Brawly Likes to Brawl
Member
PRIMARY ME
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PoliGAF 2017 |OT6| Made this thread during Harvey because the ratings would be higher
- Thread starter Aaron Strife
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PRIMARY ME
Sirpopopop
Member
https://www.predictit.org/Market/3633/Who-will-win-the-2020-Democratic-presidential-nomination
PredictIt just launched its nominee markets.
Have fun.
I'm gonna put some money on Klobuchar.
PredictIt just launched its nominee markets.
Have fun.
I'm gonna put some money on Klobuchar.
The thing is people can be super sharp into their 80s, but if they start declining, it can be incredibly fast. Anything can result in complications, even a basic cold.
VendettaRed07
Member
SerAardvark
Member
Newsom is running for governor.
Edit: beaten.
There are a lot of people that could make a run at her, but I'm not sure if they will. Maybe Loretta Sanchez, who just ran for Boxer's seat against Kamala Harris (aka Dabbing Girl from the post above mine). There have been some whispers about Eric Garcetti (Mayor of LA) as well.
Brawly Likes to Brawl
Member
About 3 weeks after Trump bungled the response to a domestic terrorist attack.
Just a few days after he admits to using an impending natural disaster as a platform to soak up attention.
How does a Californian Dem fuck up by invoking the "give him a chance" nonsense at this stage? I would expect something like this from Manchin.
Just a few days after he admits to using an impending natural disaster as a platform to soak up attention.
How does a Californian Dem fuck up by invoking the "give him a chance" nonsense at this stage? I would expect something like this from Manchin.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Don't know why Garcetti thinks he can jump from Mayor to President. I know LA is bigger than a lot of states, but I really do feel you should be Senator or Governor before considering it. Trump getting elected from nothing doesn't lower that standard for me.
Journeywalker
Member
UPDATE: Trump's companies have pimped the following properties and services on Twitter during Hurricane Harvey. Note, all of these come through trumps_feed, so he at least has to scroll through them:
1. Trump Tower, Punta del Este in Uruguay
Delighted to see the #AugustProgress on Trump Tower Punta del Este! Every unit is designed to deliver a unique lifestyle experience #Uruguay
(with promo video)
2. Trump golf course in Los Angeles
On the bluffs of the Palos Verdes Peninsula, @TrumpGolfLA offers 180 degrees of stunning coastline and ocean views 🌊
3. Trump Banquet services in Miami (seems tweet has been deleted)
4 "Getting to know the groundskeepers" video on Trump's golf courses
You've heard of our iconic @TrumpGolf courses but do you know the people behind the greens? #NeverSettle
5. 9th annual Wine and Beer festival on Trump property in Los Angeles.
Thank you to everyone who participated in the 9th Annual Wine and Beer Festival! We cannot wait to see you all again next year for the 10th!
*insert picture of pretty girls sitting on the hood of a really expensive car*
6. Helpful reminder that there's still time to hit the Trump golf courses on Labor Day.
The unofficial last weekend of summer is nearly here! But don't fret: There's still time to hit the course #LaborDay
7. Trump SoHo in Manhattan, New York City.
Adding distinction to the skyline, @TrumpSoHo brings a new perspective to Manhattan from its 391 guest rooms
8. 1st Annual Golf Fashion Weekend at Trump Doral.
We're pleased to host the 1st annual Golf Fashion Weekend @TrumpDoral! Reserve your spot for this unique experience
9. Weddings at Trump National Doral, with a plug for Dolce Photography.
Picture-perfect backdrop for your big day? ✔️Check off the rest of your list:
*insert picture of wedding here*
Given Trump's overbilling taxpayers for his stays at Mar-a-Lago, Trump Tower, Bedminster, etc. there needs to be a campaign demanding for Trump's companies to donate to Hurricane Harvey disaster relief. Unfortunately, my efforts are pretty much useless so far.
1. Trump Tower, Punta del Este in Uruguay
Delighted to see the #AugustProgress on Trump Tower Punta del Este! Every unit is designed to deliver a unique lifestyle experience #Uruguay
(with promo video)
2. Trump golf course in Los Angeles
On the bluffs of the Palos Verdes Peninsula, @TrumpGolfLA offers 180 degrees of stunning coastline and ocean views 🌊
3. Trump Banquet services in Miami (seems tweet has been deleted)
4 "Getting to know the groundskeepers" video on Trump's golf courses
You've heard of our iconic @TrumpGolf courses but do you know the people behind the greens? #NeverSettle
5. 9th annual Wine and Beer festival on Trump property in Los Angeles.
