Gucci Messiah
Banned
Ah yes, comment sections bring out the worst in peopleYouTube videos and comments left on articles posted by mainstream websites
Ah yes, comment sections bring out the worst in peopleYouTube videos and comments left on articles posted by mainstream websites
Okay those PPP polls must be pretty heavily weighted in Nate's model. How the fuck is Florida lean Obama?
I hope I'm wrong doe.
Believe.You will be wrong. Obama will win FL.
Haha coulter said Romney is so likable.
Both predicting Romney win now. Coulter says Ohio not needed. She has him winning Wisconsin.
Oh man she's acting like its a done deal. Screw the polls she says. Oh my god Bradley effect!!
I'm dying.
Reading Free Republic right now is like opening a window into a parallel universe:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2955407/posts
It'll be nice to see how they react on this rare occasion where the right wing bubble around them finally pops.
Obama is up by 0.5% in adjusted polling average, which takes into account things like national trends and house effects. The positive move toward Obama in national polls probably accounts for most of this. Also, it's more like a tossup than a lean.Okay those PPP polls must be pretty heavily weighted in Nate's model. How the fuck is Florida lean Obama?
It's just barely, he's got Obama at 50.4% to win it. You may as well flip a coin at that point.
Rachel Maddows opening was amazing. I don't have a link but EVERYONE needs to see it.
Thank you for your hard work down there. It just seems so...unbelievable.
52.5 percent election day. 52.2 percent today.
There's no turning back for Silver now, his reputation is completely on the line. I expect him to be wrong about at least two states even if Obama wins.
I don't understand why you guys think it's impossible for it to go blue. The polling has consistently shown it as a toss-up state. There's nothing to be surprised about.
You will be wrong. Obama will win FL.
Indeed. I've been posting over there for the past few days, gaining trust, letting them get used to seeing my name. My registration date is over 4 years old, so they won't root me out easily.
There's no turning back for Silver now, his reputation is completely on the line. I expect him to be wrong about at least two states even if Obama wins.
Being wrong hasn't seemed to tarnish your reputation.
So, Romney supporters are going to blame... themselves?
At what moment do you storm out of the Trojan Horse?
Hahaha PD gets his talking points from drudge. HahahahaRomney 315 Obama 223
http://washingtonexaminer.com/baron...ney-wins-handily/article/2512470#.UJUNnMXA_Lt
Ohio (18). The anti-Romney auto bailout ads have Obama running well enough among blue-collar voters for him to lead most polls. But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than in 2008. Early voting tells another story, and so does the registration decline in Cleveland's Cuyahoga County. In 2004, intensity among rural, small -town and evangelical voters, undetected by political reporters who don't mix in such circles, produced a narrow Bush victory. I see that happening again. Romney.
Reading Free Republic right now is like opening a window into a parallel universe:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/2955407/posts
It'll be nice to see how they react on this rare occasion where the right wing bubble around them finally pops.
Sorry dude, but you're bananas.
Hahaha PD gets his talking points from drudge. Hahahaha
I shouldn't do this, but...When have I been wrong, outside of Avatar and Hillary losing the primary? I'm one of the most accurate prognosticators on the internet (not counting those that do it for a living)
Obama jumped five points on 538? Highest chance of reelection throughout the campaign? Wow.
You actually made me snort when I read this, you wonderful bastard.This is what I'm debating internally.
I'm thinking of playing a long game where I attempt to convince them to never, ever compromise in exchange for electoral viability.
Thats it. I just blue myself.Anyway silver said Obama gained 1.5 in national polls today. Gallup was four. This is a big shift.
I just want to say that, as far as I am aware, Nate Silver's prediction model has so far not got any race wrong that was better than 90 or so chance...
got robo called by some pollster a few hours ago. first time all campaign season
my prediction:
48 hour ban if I get anything wrong.
Might as well ban him nowOh god, you guys need to see this. It's got me rolling, I might die :lol
From the election thread.
Oh god, you guys need to see this. It's got me rolling, I might die :lol
From the election thread.
Forecast and Now-cast have converged on everything except 0.1% on Chance of Winning.
Beautiful.
Dude will be banned quite a long time if it's cumulative.
Sam still has Florida in white. Nate is really going all in. Will he update one final time tomorrow afternoon?
Sam still has Florida in white. Nate is really going all in. Will he update one final time tomorrow afternoon?
Oh god, we'll never see him again. :lol
Indeed. I've been posting over there for the past few days, gaining trust, letting them get used to seeing my name. My registration date is over 4 years old, so they won't root me out easily.
I'm calling it now, I think obama will win every swing state. Yeah I went there.