurance.
Levy was under the impression that if the case prevailed, someone would surely fix the insurance situation, probably at the local level. "I think [Virginia's Democratic Gov.] Terry McAuliffe wants to expand Medicaid," she remarked. She didn't know that the Medicaid expansion was part of Obamacare, or that the same forces backing her lawsuit have opposed this expansion in her state. She was also unaware that there is no Plan B in the works to rescue the people who could lose their insurance if her case is successful.
I asked King what he got out of the case. He replied that the only benefit he would receive from the case was the satisfaction of smashing Obamacare, which he believes bilks hardworking taxpayers to support welfare recipients. He said he doesn't care if millions of Americans lose their health coverage, because "they're probably not paying for it anyway."
Unlike most of the people who could suffer if his lawsuit succeeds, King may soon have his insurance problems relieved by a different government health care plan. He'll be eligible for Medicare in October.
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/02/king-burwell-supreme-court-obamacare
This case is an embarrassment all around.
And Metapod keeps arguing for this charade. For shame.
That the legal arguments are distinct from the individual plaintiffs should go without saying. The former are legal arguments; the latter are people. It's not even close.
I'll add that a dismissal based on standing would be lame, as it always is.
Eh, standing is important. I honestly believe that, outside of what I think of King. I would love for King to be dismissed on standing for its political implications. Separate of that, standing is functionally important.
I agree standing is important, but it's still lame when a case is dismissed for lack of standing, especially once the case has made it to the Supreme Court. C'mon, wouldn't you have rather the Court addressed Prop. 8 a couple of years ago?
Also, I don't love the idea that ProtectMarriage.com (which, like, they didn't have a real name?) could somehow inject themselves as having Article 3 standing. If a state government decides not to pursue an appeal, that has to be respected, versus an outside group attempting to inject themselves as defenders of said law.
Under California law, a proponent has the authority to appear in court and assert the State's interest in defending an enacted initiative when the public officials charged with that duty refuse to do so. The State deems such an appearance essential to the integrity of its initiative process. Yet the Court today concludes that this state-defined status and this state-conferred right fall short of meeting federal requirements because the proponents cannot point to a formal delegation of authority that tracks the requirements of the Restatement of Agency. But the State Supreme Court's definition of proponents' powers is binding on this Court. And that definition is fully sufficient to establish the standing and adversity that are requisites for justiciability under Article III of the United States Constitution.
In my view Article III does not require California, when deciding who may appear in court to defend an initiative on its behalf, to comply with the Restatement of Agency or with this Court's view of how a State should make its laws or structure its government. The Court's reasoning does not take into account the fundamental principles or the practical dynamics of the initiative system in California, which uses this mechanism to control and to bypass public officials — the same officials who would not defend the initiative, an injury the Court now leaves unremedied. The Court's decision also has implications for the 26 other States that use an initiative or popular referendum system and which, like California, may choose to have initiative proponents stand in for the State when public officials decline to defend an initiative in litigation. See M. Waters, Initiative and Referendum Almanac 12 (2003). In my submission, the Article III requirement for a justiciable case or controversy does not prevent proponents from having their day in court.
I think what I really appreciate about Obama in general is how nuanced he is. He looks at the facts, makes the best assumption based on those facts but leaves wiggle room for disagreements and is open to the possibility he might be wrong. Sometimes that makes him appear weak or ineffective as a leader, to me it just makes him seem like a rational, thinking human being. Too much of American politics centers around how big the president's balls are and that mentality produced pretty disastrous results in the Bush era.Vox just put up a 2-part interview with President Obama that's fantastic
http://www.vox.com/a/barack-obama-interview-vox-conversation/obama-domestic-policy-transcript
http://www.vox.com/a/barack-obama-interview-vox-conversation/obama-foreign-policy-transcript
I agree with the dissenters in Hollingsworth regarding standing:
One of the purposes of standing doctrine is to make sure that the parties arguing on either side of a question are really adverse and will give the Court the best arguments in favor of each side. I think the sponsors of the initiative better fulfilled that purpose than did the state government, even though the Supreme Court held that only the state government could pursue an appeal (thereby neutering the initiative process when a claim cognizable in federal court can be raised against it).
Although most standing cases consider whether a plaintiff has satisfied the requirement when filing suit, Article III demands that an "actual controversy" persist throughout all stages of litigation ... Standing "must be met by persons seeking appellate review, just as it must be met by persons appearing in courts of first instance." ... The parties do not contest that respondents had standing to initiate this case against the California officials responsible for enforcing Proposition 8. But once the District Court issued its order, respondents no longer had any injury to redress, and the state officials chose not to appeal. The only individuals who sought to appeal were petitioners, who had intervened in the District Court, but they had not been ordered to do or refrain from doing anything. Their only interest was to vindicate the constitutional validity of a generally applicable California law. As this Court has repeatedly held, such a "generalized grievance"no matter how sincereis insufficient to confer standing.