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PolliGaf 2012 |OT5| Big Bird, Binders, Bayonets, Bad News and Benghazi

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C

Cheebo

Banned
Man I feel really dirty wandering around this website, their twitter profile picture:
w7qmy45rfd95cb8gl4zq.jpeg
 
T

The Librarian

Banned
HylianTom said:
I've made the decision that I'm going to stay quiet around my family members and just let them walk into Election Day thinking that Romney has this.

Every four years, since 1996, I either snail mail or hand-deliver a sealed envelope with my projected electoral map inside, not to be opened until the day after the election. This one's going to be fun. If the split looks like a real possibility next week, I might have to steal 270towin's motto ("this isn't a popularity contest") and put it on the map somewhere.

A6KIMaLCAAA4ye8.jpg
Click to expand...

That picture is so great.
 
A

Angry Grimace

Two cannibals are eating a clown. One turns to the other and says "does something taste funny to you?"
Why are they so dead set on this "Romney secretly winning Ohio" bent when there's no evidence at all to suggest it.

I don't care that Silver's being attacked by Fatso McUnskew because even assuming Romney wins the election, Unskew will be ridiculously wrong and discredited.
 
B

Black Mamba

Member
eBay Huckster said:
kind of like me, but in reverse
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Canadian Jew?


Why are they so dead set on this "Romney secretly winning Ohio" bent when there's no evidence at all to suggest it.

I don't care that Silver's being attacked by Fatso McUnskew because even assuming Romney wins the election, Unskew will be ridiculously wrong and discredited.
Click to expand...

They think all the polls showing Dem party ID +6-9 is skewing the polls. But if they notice that indies are winning big with Romney they would be aware that many former Repubs are now Indies but always vote Repub anyway so the party ID numbers aren't skewing shit, it's that the self-ID of voters has changed.
 
L

Loudninja

Member
Up to 40 percent may vote early in election; Obama ahead
(Reuters) - Early voters could account for up to 40 percent of all voters in the 2012 presidential election, and polls of people who already have cast ballots show President Barack Obama with a comfortable lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney.

Both candidates have been urging supporters not just to vote but to do it early as Republicans and Democrats campaign vigorously - particularly in key battleground states - to lock up as many votes as possible before Election Day on November 6.

Polls of people who say they already have voted show Obama with a lead in many of the states. The Obama campaign, which benefited from early voting in 2008, has focused heavily on urging supporters to vote early in this election as well.

Obama leads Romney 54 percent to 39 percent among voters who already have cast ballots, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling data compiled in recent weeks. The sample size of early voters is 960 people with a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

About 18 percent of registered voters already have cast ballots, the Reuters/Ipsos polling data showed. Around a quarter of minority voters - who tend to support Obama - and almost a fifth of white voters have cast ballots, the data showed.
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http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/26/us-usa-campaign-voting-idUSBRE89P15920121026
 
T

Tamanon

Banned
Angry Grimace said:
Why are they so dead set on this "Romney secretly winning Ohio" bent when there's no evidence at all to suggest it.

I don't care that Silver's being attacked by Fatso McUnskew because even assuming Romney wins the election, Unskew will be ridiculously wrong and discredited.
Click to expand...

Without Ohio, Romney doesn't have a viable campaign. CNN still has 2 more weeks.
 
R

RDreamer

Member
Rocket Scientist said:
I feel bad for asking this and wish it upon no one, but what happens with someone's early vote or absentee ballot if they pass away before the election?
Click to expand...

I was wondering this, too, but I'm pretty sure it still counts, since they just had a story on the news the other day of a guy filling out his absentee ballot on his death bed.
 
A

Aaron Strife

Banned
Loudninja said:
Up to 40 percent may vote early in election; Obama ahead

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/26/us-usa-campaign-voting-idUSBRE89P15920121026
Click to expand...
Problem with Romney's early voting strategy is that it places far less emphasis on getting new/unlikely voters to the polls, it's moreso people who were already committed to vote.

If you find five dollars on the ground, you come out ahead - that was money you didn't have. Taking five dollars out of one pocket and putting it in another still only leaves you with five dollars.
 
A

Amir0x

Banned
Trurl said:
If Sandy flips PA. . . .
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Haha, no way. Even if Philly/Pittsburgh were both to get slammed, they'll have their power on and life back to normal in advance on November 6. Actually, rural areas would be harder hit by such a scenario, and it would likely repress Romney votes slightly more than the reverse.
 
A

Aaron Strife

Banned
Kind of curious who the Star Tribune will endorse.

Klobuchar's a given, she's one of the most popular politicians in the country. They endorsed Obama in 2008 and Kerry in 2004.

However they have a tendency of tooting their non-partisan horn by endorsing third party candidates (2010, Tom Horner for gov) and moderate Republicans (2008, Norm Coleman and Erik Paulsen).

If they don't endorse No on Marriage I'm going to be severely disappointed in them.

Edit: Well slap my biscuits, they already did. Good on them. They can endorse whoever for the other races.
 
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