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PoliGAF 2016 |OT15| Orange is the New Black

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OMG ALL THAT RED

1280px-2012nationwidecountymapshadedbypercentagewon.svg.png


Obama won by almost 5 mil and 100+ EVs

Loving all the red! Yet were I live will not matter always goes blue.
 
T

thepotatoman

Unconfirmed Member
I just pokemon went to the ballot dropoff location.

I knew it would look different than 2014 but didn't realize how different. Saw like 10 young people drop their ballot off durring my brief time there, while 2014 i only saw 2 middle age people.
 

DrForester

Kills Photobucket
Dang it.

I've made it through Comey-Gate without worrying about Clinton winning, now I'm getting nervous that millions of people just said "fuck it"
 
I just pokemon went to the ballot dropoff location.

I knew it would look different than 2014 but didn't realize how different. Saw like 10 young people drop their ballot off durring my brief time there, while 2014 i only saw 2 middle age people.

Midterms really are a wasteland. I remember in 2014 I got interviewed by a local news channel because I was the only person under 40 they had seen in 2 hours.
 

Zyae

Member
HARRY ENTEN 5:46 PM
While exit polls are not the best at measuring the racial composition of the electorate, it does seem that minority turnout is way up in Florida. In the preliminary exit polls, 39 percent of voters were people of color. That compares to just 33 percent in 2012.
 

Kusagari

Member
Adrian Gray ‏@adrian_gray 11m11 minutes ago

White Non-College Women (GOP margin)
1980: +16
1988: +13
1992: +8
1996: -6
2000: +6
2004: +18
2008: +28
2012: +20
2016: +25

(exit polls)

White College Women (GOP margin) 1980: +9 1988: +6 1992: +0 1996: -4 2000: -5 2004: +1 2008: -7 2012: +6 2016: -8

White College Men (GOP margin) 1980: +32 1988: +30 1992: +10 1996: +21 2000: +23 2004: +20 2008: +14 2012: +21 2016: +11

White Non-College Men (GOP margin) 1980: +25 1988: +22 1992: +6 1996: +9 2000: +18 2004: +30 2008: +20 2012: +31 2016: +47

white non-college men love them some Trump
 

Joeytj

Banned
Yesss yessss

Ha! Anyway.

I know the Trump campaign probably has a worse data operation than Romney, so they don't really know if they are going to win or not. But, doesn't at least the RNC have a meaningful data operation than can tell them?

And, well, for what it's worth, early exits aren't saying anything shocking. A bit worried about that guy on Twitter (Marc Caputo?) saying Trump is gaining in Florida thanks to lower than state-average turnout in Miami-Dade, but who knows. The Latino surge is spread pretty evenly throughout Florida, from what we've seen.
 
Adrian Gray ‏@adrian_gray 11m11 minutes ago

White Non-College Women (GOP margin)
1980: +16
1988: +13
1992: +8
1996: -6
2000: +6
2004: +18
2008: +28
2012: +20
2016: +25

(exit polls)

White College Women (GOP margin) 1980: +9 1988: +6 1992: +0 1996: -4 2000: -5 2004: +1 2008: -7 2012: +6 2016: -8

White College Men (GOP margin) 1980: +32 1988: +30 1992: +10 1996: +21 2000: +23 2004: +20 2008: +14 2012: +21 2016: +11

White Non-College Men (GOP margin) 1980: +25 1988: +22 1992: +6 1996: +9 2000: +18 2004: +30 2008: +20 2012: +31 2016: +47

white non-college men love them some Trump

Wow at all of those.
 
HARRY ENTEN 5:46 PM
While exit polls are not the best at measuring the racial composition of the electorate, it does seem that minority turnout is way up in Florida. In the preliminary exit polls, 39 percent of voters were people of color. That compares to just 33 percent in 2012.
Holy shit

Isn't that way higher than the state demographics

If that holds that's horrible for trump
 

Angry Grimace

Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
+1 for Ric Flair in NC

5L52lEA.jpg


WOOOOOO

(Yes, this is Ric's ballot. Ric voted for Ric)
 
Want some Florida Hopium?

Miami-Dade, Hillsborough, and Broward (all huge Dem strong holds) are already above 2012.

Also in DUVALLLLL county GOP is only ahead by 4k votes (absentee, early and in person). This is a GOP county. Bush won it by 60k in 2004. Romney won it by 14k. There is time left, but Trump would need to have a HUGE margin to have a shot in Florida.

Adam, I am so happy you know the Duval chant. If my hometown went blue I would be so happy, but I'm not getting my hopes up. This is the same city whose LGBTQ groups decided to throw their support behind a Republican mayoral candidate, only to be blindsided when he refused to support an HRO amendment (the same mayor who then gave a hate preacher and kiddy diddler the spotlight during the HRO hearings). After all these years, you would think people know better than to trust Republicans...
 

GhostBed

Member
+1 for Clinton, Baye, Yoder and Gregg in Bloomington, IN. My polling location was 99% young people, most of which were first time voters. Makes sense since it's a college town, but it was still really encouraging to see.
 
I'm shocked that Flair isn't an enthusiastic Trump voter.

Who's ric flair?

He's Ric Flair, and he's custom made!
He's Ric Flair, and he'll tell ya this!
He's Ric Flair and he looks good, smells good,
WOOOOO can dance all night long!
He's Ric Flair, and he's custom made!
He's Ric Flair, and he'll tell ya this!
He's Ric Flair, and he was the greatest wrestler alive one day!
 
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