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UK PoliGAF thread of tell me about the rabbits again, Dave.

Jezbollah

Member
I basically assumed they did this already.

They do. The core principles will form part of an extension, with slight changes made to the process framework. Basic communication logs will be kept, with legal warrants required to inspect the content of that communication.
 
I read an interesting thing earlier which said that 80,000 members of the Civil Service went on strike today (which is the lowest ever for a national strike apparantly), and that they lose 3,000,000 work days per year on sick leave. There are about 340,000 civil servants in the country, which means they take an average of 9 sick days each a year. That's pretty mental. Must be a very high-stress environment!
 
What are you thoughts on Farage? Is he leading one the few conservative eurosceptic parties that doesn't fall in the far-right category? who is he? What is his plan?
 
What are you thoughts on Farage? Is he leading one the few conservative eurosceptic parties that doesn't fall in the far-right category? who is he? What is his plan?

Yeah. I think a lot of people who don't like him would like to categorise him as far right, but that's really not accurate at all, I think. As for his plans, I don't think it matters - if Cam wins this election (and I think he will), he's done. The referendum will rip UKIP apart, whoever wins.
 

kitch9

Banned
I read an interesting thing earlier which said that 80,000 members of the Civil Service went on strike today (which is the lowest ever for a national strike apparantly), and that they lose 3,000,000 work days per year on sick leave. There are about 340,000 civil servants in the country, which means they take an average of 9 sick days each a year. That's pretty mental. Must be a very high-stress environment!


There tends to be a lot less pressure around sick days in the public sector, encouraged even, to avoid lawsuits. It's a different world to the private sector in that regard.
 

kitch9

Banned
What are you thoughts on Farage? Is he leading one the few conservative eurosceptic parties that doesn't fall in the far-right category? who is he? What is his plan?

Getting out of the EU preferably, getting concessions around immigration will do. The rest is just fluff, apart from getting the smoking ban in pubs repealed. He'd like that.
 

Nicktendo86

Member
I read an interesting thing earlier which said that 80,000 members of the Civil Service went on strike today (which is the lowest ever for a national strike apparantly), and that they lose 3,000,000 work days per year on sick leave. There are about 340,000 civil servants in the country, which means they take an average of 9 sick days each a year. That's pretty mental. Must be a very high-stress environment!
I have had 3 sick days in 9 years. What is wrong with people?
 
I have had 3 sick days in 9 years. What is wrong with people?

Without knowing how old you are or what you do for a living. I doubt you are a good case for the average person. Like how older people tend to have significantly more sick days. It shoots up significantly with 40+ and increases till retirement. Which is hardly surprising.

  • Sickness absence has fallen for all age groups since 1993, but has fallen least for those aged 65 and over.
  • Lower sickness absence rates in the private sector but the gap with the public sector has narrowed over past 20 years.
  • Of the larger public sector organisations sickness rates are highest for those working in the health sector.
http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/lmac/...---sickness-absence-in-the-labour-market.html
With a in work population of roughly 27e9 the average of sick days is roughly 5 p.a.
And it wouldn't surprise me if the public sector has significantly stricter rules on when you have to stay at home. I've always found it baffling how obviously sick people drag themselves to work just in order to be a unproductive and b spread their illness around the office. Just stay home for a day which as we all know is often enough to get over the hump.
 

Jezbollah

Member
So a day after Labour refuse to support or condemn the public service strikes, they are now very vocal about the Royal Mail selloff for the umpteenth time.

Have they actually got something new, and of substance to allow them to try and be the opposition that their core voters want them to be?
 
So a day after Labour refuse to support or condemn the public service strikes, they are now very vocal about the Royal Mail selloff for the umpteenth time.

Have they actually got something new, and of substance to allow them to try and be the opposition that their core voters want them to be?

The slightly baffling thing is that they don't seem opposed to the sell off even, just the specific value at which the shares were originally placed. Which is possibly a legitimate complaint, but it's so razor thin in terms of a differentiating factor between the parties. Is that really going to be the deciding reason that people vote one party over another?
 

