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PolliGaf 2012 |OT5| Big Bird, Binders, Bayonets, Bad News and Benghazi
- Thread starter RustyNails
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Bam Bam Baklava
Member
StopMakingSense
Member
BOOOO! PPP is waiting till tomorrow for CO and NV.
PhoenixDark
Banned
True, and that's Romney's decision
But I was referring to Ryan's future in relation to his budget. It clearly had no impact on the campaign, when at one point democrats were confident it could help flip multiple house seats
If everything turns out exactly as predicted by 538 tonight -- 303 electoral votes.
If Romney outperforms the projections by one percentage point -- still 303.
If Romney outperforms the projections by two percentage points -- 281.
If Romney outperforms the projections by three percentage points -- 275.
If Obama outperforms the projections by less than half a point -- 332.
If Romney outperforms the projections by one percentage point -- still 303.
If Romney outperforms the projections by two percentage points -- 281.
If Romney outperforms the projections by three percentage points -- 275.
If Obama outperforms the projections by less than half a point -- 332.
Bam Bam Baklava
Member
Forgot to post this an hour ago.
BobTheFork
Member
It is very odd that they have hidden their VP candidate so much since the debate.
el retorno
Member
ClovingWestbrook
Banned
Wow.
CoffeeJanitor
Member
Nah she's going to win. Last pools I saw showed her with 6 and 9 point leads.
Her district is dumb as hell.
Forgot to post this an hour ago.
Hehe, I love this.
el retorno
Member
WTF at the end of that gif
speculawyer
Member
And it is not like he did bad in that debate.
I just think they decided to tack hard to the center as became evident in the latter 2 debates. By the last debate all Romney was saying is that he'd do the same as Obama is except stronger (and from a white guy). Paul Ryan is a right wing ideologue and thus was not an asset for that move. So they stuck him in the basement.
Oh shit that kind of spooked me.
el retorno
Member
So I think we're gonna need a new thread before tuesday
SoGood.gif
BobTheFork
Member
So what is he an asset for? one debate? I presume you pick a VP candidate who can help get support but aside from the debate all he did was make a bad photo op.
eBay Huckster
Member
or maybe in the middle of tuesday, at this rate
speculawyer
Member
I swear Yahoo takes from GAF all the time.
http://news.yahoo.com/photos/electi...es-of-the-2012-campaign-photo--910834416.html
Ryan was picked to sure up the base and might swing Wisconsin. The hardcore loves him and they were weary of Mitt being a moderate.
He made it so that the base wouldn't flip their shit when Mitt tracked toward the center.
Officerrob
Banned
No chance we get through Tuesday in this thread. it's probably best to start a new one tomorrow so we go into election day clean
eBay Huckster
Member
my favorite thing about that romney rally in pennsylvania everyone's been posting about is the fact that the only reason he's even campaigning in the state is because every other state's ad space was full
el retorno
Member
That's what I was thinking. Also where is Poligaf gonna spend election night on GAF here or the regular OT thread?
StopMakingSense
Member
It took them 2 years to lose interest in Palin.
eBay Huckster
Member
most of us are going to be in regular OT since it's where we're supposed to be for all the rapid-fire shit
(not me, because i'm going to be getting spectacularly drunk with friends IRL)
MasterShotgun
brazen editing lynx
BobTheFork
Member
Well, you would think they would have him doing more of that. Hell, Palin was an astoundingly poor pick for a VP candidate and they let her run around like a headless chicken.
Suikoguy
I whinny my fervor lowly, for his length is not as great as those of the Hylian war stallions
Probably best to basically close OT5 Monday at Midnight. Create the Official OT for Election Day Then. Then create the next Community Poligaf Mega Thread (OT6) Wednesday Morning assuming the election is called.
Well, no, that's the thing. They have him there for purely name and image purposes so that the right doesn't flip their shit when Mitt's whole campaign tracks to the center. They gag Ryan because if he goes into a full throated politically center proposal then it blows the cover. Mitt goes center, Ryan shuts his yap. The right thinks Mitt's still with them because he picked the doofus they so love, and the independents fall for new moderate Mitt.
I feel like it's them pulling the Palin thing again except kind of sort of learning from the mistake of letting her run around like a headless chicken saying stupid things.
ryutaro's mama
Member
Too much but not nearly enough.
A Black Falcon
Member
So, my prediction is that Obama wins, and that the Senate's somewhere between R+1 and D+1. I'd much rather see it on the D+1 end of that spectrum, which I do think is possible... it basically takes Tester hanging on in Montanta, Kaine winning in Virginia, and picking up Maine (Angus King), Mass. and Indiana of course (thank you, Mourdock...). If Heitkamp can somehow pull off a surprise win in North Dakota things could be even better than that, but I don't think everything close will go our way, unfortunately... but we'll see.
As for the house, yeah, doesn't look like much is going to happen there. Very unfortunate -- gains there are so badly needed in order for anything good to happen in Washington again, with how as they have shown the Republicans remain dedicated to blocking everything the Democrats propose.
The real issue is that they cut early voting back so much in the first place, and for such a transparent reason. But voter-suppression stuff like that has been a major effort by Republicans all over the country this year, because it hurts the Democratic base, and what you really want in an election is to only allow your voters to actually vote, right?
For instance, here in Maine they tried to get rid of election-day voter registration, obviously as an effort against turnout, and also limited the number of days no-reason early absentee voting was allowed, I believe (in these last days, you can only vote absentee with a reason... I don't think it was like that before.). The second of those has stood, but the first of those, election-day registration, fortunately was stopped at the ballot box, turned over by a citizens' referendum. In some other states courts threw out some of the new laws, but as Florida has seen, sadly some made it through.
As for the house, yeah, doesn't look like much is going to happen there. Very unfortunate -- gains there are so badly needed in order for anything good to happen in Washington again, with how as they have shown the Republicans remain dedicated to blocking everything the Democrats propose.
I think the Florida Republican Party is doing everything they can to accomplish just that.
To be fair, while that does look bad, that polling station was only open because it was closed early yesterday thanks to a bomb scare. So it's not just purely "letting Republicans vote more"; those people were turned away last time.
The real issue is that they cut early voting back so much in the first place, and for such a transparent reason. But voter-suppression stuff like that has been a major effort by Republicans all over the country this year, because it hurts the Democratic base, and what you really want in an election is to only allow your voters to actually vote, right?
For instance, here in Maine they tried to get rid of election-day voter registration, obviously as an effort against turnout, and also limited the number of days no-reason early absentee voting was allowed, I believe (in these last days, you can only vote absentee with a reason... I don't think it was like that before.). The second of those has stood, but the first of those, election-day registration, fortunately was stopped at the ballot box, turned over by a citizens' referendum. In some other states courts threw out some of the new laws, but as Florida has seen, sadly some made it through.
That's because you're irrational.
http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/...marist-poll-virginia-could-go-either-way?lite
Last NBC/WSJ VA poll. 48-47 O
ps: If Gallup is close tomorrow, Obama will have a nice bump on the RCP average.
Last NBC/WSJ VA poll. 48-47 O
ps: If Gallup is close tomorrow, Obama will have a nice bump on the RCP average.
As a reddit poster pointed out, with one in six odds you are essentially playing a game of Russian Roulette on Tuesday. Low probability of bad outcome, major negative consequences if bad outcome occurs.
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