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[viciouskillersquirrel]

What do intrade players know that no one else does. That's the question.

On an individual level, nothing, probably. With something so emotionally charged as a presidential election, you're probably getting a lot of low information investors who wouldn't otherwise make bets of this sort doing so based on intuition.

Theoretically, these guys break evenly on both sides, but I think we all know that in today's political climate, people attracted to Romney's message are also more likely to eschew evidence-based methods in favour of intuition.

Besides which, if a politically inclined investor really wanted to, they could corner the Intrade market for less than the cost of one 30 second ad in Florida. Because Intrade is cited so often, it'd be a tool in the spin artist's arsenal regarding momentum etc.

 

[Owzers]

misfortune of flipping through fox, they are starting off with Libya again with a new email saying that on the day of the attack or the day after a terrorist group took credit for it.

Impeach.

 

[Chichikov]

Watching the 3rd party debate.
So far -

Rocky Anderson - damn impressive, I wish someone like that could run for president for real.
Jill Stein - doing fine, I agree quite a lot with her, but I already knew that.
Gary Johnson - I don't agree with him on many things, but he's having a very good debate, he's like a non-hypocrite intellectually honest Ron Paul. I wish liberalness would flock to someone like him.
Virgil Goode - cartoon villain.

 

[el retorno]

more gifs in Poligaf plz

 

[kingkitty]

Virgil Goode - cartoon villain.

at least he's an honest cartoon villain.

 

[MasterShotgun]

Watching the 3rd party debate.
So far -

Rocky Anderson - damn impressive, I wish someone like that could run for president for real.
Jill Stein - doing fine, I agree quite a lot with her, but I already knew that.
Gary Johnson - I don't agree with him on many things, but he's having a very good debate, he's like a non-hypocrite intellectually honest Ron Paul. I wish liberalness would flock to someone like him.
Virgil Goode - cartoon villain.

I also watching it and I agree with you. But I will give Virgil credit for two things. He stands by beliefs no matter how they are perceived. And his accent is awesome.

 

[ezrarh]

I hate most of Goode's positions but I already like him more than Romney.

 

[PoweredBySoy]

Bob McDonnell.

Every time I see that fucking sleezeball I want to punch him right in the throat.

GG, Anderson.

 

[Black Mamba]

Gary Johnson's support of the fair tax is a deal breaker.

Isn't Virgil Goode a white supremacist?

 

[jbug617]

We need Virgil to take some votes away from Mitt in VA.

 

[Chichikov]

And his accent is awesome.

Agreed.
The man truly needs a twirly mustache.

And Gary Johnson just called Ron Paul his hero, bah, I was starting to respect you.

 

[ezrarh]

Isn't Virgil Goode a white supremacist?

Yes yes he is. But at least I know he's a white supremacist.

 

[Bowdz]

Bad news for Romney (that is actually the title lol)

Now that's what I needed to hear to calm my nerves.

Holy shit

Like who the fuck is giving the complete nutjobs a platform? Why is this country so ass backwards for a first world country?!

Two words: Tea Party. It is hard to quantify the damage they have done by bringing our legislative process to a complete halt and (somewhat effectively) taking out any moderate Republicans who so much as smile at Obama. Luckily, it looks like the Tea Party chose some of the worst candidates for the GOP, especially in states that should have been safe. With any luck, the moderate wing of the GOP will reassert itself if they actually lose seats in the Senate and House in addition to the White House.

 

[el retorno]

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/23/supreme-court-montana-campaign-finance_n_2006312.html

Supreme court actually lets campaign finance restrictions stand in montana, doubt its anything more than just timing though

 

[Diablos]

Holy fuck @ intrade.

How can just one person make it tank so hard? Christ on a cracker!

I just want it to be the 6th!!!

 

[Y2Kev]

Holy fuck @ intrade.

How can just one person make it tank so hard? Christ on a cracker!

