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[PhoenixDark]

Nate Silver told Charlie Rose his personal political beliefs were more in line somewhere between Gary Johnson and Mitt Romney.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ZDPpoOaGLK4

 

[Mackenzie 92]

Some of them . . . yes. They just like Israel because Israel is needed to bring back Jesus but they don't like Jews.


But there are splits. Pat Buchanan has never been all that enamoured by Jews or Israel.

That seems strange since Jewish people don't believe in Jesus.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

If you believe these WI and OH polls, why would MI be any different?

Marquette back in da house!

 

[speculawyer]

If you believe these WI and OH polls, why would MI be any different?

Because Mitt Romney is going to make sure they don't build Jeeps in China!

 

[djplaeskool]

Anybody else voting early or did so?

Georgia here.
+1 for Bams.
See if we can close the supposed 8 point gap here.
African-American turnout for early voting has been astounding.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Nate Silver told Charlie Rose his personal political beliefs were more in line somewhere between Gary Johnson and Mitt Romney.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ZDPpoOaGLK4

But he is showing Obama is winning...commie liberal socialist islamist gay atheist he is.

 

[Cloudy]

Ari Berman ‏@AriBerman

! RT @MULawPoll Obama up by 8 over Romney (51% to 43%) in new MU Law School Poll [of WI]. They were at 49-48 two weeks ago. #mulawpoll

Romentum!

 

[speculawyer]

That seems strange since Jewish people don't believe in Jesus.

Religion is all about strange.

 

[StopMakingSense]

Because Mitt Romney is going to make sure they don't build Jeeps in China!

I have to imagine the blowback on the Jeep ads will affect him most in MI.

Also, great news about the Marquette Law poll. THey are the WI polling gold standard.

These past 24 hours of polls have been pretty great. Romney needs more Rasmussen polls STAT.

 

[Brinbe]

Toss-up!

But seriously, <3 that Midwest+NV firewall.

 

[speculawyer]

Anybody else voting early or did so?

California does not have early voting (AFAIK) other than absentee ballots. But I like to roller-skate down to my local poll and pick up my Libertarian ballot (don't laugh) and amuse the old poll workers.

 

[Rocket Scientist]

Georgia here.
+1 for Bams.
See if we can close the supposed 8 point gap here.
African-American turnout for early voting has been astounding.

Others mentioned Georgia too here. What's different compared to the last election? What caused the (seeming) enthusiasm among black voters?

 

[JCreasy]

I think Drudge is butt-hurt ya'll

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

I created PoliGAF chat on the IRC GAF server


server: studio64.yi.org
channel: #PoliGAF

irc clients:
windows - use mirc or xchat
mac - colloquy

 

[The Librarian]

Oh, and, hey, PD:

 

[StopMakingSense]

California does not have early voting (AFAIK) other than absentee ballots. But I like to roller-skate down to my local poll and pick up my Libertarian ballot (don't laugh) and amuse the old poll workers.

We do have early voting. But its kind of a total pain in the ass, at least in LA. It's only at the county clerk's office. And fucking NO ONE wants to ever drive to Norwalk EVER.

 

[Mike M]

Anybody else voting early or did so?

My wife and I have our WA state ballots filled out, just need to drop them off.

I-1185 is guaranteed to pass, but hopefully the ruling finding it unconstitutional is upheld.

Polling consistently finds R74 legalizing gay marriage ahead as well, so I'm hopeful on that one.

Voted yes on I-502 as well, we'll see how far that one gets.

 

[jiggle]

Others mentioned Georgia too here. What's different compared to the last election? What caused the (seeming) enthusiasm among black voters?

lemonade

 

[GPsych]

Purple Texas dreamers aren't saying it will turn blue because suburban teacher moms suddenly have an epiphany and decide to vote for democrat President. But because of rapidly changing demographics in the south and the west. Passing immigration reform in the next 4 years can help solidify the Latino support for democrats, but they already support Obama and democrats by a majority. Lot of young people are also moving to Tx for jobs and careers, and the heavily populated urban centers can prove to be tipping points in the near future.

I'm not talking about "suburban teacher moms" here. This is an inner-city large urban school district (Houston ISD, largest in the state). At least half of those special ed teachers I mentioned are hispanic women. Admittedly, a huge percentage of them are married to Oil & Gas employees which is a heavily republican sector from what I understand. Even worse, school administrators at HISD are crazy far to the right - like Tea Party level. Once again, it's incredibly bizarre considering that they're basically voting against their own interests.

 

[Hellsing321]

I think Drudge is butt-hurt ya'll

If Obama is campaigning in the once godless liberal bastion of New Jersey, he is well and truly fucked.

 

[Rocket Scientist]

lemonade

Thought that was Florida?

 

[PhoenixDark]

Romentum!

49-48 last week. That's game

 

[Cloudy]

Nate Silver told Charlie Rose his personal political beliefs were more in line somewhere between Gary Johnson and Mitt Romney.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ZDPpoOaGLK4

Nate is getting much better at interviews but he needs to stop moving his hands lol

 

[Shadow Hog]

sure...but we cannot save PD's posts in irc :\

There do exist IRC clients with logging features. I know I have mIRC set up to automatically log everything; I have logs going back as far as I've had mIRC installed on my desktop.

 

[StopMakingSense]

49-48 last week. That's game

2 weeks, but yeah. Mitt's support is collapsing.

 

[speculawyer]

We do have early voting. But its kind of a total pain in the ass, at least in LA. It's only at the county clerk's office. And fucking NO ONE wants to ever drive to Norwalk EVER.