Thank you to everyone who participated in the 9th Annual Wine and Beer Festival! We cannot wait to see you all again next year for the 10th!
*insert picture of pretty girls sitting on the hood of a really expensive car*
6. Helpful reminder that there's still time to hit the Trump golf courses on Labor Day.
The unofficial last weekend of summer is nearly here! But don't fret: There's still time to hit the course #LaborDay
7. Trump SoHo in Manhattan, New York City.
Adding distinction to the skyline, @TrumpSoHo brings a new perspective to Manhattan from its 391 guest rooms
8. 1st Annual Golf Fashion Weekend at Trump Doral.
We're pleased to host the 1st annual Golf Fashion Weekend @TrumpDoral! Reserve your spot for this unique experience
9. Weddings at Trump National Doral, with a plug for Dolce Photography.
Picture-perfect backdrop for your big day? ✔️Check off the rest of your list:
*insert picture of wedding here*
Given Trump's overbilling taxpayers for his stays at Mar-a-Lago, Trump Tower, Bedminster, etc. there needs to be a campaign demanding for Trump's companies to donate to Hurricane Harvey disaster relief. Unfortunately, my efforts are pretty much useless so far.
It's time for Feinstein to go
Here's the Garcetti 2020 stuff:
http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/28/2020-democrats-new-hampshire-garcetti-242121
http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/28/2020-democrats-new-hampshire-garcetti-242121
Prof. Bathtub
Member
So... when is Bannon Da Barbarian going to unleash his F#&@#*% Machine on the malignant administration members? Could it be that nobody but his nazi followers care who precisely is destroying the country?
BoogieWoogie
Banned
Him and Gorka being all like "WE'LL COME BACK EVEN MORE POWERFUL" was the most ridiculous shit. From being inside the White House to going back to running your blog is a giant demotion, regardless of what these asshats are talking about.
whyamihere
Banned
You can't primary people in California. So annoying.
Brawndo Addict
Banned
EDIT: Speak of the devil haha
Having read the article, I'm not sure how convinced I am of state prosecutions being a viable alternative. The political fallout associated with that would be immense, not to mention the legal/operational issues. And as the article notes, Trump could just delay the issuance of pardons until it would trigger double jeopardy rules. That said, it is incredibly uncharted territory and states would have ways they could absorb much of Mueller's evidence/work. I do think this will be what the debate is in 2-3 years though; Trump's alternative is to take a sure loss (federal prosecution) over a much more questionable potential loss (state prosecution). It doesn't really change the calculus of whether he would pardon or not.
------
I'm honestly having a hard time coming up with reasons why Trump (re: Mueller) wouldn't simply double pardon everyone if things get too serious (once for any crimes in question and again for any crimes related to refusal to testify once the first pardon was issued). I don't see Republicans giving a shit about it aside from hemming and hawing, if anything, I expect it would probably cost them more votes from Trump's base to entertain impeachment as opposed to Democrat's gaining votes.
Trump is obviously just going to spin the investigation and its findings as fake news, Mueller's a Clinton lackey/stooge, blah blah blah. Truth is dead so that just becomes immediately accepted by his hyper-polarized base and seen as proof that the 'establishment' is out to get Trump. Even in the worst case scenario for him where Trump is forced to resign, Pence is just gonna pull a Ford to avoid distractions.
Obviously the electoral consequences of this would be titanic, but I don't see Trump or his cronies ever getting any kind of legal comeuppance.
Having read the article, I'm not sure how convinced I am of state prosecutions being a viable alternative. The political fallout associated with that would be immense, not to mention the legal/operational issues. And as the article notes, Trump could just delay the issuance of pardons until it would trigger double jeopardy rules. That said, it is incredibly uncharted territory and states would have ways they could absorb much of Mueller's evidence/work. I do think this will be what the debate is in 2-3 years though; Trump's alternative is to take a sure loss (federal prosecution) over a much more questionable potential loss (state prosecution). It doesn't really change the calculus of whether he would pardon or not.
------
I'm honestly having a hard time coming up with reasons why Trump (re: Mueller) wouldn't simply double pardon everyone if things get too serious (once for any crimes in question and again for any crimes related to refusal to testify once the first pardon was issued). I don't see Republicans giving a shit about it aside from hemming and hawing, if anything, I expect it would probably cost them more votes from Trump's base to entertain impeachment as opposed to Democrat's gaining votes.
