Support NeoGAF

[CCS]

As someone who works on statistical models for a living, I'm rather sure that despite his public editorialization Nate is well aware that even the best model is still just a model.

Brave man. I've done enough stats in my life to know to run away from stuff like that very fast

 

[Kyosaiga]

That CBC letter is pathetic, which is par the course for them.

Sanders is a fool for not taking his shots when he had the chance. He's not going to win but you have to throw punches when you're in a fight.

When you come at the queen you best not miss

 

[gutter_trash]

March 1st can't come soon enough

 

[Retromelon]

When you come at the queen you best not miss

Or at least destroy the dress

 

[FiggyCal]

This happened at my school recently:

On Wednesday morning, Clifford Durand, an 18-year-old student at St. John’s University in New York, presented a challenge to his Twitter followers: He would “smash” a fellow student’s laptop — which was adorned with a Donald Trump sticker — if his photo of her got 7,000 retweets. What followed was a social media battle in which the post went viral and the two students ended up in a physical altercation after class.

Friends of Durand claim the post was a joke, but when it gained steam, garnering more than 20,000 retweets, it caught the attention of the pictured student, Brianna Algazali, who confronted Durand in a hallway after class. She asked him to take the tweet down, and one student told the New York Daily News that Durand replied, “Make me.”

That’s when other students say things got physical. “She raised her voice and she threw her drink on him,” a friend of Durand told the New York Daily News. “He looked like he was in shock. I went toward him to hold him back.”

https://www.yahoo.com/parenting/trump-sticker-causes-meltdown-on-college-campus-173958009.html

And now Trump supporters are blowing up the school's twitter account. With things like this:

Spoiler

And this petition: https://www.change.org/p/university-president-protect-the-women-of-st-john-s-university

among other things apparently.

 

[Krauser Kat]

fucking kids.

WTF how does position even exist.

 

[CCS]

fucking kids.

WTF how does position even exist.

I fucking love people who can pursue petty personal hatreds because it doesn't influence their comfortable lives who gets elected.

 

[Veritigo_X]

fucking kids.

WTF how does position even exist.

When people have nothing to lose because they are currently living in a dorm room.

 

[BoboBrazil]

fucking kids.

WTF how does position even exist.

Great. Ruin our future for decades because Bernie made you hate Hillary. Luckily these people were never going to vote anyway.

 

[DataStream]

Brave man. I've done enough stats in my life to know to run away from stuff like that very fast

But it's so much fun!

 

[Poodlestrike]

The fact that Republicans refuse to release their ACA alternative should be easy pickings for Hillary in the general:

http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs...r-promises-no-obamacare-replacement-this-year

The problem is, you lean into that and suddenly they unveil a plan (any plan) and your messaging goes out the window.

 

[CCS]

But it's so much fun!

You must be madder than the average member of PoliGAF

 

[User 463088]

Ya'll legit like statistics? Worst class I ever took. Why an English major had to take stats I'll never know. I also took Math for Liberal Arts. We learned about shapes and shit. And colors. It was basically Kindergarten math taught by a really hot grad student....

 

[Makai]

 

[CCS]

Ya'll legit like statistics? Worst class I ever took. Why an English major had to take stats I'll never know. I also took Math for Liberal Arts. We learned about shapes and shit. And colors. It was basically Kindergarten math taught by a really hot grad student....

If there's one thing 4 years of maths and stats have thought me it's that hot grad students justify anything.

 

[Chichikov]

fucking kids.

WTF how does position even exist.

This is like the HillaryIs44 people, they're insignificant in number and too fucking crazy to worry about.

Speaking of www.hillaryis44.org, I wonder what's going on on that site these days...

oh...

February 11th, 2016
Loser #Hillary2016, Loser @BernieSanders At Dum #DemDebate
What the frickin’ fu*k??? Frickin’ Milwaukee??? Are you frickin’ fu*king kidding????

Our regular readers know that not for a second do we believe or ever have believed that frickin’ socialist Bernie Sanders will get the Obama Dimocrat Party nomination.

Our regular readers also know that we do not believe Hillary Clinton will get the nomination either – Barack Obama and the Obamaroid kooks will never allow Hillary to be the culmination of the Obama Reich and Barack does not want to be an asterisk in between the Clinton-Bush-Clinton-Bush ping-pong game.

OH....

Edit: wait, they're predicting Jeb! will win after Hillary?
I mean there's crazy and than there's KRAAAAAAAAAAAAAZY

 

[Dan]

fucking kids.

