The New Hampshire Primary |Feb 9|: Live Free or Die

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So Jim Gilmore is ISIS? Don't like his chances!
I could only find one ad for Gilmore. I thought those pictures were crap.
As a note for the OP, the democratic forecast is using polls only while the republican forecast is using polls plus. You should probably stick to one version or the other. Other than that great OP.
I thought about doing that but I wanted to choose whichever seemed closest. Democratic one did not really matter since Sanders was 99% for each.
jebattackadppkax.gif


please tell me this is real ad, epic
It is. They all are.

I wish I could have found a better ad for Bernie. I never got a response from PoliGAF.
 
I realise this is a party election not a government election but it's insane and pretty undemocratic that they publish running vote tallies while voting is still open.
 
I really hope Kasichmentum is real and the GOP falls into disarray as they try to realign behind a new Establishment candidate.

Bernie got this. I expect him to win comfortably by at least 15 points.
 
Fantastic opening post, OP. This is gonna be a fun primary.
Sanders is going to schlong Hillary. 30% blowout!
http://i.kinja-img.com/gawker-media/image/upload/s--bSA2bShg--/1368025120395705122.jpg[IMG]

At least Trump should get his groove back. And the fight for second should be really fun and fascinating. Glad I took Wednesday off.[/QUOTE]
They're both going to get absolutely Yuge wins.

Yuuuuuuuge
 
I'm still skeptical of Trump after Iowa. I expect him to win but I expect him to not meet his numbers. His campaign seems totally barebones.
 
I realise this is a party election not a government election but it's insane and pretty undemocratic that they publish running vote tallies while voting is still open.
Technically these are exit polls, right? During the general election they can also poll and announce what these 37 people vote for at midnight as well.
 
I realise this is a party election not a government election but it's insane and pretty undemocratic that they publish running vote tallies while voting is still open.

I mean technically they do this on election night as well via exit polls. There's not really anything you can do to stop it when you think about it.
 
Do they not keeping doing this throughout the day?

Even if it is this few it still could make quite a difference.
No, it's just a publicity stunt/tradition for these handful of towns that have so little going on that they have less than 40 people in total in their population.
 
CNN's front page graphic for NH right now includes a picture of Santorum. Poor guy flew so low under the radar this election season that no one noticed he dropped out :'(
 
I mean technically they do this on election night as well via exit polls. There's not really anything you can do to stop it when you think about it.
Well in Germany it is against the law to publish exit polls before all the polling stations have closed.
Very rarely do they leak out before that and it's always a big drama and I'm sure heads roll.
 
Sanders wins and expands upon his recent surges in polling but not enough to take the next state (South Carolina)

Trump wins due to the supposed moderates all placing similarly

Jeb! drops out and its the headline

Christie drops out

Fiorina drops out
 
Sanders wins and expands upon his recent surges in polling but not enough to take the next state (South Carolina)

Trump wins due to the supposed moderates all placing similarly

Jeb! drops out and its the headline

Christie drops out

Fiorina drops out

Jeb and Christie not dropping out
 
Well in Germany it is against the law to publish exit polls before all the polling stations have closed.
Very rarely do they leak out before that and it's always a big drama and I'm sure heads roll.

Some of these places have only 9 people. Screw an exit poll, you'd almost need to sequester them all to avoid the result leaking.
 
This should be an entetaining day.

Any of the following would cause a shake-up for the GOP, because they would completely screw with the post-Iowa narrative. In approximate order of resulting drama:
1) Trump not winning.
2) Both senators outside the top 3.
3) Any of the governors getting 2nd.
4) Either Cruz or Rubio (individually) outside the top 3. By far the mostly likely of this list and one might argue probable.

Fiorina and Carson need to drop out after this. They're just being jerks to drag this on any longer. No one else dare drop out when the position for Establishment frontrunner and possible shoehorned coronation at a brokered convention is a toss-up.

For the Democrats, if Clinton can manage to lose by less than 10 points she could effectively claim a win out of it, given this is Sanders' best state.
 
I mean technically they do this on election night as well via exit polls. There's not really anything you can do to stop it when you think about it.

Some of these places have only 9 people. Screw an exit poll, you'd almost need to sequester them all to avoid the result leaking.

Well to be quite honest asking 9 people and posting their results is hardly what I would call a particularly meaningful 'exit poll'.
 
Anyone here live or have freinds or fam in NH? Who they voting for?

All my friends and family live in NH.

My friend are all left leaning and like Sanders but are registered independent and plan to vote in the Republican primary for Trump since they think he will be easiest to beat in November. I asked why they aren't voting Sanders and they said the polls make him look like a sure thing. I think only one or two liberal friends I know are actually voting for Sanders out of around 20.

Family members are mostly voting for kaisch except grandmother voting for Clinton.
 
if rubio comes in at a strong number 2 i think it's possible. why delay the inevitable

but that's a big if
Because even if it didn't reflect in NH results, the debate showed that Rubio is vulnerable and is open for being taken down. They can still be viable if they do better than Rubio in the later states.

Cruz also showed that a negative media narrative can stop momentum in its tracks.

They might also think there will be no clear winner of delegates and there will be an open convention.
 
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