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[Oblivion]

With less than three weeks to go before election day, Democrat Mary Burke and Republican Gov. Scott Walker are tied among likely voters, according to the latest Marquette University Law School poll.

The race for attorney general was also tied.

In the governor's race, Burke eliminated Walker's 5-point lead among likely voters in the Marquette poll two weeks ago.

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statep...-on-campaign-trail-b99371330z1-279278392.html

NBC/WSJ poll: 55% want candidate who will give Ocare chance to work w/changes, 43% want repeal/start over.

Here's why the DSCC ditched Kentucky for Georgia: new Survey USA poll has Nunn up 3 over Perdue (48-45)

"independents back Braley 48-43, a shift from Ernst's 50-43 lead last month"

"Braley leads 51-37 among those who have already voted"

Getting high over all this hopium, y'all.

 

[HylianTom]

Man oh man. If this ends-up in a 50-50 tie.. my god, the tears..

 

[Armoured Priest]

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statep...-on-campaign-trail-b99371330z1-279278392.html







Getting high over all this hopium, y'all.

I lied to the pollster...told them I'd vote for Walker

Spoiler

Also, didn't feel like arguing with me dad about the fact that Walker is an assjackel.

:3

 

[NYCmetsfan]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-might-be-skewed-against-democrats-or-republicans/

Nate subtweeting this thread

Just don’t assume your favorite candidate will catch all the breaks. Sometimes the polls are biased — in the opposite direction of what you were hoping for.

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statep...-on-campaign-trail-b99371330z1-279278392.html


Getting high over all this hopium, y'all.

suffolk has 47-43 ernst lead

 

[Aaron Strife]

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statep...-on-campaign-trail-b99371330z1-279278392.html

Getting high over all this hopium, y'all.

Should mention that QPac poll of Iowa still has Ernst leading 2. However if he's winning among independents then he'll probably win overall with the Dems' ground game.

Also a Suffolk poll released today has Ernst up by 4. But she's also winning independents, which Qpac has Braley leading with.

I lied to the pollster...told them I'd vote for Walker

Spoiler

Also, didn't feel like arguing with me dad about the fact that Walker is an assjackel.

:3

So Burke is actually leading!

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-might-be-skewed-against-democrats-or-republicans/

Nate subtweeting this thread

Some useful analysis. I don't think it's wise though to suggest that pollsters could be reverting to patterns seen in like, 2002 or 2004. The Democrats' coalition and electoral strategy has completely changed since then. Kerry, Gore, Clinton etc. were focused on winning independents and white Southerners, now it's about winning minorities and women who aren't as likely to show up in likely voter pools. The fact that you have pollsters applying additional LV screens to people who voted in 2010 and 2012 suggests a major Republican skew.

 

[The Librarian]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-might-be-skewed-against-democrats-or-republicans/

Nate subtweeting this thread

Where?

 

[Metaphoreus]

Lack of government spending fucks us over again, the WHO had their budget cut dramatically and were unable to stop the virus in West Africa, and now the Texas state governments fund their public hospitals so poorly they can't deal with quarantine cases.

Ebola may kill all of us but hey at least Texas didn't have an income tax for a while.

But... WHO income is higher than ever:

Surely you don't think WHO's effectiveness is more closely related to its budget than to its actual income, do you? Talk about wishful thinking.

 

[NYCmetsfan]

Where?

what do you mean where? the entire thing is about people disecting polls to try to suss out bias

 

[Black Mamba]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-might-be-skewed-against-democrats-or-republicans/

Nate subtweeting this thread





suffolk has 47-43 ernst lead

And once again, Nate doesn't understand what his own work means.

Even if the Dems win, it doesn't necessarily mean there's systematic error in the polling. It's Brazil vs Germany all over again.

what do you mean where? the entire thing is about people disecting polls to try to suss out bias

Which is fine, because 1 out of every 20 polls is supposed to be an outlier.

 

[Aaron Strife]

CNN's Colorado poll has Udall losing by 4 among likely voters, winning by 1 among registered voters.

Uggggggh

 

[Avon Barksdale]

CNN's Colorado poll has Udall losing by 4 among likely voters, winning by 1 among registered voters.

Uggggggh

Is there even a difference between registered and likely voters at this point? If you're participating in a poll this late, high chance that you're going to vote on Election Day.

 

[Aaron Strife]

Is there even a difference between registered and likely voters at this point? If you're participating in a poll this late, high chance that you're going to vote on Election Day.

Plus Colorado has vote by mail which makes mobilizing Dem voters even easier.

 

[theprodigy]

CNN's Colorado poll has Udall losing by 4 among likely voters, winning by 1 among registered voters.

