Support NeoGAF

[kingkitty]

due to some unfortunate circumstances, I now have a fantastic amount of free time~ And I'm spending it all F5'ing every political blog, sigh. Nov 6 can't come soon enough. I'm so thirsty for tears.

 

[Tim-E]

Absolutely no news agency, despite how far their editorial board or talking heads lean, is above the horse race. This should surprise no one.

Romney isn't doing anything in Pennsylvania. After today there are only THREE days until election day, and Obama is back on the trail full-swing. You send surrogates like Clinton, Biden, Michelle to states like PA to keep your base excited. Hell, they sent Biden here to West Virginia in 08, and no sensible person thought Obama would win here.

 

[demon]

I can't even tell when people here are spazzing out seriously or sarcastically anymore.

 

[B-Dubs]

Diablos: ¿what if the UE in november is 8%?

It'll probably go up to that considering all of the people who lost their jobs due to Sandy...

 

[Rocket Scientist]

Fundamental and polling wise, how related are Pennsylvania 2012 and Indiana 2008?

 

[Y2Kev]

The New York Times says Romney has momentum in PA because:

“This is perfect for women,” said Jennifer Sefano, the group’s director in Pennsylvania. “You don’t have to pay for a baby sitter. You don’t even have to leave the house.”

yep

There's not one fucking reference to any recent polling in that entire article.

 

[Salazar]

They pay Nate all that money then they go and write shit like this, you'd think they'd try and use him but no we've gotta make this race close.

A "tangible sense".

When you want to hug an opinion to your chest so motherfucking tight that you can feel dat ideation.

 

[Owzers]

yep

There's not one fucking reference to any recent polling in that entire article.

I poll with my gut.

 

[The Librarian]

I can't even tell when people here are spazzing out seriously or sarcastically anymore.

Unless it's these four posters – Cheebs, PD, Diablos, and Cartoon Soldier – if it looks like someone is trolling or isn't being serious, take it as much.

 

[kaching]

The New York Times says Romney has momentum in PA because:

Hey, not only are there Romney yard signs here, but they're also FOUR times the size of Obama signs. So, you know, they're going to totally vote harder than everyone else or something.

 

[Incognito]

hrmm...

yep

There's not one fucking reference to any recent polling in that entire article.

Democrats are saying that the race is much closer than they would have guessed just a week ago.

“It’s a little tighter than I would have expected,” said Jef Pollock, a pollster for Priorities U.S.A. Action, a Democratic super PAC. “But the question is whether this is just the natural tightening that’s going to happen.”

 

[Paches]

The New York Times says Romney has momentum in PA because:

I saw a Romney/Ryan sign on I-5 on my way to work today. Everyone who drove on that freeway will now vote for Romney/Ryan. Washington state turning red confirmed.

 

[Cheebo]

Because they are worthless?

He includes all polling. And Reuters is a solid pollster

 

[Tim-E]

Jeremy Peters, the guy who wrote that article for the Times, has written pieces about Romney and Pennsylvania four times since Monday. This is an example of someone trying to create a narrative.

 

[Fragamemnon]

Fundamental and polling wise, how related are Pennsylvania 2012 and Indiana 2008?

I don't think they are comparable-IN in 2008 had much less polling with a lot less precision as to where PA is at in 2012. Obama's lead in PA has a lot more data supporting it.

edit: McCain was also a dirty poor and let Obama hit the air and ground uncontested in IN. Same in Iowa.

 

[pigeon]

Fundamental and polling wise, how related are Pennsylvania 2012 and Indiana 2008?

Not even a little bit. Indiana was energized from a dem primary and Obama had a huge operation there. Romney has never invested in PA before. Also there's the small matter of a landslide in 08. Indiana was basically tied on the day, PA isn't near that. Pennsylvania 2012 is much more like Pennsylvania 2008.

171,000 jobs and growing workforce an indication that QE3 is working. With regards to PA, note that just because the campaigns are competing doesn't mean it's close, it might just mean its a Hail Mary for one campaign and the other campaign wants to block it.

 

[matthewwhatever]

You can read Nate's analysis on those states
Montana - http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/06/21/presidential-geography-montana/

SD - http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...uth-dakota-only-the-farm-trumps-conservatism/

ND - http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...xtra-ingredient-in-north-dakota-politics-oil/

Yeah, it's not likely at all, but Montana is definitely an easier get than the latter two as the demographics there change.

Schweitzer 2016!

Admittedly, there aren't a lot of EC votes in those three states, but if Schweitzer could flip them, it makes the EC map even more naturally blue.

 

[Loudninja]

So any conspiracies yet?

 

[Brinbe]

Romney has as much of a chance at capturing PA as Obama does at getting Arizona, it's a last-ditch hail-mary.

 

[RustyNails]

Hey, not only are there Romney yard signs here, but they're also FOUR times the size of Obama signs. So, you know, they're going to totally vote harder than everyone else or something.

Every yard sign outside of chicago area is romney ryan. I wonder if NYT saw that and felt illinois is toss up. Seriously. The republicans living here are batshit crazy. Its like being surrounded by sea of morons on an island of common sense. My landlord has been bitching about keystone xl pipeline for a year.

 

[Loudninja]

Haha at the "Virtual standstill" title on Fox site.

 

[Y2Kev]

hrmm...

Breaking News: Pennsylvania goes to Romney

 

[Cubsfan23]

obama betting odds up 100% last 2 days

 

[Tim-E]

Romney has as much of a chance at capturing PA as Obama does at getting Arizona, it's a last-ditch hail-mary.