WTF how does position even exist.

They just like old men yelling at the establishment. That's the appeal. Ron Paul was their guy before.

This happened at my school recently:



https://www.yahoo.com/parenting/trump-sticker-causes-meltdown-on-college-campus-173958009.html

And now Trump supporters are blowing up the school's twitter account. With things like this:

Spoiler

[/IMG]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CbCmhU9UYAAxBY6.png:large[/IMG]

And this petition: https://www.change.org/p/university-president-protect-the-women-of-st-john-s-university

among other things apparently.

Wow, using a screencap from that ancient Spider-Man joke video.

 

[Macho Madness]

It's all about http://www.hillaryis45.com/ these days anyway.

 

[Makai]

www.bernieis74.com

 

[NeoXChaos]

Two more Newspaper Editorial Endorsements for Hillary

http://web.tampabay.com/opinion/edi...clinton-for-the-democratic-nomination/2265196

Tamp Bay Times

Sanders, the U.S. senator from Vermont and self-described socialist, virtually tied Clinton in Iowa and easily won in New Hampshire by exploiting voter frustration with income inequality and stalemate in Washington. His calls for revolutionary change are as tantalizing to liberal voters as they are unrealistic, particularly in today's polarized politics. His proposals for a single-payer health care system and free college tuition are expensive fantasies. His lack of a coherent foreign policy and tendency toward isolationist positions are particularly concerning. There is no indication Sanders is prepared to effectively protect the United States from terrorists or manage the complicated relationships this nation must nurture around the world.

Dallas Morning News

http://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/e...on-for-democratic-presidential-nomination.ece

Democrats should vote for her March 1. She’s a better choice than another long-shot liberal senator, her surging rival Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.
A better choice not because he’s too liberal to win in November, though he is. She’s better because over her lifetime, Clinton has learned to temper her idealism without losing it. She’s learned to advance her agenda even when it means letting others advance too. She’s cultivated allies.

 

[Macho Madness]

More establishment newspapers, of course.

 

[DataStream]

You must be madder than the average member of PoliGAF

Hah, well I work on much (what I'd consider) more interesting problems than normalizing polling data. I'm currently working on a model to determine user experience level and possible job affiliation based off their functional usage of a product in order to evaluate their likelihood of attrition and dynamically program help content to be sent to them.

 

[B-Dubs]

This happened at my school recently:



https://www.yahoo.com/parenting/trump-sticker-causes-meltdown-on-college-campus-173958009.html

And now Trump supporters are blowing up the school's twitter account. With things like this:

Spoiler

And this petition: https://www.change.org/p/university-president-protect-the-women-of-st-john-s-university

among other things apparently.

I was actually chatting with a cute girl from St John's the other night.

I'm a little surprised this went down there and not a CUNY school though.

 

[Eidan]

Hillary is 44 is still around? Jesus, what the fuck happened to them?

 

[Basileus777]

Pretty sure Nate Silver is close to having an aneurysm.

That's old Nate. The guy is now on the Trump bandwagon.

 

[Veritigo_X]

The unthinkable is happening. Jim Gilmore is dropping out of the race.

I thought for sure he'd still be running long after we are all dead in the ground.

 

[Basileus777]

The unthinkable is happening. Jim Gilmore is dropping out of the race.

I thought for sure he'd still be running long after we are all dead in the ground.

Fuck.

 

[Macho Madness]

Well there goes my predictions for the Republican nomination.

 

[Kyosaiga]

Wait wait a minute. Apparently Clinton has an advantage with young minorities over Sanders? Why does that surprise me so much. Holy shit

 

[Macho Madness]

An interesting stat that used to matter to voters: Gilmore was the last veteran running for president on both sides.

 

[NeoXChaos]

Wait wait a minute. Apparently Clinton has an advantage with young minorities over Sanders? Why does that surprise me so much. Holy shit

source?

 

[ivysaur12]

@Redistrict
If Trump maintains large SC lead thru 2/20, odds very good he'd win all 50 SC delegates, putting him at 114% of his benchmark for 1,237.

Oh boy.

 

[CCS]

Hah, well I work on much (what I'd consider) more interesting problems than normalizing polling data. I'm currently working on a model to determine user experience level and possible job affiliation based off their functional usage of a product in order to evaluate their likelihood of attrition and dynamically program help content to be sent to them.

That does sound pretty interesting. How are you building that model? (Just in general, as someone who's studied stats in some depth but has no practical experience applying it I'm curious)

 

[Kyosaiga]

source?

