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[PhoenixDark]

Dem 38%, Rep 34%, Indep 28%

White 71%, African American 20%, Other 9%

Conducted on behalf of "Health Care for America Now". PPP did a Iowa poll on behalf of the same group four days ago that only showed Obama with a one percent lead

Dem ID 2 points lower than 08, and race breakdowns rather consistent (1% more white people than 08). Seems like a solid poll but I want to see more from other pollsters before getting excited

 

[grkazan12]

Thanks for the info, I'll stop by today.

 

[Link]

The News has always leaned R and been the little sister to the Free Press.

Yeah, it's been brought to my attention.

 

[Loudninja]

Obama, Bill Clinton To Campaign Together On Monday

President Obama and former President Bill Clinton will campaign in Florida, Ohio and Virginia on Monday, Oct. 29, the campaign announced.

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/obama-bill-clinton-to-campaign-together-on-monday

 

[Owzers]

Obama's running for president for Pete's sake, he can't say bullshitter.

 

[WaltJay]

Romney doubling down on debate misstatements
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/romney-doubling-down-on-debate-misstatements/2012/10/24/c1d34826-1e22-11e2-ba31-3083ca97c314_blog.html

Call in the calvary!

 

[XenodudeX]

 

[The Lamonster]

Romney doubling down on debate misstatements
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/romney-doubling-down-on-debate-misstatements/2012/10/24/c1d34826-1e22-11e2-ba31-3083ca97c314_blog.html

Call in the calvary!

This is weird.

 

[Clevinger]

Romney doubling down on debate misstatements
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/romney-doubling-down-on-debate-misstatements/2012/10/24/c1d34826-1e22-11e2-ba31-3083ca97c314_blog.html

Call in the calvary!

I love how they can't bring themselves to call them "lies." He "misspoke, repeatedly."

 

[The Librarian]

Hey, Cartoon Soldier: Yoohoo! Over here!

 

[Ecotic]

It's looking bad for Romney, he has 12 days to close the gap with an inferior campaign, ground game, surrogates, and frankly, an inferior candidate.

 

[Tim-E]

I love how they can't bring themselves to call them "lies." He "misspoke, repeatedly."

The Washington Post is pretty awful about things like that. Gotta fall in line with the rest of the beltway press.

 

[thefro]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...polls-romneys-momentum-seems-to-have-stopped/

New Nate Silver blog, basically picking up on what we've been speculating on here the last couple days (Romney's momentum stalled and the race might be going back towards Obama)

 

[PhoenixDark]

It's looking bad for Romney, he has 12 days to close the gap with an inferior campaign, ground game, surrogates, and frankly, an inferior candidate.

Likewise you have an incumbent with 100% name recognition who can't break 50% in most national polls, or state polls that matter

 

[Hellsing321]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...polls-romneys-momentum-seems-to-have-stopped/

New Nate Silver blog, basically picking up on what we've been speculating on here the last couple days (Romney's momentum stalled and the race might be going back towards Obama)

Thats a typo. Nate obviously meant to type surging.

 

[Tim-E]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...polls-romneys-momentum-seems-to-have-stopped/

New Nate Silver blog, basically picking up on what we've been speculating on here the last couple days (Romney's momentum stalled and the race might be going back towards Obama)

The term “momentum” is used very often in political coverage — but reporters and analysts seldom pause to consider what it means.

Let me tell you what I think it ought to mean: that a body in motion tends to stay in motion. That is, it ought to imply that a candidate is gaining ground in the race — and, furthermore, that he is likely to continue to gain ground.

Nate Silver is now a spokesperson for Celebrex.

 

[RustyNails]

I'm trying to find my post where I said Obama will get a bounce in Virginia after the 3rd debate. I'm just that awesome.

 

[Bowdz]

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...polls-romneys-momentum-seems-to-have-stopped/

New Nate Silver blog, basically picking up on what we've been speculating on here the last couple days (Romney's momentum stalled and the race might be going back towards Obama)

 

[The Lamonster]

Likewise you have an incumbent with 100% name recognition who can't break 50% in most national polls, or state polls that matter

BAD NEWS FOR OBAMAAAAAAAAAAAAAA

 

[Tim-E]

I'm trying to find my post where I said Obama will get a bounce in Virginia after the 3rd debate. I'm just that awesome.

I do think Mitt's "momentum" has definitely stopped and while I don't think the race will go back to September levels, I think Obama should be comfortable enough over the next two weeks. I don't see any major events occurring that shift opinion one way or the other. Romney looked straight-up awful in that FP debate.

 

[Link]

I'm curious to see how all this rape/abortion talk affects the woman vote. I know the gap had been inexplicably closing.

 

[Tim-E]

I'm curious to see how all this rape/abortion talk affects the woman vote. I know the gap had been inexplicably closing.

It's just closer to election day and things were going to close regardless, but Obama has a substantial lead among women in key swing states, so I don't see anything jumping around much more.

 

[coldfoot]

I'm trying to find my post where I said Obama will get a bounce in Virginia after the 3rd debate. I'm just that awesome.

You can always Amir0x it

 

[Brinbe]

It's looking bad for Romney, he has 12 days to close the gap with an inferior campaign, ground game, surrogates, and frankly, an inferior candidate.

Yep, that's why they're just eschewing reality all together at this point.

 

[HylianTom]

I want a big East Coast victory early on Election Night so that the grim faces and desperate "what if Romney wins {*insert ridiculous state*}?" denial/bargaining can begin on Fox.

