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PolliGaf 2012 |OT5| Big Bird, Binders, Bayonets, Bad News and Benghazi
- Thread starter RustyNails
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el retorno
Member
I think if you're in line you're good. But who are we kidding Rick Scott is gov.
It's starting to speed-up. Nice to see them recognizing some of reality. If they can work on the other 97%, we'd have real progress.
I guarantee it. Especially in the areas Obama needs to dominate to win.
RustyNails
Member
ahahah. Someone make the Salty Tears OT please.
I'm pretty sure I've seen this very gif edit posted within the last few weeks (likely in response to the aforementioned Q poll).
Would be interesting seeing a concession speech with people still in line to vote...
The market is totally rational.
el retorno
Member
And the supreme court is thinking about further destroying federal oversight of elections.
I really hope the hold off calling the race until washington polls closes I'd hate to see turnout own and marriage equality not pass
The Librarian
Banned
Choo-choo!
The prevailing view is that a rich Republican with cash money for days is keeping the price down. It doesn't make sense. There is an 11% arbitrage between Intrade and Betfair. If you have accounts on both sites, you can literally make risk-free money right now.
Choo-choo!
Goddamn at that Mittmentum.
If I weren't at the end of a cut phase, I'd be preparing for a Tuesday victory for 'Merica.
I support this suggestion! The glorious tears will sustain us all week
Randolph Freelander
Member
So you're saying there's a chance!
I support this. I'm slightly dehydrated from all of the cardio. I could use electrolytes.
That is really fucked up. There seriously needs to be standarized election laws. Just boggles my mind that it takes me 10 minutes to vote while it can take others 10 hours. The only explanation is that that 10 hours is a conscious decision to suppress voters since I have a hard time believing that my state is that much more competent than florida
RustyNails
Member
Choo-choo!
The Romney Surge.
Choo-choo!
I already had ice in my veins back when the national and state polls seemed to tell two different stories. Now that they're converging, I'm definitely ready to celebrate on Tuesday.
Not sure, but I'm going to bet Romney's Californian voters are not a multicultural group of various faiths and beliefs.
The Librarian
Banned
So after showing Obama ahead of Romney by one point in Ohio yesterday, Reuters comes out with a poll today showing Obama ahead by four.
Stupid tracking polls.
Stupid tracking polls.
The surge is working, my friends.
Maybe I'm misreading you but the "unpushed" LV numbers show O 48 - R 45, as opposed to their last poll showing O 47 - R 47. Their stretching of the leaners didn't change the spread.
Choo-choo!
getting kinda close to that +2 nate was betting on a while back.
Columbus OH EV Line
That's right around the block from my house. The big building to the right is a Value City, and to the left is a shopping center with Gamestop and Payless Shoes. The EV center is an old KOHLS.
That line is ridiculous. I took my niece there Friday afternoon and it wasn't even close to being that long. I might drive by there and see what the political parties are passing out to the voters waiting in line.
Choo-choo!
Marginal but likely meaningful movement.
Significant that more and more of these are showing Obama at 50%. Sealing that deal.
Utterly fucking ridiculous. Is there any way people can make a big stink about this and all the other voter suppression to the media and Feds? I feel like outrage needed to shame this banana republic bullshit is only contained to blogspheres and internet message boards. People only focus on the obvious voter ID craziness, but not everything else.
I think this would make a good, focused Occupy movement. The only trouble is keeping it strong long after voting ends or else everyone will just get bored with it after a time. Then the cycle begins anew in future elections.
For all those in those areas, I hope you guys are compiling photos, stories, and whatnot around your areas. I would really like to see some focused outrage.
RustyNails
Member
Can you go and take more pics for us? we're hopium addicts you know.
Who owns these polling companies? I mean this is very suspicious...or is there an explanation for this?
Don't worry. Romney's got a math guy. Gonna fix everything. Going to make up for that 50% by removing wasteful deductions somewhere.
el retorno
Member
Only drug I need.
They play with the polls but they want to be close in the end so they keep their cred.
mattiewheels
And then the LORD David Bowie saith to his Son, Jonny Depp: 'Go, and spread my image amongst the cosmos. For every living thing is in anguish and only the LIGHT shall give them reprieve.'
Could someone let me know how many states don't let early voting go on for the full 14 days, like Florida just pulled on us? Are we an outlier, or do a lot of states vary?
It's especially stark in huge, highly populous states like this. The fact that the voting method can vary region-by-region (butterfly ballots...) is bad enough, but the actual days and times you can vote? Counties leaning one way being granted more total early voting time? It's sickening; makes so much of the work we've been doing feel hollow. Like we're just hoping to stem the tide of corruption, not actually legitimately affect the outcome.
Yup. For a moment it was looking like a split was more possible than in recent times, but they've finally met. Kinda relieving, in that we don't have to have a "which set of numbers is right?" question hanging over us.
Also:
Elizabeth Warren‏@elizabethforma
"Just got off the phone with @BarackObama - he called from Air Force One to wish us luck! Good luck to you too, Mr President! #masen"
SouthernDragon
Member
Crossposting:
A highschool friend of mine is actively arguing that the measures done to curtail voting in Florida is totally cool because "people can just commute to their voting station" and "that's what election day is for anyways".
What the FUCK.
--
I'm fucking furious. I'd go and protest myself if I weren't on the other side of the country.
A highschool friend of mine is actively arguing that the measures done to curtail voting in Florida is totally cool because "people can just commute to their voting station" and "that's what election day is for anyways".
What the FUCK.
--
I'm fucking furious. I'd go and protest myself if I weren't on the other side of the country.
If I were Republicans I'd be damning God for sending Hurricane Sandy
Republicans: "Goddamn God, why did you do this to us? Why would you help Obama!"
GOD: "Have you even seen Mitt Romney? Fuck that shit."
obama's got a shit ton of lawyers down there. if he wins the presidency, this will be addressed.
el retorno
Member
He really needs to use the justice department.
I'm convinced FL is really is blue now its just these kind of tactics that keep it in play.
does your friend support romney by any chance
I'm actually getting kind of emotional about it. All the people I spoke to in Plantation and Sunrise yesterday who really wanted to vote but only had until 7:00PM... I don't know how to convey to them that they can't vote today, right now, but their Republican counterparts a couple hours north can.
:-/
I guess my consolation is that the incredibly potent GOTV efforts by OFA in Orlando are probably dragging every slightly-blue-tinged humanoid they can find to the polls right now...
Different samples.
I'm sure you know this, but for those who don't, it needs to be said again: all a sample poll says is, "We're 95% confident that the true proportion of voters is within the interval marked by our sample proportion +/- the margin of error."
That's why aggregate polling is the way to go. If you distribute all the polls on a graph, they'll tend to stack up right around where the true population proportion is. If one poll shows Obama 51%, Romney 49%, it could well be that the true proportion is the opposite of that. If 20 polls show Obama with a 2 point lead, it's pretty safe that assume that he has a lead of some kind.
PhoenixDark
Banned
No it won't. The state is run by republicans. Barring courts stepping in, things will be the same in red states in 2016.
Yeah, after I finish eating, I'll head over there. Gotta take some books back to the library anyway....
el retorno
Member
Reading, lol.
el retorno
Member
Final Gallup swing state poll 48-48.
Wolf must be happy.
I got my hopes up when holder called voter ID laws poll taxes. But they have to follow through. Take it to the courts.
Wolf must be happy.
I got my hopes up when holder called voter ID laws poll taxes. But they have to follow through. Take it to the courts.
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