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United States Election: Nov 6, 2012 |OT| - Barack Obama Re-elected

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speedline

Banned
My prediction

2012_election_predictions.php


Romney- 275
Obama - 263
 

Pctx

Banned
Literally nothing about your response explains anything about why you like Romney. Honestly, how often can you reply with "Obama is a liar" without explaining what you're talking about?

The last paragraph is instructive - the guy just asked you which Romney will we get and you didn't even answer - You just immediately punted to Libya.
Re-read, I said I appreciate his values. His values are pretty crystal clear.
 

RDreamer

Member
Re-read, I said I appreciate his values. His values are pretty crystal clear.

The only value he has that's crystal clear to me is that he values money above all else and will use any loophole to get there, and he clearly values the office of the presidency and getting there.

Other than that I really don't have a clue what the real Mitt values.
 

kaskade

Member
The UK, where I grew up, has "Euro style health care" and also no shortage of honest hard-working people. This right-wing false equivalency between a compassionate state and a nation of people who don't want to work for a living makes me sick.

Oh and most western European nations have better health stats, better literacy, and better overall standard of living than the US, the right-wing boogeyman of Europe as some kind of nightmare scenario is a joke that needs to be challenged and exposed more often.

BUT THIS IS AMERICA, WE'RE RIGHT ALWAYS.

For real though, you make a great point. I live in a predominately Romney heavy area. It's not a wealthy area, probably mostly lower middle and middle class. Some money as well. All the people that support Romney are the ones who can benefit most from him. It seems like the ones who support Obama tend to be a little smarter, better off people. That's just my personal observations from my town.
 
Yeah it's really amazing to me that anyone can talk about relating to Romney's values considering he's failed to hold one consistent position in his political career. Is there any major issue he hasn't totally flip-flopped on? I'm sure he's a nice guy at heart but as a politician he is a faceless worm, concerned only with what is expedient and advantageous to himself at any given point in time.

I'll say it again, he would be more disastrous than Bush, and I'm comparing him to a man who started a pointless war and crashed the economy.
 
The only value he has that's crystal clear to me is that he values money above all else and will use any loophole to get there, and he clearly values the office of the presidency and getting there.

Other than that I really don't have a clue what the real Mitt values.


I just found this out. Fuck Romney. If he becomes President, he has my support.

Before that moment. Fuck him.
 

Chris R

Member
I'm not the only one heading to "election central" type parties tomorrow night right? Watching the local returns come in live with the various candidates in the room with their supporters is a bunch of fun (presidential race will be over before I get dinner, Alaska counts for nothing :p)
 

Pctx

Banned
So because I like Romney for thinking he's going turn around the economy... Why the hard on for Obama? Also come 2016 we will either have a Repub in office or a legit 3rd party since I know for me, this is the last year I'm voting Republican.
 

KHarvey16

Member
The Frontline episode dealing with the lives of the two candidates put it nicely I think. They compared Romney's shifting ideologies to a business consultant who adapts a business for a particular market. A company can shift and change to meet demand without much issue. He tailors the product to the market as it stands right then, on that day.
 
So because I like Romney for thinking he's going turn around the economy... Why the hard on for Obama?
Off the top of my head, affordable health care, repealed don't ask don't tell, saved the US auto industry, killed osama bin laden, ended war in Iraq, prevented total economic collapse. Not too bad really.
 
So because I like Romney for thinking he's going turn around the economy... Why the hard on for Obama? Also come 2016 we will either have a Repub in office or a legit 3rd party since I know for me, this is the last year I'm voting Republican.
Why not start a term early?

For me it's not that I'm super pro-bama this time, it's that it's completely impossible to vote for the modern GOP. I eagerly await the return of the 2 party system, but first the GOP must be reformed or destroyed.
 

