Man, if some of these predictions come true, this government could go down in history as being one of the best since the war. Still, we must refrain from getting too excited as we know these things can die on their arse (and the Eurozone isn't doing us any favours).
So uh, how about that Indian jet deal ;-;but now with our trade delegations and agreements showing good form in developing nations
So apparently 3 Tory Cabinet ministers want the health plans scrapped. My guesses:
Kenneth Clarke (I'm nearly sure of this)
Cheryl Gillan
???
So apparently 3 Tory Cabinet ministers want the health plans scrapped. My guesses:
Kenneth Clarke (I'm nearly sure of this)
Cheryl Gillan
???
Begins with O and ends in e
Osborne!
He's wanted it dead since its inception, and we are coming to the endgame now. Cammo must choose Osborne or Lansley.
The opposition is actually:
Osborne
Gove
IDS
All from the right wing, all want it gone.
huh weird, that's totally the opposite to who I thought
You have to look at who was briefed (the Times and ConHome) and know the relationships between Cabinet members. Lansley is not popular with the Gove neo-con wing, he is not popular with the IDS social conservative wing and he is not popular with the economically conservative wing (Osborne) either. Lansley himself is ex-SDP which is pretty much the worst crime a Tory can commit.
Osborne sees the cost not only in monetary terms, but also in political terms. Cameron has staked his personal credibility to the NHS, and Lansley is very unlikely to deliver (in fact his reforms will make the NHS much, much worse and more expensive) so going into the next election Labour will campaign on Dave's broken NHS promise and all of that detoxification of the Tory brand is worth less than zero. If Dave drops the bill and Lansley and makes him the fall guy, he can get away with most of his credibility intact, but it is getting very late in the day, and the later it gets the harder it becomes to row back without handing a massive victory to Labour. The base problem is that the NHS is facing a funding crisis of sorts, one that would have happened regardless of which party or coalition ended up in power back in 2010, but now Labour will be able to blame Lansley/Dave for all the hospital closures, if any doctor or nurse gets fired you can bet they will be invited on stage to the Labour conference where Ed will laud them and blame Dave for it, even though the real reason for the funding shortage is Labour's deficit.
That is why Cammo will drop the bill and fire Lansley. He can't afford not to.
That is why Cammo must drop the bill and fire Lansley. He can't afford not to.
Pfff, only 3 decades? That's nothing! My hometown (and the entire region for that matter) has had Social Democratic rule since 1919. Suck on that oneGlasgow, probably the most corrupt and sleazy council in the UK due to 30 years of single party rule appears to be imploding. This is good news.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-16964356
Pfff, only 3 decades? That's nothing! My hometown (and the entire region for that matter) has had Social Democratic rule since 1919. Suck on that one![]()
People should be on the streets protesting student fees style, it will essentially ruin the English NHS.
Oh, and good on Clive Bone and the National Secular Society who won their court case yesterday. It's perhaps a tiny victory about an otherwise insignificant issue, true, but it also demonstrates that the courts understand one of the basic principles of democracy - that Church and State must be kept separate, lest we end up like the American South.
In other news, Eric Pickles proves himself to be a prick again. http://bit.ly/wWtbpR . Some great quotes in there, my favourite being:
"I've got no doubt the agenda of the National Secular Society is inch by inch to drive religion out of the public sphere.
"If they get their way it will have enormous implications for prayers in parliament, Remembrance Day, the jubilee celebrations, even the singing of the national anthem."
Sounds fantastic!
Because we saw how effective that was...People should be on the streets protesting student fees style
That is why Cammo will drop the bill and fire Lansley. He can't afford not to.
I don't understand the NHS changes.
From my understanding, this is pretty much turning most of it into a big PFI scheme, but with less top-down control. Make no mistake, the GPs being given control of their funding will, 95% of the time, hire a private company to run the management side of things.
As this sort of thing has been proven time and time again not to save money, what is the purpose of it?
Remember before the election where Cameron was tripping over himself to stress how he WOULD NOT TOUCH THE NHS? What a load of shit. I was skeptical about their free schools idea, but they've won me over in that policy, this NHS bill needs to be killed with fire though. Other than this one issue, I'm generally pretty happy with this government.
I don't think this case is quite the good thing that it may appear to be. Far from demonstrating that the courts understand that Church and State must be kept separate (which, by the way, is not a principle recognised in English law - as maybe you'd expect of a country where bishops appointed by the Prime Minister get to sit in the legislature) it was decided on the very narrow ground that the council lacks any statutory power to hold prayers.
And that's a very worrying precedent for anyone (such as me) who is in favour of local democracy and somewhat less in favour of all control being exercised from Westminster.
Because there are all manner of things that could now be challenged using this case as a precedent, some of them trivial and some less so. There is for example, no express statutory power for councils to provide tea and biscuits at meetings, or to hold fireworks displays, or to jointly merge services with neighbouring councils for the good of all - and so on ad infinitum.
It isn't a victory for secularism, it is a victory for centralised statutory control of every tiny thing that happens at the local level. And in my book that is not good news.
Pickles got the main thrust of the argument right though. The Localisation Act should have taken this stuff out of the realm of statutory control - in effect the manner in which a council conducts its business is for the council alone.
