That probably implies more that the ad time buyers figure those right wing audiences are a lost cause. Also, since right wing radio and Fox News have giant audiences, the ad time probably costs more than usual, which would make it even less worth it.
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PolliGaf 2012 |OT5| Big Bird, Binders, Bayonets, Bad News and Benghazi
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That probably implies more that the ad time buyers figure those right wing audiences are a lost cause. Also, since right wing radio and Fox News have giant audiences, the ad time probably costs more than usual, which would make it even less worth it.
The aid relief to swing states stuff? Pretty sure that turned out to be misinformation.
djplaeskool
Member
This is some real ether being dropped here.
Awesome. Fuck Politico. They're pretty much everything wrong with political journalism.
wtf at the moan at the end
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Well, that and the "It's not a campaign rally--I swear!" stuff.
Glad to hear the first thing was misinformation.
platypotamus
Member
Possibly not the best timing though...
Fragamemnon
Member
seriously lol'd at that
RustyNails
Member
Doesn't the common wisdom suggest that magic number is somewhere between LV and RV? Obama's GOTV has to account for at least 3%.
Link
The Autumn Wind
So apparently, Romney's "relief rallies" are exactly the thing the Red Cross has asked people not to do. They would much rather have people donate money and blood to them directly.
http://m.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/30/1152540/-Romney-lines-everybody-up-to-give-him-stuff-the-Red-Cross-says-it-doesn-t-want
http://m.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/30/1152540/-Romney-lines-everybody-up-to-give-him-stuff-the-Red-Cross-says-it-doesn-t-want
Of course they are >.<
Obama runs ads on AM "news" radio here in Central FL. Did it both in 2008 and now.
It's really funny.
Angry Grimace
Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
I wouldn't be surprised at all if Romney's Storm Relief event cost more to put on than it actually brought in.
The campaign bus is going to hand it out? wtf? They're not going to let professionals deal with this sort of thing?
Also, isn't something like that dangerously close to buying votes. I know him and Paul Ryan almost got in trouble with Wisconsin law when they handed out free sandwiches to people.
The Lamonster
Member
There are a ton of commercials for local races here in St. Louis where it's angrily noted that the democratic opponent "supported Obamacare" like it's this big evil thing.
It appears that it is, in fact, I who was bewildered, Hawkian. I was expecting poll numbers so it didn't occur to me that the "75%" was his odds of winning.
Mackenzie 92
Member
Thagomizer
Member
As someone who has worked with several volunteer outfits, pretty much every single one of them would rather you donate cash, because more can be done with it to where the charity needs it to go, where donations of food and "for this purpose" donation ties the charity's hands.
In the worst case (and this actually happened at a library I worked at), you wind up with a billion paperback books and nothing else, because that's what people donate, when they'd much rather have money so they can actually by the art supplies they need for the youth activities.
In the worst case (and this actually happened at a library I worked at), you wind up with a billion paperback books and nothing else, because that's what people donate, when they'd much rather have money so they can actually by the art supplies they need for the youth activities.
Oh. Well that was rather anti-climactic!It appears that it is, in fact, I who was bewildered, Hawkian. I was expecting poll numbers so it didn't occur to me that the "75%" was his odds of winning.
btw for the interested, with 8 days out here's Nate's difference between the "Now-cast" and "Then-cast" (let me know if I should elaborate)
Man, oh, man.. that popular vote probability is cloooose.
...
And regarding Minnesota:
Don't be fooled on Minnesota's lean this year.
...
And regarding Minnesota:
http://www.startribune.com/politics/statelocal/176350381.html
Don't be fooled on Minnesota's lean this year.
Aaron Strife
Banned
Did anyone honestly assume that MN-Senate was in play this year?
If so they are an unmitigated idiot.
RustyNails
Member
ErasureAcer
Banned
Can't wait for all RV to vote and Obama sweeps the battlegrounds. 1 more week.
2spooky.
It's not a wrap. According to Nate's model, there is approximately a 27% chance of it not being a wrap.
Actually if I understand the model correctly, by nature it actually does not have one?
edit: er, wait a minute
Agreed. Here's that concept expressed in a very pragmatic way:
Ezra Klein said:
True. I just figured that it couldn't hurt to point out just how ridiculously friendly Minnesota is to Democrats.
I harped on this a while back. With the exception of a few polls, RV numbers are getting harder to come by. Especially with certain state polls. When turnout in a swing state is north of 80%, the difference between RV and LV is going to be laughable, and I think a lot of pollsters in their strict effort to identify the most likely of voters might be making a fundamental error here.
PhoenixDark
Banned
Seems like they've been baffling folks for a bit
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/10/24/1149720/-What-s-the-deal-with-Pharos-Research-Group
Pretty much...
Ha, I lean towards Sam's current numbers myself. =)
Again, no. I'd much rather have 3:4 odds than 1:4 odds but only a fool would contend that having a 25% chance means no chance at all.
RustyNails
Member
Where are you reading this? CNN's top political story is still a day old Romney speaks with FEMA, and rest of their stories are Romney backpats.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
Needs to learn from Bobby Jindal.
...is this really going to be a thing?
edit: SurveyUSA says Florida is all tied up.
Here's the CBS story:
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-505263_...ama-deserves-great-credit-for-storm-response/
If you google FreeRepublic and Obama and Cristie, you'll see two decent threads. They ain't happy. This pic didn't help..
aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaargh
Hasn't it always been that way?
ErasureAcer
Banned
Why would Christie support Romney? He'd have to wait 8 years to run for Pres rather than 4.
Sorry, I should have stipulated my frustration: I'm one of the people contributing to that 19 points.
there is NOTHING I CAN DO about the rest of my dumbass state with its ludicrously high number of electoral votes
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