Also, just putting this out there...
The PPP poll assumes that there will be a 2% increase in the percentage of Latino voters that make up the electorate. Trump is running close to 10 points behind McCain among Hispanic voters. She's also currently leading among women, a group McCain won outright in 2008.
We are, I think, one cycle away from Texas being purple enough to consider swinging it. And that should terrify the GOP
Are you nuts? Why would anyone want that? If your comedy host cant make good of this freaking election season, he doesnt deserve to be anywhere near a tv show. Stewart/Colbert kept people interested in a boring ass 2012 election and this guy cant do anything with the insane material dump of this year.
Trump and the debates are a perfect storm.
Either he backs out, loses the remaining support he has while also looking more weak and pathetic than ever before ... or he goes to them and gets clowned on stage by a woman, proving he's a political and policy simpleton and simply not ready for the job, making him look more weak and pathetic than ever before.
You're his campaign manager and you have no scruples, you honestly believe in him and think the world would be a better place if he's elected. What do you tell him to do?
Eh, a candidate being down 8 nationally and losing college educated voters like Trump is not something you can expect to be the norm. Texas still seems like a decade away from being more than "somewhat close in wave elections" territory for the Dems.
Trump and the debates are a perfect storm.
Either he backs out, loses the remaining support he has while also looking more weak and pathetic than ever before ... or he goes to them and gets clowned on stage by a woman, proving he's a political and policy simpleton and simply not ready for the job, making him look more weak and pathetic than ever before.
You're his campaign manager and you have no scruples, you honestly believe in him and think the world would be a better place if he's elected. What do you tell him to do?
+6 Trump
Well, let's see if he can make Utah competitive?
Trump +6 in TX, Trump retweets it like it's a good thing.
She should spend money in GA and AZ, not TX. Texas is very expensive and very big, and would take a huge effort to move the needle where she would ultimately lose. I'd rather she shore up some other states first.
Like PPP said, Trump is only ahead because of voters over the age of 65. While that pool of voters is reliable, it's not sustainable. They're, literally, dying off. Demographic shifts alone would make Texas swingy by 2024. If Hillary invested in a statewide operation for registration and mobilization, there's a damn good chance you force the GOP to play prevent defense in 2020.
Trump and the debates are a perfect storm.
Either he backs out, loses the remaining support he has while also looking more weak and pathetic than ever before ... or he goes to them and gets clowned on stage by a woman, proving he's a political and policy simpleton and simply not ready for the job, making him look more weak and pathetic than ever before.
You're his campaign manager and you have no scruples, you honestly believe in him and think the world would be a better place if he's elected. What do you tell him to do?
Hillary needs to get some more ad money to Texas! I will be SHOOK if Texas goes blue. #ILivedThroughThe2016UnitedStatesElectionProcess
Here are the winners of the Texas poll guess!
Like others have said, remember that Hispanic numbers are always low, which could me closer to +4 or +5 without any real money or effort.
Of course Trump's campaign manager doesn't have any scruples.
He converted them to rubles last week.
Like PPP said, Trump is only ahead because of voters over the age of 65. While that pool of voters is reliable, it's not sustainable. They're, literally, dying off. Demographic shifts alone would make Texas swingy by 2024. If Hillary invested in a statewide operation for registration and mobilization, there's a damn good chance you force the GOP to play prevent defense in 2020.
I read an article this morning about how they need to find the right person to sub in for Trump during debates because that person is going to have to be willing to bring up Monica Lewinski and other Bill stuff and make Hillary uncomfortable.
Probably this article, which was pretty good. http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/hillary-clinton-prepare-trump-debate-lewinsky-227033
I kind of think money in Texas is a waste. I don't think Trump will waste anything to defend it because if Texas needs defending, he loses anyway. He just has to assume it's safe enough and pretend the old battleground states are still in play.
I kind of think money in Texas is a waste. I don't think Trump will waste anything to defend it because if Texas needs defending, he loses anyway and I don't think she can win it with money. I think it would require some more huge gaffes and scandals on the Trump side. He just has to assume it's safe enough and pretend the old battleground states are still in play.
2020 is way too optimistic unless you think Hillary is going to cruise to another blowout victory in 4 years. Texas is likelier to be closer this year than in the next election.
Which is why you push to solidify your advantages. I don;'t think she needs to drop a ton of money on ads and the like in Texas. That's a waste of money, when Georgia and Arizona are far easier to sway, I think. What you do need to do, though, is massive voter mobilization. I'm talking get every DREAMER who signed up to do that GOTV thing that's in Texas to run registration drive after registration drive. You send Bill and Michele to Texas at least once. You go ahead and get a small GOTV team in some of your best areas, and, for the love of god, you add them to your phone banking network.
The most important thing, though, is GOTV and registration. Get these people registered as Democrats. Because, if I'm registering and turning out a voter this cycle, they've now established a pattern of voting. I'm going to have their information for 2020 and 2024. I own that vote now, and it forces the GOP to wrestle it away from me.