8bit

Knows the Score
(Potentially fake, I guess)

BsQTL2SCUAI8kaF.jpg
 
There deffo is a reshuffle happening though, and I've heard the IDS rumour elsewhere. Nicky Morgan (a junior minister in the Treasury) is getting a promotion, but I don't know where to yet.
 

Nicktendo86

Member
Well according the BBC Eric could become chief whip. Not sure if that is pro- or demotion.

Me neither tbh. I can't see why he would get demoted though, I heard his department was always one of the first to agree to spending cuts and local government has improved. Hope it doesn't have any effect on the LB Tower Hamlets investigation!
 
Without knowing how old you are or what you do for a living. I doubt you are a good case for the average person. Like how older people tend to have significantly more sick days. It shoots up significantly with 40+ and increases till retirement. Which is hardly surprising.


http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/lmac/...---sickness-absence-in-the-labour-market.html
With a in work population of roughly 27e9 the average of sick days is roughly 5 p.a.
And it wouldn't surprise me if the public sector has significantly stricter rules on when you have to stay at home. I've always found it baffling how obviously sick people drag themselves to work just in order to be a unproductive and b spread their illness around the office. Just stay home for a day which as we all know is often enough to get over the hump.

Erm, 27e9 is 27 billion. The UK ain't that big mate.

I'm guessing you meant 29 million, which is what the link says :p

OT: when I worked in the public sector, I was shocked when an email went round the office saying the average number of sick days per year per employee was 8. Really? That's the average??
 
Erm, 27e9 is 27 billion. The UK ain't that big mate.

I'm guessing you meant 29 million, which is what the link says :p

OT: when I worked in the public sector, I was shocked when an email went round the office saying the average number of sick days per year per employee was 8. Really? That's the average??

mea culpa 27e6 indeed.
 
D

Deleted member 231381

Unconfirmed Member
Sorry for my ignorance, but what does that mean? Does the 82% represent their expected no vote or what exactly?

No, 82% probability the NO vote will have a majority of the vote versus an 18% probability the YES vote will have a majority of the vote, given the current situation. As the event draws nearer, you'd usually expect to see this tends towards 100:0 in favour of one side or the other as events become more certain.

EDIT: I don't think the odds on political betting are very accurate, for what it's worth. Too many people bet based on what they want to happen or personal allegiances, so it distorts the market and offers inaccurate odds. This is especially true of relatively small betting markets like politics-related betting.
 
Doesn't Osborne really dislike IDS? I wouldn't be surprised if Cameron moves him, it'll let a fresher face get the opportunity to show unflinching cruelty towards the poor and disabled.
 
Doesn't Osborne really dislike IDS? I wouldn't be surprised if Cameron moves him, it'll let a fresher face get the opportunity to show unflinching cruelty towards the poor and disabled.

Haha. Last time he just flat out refused to go - obviously Cam could have sacked him but that doesn't send a good message when you sack one of your senior ministers. That said, I've heard that Hague might step down voluntarily so that someone can be promoted to "the top three" since that's been totally static for the entire parliament. Not entirely sure why, though, since we haven't had any foreign policy nightmares (EU Notwithstanding, which isn't really Hague's responsibility) and Hague is generally pretty popular. Maybe he'll be put to "better use" performing some party function in the run up to the election, I dunno. Or maybe that's just bullshit and not going to happen at all.
 

Nicktendo86

Member
Cameron really has terrible judgement doesn't he. I don't think he should take all the blame for this enquiry fiasco but still, get a grip.
 
I agree - predictably, I guess - with Hodges on this one again. I don't see the point of a public enquiry. I thought the police were meant to investigate crimes? Public enquires should be for when problems occur and a cause (and solution) need to be found but which aren't actually crimes - like how Leveson wasn't about finding out if journalists committed crimes (that was down to the police) but rather about the culture that lead to it and about ways to preventing that occuring again. This doesn't seem to be that, and it's ludicrous that it occur before a criminal investigation.
 

Nicktendo86

Member
I would agree Cyclops except I am not sure we can really trust the police to investigate themselves. It is very similar to the phone hacking thing and the whole hacked off campaign, we don't need any new regulation or laws as what they did WAS ILLIGAL, what should happen is the police actually investigate rather than be on the take.
 