He's probably right about the agenda of the National Secular Society (the name is a bit of a giveaway), but overstates the impact they might have on Parliament, government, the Crown - none of which fall under the same statutory constraints as councils do.
But he should probably have focussed in on the Localisation Act (which after all is his pet, and intended to free councils from central interference) rather than trying to defend against secularism.
Surely what Cameron said was that he would support the NHS, rather than that he would preserve it untouched? I don't see anything here that is destructive of the principles of the NHS or of the principle of free healthcare.
With the Conservatives there will be no more of the tiresome, meddlesome, top-down re-structures that have dominated the last decade of the NHS
While I see your point, not everyone agrees on the glories of local democracy. Perhaps it is a stereotype, but local government has in my experience been ineffective and cowtowing to a passive majority (I am from the South-East, we have been Tory-ruled for all but six years since the 1884 ROPact in parliament, with not a great deal of variation locally). Not everything can be left down to central planning, but in regions with uncompetitive elections, (locally and parliamentary)I don't feel that there is the same drive for effectiveness.
Personally, I feel that the central government should be firm in establishing a separation between church and state, and this should be applicable all over. That is the only way, I believe in which a genuine secular state can be established. Which is of course what I want and believe to be right.
Hmmm, what Cameron said was
With the Conservatives there will be no more of the tiresome, meddlesome, top-down re-structures that have dominated the last decade of the NHS
I'd struggle to describe what I believe is the largest organisational change ever (in the world?) as anything but that.
With the GPs, while I don't disagree with their involvment in the commissioning element, that could surely have been managed with an evolution of the current structure rather than the classic governement (Tory or Labour) tactic of tearing down everything currently in place and replacing it with something brand new and basically untried.
I also suspect the GPs have realised that this isn't a bit of a free ride like they got with the last GP contracts (which the massively benefited from - thanks to piss poor contracting from labour), that they are basically going to have to take on the PCTs or set up similar organisations which most of them aren't set up to do, and that they will be in the firing line if anything doesn't work.
The 49% thing is total lunacy, it just makes it LOOK like privitisation, whether intended or not. Isn't the highest in any hospital currently about 15%? Madness as it just makes headlines.
I don't think so.
There is already talk of a Tory rebellion on the next reading of the bill, all it would take is for the Lib Dems to pull the rug and it would be finished as Labour would whip their vote.
Many Tories in Con/Lab marginals are very worried about this bill, and the Lib Dems are also considering their position on it. Expect them to pull their support at their Spring conference, and for talk of a rebellion to start and for Dave to soften his stance. Right now, Dave has to act tough so to keep Cabinet ministers in line, but he knows that the bill has to be killed, he just needs to do on terms that aren't dictated to him.
I do fear for Dave as PM though, this is a completely self-inflicted wound, any political novice could have told him that reforming the NHS in such a massive manner after campaigning on not reorganising it would open him up for a world of hurt. I know the Chancellor warned him of exactly this in October of 2010, and other Cabinet ministers have expressed their many grievances about it inbetween.
Basically, Dave can't be seen to be kowtowing to rebellious Ministers, but the bill is dead now. I don't think he can carry the party for such a deeply unpopular bill amongst Lib Dem and Tory ranks.
Really? But the changes to the NHS' structure have been going on (without any public announcement or consultation, of course - how democratic of Cameron!) for some considerable time now, shedding thousands of NHS jobs in the process. Even if the bill is dropped, are we just supposed to leave things half-changed, and valuable staff unemployed?
Agreed about the self-inflicted wound. This whole thing was silly, and should never have happened.
<snipped stuff I agree with>
Like I said before, this is making all the wrong headlines, but that doesn't necessarily make it a bad thing to do.
Simon Hughes (deputy LD leader) calls for Lansley to go after bill passed:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-17002166
The real problem with the health bill is communication. I have no real understanding about what this bill means for the NHS and it is all so complicated that I can't really feel like I can make an informed decision about it either way and Lansley has to be blamed for that.
Too little too late, damage already done, et tu Lansley?, etc.
I can't believe the LD grass roots are willing to just stand by and let this happen merely to keep their grip on power. I thought they were supposed to be principled.
Too little too late, damage already done, et tu Lansley?, etc.
I can't believe the LD grass roots are willing to just stand by and let this happen merely to keep their grip on power. I thought they were supposed to be principled.
Because it's in line with LD policy?
The Lib Dems said in their manifesto that they wanted to let people use private care and let the NHS pay for it if the need arose. They also believe that the NHS would benefit from competition.
Remember, the Liberal Democrats aren't left wing, they're free-market centerists.
Indeed, though I'd argue under Kennedy they were getting pretty left wing. Clegg came in and no one noticed the shift to the right.
UK put on negative credit watch by Moody's
Citing that there is reduced political will for fiscal consolidation, the cuts are now too slow and too shallow. They urge the Chancellor to quicken the pace of the cuts and go deeper to bring the public finances back under control faster.
I expect this will mean more cuts in the March budget. We can't afford to lose the AAA rating, even if it is just Moody's (rather than S&P), there are enough warning signs for the government to quicken the pace of the cuts and bring the public finances back into line.
I thought he earmarked additional cuts in his previous statement?
No additional cuts. £158bn worth of additional borrowing over 5 years compared to the original plan. That's why Moody's have put us on negative watch. Expect the Chancellor to announce extra cuts in just over a month. He has no choice.