I just want it to be the 6th!!!

BECAUSE IT IS A TINY MARKET

I think we should force induce a coma.

 

[Link]

Two words: Tea Party. It is hard to quantify the damage they have done by bringing our legislative process to a complete halt and (somewhat effectively) taking out any moderate Republicans who so much as smile at Obama. Luckily, it looks like the Tea Party chose some of the worst candidates for the GOP, especially in states that should have been safe. With any luck, the moderate wing of the GOP will reassert itself if they actually lose seats in the Senate and House in addition to the White House.

I think the GOP is at some point going to look back at their embracing of the Tea Party as the beginning of the end.

 

[Aaron Strife]

Holy fuck @ intrade.

How can just one person make it tank so hard? Christ on a cracker!

I just want it to be the 6th!!!

Literal genie sends you back to oct 6

 

[PoweredBySoy]

Watching the 3rd party debate.
So far -

Rocky Anderson - damn impressive, I wish someone like that could run for president for real.
Jill Stein - doing fine, I agree quite a lot with her, but I already knew that.
Gary Johnson - I don't agree with him on many things, but he's having a very good debate, he's like a non-hypocrite intellectually honest Ron Paul. I wish liberalness would flock to someone like him.
Virgil Goode - cartoon villain.

So should I vote for Stein? Because apparently I'm supposed to.

 

[Forever]

I think we should force induce a coma.

You have the power.

 

[el retorno]

So should I vote for Stein? Because apparently I'm supposed to.

where do you live?

You have the power.

lol

 

[NihonTiger90]

these gifs have infinite uses!!

I'm thinking of proposing something to Obama should he be reelected for immediate consideration. I'm calling it the Linda McMahon Rule. You run for Senate twice and you lose twice, you are banned for life.

Or would that be more appropriately...



YOU'RE




FIIIIIIIIIIIIIIRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRED

[/angryvince]

 

[kingkitty]

eih am vergeel gooode and eih don't lehk immahgrants

 

[Chumly]

Do any of the polls take into account the third party candidates?

 

[el retorno]

Do any of the polls take into account the third party candidates?

I think some do but they're polling at or below 1%

 

[PoweredBySoy]

where do you live?

MN, a battleground state.

 

[Black Mamba]

Do any of the polls take into account the third party candidates?

Some do but as I cautioned polling for them is very bad. People often change their mind come Election Day.

It's simply not reliable.

 

[el retorno]

MN, a battleground state.

I'd vote for bams. You'd probably be ok voting for her though.

 

[Chichikov]

So should I vote for Stein? Because apparently I'm supposed to.

Meh.
I'll take a 3rd party seriously when they start at the local level.
Those federal campaigns are mostly vanity projects.

But in any case, your vote for the POTUS is probably your least meaningful participation in our democracy.

 

[PoweredBySoy]

But in any case, your vote for the POTUS is probably your least meaningful participation in our democracy.

What should I be voting for?

 

[jbug617]

New Scott Brown ad putting Warren with the 716 billion dollar cut. He seems a little desperate

 

[RustyNails]

So should I vote for Stein? Because apparently I'm supposed to.

What if one million liberals watching the 3rd party debate thought just like you did, and voted for Stein in MN?

Diablos just had a heartattack.

 

[Chichikov]

What should I be voting for?

Everything on the ballot.
The Commissioner of Public Lands is probably going to impact your life more than the president.

 

[PoweredBySoy]

On October 16, 2012, Stein and her running mate, Cheri Honkala, were arrested after they tried to enter the site of the presidential debate at Hofstra University while protesting the exclusion of smaller political parties, such as the Green Party, from the debates

Lovely.

Edit: Even better - as far as I can tell, her running mate has never had a job in her life, nor education. Cheri Honkala.

After living in an apartment in Minnesota, Honkala and her young son were forced to move out and live out of their white Camaro.[10] She and her son became homeless after the Camaro was demolished by a drunk driver.