Difference being; Obama doesn't need to throw that hail mary to win. Romney has little chance of victory without it.

 

[Paches]

Haha at the "Virtual standstill" title on Fox site.

It is almost if Romney is writing the headlines himself.

 

[Y2Kev]

http://www.mcall.com/news/nationwor...ampaign-pennsylvania-20121102,0,1846660.story

(for pigeon)

 

[ErasureAcer]

New England College New Hampshire poll:

49.5% Obama
44.4% Romney

http://www.nec.edu/news/new-poll-gives-president-obama-some-daylight-in-new-hampshire

89% chance of winning.

 

[Salazar]

Haha at the "Virtual standstill" title on Fox site.

Australian print, radio, and tv news has been shrieking "dead heat" and "neck and neck".

 

[Effect]

I don't really understand even attempting the hail mary in Pennsylvania though. It gets a decent inflow of people from New York and New Jersey. It's not we're trending republican, at least I don't think so. Or are they basing their remote chances on off year elections?

Edit: No wait. PA is really the only place they could do this. They've demonize the hispanic population to much to try Nevada or New Mexico. Even if they pick up Colorado still need something else.

Do we know where Clinton will be on Monday?

 

[Loudninja]

It is almost if Romney is writing the headlines himself.

Wait you are right.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/11/02/us-usa-campaign-jobs-romney-idUSBRE8A10Q620121102

 

[norinrad]

yep

There's not one fucking reference to any recent polling in that entire article.

These same women will be out crying when Mitt screws them over after he's won the election.

Bad news for Barry either way

 

[Tim-E]

The Man Who Wields a Lead-Weighted Beanbag for Obama

Pretty good read about Axelrod's approach to politics and his relationship with Obama going into the last days of their final campaign together.

 

[BobTheFork]

Haha at the "Virtual standstill" title on Fox site.

There's a much better article on the side:

South Dakota GOP Accuse Dems in Chili for Votes Scheme

 

[Wes]

Australian print, radio, and tv news has been shrieking "dead heat" and "neck and neck".

Same in the UK. Only the specialist shows/columns seem to go in to any kind of detail about the polling in the swing states.

 

[Loudninja]

There's a much better article on the side:

South Dakota GOP Accuse Dems in Chili for Votes Scheme

The hell?

 

[Stinkles]

Same in the UK. Only the specialist shows/columns seem to go in to any kind of detail about the polling in the swing states.

I noticed this on the Beeb when I was in Liechtenstein this week - they're basically parroting the US media narrative, however, it's not that simple. From the UK perspective this really is an incredibly close race, and they don't think about the nature of states in the same way - and most Brits I talked to are FUCKING ASTONISHED that so many people could even be considering what to them, is an utterly laughable candidate.

 

[Black Republican]

dat ppp splurge

Here's where we'll be releasing polls over the next 72 hours: AZ, CO, CT, FL, IA, ME, MA, MI, MN, MO, MT, NV, NH, NC, OH, PA, VA, WA, WI

 

[HylianTom]

dat ppp splurge

Oh my. Polling's last big hurrah until 2014. I'll enjoy!

 

[Cheebo]

Oh my. Polling's last big hurrah until 2014. I'll enjoy!

2013 governer races in VA and NJ!

 

[Stinkles]

There's a much better article on the side:

South Dakota GOP Accuse Dems in Chili for Votes Scheme

I remember the last time a dirty liberal hippy tried to bribe constituents with free food. Fucking mess.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

NV Update

The GOP now has a 2.3 percent turnout edge (55.1 percent-52.8 percent). A slight turnout advantage but a 61,000-vote deficit? Yes, folks, registration matters.

Obama won NV by 80k voters in 2008. The belief is that a 65k+ EV lead in Clark should help him avoid rural losses expected at 30-35k.

 

[Protein]

I'm glad Clinton is going to Pennsylvania, don't give Romney an inch.

This is sounding alot like XCOM. UFO shot down over PA, send in Clinton and his squad.

 

[jmls1121]

Folks, I just found the hidden gem of the internet.....transcripts of Hannity over on foxnation.com.

Enjoy this transcript from Hannity and Rudy calling Sandy Obama's Katrina. The whole thing is amazing:



http://nation.foxnews.com/hurricane-sandy/2012/11/02/giuliani-hammers-obama-sandy-response-nyc

 

[Tim-E]

I liked this line from that Axelrod article I linked:

But at other times, Mr. Axelrod said, the president pulled him back. “He’s killed ads,” Mr. Axelrod said, without elaborating.

As breakfast came toward an end, Mr. Axelrod was asked how the president felt about what was seen as one of his campaign’s toughest ads, in which Mr. Romney is shown singing “America the Beautiful” off key as the screen flashed information about his offshore investments.

“Well, it aired,” he said.

 

[jbug617]

Can't wait for PD to get the PA news.

 

[VanMardigan]

I did a 270 chart based on the RCP averages. Obama wins 290-248.

 

[Mac_Lane]

dat ppp splurge

Damn, that's a lot of polls.

I would love to see the race tightening in Arizona and Missouri, just for the lulz that would ensue.

 

[BobTheFork]

I remember the last time a dirty liberal hippy tried to bribe constituents with free food. Fucking mess.

FoxNews: Voter fraud chili found to contain Muslim corn, Holy Bible to be outlawed next.

 

[Brinbe]

dat ppp splurge

Wow, awesome.

 

[Black Republican]

Rick Santelli fucking lost it ahahaha

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/#49658347