I would agree Cyclops except I am not sure we can really trust the police to investigate themselves. It is very similar to the phone hacking thing and the whole hacked off campaign, we don't need any new regulation or laws as what they did WAS ILLIGAL, what should happen is the police actually investigate rather than be on the take.

But in this case, I don't think it's really the police that are being investigated. It's not against the law to not report a crime (though that might not be the case for long) and having evidence of a crime and not sharing it is only illegal if you're in court and not telling the truth (or otherwise lying when asked by police, ie perverting the course of justice). Maybe the police knew more than they're letting on and didn't act but imo that should be a discussion for after a criminal investigation has occured. I don't think you can really have a public inquiry into whether or not the police helped cover up something that we don't even know happened.
 
I agree - predictably, I guess - with Hodges on this one again. I don't see the point of a public enquiry. I thought the police were meant to investigate crimes? Public enquires should be for when problems occur and a cause (and solution) need to be found but which aren't actually crimes - like how Leveson wasn't about finding out if journalists committed crimes (that was down to the police) but rather about the culture that lead to it and about ways to preventing that occuring again. This doesn't seem to be that, and it's ludicrous that it occur before a criminal investigation.

The investigation is into the alleged cover up of a paedophile ring within Westminster, there absolutely needs to be one. A conspiracy to protect high ranking politicians and Lords involving the police and other branches of government needs to have the light of day shone on it and the people involved prosecuted.

Not having an investigation would be negligent, and I don't believe the investigation into the voice mail shit was necessary, the existing laws were more than enough to get a conviction of the perpetrators, and nothing has been done about bent coppers after all of the fall out. This time though, there definitely needs to be one, a state sponsored cover up of paedophilia in Westminster is explosive stuff and the government can't afford to kick the can down the road.

So far we have Westminster, the Catholic church, the BBC, local government and the NHS involved. There are implications that the police hushed it all up as well so we can count Scotland Yard in as well. Hodges, unsurprisingly, is wrong.
 
The investigation is into the alleged cover up of a paedophile ring within Westminster, there absolutely needs to be one. A conspiracy to protect high ranking politicians and Lords involving the police and other branches of government needs to have the light of day shone on it and the people involved prosecuted.

Not having an investigation would be negligent, and I don't believe the investigation into the voice mail shit was necessary, the existing laws were more than enough to get a conviction of the perpetrators, and nothing has been done about bent coppers after all of the fall out. This time though, there definitely needs to be one, a state sponsored cover up of paedophilia in Westminster is explosive stuff and the government can't afford to kick the can down the road.

So far we have Westminster, the Catholic church, the BBC, local government and the NHS involved. There are implications that the police hushed it all up as well so we can count Scotland Yard in as well. Hodges, unsurprisingly, is wrong.

If we can't trust the police of 2014 to investigate something that occured in the early 80's, then something a bit more significant should be done than a public inquiry, surely? I agree that we need an inquiry, but it seems to me that it'd make far more sense to do it after a criminal investigation; That's not kicking the can down the road, that's allowing the state institution tasked with investigating crime time to investigate a potential crime.

The biggest question for me - as highlighted by Butler-Sloss' stepping down - is who is there out there who is simultaneously qualified to head an inquiry like this but also wasn't around in the establishment in the 1980's themselves or by association? IMO You're more likely to find someone like that in the police rather than running down a list of Lord this or Lady that, and that's inevitably who a public inquiry will appoint.
 

Nicktendo86

Member
If we can't trust the police of 2014 to investigate something that occured in the early 80's, then something a bit more significant should be done than a public inquiry, surely?

Unfortunately, I just don't know if we can. Officers were implicit in phone hacking, then you have Steven Lawrence, Hillsborough etc. Teresa May didn't get as many plaudits as she should have for her police federation speech.

Problem with 2014 police investigating the 1980's is it wasn't so long ago that officers could still be there and they seem to have a culture of looking out for their own. I was a big supporter of the police but the sheer amount of scandel has left my faith in them shaken.
 
