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[Roland_Gunner]

Dave Wasserman‏Verified account @Redistrict 4m4 minutes ago
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Breaking: Ossoff (D) wins 57% of Cobb's in-person absentees. Again, that's roughly what he needs to hit 50%, but very close... #GA06

Its really, really close to happening.

 

[whyamihere]

He's at 61% of the EV in Fulton.

Remember this?

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/854471229293690880

@Redistrict
IMPORTANT as you track: this likely means Ossoff (D) needs at least 72% of the *early* vote in DeKalb, 61% in Fulton and 55% in Cobb. #GA06

 

[ShadowSwordmaster]

It's going to be a close call.

 

[Box of Kittens]

I'm going to say that it was very apparently early that Thompson's lead in KS-04 was not going to hold and the real question was how big a margin Estes would get. I'm not saying Ossoff is getting 50%, but it's not clear that he isn't.

 

[NeoXChaos]

preface by saying Ossoff would be the first millennial Democrat in Congress. Every other millennial in Congress is a Republican.

 

[B-Dubs]

He's at 61% of the EV in Fulton.

Remember this?

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/854471229293690880

He's a tiny bit behind that in DeKalb, hope that doesn't bite him in the ass.

 

[Beer Monkey]

Its really, really close to happening.

I'll be in my bunk(er).

 

[Dubbedinenglish]

This looks like it is going to be close AF.

 

[Oblivion]

Is this a gerrymandered district, btw?

 

[smokeandmirrors]

preface by saying Ossoff would be the first millennial Democrat in Congress. Every other millennial in Congress is a Republican.

How many millennial republican congressional members are there

 

[wandering]

For ease of access:

 

[Chumley]

I'm expecting this to go just like election night and probably even worse as the rest of the votes come in.

 

[Ziltoidia 9]

Is this a gerrymandered district, btw?

District demographics -

 

[Roland_Gunner]

This looks like it is going to be close AF.

Dave Wasserman‏Verified account
@Redistrict

Breaking: #GA06-wide, Ossoff (D) has won 62% of the in-person absentee vote. Most estimated he needed 61%-64% to have a shot at 50%.

Yuuuupp

 

[Four_Chamber]

Even if we go to a runoff, these numbers have me excited. Ossoff has really gotten the "base" energized and clearly has won some crossover votes.

However, a win without going to the runoff would be epic.

 

[Dubbedinenglish]

Is this a gerrymandered district, btw?

Yes, draws Dems from Cobb and Dekalb to be drowned out by hard R votes, while keeping the D votes in closer districts limited.

 

[Plinko]

Getting 49.9% would be heartbreaking. I'm all in now. I want 50%+1.

 

[wandering]

NYT has 61.5% but the Sec of State is still at 62%

 

[Ogodei]

If he can get super-close to 50%, then you would assume that the Democrats who are voting for the other Democratic candidates could put him over the top in a runoff.

 

[Boke1879]

Is there a reason why it HAS to be 50% +1? Like I know those are the rules, but why?

 

[numble]

NYT has 61.5% but the Sec of State is still at 62%

Your Secretary of State page not refreshing? It should be updating faster than NYT.

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/

 

[Aaron Strife]

Is there a reason why it HAS to be 50% +1? Like I know those are the rules, but why?

This is technically the primary.

 

[StopMakingSense]

Is there a reason why it HAS to be 50% +1? Like I know those are the rules, but why?

If no one gets over 50 percent there's a runoff election with the top 2.

 

[NeoXChaos]

How many millennial republican congressional members are there

4. With Murphy gone Gabbard is the only Democratic Millennial.

We have not had our first millennial senator yet. Kander and Murphy were the most likely and they lost last year. Have no clue where the first one will come from R or D wise.

 

[Chumly]

If he can get super-close to 50%, then you would assume that the Democrats who are voting for the other Democratic candidates could put him over the top in a runoff.

Actually that's not the case at all. A two person runoff with more republican firepower will bring more voters. Most people give him the best chances of winning it outright verses a runoff

 

[wandering]

Your Secretary of State page not refreshing? It should be updating faster than NYT.