Trump is obviously just going to spin the investigation and its findings as fake news, Mueller's a Clinton lackey/stooge, blah blah blah. Truth is dead so that just becomes immediately accepted by his hyper-polarized base and seen as proof that the 'establishment' is out to get Trump. Even in the worst case scenario for him where Trump is forced to resign, Pence is just gonna pull a Ford to avoid distractions.
Obviously the electoral consequences of this would be titanic, but I don't see Trump or his cronies ever getting any kind of legal comeuppance.
AntraxSuicide
Banned
You basically can though. The general would just be two Dems again lol.
That comment from her is stupid from CA. I'll get it when Dems here say that, not in a state that just had a Senate election with no republican.
Quinn poll is.......... something.
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us08242017_Ua27nbp.pdf/
THE KIDS LOVE PAUL RYAN
MINORITIES THINK GOP MOVED TOO FAR LEFT SOMEHOW
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us08242017_Ua27nbp.pdf/
whyamihere
Banned
Once you cut down the sample size that much, the MOE becomes greater, so it's sort of hard to get the sense of what 18-29 year olds want unless you actively seek out a huge 18-29 sample.
RastaMentality
Banned
After 2016, using betting markets for the election probably isn't the best idea.
BlastProcessing
Member
The only thing I can think of is that she is trying to keep Grassley happy to keep things moving on the Judiciary Committee.
Sirpopopop
Member
Yeah, I agree that if your goal is to consistently make money, it's probably not the best market to dabble in. Tossing away $10 on a lotto ticket though? Sure... why not.
nature boy
Member
And the clean-up:
Good thing there aren't any Texas Republicans running for re-election next year
Box of Kittens
Banned
This is about as perfect an opportunity as they come to attack the GOP on something.
Which means no Dems will bother doing TV appearances to push that narrative.
Suikoguy
I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
You can't?
ItWasMeantToBe19
Banned
Top 2 primary.
AntraxSuicide
Banned
This is basically condemning anyone pardoned to exile from blue states, notably New England where most of them like to vacation and shit. If they set foot in these places, they could be arrested and charged with no hope of a pardon.
Especially Trump himself. He'd have to abandon Trump Tower because any NY AG would basically guarantee elected office for life if they sent the NYPD in to drag Trump out. You could leak it like a hour before and there'd be crowds cheering the perp walk.
I think as dumb as he is, he can understand this if it's explained to him, so I'm expecting a lack of pardons on this. Their best bet is to find their Ollie North and get them to take one for the team. That's my biggest fear with this stuff.
Edit
idn't see your edit lol. I don't think it's cut and dry, but I find it unlikely that some quick pardons could keep a state like NY from jamming Trump and Co forever if they want. If not Russia, then it'll be constant financial audits and shit like that. Again, in a place like NY, giving Trump shit is probably pretty popular.
balladofwindfishes
Member
Dems have been doing TV appearances this entire year pushing narratives.
There's no designated Democratic nominee. It's a jungle primary, so all the Democratic and Republican candidates get thrown into the same pool, and the top two finishers - regardless of party - move on to the general.
Suikoguy
I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
Oh, so technically someone could still run against Feinstein in the Jungle Primary?
She is 84, she should honestly consider retiring anyway. There is no political advantage for her to stay in office.
Her seat is D+ a billion right?
AntraxSuicide
Banned
CA Senate, so yeah. Kamala's race didn't even have a republican in the general.
Greigor The Fellhand
Member
if they are eyeballing that then they must think they are loosing Texas. kick em while they are down
balladofwindfishes
Member
This is a really poor time to push for tax reform. Houston is still underwater and he's screaming at a podium about how burdened businesses are with taxes. The optics are... not great.
Doesn't he have an actual job to do?
Doesn't he have an actual job to do?
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
"Hey everyone, want to lose some money? Have I got a deal for you!"
*Elizabeth Warren for Democratic Nominee*
Not only this, but he's kind of pushing a flat tax, which always ends up raising taxes on lower- and middle-income voters.
BoogieWoogie
Banned
As someone who knew Brandon before he became God of Twitter, still blows my mind he's permeating our culture so much.
Mattis is just trying to get fired now.
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world...a-mattis-disagrees/ar-AAqZpxb?ocid=spartanntp
http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world...a-mattis-disagrees/ar-AAqZpxb?ocid=spartanntp
I literally thought she meant "he's only been doing this for eight months and look how hard he's failing, be patient he'll be gone soon."
Might as well throw @randygdub in.
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