StopMakingSense
Member
You will be sucked.
-
Hey, guest user. Hope you're enjoying NeoGAF! Have you considered registering for an account? Come join us and add your take to the daily discourse.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
You should upgrade or use an alternative browser.
PolliGaf 2012 |OT5| Big Bird, Binders, Bayonets, Bad News and Benghazi
- Thread starter RustyNails
- Start date
- Status
- Not open for further replies.
You will be sucked.
Arrowgigantic
Member
I know why he did this, and you will too by the end of the day when he's changed his mind.I have no idea why he did this.
The Librarian
Banned
But the projection is R +3.7, which is greater than the O projection in the other states.
Oh God, I'm getting sucked into Polligaf.
I thought you were better than that, Cyan. smh
eBay Huckster
Member
Yeah Cyan, what are you, a poll huckster?
How can you even quantify a statement such as this? Either way? Do you know what data points they are using?
PPP + Ras (two most recent polls) put NC +4 R
538 poll average for NC is R +1.9.
Yes but it's also 85% likely to go to Romney on 538 which is higher than the likelihood of WI, NH, OH, and IA going for Obama.
MasterShotgun
brazen editing lynx
A little bit of looking, and it seems like there's no organized opposition. There are some people speaking out against it, though:
See for example what happened in Chicago with the 75-year parking meter lease agreement nightmare.
I'm currently inclined to vote No since I don't trust the state government to not abuse it. All the sponsors for it are Republicans, though it did get heavy support from both parties in both the state House and Senate. It sounds like a good idea and it will probably pass, but I just have a feeling that someone will get screwed over by it.
I have no idea why he did this. A man who has no problem flip flopping on fucking anything chooses to stick with this guy...
Romney isn't winning the presidency and they need the senate seat.
RustyNails
Member
cyan that is lowly of you. let the plebs mud wrestle in the filth of polls, why are you dirtying your hands?
The Librarian
Banned
cyan that is lowly of you. let the plebs mud wrestle in the filth of polls, why are you dirtying your hands?
This comment had me chuckling, but I would appreciate it, RN, if you didn't steal Cheebs' superiority schtick.
.@ppppolls said:Nevada- Obama +4, Senate race tied. Full results coming up
\(^o^)/
Byakuya769
Member
What did he say in response?
(I'm in East-TN too, by the way.)
Not sure what she said, my sis told me of this.
This comment had me chuckling, but I would appreciate it, RN, if you didn't steal Cheebs' superiority schtick.
Schtick?
speculawyer
Member
Obama's Edge: The Ground Game That Could Put Him Over the Top
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics...game-that-could-put-him-over-the-top/264031/#
Yep. I stick to my assertion: a state with tied polls going into Election Day has to slightly favor Obama for this reason alone. Now that we're into the GOTV portion of the race, we're hearing the same testimony from reporters everywhere.
Well that sure explains Nevada. I thought Nevada was going to be close because it is a pretty divided state and has a sizable Mormon population. Nope, the GOP lost that state.
The Librarian
Banned
I should hire some illegals to discuss polls on my behalf.
make sure you drop 'em before you run for office tho
Aaron Strife
Banned
If nevada senate is a tied race I fully expect Berkley to gain a few points from polls undercounting Hispanics like they did in 08 and 10. Fingers crossed
Hellsing321
Member
What was the change from the last PPP poll? I need to know how much to panic over this.
https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/261194972232024064Obama is ahead 61-39 among early voters in Nevada, Berkley up 55-41
speculawyer
Member
That may be true but there is no way Mitt would fall on his sword for some other guy.Romney isn't winning the presidency and they need the senate seat.
Obama's Edge: The Ground Game That Could Put Him Over the Top
http://www.theatlantic.com/politics...game-that-could-put-him-over-the-top/264031/#
Yep. I stick to my assertion: a state with tied polls going into Election Day has to slightly favor Obama for this reason alone. Now that we're into the GOTV portion of the race, we're hearing the same testimony from reporters everywhere.
you know I agree with that assertion, I've been saying it all along. If a state is tied, it's going to be Obama.
