I wouldn't get too cute, Intrade has been pretty volatile
Listen to these people. Intrade doesn't make any damn sense. Gallop polls come out showing Romney +7 and nothing moves. Other polls come out showing Obama +5 in a swing state, and Romney's stock goes up. It just isn't logical.I would just buy Obama and sit on it. You will make a lot of money when it gets to 10 on November 6th. I can't imagine you would make more trying to short sell the natural ups and downs due to state and national polls.