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PolliGaf 2012 |OT5| Big Bird, Binders, Bayonets, Bad News and Benghazi

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T

Touchdown

Banned
Loudninja said:
Thats the worst tie I ever seen.
Click to expand...

tumblr_m6ji4zO0321rntezlo1_400.gif
 
F

Fragamemnon

Member
Puddles said:
So are we looking at a Republican House for the next 8 years, or what?
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Not really eight. More like four. Stuff can really start to get volatile after that point due to demographic shifts+ enthusiasm gaps in aggressively redistricted areas.

One of the best bright points about Obama is that if he can get young people voting in two elections, there's a good chance they may covert over to more reliable midterm voters in the future.

Why was I waiting for Wolf Blitzer to say "The state of Ohio has been called for Obama, effectively making it a dead heat between Obama and McCain"
Click to expand...

I really miss "great news for john mccain!" :( It was hilarious after day in and day out of beatdown of McCain on 538 that gleeful dems would jump and and troll everyone with that line.
 
H

hydragonwarrior

Member
Unless you are NOT GOING TO BE ABLE to vote on ELECTION DAY, you should NOT be allowed to "early vote". This is an invitation to fraud. County Clerks who favor Barry Hussein bin Lying Cool Chicago Tiger Øbama will most likely destroy Romney ballots. DEMOCRATS CAN NOT BE TRUSTED. They have proved it time and time again!.
Click to expand...

I was recently reminded that people like this do in fact still exist. It is so sad it's funny.
 
S

syllogism

Member
E

electricpirate

Member
Beer Monkey said:
Here's some interesting numbers, though just for one county in Ohio.

I queried the data for Hamilton County (Ohio) early voting. Historically, this is a red county that broke for Obama (53% to 46%) in 2008. It is the home to Cincinnati. Out of all the absentee (and early), here's the breakdown of the ballots that have been cast, those still outstanding (unreturned absentee), by party affiliation.

Code: 
                    Pct of Issued   Issued  Returned  Pct Returned
Non Partisan               61.734   71,246    54,088      76
Republican                 22.806   26,320    23,804      90
Democratic                 15.282   17,637    16,381      93
Libertarian                 0.090      104        84      81
Green                       0.049       56        45      80
Constitution                0.033       38        34      89
Socialist                   0.006        7         5      71
        
Total                              115,408    94,441      82

For comparison, 424,085 votes were cast in 2008.

There are 564,429 registered voters in Hamilton County right now.

I have not found how many early/absentee ballots were cast here in 2008, nor have I found how many registered voters were here in 2008.

Note that in Ohio if you have not ever voted in a primary, you are considered NON PARTISAN. This would include everyone who registered in the last eight months.
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Yea, it's hard to sway what the actual breakdown is, since in Ohio, you're Affiliation is determined by whichever party you voted for the last primary election. So "republican's are going to be really inflated."
 
C

Crisco

Banned
syllogism said:
Dick Morris is chicken little-ing these Rasmussen polls. Historic landslide on hold. Blames Sandy.

http://www.dickmorris.com/in-the-last-few-hours-sudden-danger-signs-in-polling/

e: WeAskAmerica Ohio, O+4.4%

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/5094215cebcabf07450000b5
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Out of what corner of his asshole does he pull ,

And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday night’s polling, he was tied.We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan.
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B

Beer Monkey

Member
electricpirate said:
Yea, it's hard to sway what the actual breakdown is, since in Ohio, you're Affiliation is determined by whichever party you voted for the last primary election. So "republican's are going to be really inflated."
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I expect a healthy majority of the 'non partisan' to break for Obama. I believe he is going to take the county again. The ground ops are really, really strong.

The number of ballots returned looks pretty healthy with four days to go (this data was processed overnight last night), so hopefully we don't have a delayed result with lots of late and provisional ballots.
 
P

pigeon

Banned
syllogism said:
Dick Morris is chicken little-ing these Rasmussen polls. Historic landslide on hold. Blames Sandy.

http://www.dickmorris.com/in-the-last-few-hours-sudden-danger-signs-in-polling/

e:
WeAskAmerica Ohio, O +4.4%
WeAskAmerica VA, O +0.9%

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/5094215cebcabf07450000b5
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/5094210eebcabf074c0000b0
Click to expand...

When Dick Morris can't argue you're going to win any more, something has really gone off the rails.

I'm still waiting for somebody at Fox to come up with a narrative that allows them to not look completely insane on Tuesday. I guess this could be the beginning of one? Though it's hard to envision a narrative beginning with Dick Morris.
 
The Lamonster

The Lamonster

Member
pigeon said:
When Dick Morris can't argue you're going to win any more, something has really gone off the rails.

I'm still waiting for somebody at Fox to come up with a narrative that allows them to not look completely insane on Tuesday. I guess this could be the beginning of one? Though it's hard to envision a narrative beginning with Dick Morris.
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Is there any substance to his claim that undecideds usually break for the challenger?
 
M

markatisu

Member
LOL @ Dick Morris saying the storm is 100% responsible for Obama's potential win...not the state polling that has been showing for months where the race was headed
 
P

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
syllogism said:
Dick Morris is chicken little-ing these Rasmussen polls. Historic landslide on hold. Blames Sandy.

http://www.dickmorris.com/in-the-last-few-hours-sudden-danger-signs-in-polling/

e:
WeAskAmerica Ohio, O +4.4%
WeAskAmerica VA, O +0.9%
WeAskAmerica WI, O +6.7%

http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/5094215cebcabf07450000b5
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/5094210eebcabf074c0000b0
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/polls/509420b3ebcabf07550000af
Click to expand...

LOL at the title of "Sudden danger signs." Oh really? All of a sudden, eh, Dick?
 
K

Kai Dracon

Writing a dinosaur space opera symphony
For all that it's a legitimate observation that both republicans and democrats toss out voting machine conspiracy theories at the last minute... forgive me if it's just a little more tiring when it comes from the republican side.

Because there, it's just another drop in the bucket of years of conspiracies, bald faced lies, fear mongering, and taking advantage of a low information demographic that really does not comprehend what critical thinking is.

There's also the small fact that the republican side is more or less confirmably operating from a default position of bad faith in everything, down to the last detail.

Fuchsdh said:
These are probably the old people who don't understand how to use a touchscreen :p
Click to expand...

I wouldn't be surprised if some people go in, and intentionally vote for Obama thinking that everything on the machine is swapped, believing their vote will really count for Romney.
 
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