God I want dems to do this so bad!Which is why you push to solidify your advantages. I don;'t think she needs to drop a ton of money on ads and the like in Texas. That's a waste of money, when Georgia and Arizona are far easier to sway, I think. What you do need to do, though, is massive voter mobilization. I'm talking get every DREAMER who signed up to do that GOTV thing that's in Texas to run registration drive after registration drive. You send Bill and Michele to Texas at least once. You go ahead and get a small GOTV team in some of your best areas, and, for the love of god, you add them to your phone banking network.
The most important thing, though, is GOTV and registration. Get these people registered as Democrats. Because, if I'm registering and turning out a voter this cycle, they've now established a pattern of voting. I'm going to have their information for 2020 and 2024. I own that vote now, and it forces the GOP to wrestle it away from me.
Which is why you push to solidify your advantages. I don;'t think she needs to drop a ton of money on ads and the like in Texas. That's a waste of money, when Georgia and Arizona are far easier to sway, I think. What you do need to do, though, is massive voter mobilization. I'm talking get every DREAMER who signed up to do that GOTV thing that's in Texas to run registration drive after registration drive. You send Bill and Michele to Texas at least once. You go ahead and get a small GOTV team in some of your best areas, and, for the love of god, you add them to your phone banking network.
The most important thing, though, is GOTV and registration. Get these people registered as Democrats. Because, if I'm registering and turning out a voter this cycle, they've now established a pattern of voting. I'm going to have their information for 2020 and 2024. I own that vote now, and it forces the GOP to wrestle it away from me.
Paul Clement is one of the best lawyers in the nation. A former Solicitor General of the United States, Clement has spent much of the Obama administration transforming himself into a kind of Solicitor General of the Republican Party. Clement has argued cases seeking to repeal the Affordable Care Act, preserve anti-gay marriage discrimination, defend harsh policies targeting immigrants, and preserve other voter suppression laws. His presence on a case is often a clear sign that the nations conservative establishment views it as a very high priority.
He reportedly charges as much as $1,350 an hour for his services, although hes been known to offer his government clients a bargain basement discount price of only $520 per hour!
We continue to find that Trump voters overwhelmingly buy into his preemptive claims about the election being rigged. Just 19% of Trump voters grant that if Clinton wins the election it will be because she got more votes, while 71% say that it will just be because the election was rigged. More specifically 40% of Trump voters think that ACORN, which hasn't existed in years, will steal the election for Clinton to only 20% who don't think it will, and only 20% who are unsure.
Fuck why did Hassan have a brainfart.
WHY.
what happened ?
New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan skirted multiple opportunities to say outright whether she considers Hillary Clinton honest and trustworthy attributes that have long dogged the Democratic presidential nominee in state and national polls even as she extends her advantage over Donald Trump.
Asked in an interview aired Tuesday on CNN whether Clinton is "honest and trustworthy," Hassan first replied, "I support Hillary Clinton for the presidency because her experience and record demonstrate she's qualified to hold the job."
Pressed on whether she sees the former secretary of state as honest, the governor, facing a tough Senate race against incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte, commented onClinton's "critical, critical plan among others for making college more affordable."
"But do you think she's trustworthy?" CNN's Manu Raju inquired, to which Hassan responded, "I think that she has demonstrated a commitment always to something beyond herself, bigger than herself."
CNN said Hassan's campaign later reached out to clarify that the governor does see Clinton as honest.
Sounds like she was worried to give a soundbite saying she thinks Clinton is trustworthy and have it used against her. Which is unfortunate
Trump real complacent with sexual harassment
Stupid question : Given that this election is so absurdly different, would it be a foolish strategy to target the seniors in Texas with a heavy bombardement of adds that SOLELY focus on the future of their grand children ? History reveals that this is a reliably Republican demographic, but maybe history is changing enough right now to create a snowball effect, that could push them the last final steps towards the Dems ? ?
The news here is that Trump is actually planning to debate!@SopanDeb
Roger Ailes, forced out from Fox because of a massive sexual hararssment scandal, will advise Trump ahead of debates
Shocking development. I wonder if Trump will bring on Mark Foley as well...
Exactly. Texas has a lot of media markets, and the ones that are interesting to Democrats are very expensive. Not only that, setting up a campaign infrastructure in the important areas of the state would also be expensive because you would need a lot of offices and staff to cover all the ground. It would probably be cheaper to run ads, open offices and establish campaign infrastructure in GA and AZ combined than just TX.She should spend money in GA and AZ, not TX. Texas is very expensive and very big, and would take a huge effort to move the needle where she would ultimately lose. I'd rather she shore up some other states first.
Eh, that's not that bad...especially when a majority of voters in almost every state doesn't see Hillary as honest and trustworthy. It's not a Senate candidate's responsibility to answer that question, although she should have come up with something a bit better. But that's a self-preservation answer, also known as politics. Sitting here, I'd rather her unequivocally say yes, but I can certainly understand hedging on that issue.
In the polls only model, Hillary now has a better chance of winning Texas than Trump has of winning Florida, Ohio or North Carolina.