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April 2014 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes May 12th

i just had a thought, dunno if its been posted anywhere, but if xbox promotes the new price and the sft core gamers see it, will they wait till the new price before buying xbox? meaning they will lose may. Watch dogs is coming out, and with it been promoted heavily opn ps4, they have definitely lost may

I wouldn't rule out that Xbox One will become $399 for all intended purposes including the ones on the shelf now with a kinect.Might not be official but I wouldn't be surprised that retailers in the next week start offering sales, gift cards and extra game bonuses to clear out unwanted inventory of the new sku. That will help NPD numbers some.
 

N.Domixis

Banned
Pretty safe to say that it won't.



Not really. If anything there would be a bigger chance of GAF breaking if it was the other way around.

Pretty sure everyone here expects the PS4 to do better.

That's what many thought during the launch of titan fall...
 
man this day has been the longest so far! waiting for the NPD :p

I will go to the movie theater to watch Godzilla after work so it's taking even a lot longer.
 

Bgamer90

Banned
I'm the odd duck that thinks June is a toss-up then :\

No major exclusive game release on either console + PS4's the cheaper console for multiplats. Don't think it will be a toss up.

I'm expecting a 60-80K gap for this month and then another 2:1 for May.
 

Bgamer90

Banned

Might as well cross everything out on the board. The system will more than likely never reach PS4 worldwide sales.

Unless the board is just for NPD. I remember "the chalkboard" during previous years/gens but were they used just for NPD? Find them silly either way though (haha).
 

ethomaz

Banned
Might as well cross everything out on the board. The system will more than likely never reach PS4 worldwide sales.

Unless the board is just for NPD.
I agree but the things will be crossed when it happened... the next one is Kinectless SKU.
 

N.Domixis

Banned
It used to be "wait until Titanfall"

Now it's "wait until Kinectless SKU"

MS can sure drag it out.

"Wait until the xbox launches in the us"
"Wait until the holidays" (It actually took this month only because ps4 was out of stock)
"Wait until January because first non holiday"
"Wait until February when holiday rush is over"
"Wait until March when Titan fall launches"
They can't say anything for April and May because they know ps4 will win these two without a doubt
"Wait until June because they will win E3 "
"Wait until June because kinectless sku "
"Wait until November when Cod bundle launches"
"Wait until this holiday season when exclusives come out"
"Wait until Halo 5 launches"
"Wait until Gears 4 launches"
"Wait until Xbox releases in more countries"

And they will not stop.
 

shandy706

Member
Does anyone actually think the X1 will outsell the PS4 in this NPD?

I'd say those people are on something. Absolutely zero surprise for me if the PS4 sells more this NPD. I don't expect the X1 outdo it next month (May) at all...and I don't know that it will outsell it in June. Which is fine as long as the $399 price does help it rather than doing nothing.


The chalkboard in the case of the X1 seems out of place. It's not going to tank like the Wii U and doesn't need to be "saved". It may not do as well as the PS4, but it will continue to sell. I'm guessing it will get a small boost with the drop to $399. Microsoft is bringing the games and is still a big force in the US. It will likely be like the PS3 was against the 360. The PS3 sold fine, but had moments where the 360 would outsell it every month for nearly entire years at a time.

I'm thinking the PS4 will have a pretty good gap in this NPD.
 
You are setting your expectations to disappointment.

Can happen? Yeap but right now it is unlikely.

You have people holding out on price and people holding out on kinect (either not wanting it, privacy concerns, etc.). I think it will see a significant bump.
 
No major exclusive game release on either console + PS4's the cheaper console for multiplats. Don't think it will be a toss up.

I'm expecting a 60-80K gap for this month and then another 2:1 for May.

That's probably reasonable I'm sure

I just look at February numbers and wonder what explains it's performance? Maybe January sales being pushed into February?

This move should push some May sales into June so I dunno

I agree but the things will be crossed when it happened... the next one is Kinectless SKU.