Piecake

Member
The Frontline episode dealing with the lives of the two candidates put it nicely I think. They compared Romney's shifting ideologies to a business consultant who adapts a business for a particular market. A company can shift and change to meet demand without much issue. He tailors the product to the market as it stands right then, on that day.

corporations are people too
 

Fusebox

Banned
Everyone in Australia that I've spoken to is freaking out about how close your election seems to be, especially considering that Romney seems like the Supreme Leader of Team Evil to us.
 

hokahey

Member
CHEEZMO™;44023009 said:
A government that doesn't provide healthcare and education for it's populace is a shitty government.

Its not the government providing them. It's your fellow citizens having their money forcibly taken to give you these things. How is that ethical?
 

Chris R

Member
Why not start a term early?

For me it's not that I'm super pro-bama this time, it's that it's completely impossible to vote for the modern GOP. I eagerly await the return of the 2 party system, but first the GOP must be reformed or destroyed.

There is no reforming the current GOP, it's gone too far over the edge. Cut the good out and start again, leaving the crazies and loonies behind.
 

duderon

rollin' in the gutter
So because I like Romney for thinking he's going turn around the economy... Why the hard on for Obama? Also come 2016 we will either have a Repub in office or a legit 3rd party since I know for me, this is the last year I'm voting Republican.

Why would you want Romney to turn the economy around when it's already steadily improving? There's nothing to turn around.
 

jerry113

Banned
So because I like Romney for thinking he's going turn around the economy... Why the hard on for Obama? Also come 2016 we will either have a Repub in office or a legit 3rd party since I know for me, this is the last year I'm voting Republican.

There's also the being for gay marriage and being okay with abortion.
 
Everyone in Australia that I've spoken to is freaking out about how close your election seems to be, especially considering that Romney seems like the Supreme Leader of Team Evil to us.
Well, the media is complicit in making both sides seem like Team Evil by misinforming the public so hard that half the country thinks up is down and supply side economics works. Under that lens, it might make a little more sense.
 

kaching

"GAF's biggest wanker"
Yes, however when you have a POTUS lie or tell half truths, which is worse?
There is almost no way for Romney to end up being anything other than a POTUS who tells lies and half truths himself, because he has spent so much time taking almost every possible position on every issue, whatever he were to settle on as POTUS would ultimately conflict with several of his previous campaign promises.

More to the point, go ahead and reward Romney for his mendacious campaign tactics by voting him into the presidency. Do you really think that will send the message that he should stop?
 

kaskade

Member
Everyone in Australia that I've spoken to is freaking out about how close your election seems to be, especially considering that Romney seems like the Supreme Leader of Team Evil to us.

This is the other thing. The only people who like Romney are from America (and Pakistan). Basically every other country, especially European ones, seem to strongly favor Obama.
 

hokahey

Member
Everyone in Australia that I've spoken to is freaking out about how close your election seems to be, especially considering that Romney seems like the Supreme Leader of Team Evil to us.

Don't freak out. No matter who wins we'll keep stripping ourselves of our freedoms and bombing sovereign countries creating new generations of terrorists. No worries!
 

Fusebox

Banned
Well, the media is complicit in making both sides seem like Team Evil by misinforming the public so hard that half the country thinks up is down and supply side economics works. Under that lens, it might make a little more sense.

No, from where most Australians are standing only the Republicans look like Team Evil.

Don't freak out. No matter who wins we'll keep stripping ourselves of our freedoms and bombing sovereign countries creating new generations of terrorists. No worries!

Sign out the front of America... "New management but business as usual!"
 

Krowley

Member
I've been reading a little tonight, trying to come to grips with this election and specifically this whole poll aggregation thing that seems to be a hot topic this year... Basically, I don't really see the problem. In the end, Nate Silver is right no matter what. because he's not really making a prediction.

Most likely, there is no serious statistical problem with the state polls, and if there isn't, Obama will win.

But he allows for almost a 10% probability of an upset. So if you held this election 10 times, Obama would probably lose at least once according to his model. That's often enough to count as a genuine margin of uncertainty. People will obviously try to call him out and make out like he was wrong if Obama doesn't win, but all he's doing is crunching numbers, and his result can only be as good as the data, and he is saying that Obama might not win. He isn't saying he has a 100% chance. Polls are wrong sometimes. Every year there are always a few shocking or bizarre results where the polls missed it, sometimes by a lot. Some years it seems like the polls do better and sometimes they do worse.

