One of the first of the new Nokia smartphones will be a device that features so-called haptic or vibration technology from Immersion (IMMR Quote) that is due out this summer.
Nintendo is cheap, especially for a company whose profits could jump 40% this year. Waning Japanese demand needs to be put in perspective.
SHARES OF NINTENDO, MAKER OF THE WII VIDEOGAME player, have been in free fall, much like a not-so-Super Mario whose leap has left him short of landing on one of the mushrooms in the Japanese company's most famous game.
Good for gaming and playing music, the handheld DSi, out this month, also lets you snap and edit pictures.
Nintendo's American depositary receipts (ticker: NTDOY), eight of which equal one Tokyo-traded share, early Friday afternoon were at 33.50 -- about 50%% below where they stood a year ago and down over 25% this year. In contrast, shares of rival game-console makers Microsoft (MSFT) and Sony (SNE) have both tracked the tech market's slight 2009 gain.
The drop in Nintendo seems overdone. Says Wedbush Morgan Securities analyst Michael Pachter: "When you look at the underlying numbers, no company globally is performing better than Nintendo." Pachter has a 12-month target of about 60 on the ADRs. Sterne Agee analyst Arvind Bhatia sees "terrific comeback potential" for the shares.
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BUT STRONG GROWTH SHOULD RESUME in the second half. "People who buy videogames have no idea we are in recession," asserts Pachter. From October through February, U.S. videogame sales rose about 11%, in dollar terms. Nintendo wouldn't comment for this article, but at a recent convention, Reggie Fils-Aime, CEO of its U.S. unit, said: "Over that same time period, Nintendo is up over 50%. Let me put it a different way: the total industry has grown just over $1 billion during that time frame. Nintendo has grown over $3 billion. So do the math. We're accounting for more than 100% of the industry growth." The introduction of souped-up Wii controllers and several new games this summer should help sales.
Nintendo shares are down 25% since Jan. 1, but a careful look suggests that they're due for a comeback, with profits at the cash-rich company likely to be up 45% this year.
In addition, some investors are ignoring Nintendo's solid balance sheet -- it has $9.5 billion in cash and securities, versus $4.3 billion in debt -- and its annual dividend of $1.58 per ADR. And Nintendo certainly has the financial flexibility to hike the payout or buy back stock.
At $33.50, Nintendo ADRs were trading under 10 times likely 2010 earnings -- not much for an outfit whose profits should jump 45% this year. Nintendo faces challenges, but the path to success often looks more perilous than it is -- as Super Mario knows and patient U.S. investors will learn.
argon said:Barron's just came out with a very bullish article on Nintendo. Despite the stock's recent battering, I'm still a believer.
http://online.barrons.com/article/SB124001833826031167.html
Zhengi said:I think stocks are overbought right now, but then, I guess that's a little bit of bitterness in my talking when the market was at 6500 and the rally left me behind :lol
Right now, I'm regretting my decision not to sell my stocks in C last week. I was up quite a bit and now it's gone below the price I bought them at. I was hoping that Friday earnings would give it a boost and that today's BAC announcement would do the same. I guess I'll have to sit on it a bit and hope it comes back up soon.
I need to stop procrastinating and put some more money into my Roth IRA. If this market continues going down, it might be time to buy.
Lost big on C, GE, and AA today.Meier said:Today is an absolute bloodbath for me. S, AIG and C all down relatively big. I knew I should have unloaded C...what a turd.
Wellington said:Lost big on C, GE, and AA today.
I am considering jumping in on Nintendo too, which one are you guys trading? NTDOF or NTDOY? Both are below their 52 week min, and of course they have tons upon tons of money.
lawblob said:NTDOY could be interesting. Someone make the argument for them, are they expected to outperform on earnings?
After January earnings: Trading was halted on Nintendo stock today due to a 5,000 (9.62%) yen decline. This after a blowout quarter where they raised their sales forecast. It's worries over the yen and some profit-taking. You'll notice in their report they upped their sales guidance but left their profit guidance alone.
After April earnings: Well once again Nintendo makes money hand over fist, but who cares right? Because all that really matters is that their forecast is off by about 3% from analyst expectations, so the stock falls. Sometimes I hate investors.
After July earnings: Yup, NTDOY is the same story as always - major profits, cautious outlook, everyone bails. Glad I sold out of there a while back.
kathode said:I would never bet on Nintendo earnings. They ALWAYS give poor guidance which always deflates the price. I had a post summarizing their earnings from the past year a while back. Let me see if I can find it.
RSTEIN said:Oooh look its kathode... Mr. "hay guyz I'm going away for a week don't worry nothing big is happening"
On average, how long till maturity on your bonds?sonarrat said:I'm not waiting on the stock market.. I'm taking advantage of how much money the banks have to pay for financing by buying their bonds. Short term ones of course. A nearly guaranteed 2% return in a month and a half is A-OK with me.
Ether_Snake said:Earlier on it was "IBM profits beats street", omitting anything else. They wait to see if it goes red or green before adding to the headline
Ether_Snake said:kathode: I think this is usually how it goes with "popular" stocks no? Everyone's in waiting for earnings, and when they kick in big stockholders sell quickly, and then every average joe that bought himself some of those shares panics and sells as well.
tarius1210 said:On average, how long till maturity on your bonds?
kathode said:This could be true (I honestly don't know), but Nintendo is one that always inspires interest around here and particularly around earnings time. I checked and the stock took a ~10% haircut when their January earnings came out as well. I mean sure it could still go up this time but IMO, I would stay away. (NTDOY doing great today though!)
I opened a fairly significant position in AXP calls that are doing well today. Still holding out for my 20%. Edit: Spoke too soon :\
True. The highest I'm getting from my savings account is 2.01% (that's only because my bank offers that to depositors with over $10,000 in their account). Bastards. I remember getting 4.50% a year ago at this time from ING Direct. Boy, would I love to have that APY today.sonarrat said:The average at this point is about 3 months. If you can stack a bunch of small returns they kick the crap out of any savings account on the planet. Ultimately I'll want to get bonds for longer terms because otherwise you get murdered by transaction fees.
tarius1210 said:True. The highest I'm getting from my savings account is 2.01% (that's only because my bank offers that to depositors with over $10,000 in their account). Bastards. I remember getting 4.50% a year ago at this time from ING Direct. Boy, would I love to have that APY today.
tarius1210 said:True. The highest I'm getting from my savings account is 2.01% (that's only because my bank offers that to depositors with over $10,000 in their account). Bastards. I remember getting 4.50% a year ago at this time from ING Direct. Boy, would I love to have that APY today.
RSTEIN said:BREAKING: Ikea announces takeover of General Motors!
http://i40.tinypic.com/206jud3.jpg
http://i41.tinypic.com/29dbexh.jpg
Imagine assembling that.RSTEIN said:BREAKING: Ikea announces takeover of General Motors!