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/GA/67317/Web02-state/#/

Huh, for some reason it was stuck before, it's updated now.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

I am never trusting election day votes after 2016. Positive signs but long easy to go.

 

[Dubbedinenglish]

If he can get super-close to 50%, then you would assume that the Democrats who are voting for the other Democratic candidates could put him over the top in a runoff.

Second thing to watch is the R total vs the D vote total. I think there will be more D votes than R tonight.

 

[Oblivion]

District demographics -

Yes, draws Dems from Cobb and Dekalb to be drowned out by hard R votes, while keeping the D votes in closer districts limited.

Grazie.

Our first real chance to see if anti-Trumpism is strong enough to deal with this.

 

[TheAbsolution]

Is there anywhere I could go look at a precinct by precinct map? Having a difficult time seeing where these votes are coming from.

 

[wandering]

Is there anywhere I could go look at a precinct by precinct map. Having a difficult time seeing where these votes are coming from.

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/georgia-house-special-election-district-6

 

[cartoon_soldier]

19m
Daily Kos Elections‏ @DKElections
Right now the early vote totals we're seeing are necessary, but not sufficient, for Ossoff to break 50%. Looonnng way to go #GA06

 

[Roland_Gunner]

Dave Wasserman‏Verified account @Redistrict 16m16 minutes ago
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Based on a turnout of 150k, Ossoff would need about 44% of the Election Day vote to win #GA06 outright. That's harder than it sounds.

Dave Wasserman‏Verified account @Redistrict 1m1 minute ago
More
Ossoff at 48.6% of the Election Day vote w/ 9/210 precincts reporting so far. But 6/9 precincts are DeKalb, his best area. #GA06

Based on the first nine precincts Ossoff may come up just short. Super close though.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Based on the first nine precincts Ossoff may come up just short. Super close though.

Yes, looks like 48% is more realistic. Fall with election day vote coming in was Swift.

The have that Handel is winning comfortably is good for Dems though.

 

[CrimzonSamurai]

I just helped cook dinner for Kellyanne Conway.

Please kill me.

 

[Officerrob]

I'm calling 47%

 

[rjinaz]

I just helped cook dinner for Kellyanne Conway.

Please kill me.

Sounds like a neat job though. Don't ruin it by rubbing somebody the wrong way!

 

[wutwutwut]

Uhh -- runoff elections in America?! That's a thing?

 

[Autodidact]

Uhh -- runoff elections in America?! That's a thing?

Yep. These jungle elections save the parties the trouble of having actual primaries.

 

[wandering]

Sec of State website hasn't moved at all for me, anyone else been getting results?

 

[whyamihere]

Even if he gets 48-49%, he's fairy well positioned to win the runoff.

 

[Diablos]

Can we finally have a victory

 

[Carpe Libertatem]

Even if he gets 48-49%, he's fairy well positioned to win the runoff.

No clearly the Democrats are doomed if he doesn't get 50%.

 

[Box of Kittens]

Uhh -- runoff elections in America?! That's a thing?

Long story short, each state has wide latitude in how it conducts its elections, so you see a decent amount of variation.

 

[Officerrob]

Even if he gets 48-49%, he's fairy well positioned to win the runoff.

Coin flip at best

 

[whyamihere]

Coin flip at best

More energy, more money, and better data on who to target for GOV. Also, Karen Handel sucks. She's Georgia's Martha Coakley.

 

[Wilsongt]

 

[Slizeezyc]

Coin flip at best

That seems pretty good for this particular district.

 

[AntraxSuicide]

Is there a reason why it HAS to be 50% +1? Like I know those are the rules, but why?

In theory, if a district race is held between 20 people, where 19 of them get 4.9% each and the 20th gets the remaining 6.9%, you'd have a district Rep who only got picked by less than a tenth of the district.

With a jungle primary, if someone clears 50%, then you might as well call it. If not, you pick the top two and then by definition someone will clear 50% there.

 

[~Kinggi~]

Can we finally have a victory

no. now cry it fuels the orange lord