Uggggggh

let me guess, magic Gardner lead among Hispanics as well?

 

[speculawyer]

Ann Romney says Russia wouldn’t have invaded Ukraine had her husband Mitt been elected president. In a clear shot at the Obama administration, Romney told Yahoo News and Finance Anchor Bianna Golodryga, “I do not believe there would've been an invasion, of course, in Ukraine. I believe Putin would've known there would've been consequences to that.” The former GOP candidate’s wife says there are no plans right now for her husband to run again despite encouraging poll numbers that show him as a leading candidate.
“One poll's not gonna sway us,” she said. “I think a lot of Americans know that Mitt was right, and have trust in his abilities. And you know, it's a tough time. I think America's in a tough place.”

http://news.yahoo.com/bianna-golodryga-interview-with-ann-romney-134951209.html

Sure, Ann, Sure. You keep telling yourself that and it makes the loss hurt less.

 

[Oblivion]

But... WHO income is higher than ever:



Surely you don't think WHO's effectiveness is more closely related to its budget than to its actual income, do you? Talk about wishful thinking.

But doesn't that graph show that incomes flatlined since 2012?

 

[Aaron Strife]

http://news.yahoo.com/bianna-golodryga-interview-with-ann-romney-134951209.html

Sure, Ann, Sure. You keep telling yourself that and it makes the loss hurt less.

 

[Oblivion]

http://news.yahoo.com/bianna-golodryga-interview-with-ann-romney-134951209.html

Sure, Ann, Sure. You keep telling yourself that and it makes the loss hurt less.

What would Mittens do? Give Putin stinkeye?

 

[Metaphoreus]

But doesn't that graph show that incomes flatlined since 2012?

No, only the budget line goes beyond 2012-2013. It was around then that they seem to have realized that budgets should be based on past revenues rather than imagination.

 

[RustyNails]

http://news.yahoo.com/bianna-golodryga-interview-with-ann-romney-134951209.html

Sure, Ann, Sure. You keep telling yourself that and it makes the loss hurt less.

What consequences would those be, please do tell.

Fuck the news media.

 

[Crisco]

Make no mistake, President General Romney would have ground troops in Iraq, Ukraine, and Syria by now.

 

[Black Mamba]

cnn crossfire cancelled again. lulz

 

[Wilsongt]

cnn crossfire cancelled again. lulz

Poor Sippy Cupp fans.

 

[GhaleonEB]

cnn crossfire cancelled again. lulz

Was Jon Stewart spotted near the building?

 

[Tim-E]

cnn crossfire cancelled again. lulz

If only CNN would be canceled now. The only thing that's worth a shit is Zakaria, and he can find a home elsewhere. In primetime they're pretty much turning into a reality/documentary channel.

 

[Avon Barksdale]

cnn crossfire cancelled again. lulz

LMAO. On the tenth anniversary of the Jon Stewart appearance, nonetheless.

 

[B-Dubs]

Was Jon Stewart spotted near the building?

I imagine that he offered to come on the show and they figured why not just skip to the end.

 

[Tim-E]

People in my office seem to think that everyone who has been on the same airplanes as people who have had Ebola are now infected with the disease. Here are some choice quotes from their freakout:
"I heard it came from the rain forests. They look clean on TV, but you know its nasty over there"

"THE NEWS SAYS EBOLA IS MUTATING!" "Does this mean that it transforms people into other things?"

"They better know Jesus"

The people who have traveled from areas that have Ebola cases "Don't care about other people."

These are college educated adults.

 

[B-Dubs]

If only CNN would be canceled now. The only thing that's worth a shit is Zakaria, and he can find a home elsewhere. In primetime they're pretty much turning into a reality/documentary channel.

I don't think there's anything wrong with a news channel showing documentaries. There's only so much hard news in a day and it's way better than showing a million bad opinion shows.

 

[speculawyer]

What consequences would those be, please do tell.

Fuck the news media.

Is she saying Romney would have nuked Russia?

Maybe Romney would have just tried a reverse triangular merger of Rosneft to neuter Putin.

 

[RustyNails]

We all know John McCain would have been the defense secretary under Romney so we would have obliterated half of the human civilization by now.

 

[Tim-E]

I don't think there's anything wrong with a news channel showing documentaries. There's only so much hard news in a day and it's way better than showing a million bad opinion shows.

Good point. Its at least better than the slew of opinion shows they've had in the past.

 

[B-Dubs]

Good point. Its at least better than the slew of opinion shows they've had in the past.

Well, I figure there aren't many programming options for cable news other than hard news, talking heads, opinion crap and documentaries. Not like they can show much else.