 

[Puddles]

When I bought 809 shares of Obama yesterday at an average of $6.17 each, I thought I was getting in at the absolute rock bottom. I'll cash out with around $8100 when Obama wins, but if I had waited until tonight, I could be on track to win over $900 more. Goddamn. That Romney buyer is just handing out money right now.

 

[Officerrob]

Holy fuck @ intrade.

How can just one person make it tank so hard? Christ on a cracker!

I just want it to be the 6th!!!

Infusing eighteen thousand dollars into a tiny market will do that

 

[RustyNails]

Everything on the ballot.
The Commissioner of Public Lands is probably going to impact your life more than the president.

Um, why are you discouraging the poor chap from voting for President? It's true the local municipal elections affect you more, but presidential elections is about THE GREATER GOOD

 

[Link]

Infusing eighteen thousand dollars into a tiny market will do that

So you're saying someone putting $18k in Obama right now could really clean up.

*looks at bank account; contemplates*

 

[Black Mamba]

Could be worse. California has Roseanne Barr and her running mate Cindy Sheehan on the ballot.

Of course we once had a pornstar run for governor.

 

[Chichikov]

Um, why are you discouraging the poor chap from voting for President? It's true the local municipal elections affect you more, but presidential elections is about THE GREATER GOOD

I didn't mean to do that.
I was trying to get him involved in local races in which he can have meaningful impact and see real results.

I really hate it that in this country democracy = voting for the president every 4 years (though to be honest, it's like that in pretty much every country I've lived in).

 

[jamesinclair]

Why doesn't Obama contest the south?

Does Obama not care about black people?

 

[ryutaro's mama]

Could be worse. California has Roseanne Barr and her running mate Cindy Sheehan on the ballot.

Of course we once had a pornstar run for governor.

Gary Coleman was never in porn.

 

[Chichikov]

Of course we once had a pornstar run for governor.

The US is once again behind the times.

 

[RiccochetJ]

When I bought 809 shares of Obama yesterday at an average of $6.17 each, I thought I was getting in at the absolute rock bottom. I'll cash out with around $8100 when Obama wins, but if I had waited until tonight, I could be on track to win over $900 more. Goddamn. That Romney buyer is just handing out money right now.

God, what a fucked up way of gambling. Kinda cool though.

 

[East Lake]

I don't post in here hardly ever, but I wasn't sure if this had been brought to PoliGAF's attention: statistical analysis of the GOP primaries that alleges pro-Romney election fraud.

http://www.themoneyparty.org/main/w...lectionsResultsAnomaliesAndAnalysis_V1.51.pdf

The Iowa graph is jarring. I'm not saying it's a certainty, I'm just saying that if I were to try and steal an election via voting machine, that's probably the algorithm I'd employ.

So: of the swing states, which are heavy on voting machines?

Why wouldn't have anyone had a look at the code if this was suspected?

 

[PoweredBySoy]

Everything on the ballot.
The Commissioner of Public Lands is probably going to impact your life more than the president.

So is there a site I can go to that will have all of the choice on the ballot - so I can do a little research? I went to my city website but that didn't have anything other than where to go to vote.

St Louis Park, MN.

 

[Black Mamba]

The US is once again behind the times.

Holy shift she offered saddam sex for peace!

LoL

 

[PoweredBySoy]

Um, why are you discouraging the poor chap from voting for President?

He wasn't. And you can blow your patronizing tone out your ass.

 

[Chichikov]

So is there a site I can go to that will have all of the choice on the ballot - so I can do a little research? I went to my city website but that didn't have anything other than where to go to vote.

St Louis Park, MN.

You can see your ballot here.
And this site should provide you good baseline information about your choices.

 

[Aaron Strife]

So should I vote for Stein? Because apparently I'm supposed to.

Wrong post to quote (on mobile whatev) but def vote no on the marriage ban and voter ID