If a state is +2/3, it's going to go Obama by +4. If the state remains this static going into election day, he has got Ohio. And, by extension, the race.
Black Mamba
Member
Bad News for Bookies
Well that sure explains Nevada. I thought Nevada was going to be close because it is a pretty divided state and has a sizable Mormon population. Nope, the GOP lost that state.
I know his opponent was a loon but Harry Reid was able to hold on in a GOP wave..
eBay Huckster
Member
If Berkley's actually tied in polling then that basically ensures the Dems gain seats (assuming Kerrey's the only one in a current-Dem seat to lose)
Now to see if Mourdock's position gets worse in IN
Now to see if Mourdock's position gets worse in IN
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
Bad News for Bookies
Bad news for intrade.
Obama +2 in this OH poll from Lake Research
http://lakeresearch.com/news/USA/LRP_Memo_on_OH_Survey_Toplines_102412.pdf
http://lakeresearch.com/news/USA/LRP_Memo_on_OH_Survey_Toplines_102412.pdf
RustyNails
Member
Mourdock/Romney drama couldn't have come at a worse time for Romney. Bad news etc.
MasterShotgun
brazen editing lynx
Wow. Nevada seems all but guaranteed now.
speculawyer
Member
If Virginia & NH called for Obama relatively early, it is gonna be a short night.
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=QVw
Please let that happen.
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=QVw
Please let that happen.
If Virginia & NH called for Obama relatively early, it is gonna be a short night.
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=QVw
Please let that happen.
Virginia won't. Hopefully people aren't freaking out when all those red districts are being called in.
https://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/26119686435807641684% of African Americans, 79% of Hispanics in Nevada say they're 'very excited' to vote, compared to 72% of whites
BotoxAgent
Member
poor Dick Morris
Black Republican
Member
Poligaf was worried about Nevada?
iam dissapoint
iam dissapoint
dat enthusiasm advantage
The Librarian
Banned
Obama +2 in this OH poll from Lake Research
http://lakeresearch.com/news/USA/LRP_Memo_on_OH_Survey_Toplines_102412.pdf
Directly into my veins.
Plinko
Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Clinton is awesome. That is a great ad. So was 537.
That ad made me want to go right out and vote for a third term.
If Virginia & NH called for Obama relatively early, it is gonna be a short night.
http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=QVw
Please let that happen.
Ohio is in the timezone as Virginia. I think OH will be called first.
ClovingWestbrook
Banned
Bad News for Bookies
Bad news for Obama
Black Republican
Member
Time poll Ohio
Romney 44% Obama 49%
Romney 44% Obama 49%
eBay Huckster
Member
First comment says "good news for Obama"
Bad news for Obama.
Father_Brain
Banned
Not likely to decide the election, at least, but early voting in VA not looking so hot for Obama:
https://twitter.com/Redistrict
https://twitter.com/Redistrict
In VA's McCain localities, early vote = 95,744 (vs 80,881 at this pt in '08). VA's Obama localities = 152,084 (vs 145,673 in '08)
VIRGINIA EARLY VOTE: Up 18.8% in the 86 localities McCain won in '08, but up ONLY 4.4% in the 48 Obama won: http://www.sbe.virginia.gov/sbe_csv/STATS/
3 of 4 top DECREASES in VA early voting vs '08: 1) Richmond City (-16.8%) 3) Arlington County (-14.0%) 4) Charlottesville City (-10.5%)
Huge drop-offs in Richmond, Arlington & C'ville indicative of understandable (yet troubling for Ds) decline in Af-Am, yuppie & college vote
ClovingWestbrook
Banned
I await Diablos and Cheebs freak out.
speculawyer
Member
Ohio is in the timezone as Virginia. I think OH will be called first.
And with Ohio, Obama would not even need NH.
Mourdock/Romney drama couldn't have come at a worse time for Romney. Bad news etc.
Fox is going to be pushing those Bengahzi emails *hard*, though, and that could slip into other media. No time to relax.
If someone could please tell me how momentum works in dating, please do. Is it like when you trip and fall and your momentum carries you right into sex?
:lol
- Status
- Not open for further replies.