 

[markatisu]

Likewise you have an incumbent with 100% name recognition who can't break 50% in most national polls, or state polls that matter

You can do better, I am disappointed

 

[The Lamonster]

You can do better, I am disappointed

PD really should just post "Bad news for Obama" occasionally. Or post more fan fiction.

Either one would take less effort than the constant Debbie Downer trolling.

 

[Link]

It's just closer to election day and things were going to close regardless, but Obama has a substantial lead among women in key swing states, so I don't see anything jumping around much more.

Sure, and the swing states are what matter, but can the gap grow large enough to put them away comfortably?

 

[The Librarian]

You can do better, I am disappointed

No, this is good. As is demonstrated in the DAX poll, the more PD trolls – however bad – it means Obama is more likely to win.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

Hey, Cartoon Soldier: Yoohoo! Over here!

I am confused.

In my original post I said that if Romney's internals are showing him ahead by a 1, he must have a bad internal pollster.

 

[HylianTom]

 

[ari]

Women voting 49% Romney? That doesn't even makes sense. WTF? Lol

 

[Bowdz]

I want a big East Coast victory early on Election Night so that the grim faces and desperate "what if Romney wins {*insert ridiculous state*}?" denial/bargaining can begin on Fox.

I still think Obama winning Florida would garner the best reaction on Fox News. If Obama wins Florida, he only has to hold onto WI, PA, and MI (lol) to get to 276. The game would be over right then and there and it would be glorious.

 

[Tim-E]

Looks like the lobster vote may not be so safe after all!

 

[Sirpopopop]

Women voting 49% Romney? That doesn't even makes sense. WTF? Lol

Judging by my facebook feed - apparently there are lots of anti-abortion women in the South!

Rather helpfully a lot of them moved from Ohio to the South.

 

[AlteredBeast]

Your dad told your sister to write in a school report, that Clinton was a womanizer and you thought that was brilliant. You know you are beginning to show your true colors.

How is his comment different from what your father said?

My dad wasn't president?

Plus, Bill Clinton was a womanizer, similar to how Romney is a bullshitter. I was not claiming the statement was false, but it is not befitting of a president to say of his opponent or anyone else.

and it is pretty damn brilliant (not that I would have used that term to describe anything) to have a 4th grader write a paper about a womanizing president. I hope to make myself laugh like that some day when my kids grow up.

and what are my true colors, exactly?

 

[matthewwhatever]

I do think Mitt's "momentum" has definitely stopped and while I don't think the race will go back to September levels, I think Obama should be comfortable enough over the next two weeks. I don't see any major events occurring that shift opinion one way or the other. Romney looked straight-up awful in that FP debate.

You can always hope for Romney's appearance on Monday Night Football the night before the election to go disastrously bad. A mention of how he's good friends with the owners, general talk of how he enjoys watching "sport"...maybe he'll suddenly make Louisiana a swing state!

 

[Link]

I'd say AlteredBeast is fairly moderate, considering his background.

 

[InsaneZero]

Just made my account on intrade, and waiting for the documentations to clear.

Would short selling Romney predictions en masse be a good/bad idea, gaf?

 

[Officerrob]

Just made my account on intrade, and waiting for the documentations to clear.

Would short selling Romney predictions en masse be a good/bad idea, gaf?

I wouldn't get too cute, Intrade has been pretty volatile

 

[watershed]

Wow, Obama essentially saying Romney is a bullshitter is some of the harshest language I've seen yet directly from a candidate. I wonder how it will play.

 

[Salvadora]

Wow, Obama essentially saying Romney is a bullshitter is some of the harshest language I've seen yet directly from a candidate. I wonder how it will play.

Is there a link for that?

 

[Tim-E]

You can always hope for Romney's appearance on Monday Night Football the night before the election to go disastrously bad. A mention of how he's good friends with the owners, general talk of how he enjoys watching "sport"...maybe he'll suddenly make Louisiana a swing state!

He's going to be on MNF? That will likely be far more awkward than his Wikipedia foreign affairs talk.

 

[InsaneZero]

I wouldn't get too cute, Intrade has been pretty volatile

Yeah, judging from the activity I've been reading from the news and over here it seems to be all over the place quite often.

 

[The Librarian]

I am confused.

In my original post I said that if Romney's internals are showing him ahead by a 1, he must have a bad internal pollster.

You said "might have," and you typed it up in your usual worry style of post. I'm just making sure everyone knows there's no cause to worry about NV.

 

[AlteredBeast]

Yeah, judging from the activity I've been reading from the news and over here it seems to be all over the place quite often.

I would just buy Obama and sit on it. You will make a lot of money when it gets to 10 on November 6th. I can't imagine you would make more trying to short sell the natural ups and downs due to state and national polls.

 

[Pai Pai Master]

That bullshitter comment is awesome.

 

[kirblar]

I would just buy Obama and sit on it. You will make a lot of money when it gets to 10 on November 6th. I can't imagine you would make more trying to short sell the natural ups and downs due to state and national polls.

This is what I'd be doing if I could. Just take the profit.

 

[cartoon_soldier]

You said "might have," and you typed it up in your usual worry style of post. I'm just making sure everyone knows there's no cause to worry about NV.

Not worried about NV

 

[soundahfekz]

Just made my account on intrade, and waiting for the documentations to clear.

Would short selling Romney predictions en masse be a good/bad idea, gaf?

Stick to Obama and hope that his chance to win doesn't go any higher so that you get as much profit as possible.

I was going to get in at 54% then I realized I couldnt instantly add funds to my account, by the time the funds wouldve cleared it wouldnt have been attractive anymore. I'll just have fun in Vegas next week.