Said on MSNBC

 

[CDX]

Wait wait a minute. Apparently Clinton has an advantage with young minorities over Sanders? Why does that surprise me so much. Holy shit

source?

There was this from BEFORE New Hampshire. Sanders seemed to still have been leading with the 18-24 year old Hispanics though.

We don't know how it's changed or will change in the next few weeks though.

Said on MSNBC

I wonder if MSNBC might have new info now?

 

[Macho Madness]

Another stat as to why that Nevada poll from earlier today was garbage: 55% of caucus goers polled said they were new to the process.

In 2008, the turnout of new caucus goers was only 20% of all caucus goers.

 

[Veritigo_X]

Another stat as to why that Nevada poll from earlier today was garbage: 55% of caucus goers polled said they were new to the process.

In 2008, the turnout of new caucus goers was only 20% of all caucus goers.

Was there a revolution in 2008?

 

[Kangi]

Another stat as to why that Nevada poll from earlier today was garbage: 55% of caucus goers polled said they were new to the process.

In 2008, the turnout of new caucus goers was only 20% of all caucus goers.

This is slightly reassuring 'cause I'm a little

over that poll.

 

[NeoXChaos]

Another stat as to why that Nevada poll from earlier today was garbage: 55% of caucus goers polled said they were new to the process.

In 2008, the turnout of new caucus goers was only 20% of all caucus goers.

how does that rule out it not being the case this year? past isnt always prologue.

 

[Macho Madness]

how does that rule out it not being the case this year? past isnt always prologue.

That'd be a very unusually high amount of new caucus goers?

Plus 29% polled were independent or republican. You can change of course the day of the caucus, but it's a weird thing to not make note of at the top of the poll.

And then there's the fact that it's a poll from a site that has tried to dig up dirt on Clinton in the past.

 

[ivysaur12]

how does that rule out it not being the case this year? past isnt always prologue.

Sure, but it would go against what we saw in Iowa.

 

[thepotatoman]

Oh boy.

Ending at less than 100% would mean a brokered convention.

 

[theprodigy]

how does that rule out it not being the case this year? past isnt always prologue.

Sanders could also win South Carolina and effectively end Clinton's chances before March.

you know, since we're considering crazy scenarios

 

[NeoXChaos]

Hillary reserving air time in a bunch of March states. I am glad to be one of those states in the action.

I feel bad for you late staters like Ivysaur and b-dubs. You are missing out on the fun.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/hillary-clinton-ad-time-219206

Gabriel Debenedetti ‏@gdebenedetti 5h5 hours ago
Clinton's got TV ad time in MI ME NE VT AR KS LA MN MS VA TN TX GA OK CO AL on top of ongoing buys in NV & SC

 

[B-Dubs]

Hillary reserving air time in a bunch of March states. I am glad to be one of those states in the action.

I feel bad for you late staters like Ivysaur and b-dubs. You are missing out on the fun.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/hillary-clinton-ad-time-219206

So happy to live in NY right now.

 

[Macho Madness]

Hillary reserving air time in a bunch of March states. I am glad to be one of those states in the action.

I feel bad for you late staters like Ivysaur and b-dubs. You are missing out on the fun.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/hillary-clinton-ad-time-219206

Late stater here too. Probably won't see many presidential primary ads unless either race drags on a few more months.

 

[Plinko]

Oh boy.

Until Trump starts losing repeatedly, I'm still all in on my belief he is the guy. I don't see Rubio magically turning this around with those poll numbers in SC, and I think too many people hate Cruz to let that happen.

Ending at less than 100% would mean a brokered convention.

A brokered convention would be absolutely amazing to watch in today's day and age. Do they have the balls to go against Trump, who would then assuredly run third-party?

 

[Kyosaiga]

So happy to live in NY right now.

If Clinton ever has to buy air time in NY she might as well just drop out immediately.

 

[B-Dubs]

If Clinton ever has to buy air time in NY she might as well just drop out immediately.

Seriously. Plus its too expensive for Bernie to ever bother with even if he thought it would help.

 

[QuiteWhittle]

Until Trump starts losing repeatedly, I'm still all in on my belief he is the guy. I don't see Rubio magically turning this around with those poll numbers in SC, and I think too many people hate Cruz to let that happen.



A brokered convention would be absolutely amazing to watch in today's day and age. Do they have the balls to go against Trump, who would then assuredly run third-party?

Wouldn't it be too late for an independent run by then?