I stand corrected. I'd have to drive to the next town over vote. But since I've never waited more than 3 minutes at my currently polling place, it is a non issue for me.

 

[786110]

Nate Silver told Charlie Rose his personal political beliefs were more in line somewhere between Gary Johnson and Mitt Romney.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ZDPpoOaGLK4

If Johnson doesn't win we know who to blame

 

[Baraka in the White House]

Christie is a big motherfucker.

 

[Ecotic]

Others mentioned Georgia too here. What's different compared to the last election? What caused the (seeming) enthusiasm among black voters?

I early voted in Georgia too, +1 for Obama. Black voter enthusiasm is probably up for two main reasons. First, because Obama has overseen a competent, scandal-free administration and made the community proud, and so they want to show their strong support. Secondly, because they've seen him treated like shit by the Republican opposition and feel a strong sense of anger about it.

 

[Fatalah]

This is fantastic footage of Christie right now. He's ready for the next election.

 

[gcubed]

49-48 last week. That's game

megaton!

This is fantastic footage of Christie right now. He's ready for the next election.

Living next to NJ, Christie/Obama is getting a lot of play on local news here.

 

[speculawyer]

I think Drudge is butt-hurt ya'll

That picture has Republicans seething today but Christie is pocketing it and will use it in 2016 to show how he is a bi-partisan guy that gets things done.

 

[Kusagari]

Will be interesting to see how Christie is treated by the GOP after this, especially if Obama wins.

 

[Joe Shlabotnik]

If Obama wins the comfortable victory that the polls suggest he will next Tuesday, one question that I'd be interested to hear opinions on is "Was 2012 a winnable election for Republicans?". Will 2012 be seen in retrospect as winnable for either party like 2000 and 2004, or never winnable like 1996 or 2008?

One the one hand the Republicans had the strongest possible candidate from their field, the economy was soft enough, and despite Mitt Romney's generally poor campaign Obama's stumble in the first debate provided the opportunity he needed.

Then again, if re-election campaigns are a referendum on the incumbent, then if Obama wins then how suitable a candidate Mitt Romney was shouldn't matter. The economy was growing just fast enough, Obama ended the Iraq War, got Bin Laden killed, ran a scandal-less administration, and had legislative accomplishments like health care reform and ending DADT.

Depends on your definition of "winnable". But even now it's too close to call this year's election pre-destined for Obama. Was he vulnerable this year? Absolutely. Did the GOP have the candidate? Maybe not. Huntsman, perhaps.

Romney was the most competent and sane candidate but was uniquely unsuited in certain ways, too. If you're asking whether a different hypothetical GOP candidate could be faring better right now given the exact same national and international conditions, yes, I think so.

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

That picture has Republicans seething today but Christie is pocketing it and will use it in 2016 to show how he is a bi-partisan guy that gets things done.

Which is more evidence Obama is winning this a d the GOP knows it.

 

[SteveWinwood]

This is fantastic footage of Christie right now. He's ready for the next election.

Probably the best gift he could have gotten for his future career and all he has to do is not fuck up.

 

[Brinbe]

Will be interesting to see how Christie is treated by the GOP after this, especially if Obama wins.

RINOest RINO that ever RINO'd... twitter is fun right now.

And the GOP have long, vengeful memories, ya think Christie isn't making it past the primaries with this shit? haha.

 

[StopMakingSense]

That picture has Republicans seething today but Christie is pocketing it and will use it in 2016 to show how he is a bi-partisan guy that gets things done.

"You're totally gonna win this"

"In know, right!"

 

[speculawyer]

Christie is a big motherfucker.

He is favor of the defense of Marinara act.
He wants to pass a Stand your Ground Round law.
He wants to change nickname of New Jersey to the Olive Garden state.

Boom! (Jokes stolen from Frank Coniff.)

 

[Coldnoodle]

I can't wait till Obama wins so we can all move on with our lives.

 

[The Librarian]

Is there going to be a new PoliGAF thread up for the election?

 

[HylianTom]

Man on man.. the temptation to create a "talk me down"-type post over at FreeRepublic loaded with recent polls and tweets like this is so damn overwhelming. If I weren't busy at work, I'd be on it like flies on Santorum.

 

[ClovingWestbrook]

New page


server: studio64.yi.org
channel: #poligaf

irc clients:
windows - use mirc or xchat
mac - colloquy

2K web irc chat (via mibbit.com)
Chatzilla(firefox extention)

Come join us

 

[gcubed]

irc scares me. what if i get talked to by a man pretending to be a woman

 

[Omiee]

Never thought christie would support or be so positive about obama.

What effect will this have if any?

 

[Ecotic]

Will be interesting to see how Christie is treated by the GOP after this, especially if Obama wins.

One thing's for sure they can't throw Christie under the bus unless they've installed a cow catcher.

 

[Clevinger]

I think Drudge is butt-hurt ya'll

I don't think that's even a current picture. It's from when Obama visited after Irene and things weren't anywhere near as bad.

 

[reggieandTFE]

Christie is a big motherfucker.

Agreed, those have to be size 54 jeans. Absurd.

 

[ido]

Rush says Christie rope-a-doped Obama for Mitts, so Mitts could campaign while Obama can't.

Fucking lol

 

[RDreamer]

That picture has Republicans seething today but Christie is pocketing it and will use it in 2016 to show how he is a bi-partisan guy that gets things done.

Precisely what I said he was doing when he first started doing it.

I mean don't get me wrong, he seems like a mostly genuine dude, so I think part of it really is him getting down to business. But still, I feel like he had no second thoughts doing that, because of this.