Unfortunately, I just don't know if we can. Officers were implicit in phone hacking, then you have Steven Lawrence, Hillsborough etc. Teresa May didn't get as many plaudits as she should have for her police federation speech.

Problem with 2014 police investigating the 1980's is it wasn't so long ago that officers could still be there and they seem to have a culture of looking out for their own. I was a big supporter of the police but the sheer amount of scandel has left my faith in them shaken.

Then who? In a scandal that potentially involves literally every British institution, who's left that's unconnected to it all?

Fuck it, let's get Channel 4 to do it. Tell them they can only interview those involved whilst they do drugs live in TV in a giant box made for televised sexual intercourse.
 

Nicktendo86

Member
It is tough, I really don't know what they should do tbh. I just don't really trust anyone to do a proper investigation, too many vested interests and such. I forgot to add plebgate to add to the police's greatest hits by the way!

I really, really hope that everything comes out in the open and all victims get the justice they deserve. But I don't know the best way to achieve that at all.
 

Nicktendo86

Member
ICM poll has Tories with a one point lead today.

Con 34
Lab 33
Lib 12
Ukip 9

*reshuffle alert*

David Jones - Welsh sec - sacked
Ken Clarke - mwp - "retired"
 
Is this reshuffle like the bit at an end of a football match where they do lots of swaps so everybody gets a go before the end of the governme- match.

That or preparing for the penalty shootout!!!

#footybantz
 
Is this reshuffle like the bit at an end of a football match where they do lots of swaps so everybody gets a go before the end of the governme- match.

That or preparing for the penalty shootout!!!

#footybantz

I think it genuinely is the latter - this is all being done with an eye on the election - not so much people's roles in the election campaign, but trying to walk the fine line between presenting a brand new, untested team to the electorate vs presenting a stale gang that are exactly the same as in 2010. Neither will be particularly appealing to the electorate, insofar as they care at all.
 

phisheep

NeoGAF's Chief Barrister
But in this case, I don't think it's really the police that are being investigated. It's not against the law to not report a crime (though that might not be the case for long) and having evidence of a crime and not sharing it is only illegal if you're in court and not telling the truth (or otherwise lying when asked by police, ie perverting the course of justice). Maybe the police knew more than they're letting on and didn't act but imo that should be a discussion for after a criminal investigation has occured. I don't think you can really have a public inquiry into whether or not the police helped cover up something that we don't even know happened.

Well that's arguable for starters. Sure, there's no specific law requiring people to report crimes they may become aware of after the event if they were not involved themselves. But on the other hand, concealing shredding and perhaps tacitly acquiescing in a continued course of criminal behaviour comes awfully close to conspiracy or joint enterprise or even aiding and abetting.

If we can't trust the police of 2014 to investigate something that occured in the early 80's, then something a bit more significant should be done than a public inquiry, surely? I agree that we need an inquiry, but it seems to me that it'd make far more sense to do it after a criminal investigation; That's not kicking the can down the road, that's allowing the state institution tasked with investigating crime time to investigate a potential crime.

Maybe not. To investigate a crime you need at least a suspect, or a victim, or some sort of evidence - and there's very little of this around here. An inquiry might just throw up the right sort of things to form the basis of an investigation.

(There are other ways of course, one of which would to throw up a website asking for evidence from anyone who was abused by anyone else and follow the names from there - but something tells me that's not a great way of going either.)

I still reckon one of the three Lord McAlpines will show up in this somewhere.

The biggest question for me - as highlighted by Butler-Sloss' stepping down - is who is there out there who is simultaneously qualified to head an inquiry like this but also wasn't around in the establishment in the 1980's themselves or by association? IMO You're more likely to find someone like that in the police rather than running down a list of Lord this or Lady that, and that's inevitably who a public inquiry will appoint.

On gut feel, I'd go for Baroness Trumpington. In her 90s now, bless her, but sharp as a whip and suffers no fools and no masters.

For God's sake, not Esther Rantzen.
 
Hammond is a bit fucking useless, but maybe that's the point - we have no big foreign policy objectives, so maybe Cam just wants someone that won't do anything mad or say anything too dumb, and since the military utterly loathe Hammond it gets them a bit happier.
 
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