 

[Ecotic]

Pic from the Nunn early vote rally (not me pictured). What a great talent, she worked the crowd well and everyone loved her, and even had really good answers to questions from an obvious ultra-green "I wear biodegradable shoes" troublemaker as the cameras moved in to capture the exchange. I really hope the DSCC is rushing money in as Colorado, Iowa, and especially Kentucky now appear less probable than Georgia.

 

[thepotatoman]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-might-be-skewed-against-democrats-or-republicans/

Nate subtweeting this thread

The arguments for polls being biased toward republicans include strong fundamental reasoning behind why young people and democrat hispanics are being underrepresented, a belief in a GotV campaign that has been pretty good in recent times, and knowledge that 2 out of the last 4 elections had a strong enough bias that it would change the entire equation if applied here.

The argument against polls being biased toward republicans include the fact that 12 years ago, polls were biased away from republicans, and that some guy in 2012 went so overly crazy in order to go against the grain, that no one should ever go against the grain again.

Obviously it's not a sure thing you want to make bets off of, but it is definitely a reasonable thing to find hope in. While splitting it down the middle like you and Nate are doing, make you seem pretty illogical yourself.

 

[RustyNails]

Pic from the Nunn early vote rally (not me pictured). What a great talent, she worked the crowd well and everyone loved her, and even had really good answers to questions from an obvious ultra-green "I wear biodegradable shoes" troublemaker as the cameras moved in to capture the exchange. I really hope the DSCC is rushing money in as Colorado, Iowa, and especially Kentucky now appear less probable than Georgia.

We finally know what jamesinclair looks like

 

[theprodigy]

We finally know what jamesinclair looks like

lmao

and Colorado and Iowa are still definitely possible, it's only Kentucky that's really a lost cause

 

[Aaron Strife]

I don't know if I'd call KY a lost cause. A definite long shot but the DSCC is still investing in the state, they're just letting Grimes' campaign (which has had huge fundraising) take over the advertising while shifting their money to GOTV operations.

Hilldawg is stumping for Grimey tonight:

Livestream here

CO and IA are not by any means gone for the Democrats.

 

[NYCmetsfan]

scott fucked up

 

[Rhomega Beta]

His opponent is invisible!

 

[NYCmetsfan]

His opponent is invisible!

just fearful of fan death

 

[thepotatoman]

scott fucked up

What the hell was he thinking? Like honestly, how does that happen?

 

[NYCmetsfan]

What the hell was he thinking? Like honestly, how does that happen?

south korean?

 

[speculawyer]

scott fucked up

Wha'ppen?

 

[PhoenixDark]

scott fucked up

Agreed, I wouldn't want Obama filling in for me at a debate either.

 

[Oblivion]

Once again, the party of Lincoln, ladies and gentlemen:

Madison — Waukesha County District Attorney Brad Schimel said he would have reluctantly defended a ban on interracial marriage had he been attorney general in the 1950s — a stance Democrats criticized Wednesday.

http://www.jsonline.com/news/statep...terracial-marriage-b99367685z1-278580281.html

 

[Coriolanus]

Wha'ppen?

This.

DAVIE — At the start of Wednesday night's debate at Broward College, it was announced that Florida Gov. Rick Scott would not debate because of Charlie Crist's fan.

The Scott campaign cited debate rules saying there could be no electronic equipment on stage.

"Are we really going to debate a fan?" Crist said, standing alone at the podiums set up for two candidates. The former governor is known for bringing a portable electronic fan for interviews, speeches and other public appearances.

"This is remarkable over a trivial issue no matter which side you're on," said Frank Denton, editor of the Florida Times-Union, one of the debate monitors.

After about seven minutes, Gov. Scott took the stage and the debate began.

Gov. Rick Scott says he won't debate because of Charlie Crist's fan, but then relents 10/15/14 [Last modified: Wednesday, October 15, 2014 7:23pm]

 

[NYCmetsfan]

Wha'ppen?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9w1uE7yYlw

BTW crist has become an amazing democrat.

 

[B-Dubs]

This.

Crist is trolling Voldemort at this point.

 

[speculawyer]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_9w1uE7yYlw

BTW crist has become an amazing democrat.

The fuck? Clearly that language was meant for electronic devices like a laptops, tablets, phones, etc. But I guess technically, a fan is an 'electronic device'. But Rick Scott was being a petty dickhead. And that pretty much sums up Rick Scott.

 

[NYCmetsfan]

The fuck? Clearly that language was meant for electronic devices like a laptops, tablets, phones, etc. But I guess technically, a fan is an 'electronic device'. But Rick Scott was being a petty dickhead. And that pretty much sums up Rick Scott.