You can cross out double down on kinect, they pretty much threw it under the bus.

I'll update the chalkboard as per new NPD thread with relevant things to be crossed out

Doubling down on kinect will be crossed out for today's :p

Funny as I'm actually probably more optimistic on XB1's future than some as I suspect a healthy 50 - 60 million WW when all is said and done

I just like the challenge of making a good looking chalkboard
 

EGOMON

Member
I bet Sony will have something big for June, they know how important NA for MS they will kill any momentum Xbox about to gain
 
Major releases this month to look out for in terms of NPD leaks:



NPD Reporting Period: April 6th - May 3rd


Kinect Sports Rivals (XB1) - April 8th

LEGO The Hobbit (PS4 + XB1 + PS3 + 360 + 3DS + PSV) - April 8th

Titanfall (360) - April 8th

Disney Magical World (3DS) - April 11th

Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn (PS4) - April 14th

EA Sports 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil (PS3 + 360) - April 15th

Trials Fusion (PS4 + XBO) - April 15th

Conception II: Children of the Seven Stars (PSV) - April 15th

LEGO The Hobbit (Wii U) - April 22nd

Demon Gaze (PSV) - April 22nd

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (PS4 + PS3 + 360 + Wii U + PC + 3DS) - April 29th

JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All Star Battle (PS3) - April 29th

Kirby: Triple Deluxe (3DS) - May 2nd

Mario Golf: World Tour (3DS) - May 2nd
 

Bgamer90

Banned
"Wait until the xbox launches in the us"
"Wait until the holidays" (It actually took this month only because ps4 was out of stock)
"Wait until January because first non holiday"
"Wait until February when holiday rush is over"
"Wait until March when Titan fall launches"
They can't say anything for April and May because they know ps4 will win these two without a doubt
"Wait until June because they will win E3 "
"Wait until June because kinectless sku "
"Wait until November when Cod bundle launches"
"Wait until this holiday season when exclusives come out"
"Wait until Halo 5 launches"
"Wait until Gears 4 launches"
"Wait until Xbox releases in more countries"

And they will not stop.

Sounds like you already have some new chalkboards ready (haha). Care a bit too much.
 

Brannon

Member
The ides of May. Finally, an exciting NPD, even with the neutered data.

My super-belated predictions that don't count;

Quad - 300K range

Bone - 100K range

Wii - 50K range
 

ethomaz

Banned
Major releases this month to look out for in terms of NPD leaks:



NPD Reporting Period: April 6th - May 3rd


Kinect Sports Rivals (XB1) - April 8th

LEGO The Hobbit (PS4 + XB1 + PS3 + 360 + 3DS + PSV) - April 8th

Titanfall (360) - April 8th

Disney Magical World (3DS) - April 11th

Final Fantasy XIV: A Realm Reborn (PS4) - April 14th

EA Sports 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil (PS3 + 360) - April 15th

Trials Fusion (PS4 + XBO) - April 15th

Conception II: Children of the Seven Stars (PSV) - April 15th

LEGO The Hobbit (Wii U) - April 22nd

Demon Gaze (PSV) - April 22nd

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (PS4 + PS3 + 360 + Wii U + PC + 3DS) - April 29th

JoJo's Bizarre Adventure: All Star Battle (PS3) - April 29th

Kirby: Triple Deluxe (3DS) - May 2nd

Mario Golf: World Tour (3DS) - May 2nd
I don't see any console mover release this month... I think the sales will be down compared with previous months... this is a 4 week months too.
 

Heshinsi

"playing" dumb? unpossible
I wouldn't rule out that Xbox One will become $399 for all intended purposes including the ones on the shelf now with a kinect.Might not be official but I wouldn't be surprised that retailers in the next week start offering sales, gift cards and extra game bonuses to clear out unwanted inventory of the new sku. That will help NPD numbers some.

I thought the Kinect models will still be carried. So why would they drop to $399?
 
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