The whole thing reminds me a lot of the Sabermetrics vs. Rule-of-thumb scouting thing in baseball.
 

HylianTom

Banned
For me it's not that I'm super pro-bama this time, it's that it's completely impossible to vote for the modern GOP. I eagerly await the return of the 2 party system, but first the GOP must be reformed or destroyed.

I actually find some things appealing in conservative policies. I thought that the Kelo v. New London decision was an atrocity. I like my gun collection. I think the idea that we can grow and grow and grow our economy without running into some sort of limit is very clearly mathematically ridiculous, and that we're facing a future of less - whether we like it or not.

But as long as the GOP continues to cater to the "the-Earth-is-6000-years-old"/"second-class-citizenship-for-faggots"/"personhood-rights-for-things-not-yet-born-or-naturalized" crazies, they are simply a non-starter for me.
 
Its not the government providing them. It's your fellow citizens having their money forcibly taken to give you these things. How is that ethical?
So now taxes for basic services are unethical? Fuck it, who needs a military while we're at it? That's the biggest federal program there is. Turn the whole thing over to Halliburton, according to Romney the private sector solution is always the best.
 
No, from where most Australians are standing only the Republicans look like Team Evil.
Right, but I'm suggesting that in the US people are sufficiently misinformed (particularly people old enough to rely on TV/newspaper for news, rather than the internet) that both sides look that way.

"throw them all out" is such a frustrating, and very common, sentiment.

I actually find some things appealing in conservative policies. I thought that the Kelo v. New London decision was an atrocity. I like my gun collection. I think the idea that we can grow and grow and grow our economy without running into some sort of limit is very clearly mathematically ridiculous, and that we're facing a future of less - whether we like it or not.

But as long as the GOP continues to cater to the "the-Earth-is-6000-years-old"/"second-class-citizenship-for-faggots"/"personhood-rights-for-things-not-yet-born-or-naturalized" crazies, they are simply a non-starter for me.
At a high level, many conservative policies are ones I'm totally ok with. But the modern Republican party represents nothing in regards to policy, apart from pure fantasy made real.
 

Lathentar

Looking for Pants
I've been reading a little tonight, trying to come to grips with this election and specifically this whole poll aggregation thing... Basically, Nate Silver is right no matter what. because he's not really making a prediction.

Most likely, there is no serious statistical problem with the state polls, and if there isn't, Obama will win.

But if Obama doesn't win, he allows for almost a 10% probability of an upset. So if you held this election 10 times, Obama would probably lose at least once according to his model. That's often enough to count as real uncertainty. People will obviously try to call him out and make out like he was wrong if Obama doesn't win, but all he's doing is crunching numbers, and his result can only be as good as the data. Polls are wrong sometimes. Every year there are always a few shocking or bizarre results where the polls missed it. Sometimes the polls do better and sometimes they do worse.

The whole thing reminds me a lot of the Sabermetrics vs. Rule-of-thumb scouting thing in baseball.
He'll lose because people will not trust him anymore if he is off by a wide margin. Goodbye career.
 

Pctx

Banned
Off the top of my head, affordable health care, repealed don't ask don't tell, saved the US auto industry, killed osama bin laden, ended war in Iraq, prevented total economic collapse. Not too bad really.
Is it bad that I only view a few of those as pros? DADT I don't fully get the in's and outs of when it comes to what rights our men and women in the military per and post.. And the auto bailouts.... Ugh. OBL though was a highlight. Also, can any Obama supporter explain why we're still in Afghanistan when that was the war Obama justified to the American people back in 2008?
 

Dude Abides

Banned
Don't freak out. No matter who wins we'll keep stripping ourselves of our freedoms and bombing sovereign countries creating new generations of terrorists. No worries!

Well, do you know of any non-sovereign countries we could bomb, if that's your beef?
 
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