They're using polls as the basis for their analysis. You should learn how to beat them so you can leverage that information advantage against the sportsbooks!I trust Intrade, IEM and the Sportbooks more than polls LOL

They're using polls as the basis for their analysis. You should learn how to beat them so you can leverage that information advantage against the sportsbooks!I trust Intrade, IEM and the Sportbooks more than polls LOL
Why didn't Nate put today's PPP poll into his model for Virginia?
Hell, I married one and it was stupid complicated. But I am there now, suckers!
Why didn't Nate put today's PPP poll into his model for Virginia?
I doubt it's going to get any attention outside of political circles. Obama swears like a sailor on the Dreams from my Father audiobook and no one cared.
Edit:
Here's a (cropped) example:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CJrXlHBDGU4
that's what i was thinking. maybe he missed it. maybe it's maybelline.
http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/25/do-you-understand-polls-as-well-as-david-brooks/David Brooks – now with Ro-mentum!
October 25th, 2012, 10:30am by Sam Wang
It was fun to learn of David Brooks’s addiction to polling data. He spends countless hours on them, looking at aggregators, examining individual polls, and sniffing poll internals. From all of this, what has he learned?
(Emphasis mine.)
- Today, President Obama would be a bit more likely to win.
- There seems to be a whiff of momentum toward Mitt Romney.
I am having a sad. All of that effort, and his two conclusions still have two major errors. Evidently he does not read the Princeton Election Consortium. Let us dissect this.
Fair warning, you may have to help me through that process in a couple years
(...immigration, not marriage)
Bams piece/interview on Rock Center now, NBC. 48 hours with the Pres.
Obama is really getting the interviews in. It's so weird that Romney is pretty much running away from the press it seems. Giving Obama all the air time.
It's David Brooks. Of course he is.http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/25/do-you-understand-polls-as-well-as-david-brooks/
David Brooks may know more than that . . . but he may just not want to admit it. (Actually, he may indeed be that clueless.)
(i dont know how to do the twitter)
Brian Williams is being a dick. How does he go from Libya to "Why didn't you visit Israel as president"? Fuck these guys....
You'd think the press would be scared shitless of a Romney presidency given his utter contempt for them, but no, they're fine with their horserace shit.
You'd think the press would be scared shitless of a Romney presidency given his utter contempt for them, but no, they're fine with their horserace shit.
It's a fair question ... as long as it is followed by the fact that George W. Bush didn't visit Israel as president until January 2008 and that George H.W. Bush and Ronald Reagan never visited Israel as president.
Ding ding ding.(Actually, he may indeed be that clueless.)
You'd think the press would be scared shitless of a Romney presidency given his utter contempt for them, but no, they're fine with their horserace shit.
Silver just tweeted he missed the ppp poll and ras in az and adding it in now. Odds to go up I imagine.
or go down considering arizona.
Obama's chances of winning there are already pretty darn low.or go down considering arizona.
Joke? 97% to win before this new poll. Moving a percent won't mean shit.or go down considering arizona.
Why didn't Nate put today's PPP poll into his model for Virginia?
that's what i was thinking. maybe he missed it. maybe it's maybelline.
I tweeted nate. Let's see if he responds
(i dont know how to do the twitter)
Silver just tweeted he missed the ppp poll and ras in az and adding it in now. Odds to go up I imagine.
Arizona's not a swing state, so I doubt it.
Obama's chances of winning there are already pretty darn low.
he had a 3% chance to win it though. it's crucial in this scenario
Wonder if Nate factored in Romney's 70k person rally in Florida
...and the odds of this scenario have to be like a million to one.
Obama announces new "Fuck California" platform.That scenario will NEVER happen. EVER.
he had a 3% chance to win it though. it's crucial in this scenario
That scenario will NEVER happen. EVER.
Wow. Poll-iGAF indeed. This thread lives up to its name.
Obama loses CA and wins AZ. I would eat a pile of my own shit if that happened.
How is it worse if you include the people that gave up looking for work unemployment is at 14%. How many executive orders has he passed? Bengazi, Fast and Furious, Middle East Melt down, How many countries have chanted Burn America Burn? Fast and Furious is 100% Obama admin. How many Hybrids are on the roads? GM if isn't right now going through another bankruptcy will be soon. Solyndra. How many times has Obama tried to get rid of the Constitution?